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2025Q2主动权益型基金季报点评:主动权益基金经理在关注哪些方向?
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-07-24 10:20
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025Q2, the A-share market showed a volatile upward trend with significant structural differentiation and style rotation. The median return of active equity funds was 1.90%, outperforming major indices such as the CSI 300 and CSI 500. Nearly 70% of stocks in the whole market recorded positive returns [3]. - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total scale of active equity funds was 3.29 trillion yuan, a decrease of 0.04 trillion yuan from the previous quarter. In Q1 2025, there was a net outflow of 113.407 billion yuan from active equity funds [6]. - Different - style and theme fund managers had diverse investment strategies and outlooks. For example, value - style fund managers focused on undervalued traditional assets and looked for opportunities in some consumer and cyclical sectors; growth - style fund managers concentrated on long - term growth companies and adopted a "boom - mining + balanced allocation" strategy [21][23]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Active Equity - Type Fund 2025 Second - Quarter Report Data Review 3.1.1 Performance Review - In Q2 2025, the A - share market was volatile. After a brief decline in early April due to US tariff policies, it stabilized from mid - April to mid - May and saw theme rotations since June. The Guozheng 2000 and ChiNext 50 recorded relatively high positive returns of 4.41% and 3.19% respectively. The median return of active equity funds was 1.90%, and the median stock price change was 5.39% [3]. 3.1.2 Scale and Fund Flow - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total scale of active equity funds was 3.29 trillion yuan, down from 3.33 trillion yuan in the previous quarter. In Q1 2025, there was a net outflow of 113.407 billion yuan from active equity funds. Funds with a fund - flow change ratio < - 1% accounted for 74.34%, while those with a net inflow ≥ 1% accounted for only 16.51% [6]. 3.1.3 Position Change - As of Q2 2025, the average stock position of active equity funds was 87.23%, with an average position change of 1.15%. The average active position change was 1.18%, and the average natural position change was - 0.04%. 39.57% of funds adjusted their active positions by 0 - 5%, and 33.76% adjusted by - 5% - 0 [9]. 3.1.4 Industry Allocation - The top five industries for increased holdings were communication, medicine, non - bank finance, banking, and national defense and military industry. The top five industries for reduced holdings were food and beverage, automobile, commerce and retail, power equipment and new energy, and machinery. Five industries had over - allocation reductions, and nine industries had under - allocation increases [12]. 3.1.5 Individual Stock Heavy - Holdings - The top ten heavy - holding stocks by market value included Tencent Holdings, CATL, Kweichow Moutai, etc. The top ten heavy - holding stocks by the number of holding funds included CATL, Tencent Holdings, Zijin Mining, etc. The stocks with the largest increase in market value of heavy - holdings included Zhongji Innolight, New H3C Semiconductor Technology, etc., while those with the largest decrease included BYD, Alibaba - W, etc. [15][16][18] 3.2 Second - Quarter Report Fund Manager Views Summary 3.2.1 Value Style - Since 2022, value - style funds have attracted more attention. In 2025, they faced headwinds. Many value - style fund managers believed that undervalued stocks were still worth buying. In terms of position structure, most did not significantly adjust their allocations and focused on traditional undervalued assets, while also looking for opportunities in some consumer and cyclical sectors [21]. 3.2.2 Growth Style - Affected by overseas uncertainties and domestic policies, the market was volatile. Growth - style fund managers adhered to selecting long - term growth companies and adopted a "boom - mining + balanced allocation" strategy. They focused on AI, innovation drugs, and some emerging consumption sectors [23]. 3.2.3 Balanced Style - Balanced - style fund managers selected stocks from multiple dimensions and controlled portfolio risks through diversification. In the context of increased market risk appetite, many reduced holdings in traditional industries and high - dividend consumer stocks and increased holdings in growth stocks and booming industries [25]. 3.2.4 Consumption Theme - Traditional consumption showed differentiation and repair. New consumption had structural opportunities, but the sustainability and space of consumption trends needed to be judged. Some fund managers made structural adjustments in traditional consumption and increased investment in new consumption [27]. 3.2.5 Medicine Theme - Innovation drugs became a consensus. Some fund managers also looked for investment targets with low growth this year, such as innovative medical devices, CXO, and pharmacies [29]. 3.2.6 TMT Theme - The AI industry chain developed rapidly. TMT - theme fund managers continued to focus on AI - related companies and also paid attention to other technology sectors such as robotics and semiconductors [31]. 3.2.7 High - End Manufacturing - The attention to the military industry increased. High - end manufacturing showed competitive advantages, and some fund managers expected the recovery of some electro - new energy sectors [33]. 3.2.8 Cycle Theme - Resource sectors had long - term investment logic. Dividend - type cycle assets had allocation significance, and banks were still the core of the dividend sector [35]. 3.2.9 Hong Kong Stock Theme - Most fund managers were relatively optimistic about Hong Kong stocks. Some adjusted their positions from crowded sectors to the technology sector with lower valuations and expected performance growth [37].
