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万联晨会-20251209
Wanlian Securities· 2025-12-09 01:12
Core Insights - The report indicates a collective rise in A-share indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.54%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.39%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.6% [2][9] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 20,365.14 billion yuan, with the telecommunications, comprehensive, and electronics sectors leading the gains, while coal, oil and petrochemicals, and food and beverage sectors lagged [2][9] - The report highlights a positive outlook on economic policies, emphasizing a focus on stable growth and quality improvement, with a target economic growth rate of around 5% for 2026 [3][12] Market Performance - The report details the performance of various indices, noting that the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.23%, while the Hang Seng Technology Index remained unchanged [6][9] - In the international markets, all three major U.S. indices experienced declines, with the Dow Jones down by 0.45%, S&P 500 down by 0.35%, and Nasdaq down by 0.14% [6][9] Trade Data - China's total goods trade value for the first 11 months of 2025 reached 41.21 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.6%. Exports amounted to 24.46 trillion yuan, up by 6.2%, while imports were 16.75 trillion yuan, a slight increase of 0.2% [4][11] Policy Insights - The report discusses the Central Political Bureau's meeting, which emphasizes the need for proactive fiscal policies and moderate monetary policies to enhance macroeconomic governance effectiveness [3][10] - It highlights the importance of domestic demand, innovation-driven growth, and the need for reforms to boost high-quality development [3][10] Industry Analysis - The storage market is poised for a new cycle driven by AI, with significant growth in DRAM and NAND markets, indicating a strong demand for storage chips [16][20] - The report notes that major cloud service providers are increasing capital expenditures, which is expected to drive demand for server storage and related components [17][20] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that the storage industry is likely to benefit from AI-driven demand, with potential price increases for storage products due to supply constraints and technological advancements [20] - It also points out that domestic storage manufacturers are expected to gain market share as they achieve technological breakthroughs [19][20]
“扛不住了”!电脑涨价压力太大,联想、戴尔、惠普最新消息
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-08 23:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant surge in storage chip prices, particularly DDR4x, which has increased over four times this year, leading to a "hoarding" phenomenon among distributors while manufacturers face historically low inventory levels [1] - Major PC manufacturers such as Lenovo, Dell, and HP are planning price increases for their products, with expected hikes of up to 20%, due to rising memory chip costs [1] - Lenovo has already notified customers about upcoming price adjustments, with new pricing set to take effect by January 1, 2026, while Dell is considering price increases of at least 15%-20% as early as mid-December [1] Group 2 - Micron has announced the termination of its consumer brand Crucial to focus on data center clients, which have higher profit margins, causing stock prices of related companies like SK Hynix and KIOXIA to rise significantly [2] - The A-share storage chip sector has also seen strong gains, with companies like Shannon Microelectronics and Jiangbo Long rising over 10% [2] - Analysts predict Micron's Q3 revenue will reach $13.2 billion, exceeding Wall Street's expectations of $12.7 billion, with an expected earnings per share of $4.15, higher than the average forecast of $3.84 [4] Group 3 - Reports indicate that major storage manufacturers like SanDisk, Micron, and Samsung are issuing price increase notices, establishing a trend of rising storage prices into Q4 2025, driven by strong demand from AI data center construction [5] - The DRAM market is expected to remain tight due to sustained demand for HBM and high-capacity DDR5, while NAND supply shortages are emerging, further boosting enterprise SSD demand [5] - Overall, the storage industry is in the early stages of a super cycle, with high visibility of shortages expected to last until at least the end of 2026, indicating a positive outlook for the current structural cycle [5]
内存价格持续高涨,电脑巨头都要涨价了?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-08 14:03
日前,集邦咨询TrendForce爆料称,受内存价格持续高涨影响,联想、戴尔等电脑制造商已计划提价, 最快可能于本月中旬就生效。 据集邦咨询最近公布的研报显示,2025年第三季度,DRAM产业营收季增30.9%,达414亿美元。不仅 如此,内存的涨价潮在短期内不太可能降温。该机构预估第四季度,DRAM合约价将季增45-50%,包 括HBM在内的所有DRAM产品价格将上涨50-55%。 12月5日,一名业内消息人士向集邦咨询透露称,联想已开始通知客户即将涨价。在一份通知中,联想 提醒客户,所有当前的报价和价格将于2026年1月1日失效,调整措施预计将于2026年初正式生效。 针对调价理由,联想方面称,一方面,全球供应链的紧张局势导致内存成本飙升,进而波及到整体硬件 定价。与此同时,企业竞相部署AI应用引发了对高性能系统前所未有的需求,进一步加剧了供应紧张 并推高了价格。因此,该公司建议尽快下单,以锁定当前价格,避免因价格调整产生额外成本。 无独有偶,另一家制造商戴尔(Dell)也未按兵不动。戴尔也向客户发布了涨价预警,预计将至少提价 15-20%,涨价最早可能在12月中旬生效。此外,市场也有传闻称,美国PC巨头 ...
