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株冶集团:第八届董事会第十二次会议决议公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-08-12 12:16
证券日报网讯 8月12日晚间,株冶集团发布公告称,公司第八届董事会第十二次会议审议通过了《关于 2025年半年度报告的议案》等多项议案。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
株冶集团: 株冶集团股东会议事规则
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-12 10:16
株洲冶炼集团股份有限公司 股东会议事规则 第一章 总则 第一条 为规范株洲冶炼集团股份有限公司(以下简称"株冶集团"或"公 司")的经营机制,保护株冶集团股东权益,依据《中华人民共和国公司法》 (以 下简称"公司法")、《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称"证券法")和国家其 他有关法律、行政法规及《株洲冶炼集团股份有限公司章程》(以下简称《公司 章程》),制订株冶集团股东会议事规则。 第二章 股东会的职权 第二条 股东会是公司的权力机构,依法行使下列职权: (一) 选举和更换董事,决定有关董事的报酬事项; (六) 对公司合并、分立、解散、清算或者变更公司形式作出决议; (七) 修改公司章程; (八) 对公司聘用、解聘承办公司审计业务的会计师事务所作出决议; (九) 审议批准本议事规则第三条规定的担保事项; (十) 审议公司在一年内购买、出售重大资产超过公司最近一期经审计 总资产 30%的事项; (十一) 审议批准变更募集资金用途事项; 超过人民币 3 亿元且不超过最近一年末净资产 20%的股票,该授权在下一年度股 东会召开日失效; (十四) 审议法律、行政法规、部门规章或者公司章程规定应当由股东会 决定的其他 ...
株冶集团: 株冶集团独立董事专门会议决议
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-12 10:08
Group 1 - The independent directors of Zhuzhou Smelter Group Co., Ltd. held a special meeting on August 12, 2025, to review matters submitted to the company's eighth board of directors' twelfth meeting [1] - The risk assessment report for Minmetals Group Financial Co., Ltd. was reviewed, confirming that the financial company operates in compliance with regulations and has no significant risk management deficiencies [1] - The proposal to adjust the estimated amount of daily related transactions for 2025 was approved, ensuring that the transactions do not adversely affect the company's financial status or independence [2] Group 2 - The proposal to reappoint an accounting firm was approved, with Tianzhi International Accounting Firm meeting the necessary qualifications and independence requirements for auditing services [2][3]
株冶集团: 株冶集团关于调整2025年度日常关联交易预计额度的公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-12 10:08
Core Viewpoint - The company is adjusting its expected daily related transactions for 2025, which requires shareholder approval, ensuring that the company will not become overly dependent on related parties [1][2]. Summary by Sections Daily Related Transactions Overview - The adjustment of daily related transactions has been reviewed and approved by the company's board of directors, with related directors abstaining from voting [1]. - The proposal will be submitted to the shareholders' meeting for approval, with related shareholders also abstaining from voting [1]. Independent Directors' Meeting - The independent directors held a special meeting and approved the adjustment of the expected daily related transactions for 2025, emphasizing that the transactions are based on operational needs and market prices [2]. - The audit committee of the board reviewed the adjustment and confirmed that it adheres to fair market pricing and does not harm the interests of the company or minority shareholders [2]. Adjustment Details - The company plans to adjust the expected amounts for related transactions, increasing procurement by 325 million yuan and decreasing procurement by 690 million yuan, while increasing sales by 168 million yuan [3]. - The specific adjustments involve transactions with related companies for the procurement of anode mud, antimony ingots, zinc concentrate, and the sale of gold concentrate and crude lead [3][6]. Related Parties and Relationships - The related parties include companies such as Minmetals Copper Industry (Hunan) Co., Ltd., and others, all under the control of China Minmetals Corporation [6][10]. - The company has established reliable contractual agreements with these related parties, ensuring legal protection for the transactions [10]. Purpose and Impact of Related Transactions - The adjustment aligns with the company's strategic development and operational needs, promoting resource allocation and enhancing market competitiveness [11]. - The transactions are essential for the company's daily operations and are conducted under fair pricing principles, ensuring no adverse impact on the company's independence or the interests of all shareholders [11].