低欲望时代,这八大行业将赚得盆满钵满
创业家· 2025-07-24 09:57
江南春 分众传媒董事长 黑马导师 以下文章来源于i黑马 ,作者江南春 i黑马 . 让创业者不再孤独@i黑马 整个社会都在喊没钱了,为什么这些公司反而年赚百亿? 日本"失落 30年的秘密" , 就在这八个行业里面 。 低欲望社会 , 不等于没机会。 消费分级 , 需求迁移 , 才是最大的商业机遇 。 当人们不买房子,不追奢侈品的时候,钱都流向了哪里? 第一,二 手经济 日本二手奢侈品市场,以 大黑屋 为代表,收入暴涨。 在中国, 红布林 、 胖虎, 同样业务大涨。 买不起爱马仕、 LV , 但 抢着买二手。 但在日常消费品领域, 闲鱼 日活破亿, 转转 的 GMV 也大幅飙升。 闲置不是垃圾,是流动的黄金。 第二 , 宠物经济 年轻人不太生孩子,但可以给猫买高级的罐头。 日本 Inaba 靠猫粮上市,中国乖宝 ( 中宠 ) 股价强劲 。 诚实一口、凯锐思、 疯狂小狗、 伯纳天纯、比瑞吉、 网易严选、 卫仕 等宠物品牌,销量持续攀升。 宠物不仅是主粮零食营养品,以 新瑞鹏 为代表的宠物医院,以 泰 淘气 为 代表 的宠物益生菌 、 保健品 , 都大幅飙升 。 宠物开支逆势增长, " 毛孩子 " 才是真刚需。 第三 ...
娃哈哈大股东,不忍了
商业洞察· 2025-07-24 09:27
金角财经 . 城市新中产读本,拆解经济事件背后的逻辑。 以下文章来源于金角财经 ,作者角爷 ---------------------------------- 作者:角爷 来源:金角财经 宗庆后遗产之争仍在持续发酵,剧情却悄然迎来拐点。 7月17日,杭州市上城区财政局回应媒体称,已就宗庆后遗产相关纷争"成立专班,介入处理"。 这意味着,一直沉默的娃哈哈大股东—— 持股 46% 的国资方,终于不再冷眼旁观,迈出了关键 一步。 而就在三天前,娃哈哈方面还在坚称"家族事务与公司运营无关",拒绝提供任何回应口径。 从"公司事不关己"到国资下场"专班介入",这场宗家纷争的性质正在发生转变,不再只是家族内 部的权力博弈,而是正 一步步演化为牵涉公共利益、企业治理的风暴核心 。 01 大股东变脸 很多人并不知道,宗家掌控多年的娃哈哈,其实是一家国资与家族混合持股的企业。 根据企查查资料,杭州娃哈哈集团有限公司的第一大股东是杭州市上城区文商旅投资控股集团有 限公司,该公司隶属于上城区财政局,也就是说, 娃哈哈集团 46% 的股份为实打实的国有资 产。 但几十年来,这位持股近半的大股东几乎 " 隐身 " 。 宗庆后主导着娃哈 ...
公募权益类基金2025年二季报持仓分析:权益仓位整体下降,增配银行、通信,减配食品饮料、汽车
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2025-07-24 09:19
基金季报 sHuangjin 权益仓位整体下降,增配银行、通信;减配食品饮料、汽车 ――公募权益类基金 2025 年二季报持仓分析 分析师:宋旸 SAC NO:S1150517100002 2025 年 7 月 24 日 证券分析师 宋旸 songyang@bhzq.com 022-28451131 张笑晨 SAC NO:S1150525070001 zhangxc@bhzq.com 022-23839033 相关研究报告 权 益 市场 主要 指数 延续 上 涨,科创债成为 ETF 资金配 置的主要方向—公募基金周 报 2025.07.21 房地产领涨行业,宽基指数 资金净流出规模收窄―公募 基金周报 2025.07.14 宽基指数资金大幅流出,主 动权益基金仓位上升——公 募基金周报 2025.07.07 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 13 基 金 研 究 券 研 究 报 告 | 1. 权益基金规模、仓位及板块分布情况 4 | | --- | | 1.1 被动指数基金持续高速增长,主动权益类基金仓位水平大体持平 4 | | 1.2 港交所与创业板增配显 ...
