Group 1: Market Overview - The report highlights a strong tourism data during the National Day holiday, with cross-border tourism consumption being a significant highlight, while box office performance was relatively weak [3] - The report anticipates that the third quarter earnings reports will focus on four main areas: benefiting from external interest rate cuts and emerging demand in non-ferrous metals, price stabilization in steel, coal, chemicals, and photovoltaics, steady growth in automotive, lithium batteries, electricity, and logistics, and AI-related sectors driven by domestic and international demand [3][4] Group 2: Industry Performance - The report indicates that the overall revenue of the real estate development industry shrank by 14.9% year-on-year to 1.54 trillion yuan, with a net profit loss of 867 billion yuan, marking a 157.2% decline [11] - The report emphasizes that 2025 will see a continued focus on policy-driven growth in the real estate sector, with a recommendation to prioritize investments in leading companies and those with strong fundamentals [12] Group 3: Company Insights - The report discusses China Resources Beverage's decision to relocate its registered office to Hong Kong, which is expected to enhance operational stability and investor confidence [15] - The company aims to strengthen its product matrix by focusing on multiple brands and water types, with plans to launch 14 new products in the beverage sector [16]

Core Viewpoint - The current A-share market is driven by five main factors: robust economic recovery, proactive "anti-involution" policies, significant technological advancements, the introduction of new regulatory frameworks, and favorable global liquidity conditions [1] Economic and Market Conditions - China's economic fundamentals are showing strong resilience, providing solid support for the stock market [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index has reached a ten-year high, indicating strong market vitality [1] - A-share market is expected to maintain a slow bull trend, supported by both fundamental and valuation recovery [1] Policy and Regulatory Environment - The introduction of the "New National Guidelines" is expected to lay a solid institutional foundation for the high-quality development of the capital market [1] - Recent reforms, including the "1+6" reform for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the "merger six guidelines," are restructuring the capital market ecosystem and injecting new momentum [2] Investment Opportunities - Three main investment directions are suggested: 1. The photovoltaic industry chain and related sectors affected by valuation pressures, such as energy storage and lithium battery industries [3] 2. Traditional industries experiencing overcapacity, including steel, cement, and glass [3] 3. Emerging non-manufacturing sectors, such as the e-commerce industry [3] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The trend of mainland companies listing in both A-share and H-share markets is expected to continue, driven by policy incentives, improved liquidity in the Hong Kong market, and companies' strategic needs [2] - The new listing standards are expected to benefit companies in cutting-edge fields like commercial aerospace and artificial intelligence [2]

Core Viewpoint - The current A-share market is driven by five main factors: robust economic recovery, proactive "anti-involution" policies, significant technological advancements, the introduction of new regulatory frameworks, and favorable global liquidity conditions [1] Group 1: Market Drivers - The Chinese economy is showing strong resilience, providing solid support for the stock market [1] - The central government's "anti-involution" policies are improving the economic supply-demand structure and boosting corporate profitability [1] - Major technological breakthroughs in China are leading to asset revaluation [1] - The release of the new "National Nine Articles" establishes a solid institutional foundation for the high-quality development of the capital market [1] - The decline of the overseas dollar cycle is creating a marginally loose global liquidity environment, benefiting emerging markets, particularly A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The capital market is currently vibrant, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking a ten-year high [1] - A-share market is expected to continue a slow bull trend, supported by both fundamental and valuation recovery [1] - The Chinese economy is transitioning to a high-quality development phase, with new growth drivers gradually replacing old ones [1] - The quality of listed companies in China is improving, with the technology sector now accounting for over 25% of the market capitalization [1] Group 3: Policy and Reform - The "1+6" reform of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the "merger and acquisition six articles" are restructuring the capital market ecosystem [2] - The introduction of the fifth set of listing standards expands opportunities for companies in commercial aerospace and AI sectors [2] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board is creating a dedicated channel for unprofitable companies to go public, enhancing the financing ecosystem [2] - The "merger and acquisition six articles" are accelerating the concentration of quality assets in listed companies, potentially leading to the emergence of billion or even trillion-level industry leaders [2] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities are suggested in three main areas: the photovoltaic industry chain, traditional industries facing overcapacity, and emerging non-manufacturing sectors like e-commerce [3]