“扛不住了”!电脑涨价压力太大,联想、戴尔、惠普最新消息→
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-08 12:52
据智通财经报道,存储芯片现货价格近期大幅飙升,DDR4x颗粒年内涨幅超4倍,渠道端已出现"惜售"囤货现象,但作为制造业实体的手机等终端厂商目 前库存水位处于历史低位,普遍低于4周(健康水位为8-10周),正面临供应链紧张下的"被动补库"局面。 据红星资本局,多个品牌新款手机日前上市,起售价涨幅100元至300元不等。 随着存储涨价潮持续发酵,联想、戴尔、惠普等PC厂商都计划涨价,涨幅最高达到20%。 其中,联想已开始通知客户即将进行涨价调整。当前所有的服务器和电脑的报价将于2026年1月1日到期,届时新的报价将会大幅涨价。 戴尔同样向客户发出了涨价预警。业内人士表示,戴尔正考虑对PC和服务器产品涨价,预计涨幅至少15%–20%,涨价最快可能在12月中旬生效。此前戴 尔首席运营官Jeff Clarke曾警告,他"从未见过内存芯片成本涨得这么快",各产品线的开支都在攀升。 A股存储芯片概念也强势大涨,香农芯创(300475)、江波龙(301308)涨超10%,德明利(001309)、诚邦股份(603316)涨停。 截至发稿,美光科技美股盘前涨2.43%,上一个交易日涨4.66%。 | TILO'SON 1/00. ...
收评:放量突破2万亿!春季行情发令枪响了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 11:45
面对这样一个放量突破的格局,明天我们该如何操作? 帮主我给大家几点策略参考: 第一,珍视趋势,将"成交量"作为核心观察指标。明天市场的首要任务,是巩固今天的成果。重点观察 成交额能否稳定在2万亿级别,甚至温和放大。如果能,那么这波春季行情的基础就更为扎实;如果快 速缩量,则可能重回震荡。因此,量能是决定我们仓位进攻性的首要风向标。 朋友们,我是帮主郑重。收盘了,不知道大家今天心情如何?我猜,如果手里握着科技股的朋友,感觉 应该不错。今天市场最大的看点,不是一个指数涨了多少,而是沉寂了半个多月的成交量,终于回来 了!两市成交额一口气冲上了2.05万亿元,这是时隔16个交易日后的首次突破,增量资金进场的脚步 声,这次听得是真真切切。 为什么说这个量能如此关键?它就像一场比赛里的发令枪。前期市场一直缺量,好比运动员都在起跑线 前蹲着,光摆姿势不发力。今天这超过3000亿的放量,就是那一声枪响。它表明,上周末那些鼓励"耐 心资本"入市、给券商"松绑"的政策暖风,开始实实在在地转化为一些机构的行动了。有真金白银进场 托底,市场的情绪和稳定性就会上一个台阶。 那么,钱流向了哪里?市场的选择极度分明,可以说是一场 "新与旧 ...