【公募基金】主动权益基金经理在关注哪些方向?——2025Q2主动权益型基金季报点评
华宝财富魔方· 2025-07-24 09:11
分析师:王骅 登记编号:S0890522090001 分析师:宋逸菲 登记编号:S0890524080003 -- 公募基金专题报告 证券研究报告- F 主动权益基金经理在关注哪些方向? 2025Q2主动权益型基金季报点评 分析师:王骅 执业证书编号: S0890522090001 分析师:宋逸菲 执业证书编号: S0890524080003 4 十 十 回 明 。 2025年7月24日 久巾日册: ZUZ0牛7月Z4日 ▶销售服务电话: 021-20515355 ▶ 请仔细阅读报告结尾处风险提示及免责声明 目录/CONTENTS 主动权益型基金2025二季报数据回顾 1 ALLAD RECURITED 二季报基金经理观点综述 2 风格:价值、成长、均衡风格 行业主题:消费、医药、TMT、高端制造、周 期、港股主题 业绩回顾 规模变化:截至2025年二季度末,主动权益类基金(主 动管理的股票型和混合型基金,且成立以来权益仓位均值 占比在60%以上)总计规模为3.29万亿元,较上一季度的 3.33万亿元减少0.04万亿元。 资金流变化:我们采用"本季基金规模-上季基金规模* (1+本季基金净值回报率)"来定义资 ...
不只是3600点!我们该建一个能接住任何牛市的账户!
雪球· 2025-07-24 08:56
Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index has finally surpassed the 3600-point mark, which has not been seen for nearly a decade, leading to optimism about a potential bull market [1][4] - The bull market has already begun in certain sectors, such as the banking index and innovative pharmaceutical index, which have shown significant gains [5][6] - Historical data indicates that while the overall index may rise, individual sector performance can vary greatly, with some sectors lagging behind [6][7] Group 2 - During previous bull markets, the Shanghai Composite Index's growth was less than 100%, and less than 35% of sectors experienced over 100% growth, indicating a structural bull market rather than a comprehensive one [6][10] - The performance of individual stocks during a bull market can lead to significant disparities in returns, emphasizing the importance of sector selection [7][11] - The article highlights that many investors may not benefit from the bull market if they are invested in underperforming sectors, regardless of the index's performance [11][12] Group 3 - The article suggests that the focus should not solely be on whether a bull market has arrived, but rather on whether individual accounts are positioned to benefit from it [13][14] - A diversified investment strategy is recommended to capture opportunities across different markets and asset classes, regardless of market conditions [16][24] - The All Weather Strategy, as demonstrated by Bridgewater, shows that a diversified approach can yield stable returns across various macroeconomic environments [16][19][22]
行业点评报告:食品饮料仓位新低,建议布局白酒与新消费潜力股
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-07-24 05:43
食品饮料 2025 年 07 月 24 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《社零增速放缓,牧场出清可期—行 业周报》-2025.7.20 《6 月社零增速环比放缓,内需消费仍 待提振—行业点评报告》-2025.7.16 《白酒布局机会渐显,新消费择优长 期持有—行业周报》-2025.7.13 食品饮料仓位新低,建议布局白酒与新消费潜力股 ——行业点评报告 张宇光(分析师) 张恒玮(分析师) zhanghengwei@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790524010001 从基金重仓持股情况来看(Wind 中全部市场基金,一级子行业),2025Q2 食品 饮料配置比例由 2025Q1 的 9.8%回落至 8.0%水平,环比回落 1.8pct,处于 2020 年以来新低位置。我们选取主动权益基金(普通股票、偏股混合、灵活配置三类 基金),从基金重仓持股情况来看,2025Q2 食品饮料配置比例为 5.6%,和 2025Q1 的 8.1%相比,下降 2.5pct ...