锂电观点：全面看多！主链+固态共振 20251009 摘要 2025 年 1-7 月欧洲新能源汽车销量超 200 万辆，预计全年接近 300 万 辆；美国市场渗透率约 10%，同比增速约 5%。动力电池环节中国企业 占据主导，占比约 67%，宁德时代和比亚迪两家占比约 55%。 2025 年上半年，正极材料需求同比增速约 40%，负极材料约 26%，电 解液约 32%，隔膜约 30%。头部企业产能利用率高，达 100%以上， 二三级企业开工率较低，受成本和账期影响，结构性分化明显。 2025 年上半年，锂电行业整体财务表现良好，动力电池归母净利润增 速接近 30%。负极、铁锂正极、结构件、零部件、电解液等环节增速接 近 30%，隔膜、铜箔和三元正极增速稍逊。 四季度动力电池市场出现抢装现象，主要受购置税减半政策和地方政府 以旧换新补贴驱动。新能源车销售旺季和车企年度考核目标也推动了生 产端扩张。 储能市场从强制配储转向市场化驱动，内蒙等地参与电网调度的储能比 例和时长显著增加，可能带来 10 倍以上增量。2025 年 8 月国内储能市 场招标量达 50GWh，备案量约 170GWh，预计全年总量约 150GW ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a slight recovery in the manufacturing PMI to 49.8% in September 2025, indicating improved conditions in new orders and procurement, while non-manufacturing sectors show a decline in price and inventory sentiment [2][9] - The report emphasizes the high-level economic activity in sectors such as non-ferrous metals and transportation equipment manufacturing, while also identifying potential recovery opportunities in pharmaceuticals, food and beverage, and light industry sectors [4][5] Industry Analysis - **Manufacturing Sector**: The manufacturing sector shows a mixed performance with a PMI of 49.8%, indicating a slight recovery. New orders and procurement volumes have improved, but price and inventory sentiment have declined [2][9] - **High-frequency Indicators**: Industries experiencing high growth include metal products, machinery repair, non-ferrous metal mining and smelting, and transportation equipment manufacturing. Conversely, industries like pharmaceuticals, food manufacturing, and textiles are facing challenges [4][5] - **Supply Side**: The report notes low growth in finished goods inventory and a decrease in long-term supply pressure in sectors such as oil and gas extraction, non-metallic mineral products, and pharmaceuticals [4][5] - **Consumer Sector**: Retail sales growth for discretionary items continues to decline, but demand for durable goods is expected to be supported by new government subsidies. The automotive sector shows stronger export growth compared to domestic sales [4][5] - **Advanced Manufacturing**: The report indicates a recovery in prices for photovoltaic and lithium battery materials, with optimistic production expectations for energy storage and power batteries [5] - **Technology Sector**: The export price decline for optical modules has slowed, while domestic chip production and sales are accelerating, indicating a positive trend in the technology sector [5] - **Financial Sector**: The report highlights a decrease in non-performing loan rates and an increase in insurance premium income, suggesting a recovery in the financial sector [5] - **Real Estate Chain**: The report notes a widening decline in real estate investment, sales, and construction starts, with cement prices stabilizing at low levels [5] - **Commodity Prices**: The report discusses the stabilization of coal and oil prices, with a new upward trend in metal prices supported by a weak dollar and geopolitical factors [5]

Group 1: Holiday Overview - The holiday period saw strong domestic travel data, with a total of approximately 1.833 billion people traveling across regions, a year-on-year increase of 5.19% compared to the same period last year [10][11] - The box office for the National Day holiday reached over 1.7 billion yuan, although this was lower than the previous year's total of 2.104 billion yuan, attributed to lower ticket prices and increased travel spending [11] - The central bank has increased its gold reserves for 11 consecutive months, with reserves reaching 7.406 million ounces (approximately 2303.523 tons) by the end of September [11] Group 2: Third Quarter Earnings Insights - The report highlights four key sectors to watch for the third quarter earnings: 1) Non-ferrous metals benefiting from external interest rate cuts and emerging demand, 2) Steel, coal, chemicals, and photovoltaics stabilizing prices due to anti-involution trends, 3) Automotive, lithium battery, electricity, and logistics sectors maintaining steady growth, and 4) AI-related sectors driven by domestic and international demand [2][30] - Industrial enterprises are expected to show marginal improvements, particularly in upstream cyclical sectors such as chemical fibers, steel, coal, and paper, while sectors like apparel, liquor, and plastics may face downward pressure [19][30] Group 3: Monthly Market Review - The report notes that since September, overseas interest rate cuts have led to a resurgence in gold prices, which reached historical highs, while the Hong Kong stock market saw significant gains [3][31] - In the A-share market, growth and cyclical styles have significantly outperformed, with electric equipment and non-ferrous metals leading the gains, while sectors like military, banking, and non-banking financials experienced declines [3][31]