结账信号?
Datayes· 2025-12-08 11:21
Core Viewpoint - The recent Central Political Bureau meeting emphasizes a focus on economic development, with a commitment to maintaining macroeconomic policy continuity and prioritizing domestic demand expansion. The expected economic growth target for next year is around 5% [3][5]. Summary by Sections Economic Outlook - The meeting highlighted the importance of achieving "qualitative effective improvement and reasonable quantitative growth" in the economy, indicating a potential downward adjustment of growth targets for the coming year [3][4]. - The phrase "cross-cycle" was reiterated, but the previous term "extraordinary" was removed, suggesting a more cautious approach to large-scale stimulus measures [3][4]. Policy Directions - The meeting called for a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, emphasizing the need for synergy between existing and new policies [5][4]. - There is a strong focus on stabilizing employment, with the meeting stating that employment stability is a top priority [3][4]. Trade and External Relations - The meeting acknowledged the need to balance domestic economic work with "international economic and trade struggles," reflecting ongoing vigilance regarding potential trade conflicts, particularly with the U.S. [5][4]. - Despite a temporary pause in U.S.-China tariff disputes, the decision-makers remain cautious about future trade tensions, especially as China's trade surplus exceeds $1 trillion [5]. Sector Performance - Recent export data showed a 5.9% increase in November, surpassing previous values and forecasts, indicating a diversification of exports to non-U.S. markets [6]. - The electronics sector, particularly companies involved in optical communication and robotics, has seen significant activity, with stocks like Lumentum and related firms experiencing price increases due to strong demand [11][21]. Investment Trends - The A-share market has shown positive momentum, with major indices rising and significant trading volumes reported, indicating renewed investor confidence [11][13]. - Key sectors such as robotics, storage, and aerospace are gaining traction, with notable investments and project developments reported [18][19][21]. Financial Market Dynamics - The net inflow of capital into the electronic sector has been substantial, with specific stocks like Tianfu Communication and New Yisheng leading the gains [23][27]. - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with certain sectors like pharmaceuticals and food and beverage experiencing outflows [31][23].
批量新高,CPO大爆发
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-08 10:25
12月8日,A股全线走高,全A成交额重返2万亿元上方;港股走势疲弱,恒生指数跌超1%。 A股放量大涨。 具体来看,A股市场主要股指盘中强势上扬,创业板指一度大涨超3%。截至收盘,沪指涨0.54%报3924.08点,深证成 指涨1.39%,创业板指涨2.6%,科创50指数涨1.86%,沪深北三市合计成交20517亿元,较此前一日增加逾3100亿元。 全A超3400股飘红,券商板块盘中拉升,兴业证券一度涨停;福建本地股掀涨停潮,福建金森、厦门空港、厦门港务 等涨停;存储芯片概念活跃,香农芯创、江波龙等大涨;CPO概念爆发,东田微、致尚科技20%涨停,天孚通信盘中 涨停,源杰科技涨超11%,中际旭创涨超6%,均创历史新高。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% | 现价 | 张跌 | 兴价 | 卖价 | 总量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301183 东出微 | | | R 20.00 | 164.14 | 27.36 | 164.14 | - | 105616 | | 301486 致尚科技 | | R | 20.00 | ...