公募基金2025年二季报全景解析
Huafu Securities· 2025-07-24 05:12
- The total number of quantitative funds in the market reached 604 by the end of Q2 2025, with an increase of 53 funds compared to Q1 2025. The total fund size amounted to 2854.39 billion yuan, marking a quarter-on-quarter growth of 144.46 billion yuan, or 5.33%[159] - Quantitative funds are categorized into active funds, index-enhanced funds, and hedging funds. Active funds accounted for 894.30 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth rate of 8.48%. Index-enhanced funds reached 1908.69 billion yuan, growing by 4.29% quarter-on-quarter. Hedging funds totaled 51.39 billion yuan, showing a decline of 7.15% quarter-on-quarter[160][159] - Among active quantitative funds, the top fund by size was "招商量化精选A" (49.01 billion yuan), followed by "国金量化多因子" (43.40 billion yuan) and "信诚多策略" (34.41 billion yuan). The top 10 funds collectively accounted for 56.05% of the market[164][165] - Active quantitative funds tracking broad-based indices showed strong performance in Q2 2025. For example, "诺安多策略" achieved an excess return of 19.58% and "汇安多策略A" delivered an excess return of 14.67%[166] - Industry-themed active quantitative funds also performed well, with "东吴智慧医疗量化策略A" achieving an excess return of 20.77% and "浙商大数据智选消费A" delivering an excess return of 14.57%[169] - Smart-beta active quantitative funds tracking indices like 中证红利 and 中证国企红利 showed notable excess returns, with "富国中证红利指数增强A" achieving an excess return of 3.94%[179] - Index-enhanced funds reached a total size of 1908.69 billion yuan by the end of Q2 2025. The largest fund was "易方达上证50增强A" with a size of 183.15 billion yuan[172][175] - Among index-enhanced funds, broad-based funds tracking indices like 中证A500 and 国证2000 showed strong excess returns, with "银华中证全指医药卫生增强" achieving an excess return of 4.04%[176] - Hedging quantitative funds totaled 51.39 billion yuan by the end of Q2 2025. The largest fund was "汇添富绝对收益策略A" with a size of 28.00 billion yuan[180][181] - Absolute return rankings for hedging funds in Q2 2025 showed "中邮绝对收益策略" leading with a return of 2.70%, followed by "富国量化对冲策略三个月A" with a return of 2.65%[184] - In Q2 2025, 58 new quantitative funds were established, including 50 index-enhanced funds. The total issuance size was 241.15 billion yuan, marking an increase of 57.95 billion yuan compared to the previous quarter[185]
2025年二季度主动基金重仓股追踪
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-07-24 04:52
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention the overall industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q2 2025, the overall market value of A - share holdings of active equity - oriented funds decreased, while that of H - share holdings increased. The industry concentration of the top heavy - stock holdings of equity - oriented funds decreased. The communication, non - bank finance, and media industries saw significant increases in allocation ratios, while the steel, food and beverage, and coal industries had large reduction ratios [4][6]. - The structure of the top heavy - stocks of active equity - oriented funds changed. The overall number of large - market - cap leaders decreased, and the holdings of sub - industry leaders increased. The new high - growth technology stocks related to AI emerged, while traditional large - cap white - horse stocks were significantly reduced [4]. - In terms of industry leaders, the communication, non - bank finance, media, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and beauty care industries were significantly increased, while the steel, coal, real estate, social services, and food and beverage industries were significantly reduced [21]. - The report suggests focusing on four investment themes: communication and hardware upstream under AI diffusion, non - bank finance, new consumption in the Hong Kong stock market, and national defense and military industry [26] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 2025Q2 Active Fund Heavy - Stock Holding Structure Overview - **A - share and H - share holdings changes**: In Q2 2025, the total market value of active equity - oriented fund heavy - stock holdings was 1736.2 billion yuan, a 1.66% QoQ decrease. A - share holdings decreased by 2.79% QoQ to 1394.8 billion yuan, while H - share holdings increased by 3.20% QoQ to 341.3 billion yuan. Due to the complex macro - economic environment and market volatility, funds faced redemption pressure and tended to reduce large - cap stocks with poor liquidity [6]. - **Industry concentration decline**: From Q1 to Q2 2025, the industry concentration of the heavy - stock holdings of equity - oriented funds decreased. CR3 decreased by 0.56 percentage points to 38.37%, and CR5 decreased by 4.18 percentage points to 51.18%. The top five