Core Insights - The lithium battery industry is entering a new cycle characterized by explosive demand and technological innovation, driven by global energy transition trends [2][3] - In the first half of the year, total lithium battery shipments reached 776 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 68%, with energy storage batteries growing at 128%, significantly outpacing the 49% growth of power batteries [2] - Solid-state battery energy density is expected to exceed 400 Wh/kg by 2025, and composite electrolytes are entering mass production, reshaping the industry landscape [2] Event Overview - The 2025 (15th) High-tech Lithium Battery Annual Conference will be held from November 18-20, 2025, at JW Marriott Hotel in Shenzhen, marking a milestone for the industry [3][6] - The event is organized by High-tech Lithium Battery and GGII, with various sponsors and partners contributing to the conference [3][4] Industry Participation - Leading companies from the battery sector, including CATL, EVE Energy, and Gotion High-tech, will participate, focusing on battery technology innovation and market expansion [4] - In the materials sector, companies like Rongbai Technology and Aikang New Materials will discuss key issues such as material performance enhancement and supply chain security [4] Equipment and Support - The equipment and supporting sector will feature discussions on intelligent upgrades and optimization of support services, with participation from companies like Xinjingcheng Sensor and Yihong Intelligent [5] - The conference will also release multiple industry value reports, including the "2025 China Large Cylindrical Lithium Battery Industry Development Blue Book" [5] Networking and Collaboration - The event aims to foster high-level discussions and collaborations within the lithium battery industry, providing a platform for resource integration and opportunity identification [6]

倒计时40天 2025（第十五届）高工锂电年会 暨十五周年庆典&高工金球奖颁奖典礼 本研究提出了 " 动态自适应界面（ Dynamic Adaptive Interphase, DAI ） " 策略 。 核心机制 为 颠覆了传统电解质中阴离子 " 固定不动 " ， 通过材料设计，让阴离子（如 I⁻ ）在电场驱动下具备可控的迁移能力。 在锂剥离过程中，这些可迁移的阴离子会运动至界面，与锂离子结合，原位形成一层动态、致密且稳定的界面层（如富 LiI 层）。 研究团队形象地将其比喻为 " 章鱼触手 " ，强调其动态自适应的独特作用。该界面层能像 " 章鱼触手 " 一样，主动填充因锂体积变化产生的孔 隙，实时维持紧密的界面接触，从而摆脱了对高外部压力的依赖。 为何 选择碘掺杂硫化物电解质？ 为了验证 DAI 策略的可行性，研究团队通过高通量计算筛选，发现碘离子（ I⁻ ）是具有合适迁移能力的候选阴离子。他们选择了 Li₃.₂PS₄I₀.₂ （碘掺杂硫化物电解质）作为实现和验证 DAI 概念的模型体系。 实验数据证明了该策略的成功： 主办单位： 高工锂电、高工产研（GGII） 协办单位： 卡洛维德 总冠名： 海目星激光 ...