每日收评两市成交额重返2万亿!创业板指涨超2.5%,算力硬件、商业航天联袂领涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 09:21
Market Overview - The market opened high and continued to rise, with the Shenzhen Component Index up over 1% and the ChiNext Index up over 2%. The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges reached 2.04 trillion yuan, an increase of 310.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, marking a significant recovery after 20 trading days [1] - More than 3,400 stocks in the market rose, with notable performances in the Fujian sector and the computing hardware concept [1][2] Sector Performance - The computing hardware sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Tianfu Communication hitting a 20% limit-up and achieving new highs. Other stocks such as Dongtian Micro, Zhishang Technology, and Huigu Ecology also reached their limit [2] - The AI industry chain is experiencing continuous catalysts, with significant advancements from companies like Google and Amazon, leading to optimistic expectations for computing demand and applications [2] - The storage chip market has seen a significant price increase, with DDR4x particles rising over four times this year. Manufacturers are facing low inventory levels, leading to a "passive replenishment" situation [3] Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector continued its strong momentum, with stocks like Shunhao Co. and Tianjian Technology hitting their limits. The establishment of a dedicated commercial aerospace agency by the government marks a new phase for the industry [4][6] - The successful launch of the reusable "Zhuque-3" rocket by Blue Arrow Aerospace validates China's capabilities in commercial liquid rockets, laying the foundation for future low-cost space access [4] Individual Stocks - With the influx of new capital, short-term sentiment in the market has been active, particularly in the commercial aerospace sector, which remains a strong thematic direction [6] - Fujian local stocks also continued to perform well, with Anji Food achieving a five-day limit-up streak [6] Future Market Analysis - The market is showing a positive trend with all three major indices rising, indicating potential for further upward movement. However, caution is advised as previous selling pressure from the downturn may still exist [8] - The market's risk appetite has increased, with funds returning to technology stocks and popular sectors like CPO and storage chips [8] Industry News - Xiamen's 14th Five-Year Plan suggests exploring the establishment of a free port-like economic zone, aiming for a high-standard trade and investment environment [10] - In November, domestic retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.321 million units, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, with a total of 11.472 million units sold in the first 11 months, up 19.6% year-on-year [11][12]
批量新高!CPO大爆发!
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-08 08:57
全A超3400股飘红,券商板块盘中拉升,兴业证券一度涨停;福建本地股掀涨停潮,福建金森、厦门空港、厦门港务 等涨停;存储芯片概念活跃,香农芯创、江波龙等大涨;CPO概念爆发,东田微、致尚科技20%涨停,天孚通信盘中 涨停,源杰科技涨超11%,中际旭创涨超6%,均创历史新高。 A股放量大涨。 12月8日,A股全线走高,全A成交额重返2万亿元上方;港股走势疲弱,恒生指数跌超1%。 具体来看,A股市场主要股指盘中强势上扬,创业板指一度大涨超3%。截至收盘,沪指涨0.54%报3924.08点,深证成 指涨1.39%,创业板指涨2.6%,科创50指数涨1.86%,沪深北三市合计成交20517亿元,较此前一日增加逾3100亿元。 行业方面,近期,AI产业链催化不断,包括谷歌新模型性能大幅提升及TPU展示出的较强能力、DeepSeek-V3.2正式版 发布、亚马逊发布Trainium3,以及摩尔线程上市市场展现出的高参与热情等,同时更多公司包括英伟达、阿里、 AMD等否认AI泡沫的观点,均展现了AI的良好发展前景。中信建投证券认为,目前,世界正处于AI产业革命中,类 比工业革命,影响深远,不能简单对比近几年的云计算、新能源 ...
批量新高!CPO大爆发!
证券时报· 2025-12-08 08:54
| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% | 现价 | 涨跌 | 头价 | 卖价 | 总量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300427 红相股份 | | | 19.98 | 12.67 | 2.11 | 12.67 | - | 122.37 | | 301162 | 锐捷网络 | R | 11.23 | 82.00 | 8.28 | 81.99 | 82.00 | 193243 | | 300632 光莆股份 | | | 10.53 | 17.32 | 1.65 | 17.31 | 17.32 | 563430 | | 002578 | 闽发铝业 | | 10.08 | 5.46 | 0.50 | 5.46 | | 255.1万 | | 600493 | 凤竹纺织 | | 10.05 | 8.54 | 0.78 | 8.54 | | 246332 | | 000701 | 厦门信达 | | 10.05 | 8.65 | 0.79 | 8.65 | | 181.37 | | 605299 | 舒华体育 | | 10.04 | 1 ...