industries in terms of holding market value remained the same, but the proportion of the electronics industry increased, while the other four industries decreased [4][7]. - **Structural adjustment of industry holdings**: In Q2 2025, 12 industries saw an increase in the total market value of holdings. The communication, non - bank finance, and media industries had large increases in allocation ratios, rising by 75.88%, 64.62%, and 38.37% respectively. The steel, food and beverage, and coal industries had large reduction ratios, decreasing by 46.32%, 26.16%, and 23.99% respectively [9] 3.2 Q2 Active Fund Top Heavy - Stock Tracking - **Change in the structure of top heavy - stocks**: In Q2 2025, the structure of the top 20 heavy - stocks of active equity - oriented funds changed. The large - market - cap leaders decreased, and the sub - industry leaders increased. The market value of the top 20 heavy - stocks accounted for 20.72% of all heavy - stocks, a 2% decrease from Q1 [12]. - **Changes in the top five heavy - stocks**: The top five heavy - stocks remained the same, but the overall holdings decreased. New high - growth technology stocks such as New Fiber Optic Technology and Inphi Corporation quickly rose in the rankings, while traditional large - cap white - horse stocks such as Luxshare Precision Industry, Midea Group, and Contemporary Amperex Technology were significantly reduced [4]. - **Hong Kong stock market adjustment**: In the Hong Kong stock market, AI and Internet media leaders were reduced, while the pharmaceutical and new consumption sectors that performed well in Q2 were significantly increased [18] 3.3 Q2 Industry Leader Heavy - Stock Tracking - **Industry leader allocation changes**: In Q2 2025, the communication, non - bank finance, media, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and beauty care industries were significantly increased, while the steel, coal, real estate, social services, and food and beverage industries were significantly reduced [21]. - **Communication industry focus**: Driven by the booming demand for AI hardware, the communication industry became the focus of funds. The optical module sector, which benefits from the expansion of AI capital expenditure, was the main area for increasing communication heavy - stocks. The profitability of communication equipment is expected to continue to improve in the second half of the year [22]. - **Non - bank finance sector highlights**: The leaders of the non - bank finance sector attracted attention. The holdings of Ping An Insurance and CPIC increased by 55% and 41% respectively, and securities leaders such as Citic Securities and Huatai Securities also saw over 30% increases. The brokerage sector's performance is expected to continue to improve [23] 3.4 Investment Recommendations - **AI diffusion - related communication and hardware upstream**: The significant increase in the holdings of optical module leaders reflects that funds are extending from AI software to computing infrastructure. AI capital expenditure is expected to drive the performance of upstream sectors in the second half of the year [26]. - **Non - bank finance sector**: The concentrated increase in holdings of leaders such as Citic Securities and Ping An Insurance reflects the positive expectations of the market for the profitability improvement of the brokerage and insurance sectors. The non - bank finance sector is expected to achieve a resonance of valuation repair and performance recovery [26]. - **Hong Kong stock new consumption theme**: After the correction in the AI sector, funds refocused on consumption structure highlights, especially in the Hong Kong stock market. Sub - sectors such as pets, toys, and emotional consumption have become important directions for heavy - stock allocation [26]. - **National defense and military industry safety theme**: The significant increase in the holdings of core military stocks reflects the high attention of institutions to the "national security + high - end manufacturing" theme. The military industry has policy support, order growth, and mid - report performance improvement expectations, with medium - term allocation value [27]
《思辨的力量》|价值投资在A股市场的认知进化与实战突破
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-07-24 04:22
作者:梁宇峰 益盟股份首席战略官 "思辨"是价值投资需要的核心能力之一。 "思辨",代表着对价值投资的基本理念、基本方法进行提炼和概括,但更重要的是它还代表着要辩证地看 待价值投资,因为价值投资既是简单的,又是不简单的;价值投资既要遵循基本常识,也要与时俱进不断迭 代;价值投资既是乏味的,又是丰富多彩的;价值投资之所以长期有效,就是因为它经常短期无效…… 我来举两个价值投资需要"思辨"的例子。 例一, 在A股市场搞价值投资行不行? 有人说A股市场是一个投机市场,所以巴菲特、芒格的那套价值投资的逻辑体系不适合A股市场。那么究 竟是不是这样呢? 我认为价值投资有效的前提其实是以下两点: 第一是要有好的宏观经济背景。在长期稳定增长的经济体里才能诞生伟大的企业,在连年战乱或者经济 崩溃、恶性通胀的国家,是没办法做价值投资的。巴菲特曾经说过一句话: "我很庆幸生在现代的美国, 而非古代或现代的非洲,我称之为'卵巢彩票'。" 第二就是价值投资必须在弱有效市场才有意义。在完全有效的市场,价格完全反映内在价值,基本上没有 定价错误,投资者无法获得超额收益;在完全无效的市场,价格跟内在价值没有任何关联,同样难以获得超 额收益。 ...