Core Viewpoint - The strategic partnership between Fulin Precision and CATL aims to enhance the capital strength and competitiveness of Jiangxi Shenghua New Materials, focusing on the development and production of high-quality lithium iron phosphate products, international expansion, supply chain upgrades, and energy storage market growth [4][10]. Group 1: Investment and Shareholding Changes - Fulin Precision plans to invest 1 billion RMB, while CATL will invest 2.56 billion RMB in Jiangxi Shenghua, resulting in CATL holding a 51% stake and making Jiangxi Shenghua a subsidiary [2][5]. - Prior to this transaction, Fulin Precision held 79.57% of Jiangxi Shenghua, and CATL's stake was 18.74% [2][5]. - This investment marks a significant increase in CATL's involvement, as it had previously divested its shares in August 2024 [6][10]. Group 2: Historical Context of Collaboration - Fulin Precision and CATL have established a close partnership since 2021, with CATL previously investing 20 million RMB and 144 million RMB in Jiangxi Shenghua for capacity expansion projects [6][7]. - CATL's strategic investments have been aimed at securing a stable supply of lithium iron phosphate materials, which are critical for its battery production [9][10]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Demand - The demand for high-density lithium iron phosphate batteries is expected to surge, with Jiangxi Shenghua being a key player due to its advanced technology and production capabilities [12][13]. - In the first half of 2025, lithium iron phosphate battery installations reached 81.4%, indicating a significant market growth [13]. - Jiangxi Shenghua's production capacity is set to expand, supported by CATL's investment, which will help the company overcome production bottlenecks [14][16]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Competitive Position - Jiangxi Shenghua reported losses of 1.053 billion RMB in 2023 and 28.36 million RMB in 2024, but its gross margin of 12.39% in 2024 was higher than competitors [16][17]. - The partnership with CATL is expected to enhance Jiangxi Shenghua's product pricing power and help it recover from losses [17]. - Jiangxi Shenghua ranked sixth in China's lithium iron phosphate battery shipments in the first half of 2025, with a total shipment of 1.606 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 68.5% [15][14].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The market characteristics of technology and non - ferrous metals in overseas markets during the National Day holiday are expected to continue in the A - share market after the holiday. In October, during the disclosure period of the third - quarter reports, attention should be paid to convertible bond opportunities in sub - sectors with performance realization, including optical modules, storage, lithium - battery, and non - ferrous metals sectors [1][10][15]. - In October, the convertible bond market's 100 - yuan premium rate is expected to fluctuate in the range of 30% - 37%. On one hand, it is difficult for the valuation to break through the end - of - August high; on the other hand, the convertible bond valuation has support due to the upward - trending A - share market [2][16]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 10 - month Convertible Bond Outlook: Valuation Range Fluctuation, Optimistic about Technology & Non - ferrous Metals - During the National Day holiday, there were continuous catalysts in the overseas AI chain. South Korea's two memory chip giants reached a preliminary supply agreement with OpenAI's Star Gate project, and AMD signed a chip supply agreement with OpenAI, which is expected to increase the company's annual revenue by tens of billions of dollars. Meanwhile, the "shutdown" of the US government pushed up the gold price, and COMEX gold broke through the $4000 mark [1][10]. - In October, attention should be paid to convertible bond opportunities in sub - sectors with performance realization, such as optical modules, storage, lithium - battery, and non - ferrous metals sectors. Specific individual bonds are recommended, including Jiayuan Convertible Bonds in the optical module sector, Tianci, Yiwei, Dianhua, and Guanyu Convertible Bonds in the lithium - battery sector, and Bo 23 Convertible Bonds in the non - ferrous metals sector [1][15]. - In October, the convertible bond market's 100 - yuan premium rate is expected to fluctuate in the range of 30% - 37%. The end - of - August convertible bond valuation was relatively high, and it is difficult to break through this high in October, but there is support for the valuation due to the upward - trending A - share market [2][16]. 3.2 September Market Review 3.2.1 Equity Market - In September, the A - share market fluctuated upward, with the Shanghai Composite Index once challenging the 3900 - point mark. The market trading was active, with an average daily trading volume of 2.42 trillion yuan, an increase of 109.38 billion yuan compared to August. The growth and cyclical styles were dominant, while the financial and consumer styles performed poorly [20]. - The lithium - battery sector led the rise, and the non - ferrous metals sector also performed well. The military and large - financial sectors performed poorly [25]. 3.2.2 Convertible Bond Market - In September, the convertible bond market showed a fluctuating trend. The monthly increase of the CSI Convertible Bond Index was +2.0%, underperforming the Wanquan A Index. The trading volume of the convertible bond market decreased compared to August, with an average daily trading volume of 79.76 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.52 billion yuan [28]. - In terms of industry performance, the convertible bonds of the electronics, non - ferrous metals, and automobile sectors led the rise. Individual bonds such as Jize, Guanzhong, and Huicheng Convertible Bonds led the increase, while Borei, Tianlu, and Tongguang Convertible Bonds led the decline [33]. 3.3 Convertible Bond Valuation - In September, the convertible bond valuation showed a range - fluctuating characteristic. The end - of - September 100 - yuan premium rate of the convertible bond market was 33.9%, an increase of 1.71 percentage points compared to the end of August, and was at a high percentile level since 2018 and 2021 [36]. - Different par values had corresponding conversion premium rates, which also increased compared to the end of August and were at high percentile levels [36]. 3.4 Convertible Bond Supply and Demand 3.4.1 Convertible Bond Supply - In September 2025, the issuance scale of convertible bonds increased both year - on - year and month - on - month. Two new convertible bonds were issued, with a total scale of 3.5 billion yuan [49]. - As of September 30, two convertible bonds waiting to be issued obtained regulatory approval, with a total scale of 5.479 billion yuan. Five public convertible bond board plans were added, with a total scale of 4.199 billion yuan [53][55]. 3.4.2 Convertible Bond Demand - The share of the Convertible Bond ETF decreased in September. As of September 30, the share decreased by 342 million units to 4.484 billion units, and the circulation scale decreased by 3.426 billion yuan to 60.573 billion yuan [57]. 3.5 Clause Tracking 3.5.1 Redemption - As of September 30, 16 convertible bonds were confirmed for forced redemption, 11 were not to be redeemed, and 10 might trigger forced redemption [61]. 3.5.2 Downward Revision - As of September 30, six convertible bonds were confirmed for downward revision, 20 announced no downward revision for the time being, five proposed downward revision (three of which had completed the downward revision), and 10 might trigger downward revision [62].