每日报告精选-20250811
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-08-11 15:11
Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - Consumer spending shows improvement in automotive and service sectors, while textile and apparel remain weak due to seasonal factors[6] - CPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month in July, with core CPI rising to 0.8%, the highest since March 2024[10] - The overall PPI decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 3.6% year-on-year, indicating persistent downward pressure on industrial prices[12] Group 2: Market Trends and Strategies - A-share and U.S. stock markets are recommended for tactical overweight due to improving risk appetite and stable liquidity[15] - The strategic asset allocation (SAA) proposal suggests a 45% allocation to equities, 45% to bonds, and 10% to commodities, with an expected annualized return of 9.1%[15] - The tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy anticipates a 55% equity weight, 40% bond weight, and 5% commodity weight, with a projected annualized return of 55%[17] Group 3: Sector-Specific Developments - The Hong Kong IPO market is projected to raise approximately HKD 1,300-1,500 billion this year, with a significant portion from A-share companies listing in Hong Kong[18] - The household service robot market is expected to grow significantly, with various companies showcasing products at the 2025 World Robot Conference[40] - The mini-LED television market is anticipated to reach a 25% penetration rate in China by 2025, with Haier's market share at 29.3% in Q1 2025[41]
东北证券:联储鸽派化推动金价上行 铜市预期修复估值待升
智通财经网· 2025-08-11 07:25
Group 1: Gold Market Insights - The Federal Reserve's recent dovish stance has created an environment where gold prices are likely to rise and are difficult to decline [1] - The potential imposition of tariffs on gold bars led to a significant increase in COMEX gold prices, although subsequent clarification from the White House negated this impact [2] - The combination of weakening employment data, dovish Fed policies, and anticipated inflation is expected to support an upward trend in gold prices [2] Group 2: Copper Market Analysis - Previous market concerns regarding copper included the reversal of logistics post-tariff, weakening demand due to the end of solar panel installations, and strong economic data suppressing rate cut expectations [3] - These concerns are gradually being disproven, as U.S. copper prices remain stable and inventory levels have not significantly increased [3] - The upcoming September is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics, with potential downward pressure on copper production due to maintenance and a return to peak demand [3]
7月CPI环比转涨0.4%,核心CPI创年内新高,扩内需政策效应显现
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-10 13:12
Group 1 - The domestic economy shows positive changes as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.4% month-on-month in July, reversing a previous decline of 0.1%, while year-on-year it remained flat [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a narrowing decline of 0.2% month-on-month, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.6%, indicating an improvement in market supply and demand relationships [1] - The expansion of domestic demand policies is having a noticeable effect, leading to marginal improvements in price movements [1] Group 2 - The core CPI rose by 0.8% year-on-year in July, marking the highest level since March 2024, reflecting enhanced market vitality and smoother economic circulation [3] - Service prices significantly contributed to the CPI increase, with airfares, tourism, hotel accommodations, and transportation rental fees rising by 17.9%, 9.1%, 6.9%, and 4.4% respectively, collectively accounting for over 60% of the CPI's month-on-month increase [3] - Industrial consumer goods prices also showed positive trends, with a 0.2% month-on-month increase excluding energy, driven by demand recovery from consumption policies [3] Group 3 - The month-on-month decline in the PPI has narrowed for the first time since March, indicating a stabilization in industrial product prices due to improved market competition [4] - Key industries such as coal, steel, photovoltaic, cement, and lithium battery sectors have seen reduced price declines, contributing to a decrease in the downward pressure on the PPI [4] - Prices of representative "anti-involution" goods like coking coal, rebar, polysilicon, and lithium carbonate have entered a strong upward cycle, positively impacting the PPI [4] Group 4 - International factors are also positively influencing industrial product prices, with oil and gas extraction prices rising by 3.0% and non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling prices increasing by 0.8% [4] - The transformation and upgrading of industries are driving price recoveries in related sectors, with caustic soda prices up by 3.6% and a reduced decline in glass manufacturing prices by 0.9% [4] - The release of domestic demand potential is leading to year-on-year price increases in certain industries, such as a 13.1% rise in the manufacturing of arts and crafts and a 5.3% increase in sports balls manufacturing [4]
锌月报:宏观情绪退潮,海外仓单扰动仍在-20250808
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-08 14:25
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report In July 2025, zinc prices fluctuated upward. However, the domestic zinc industry data is weak, with zinc ore inventories increasing and downstream consumption weakening. Overseas, the market has lowered expectations for subsequent monetary easing, and LME zinc inventories have decreased, but the contango has shown a downward trend. Domestic black commodity sentiment has also declined. Overall, the previous factors supporting zinc prices have weakened, and the risk of a subsequent decline in zinc prices has increased [11]. Summary by Directory 1. Monthly Assessment - **Price Review**: As of August 7, SHFE zinc weighted closed up 1.03% at 22,585 yuan/ton, with total positions decreasing by 59,000 to 209,700 lots. LME zinc 3S closed up 2.66% at $2,815.5/ton, with total positions decreasing by 15,500 to 192,900 lots. The average price of SMM 0 zinc ingots was 22,510 yuan/ton [11]. - **Domestic Structure**: Domestic social inventories continued to accumulate to 113,200 tons, and SHFE zinc futures inventories were 13,800 tons. The basis in Shanghai was -35 yuan/ton, and the spread between continuous contracts and the first - month contract was -30 yuan/ton [11]. - **Overseas Structure**: LME zinc inventories were 89,200 tons, and LME zinc cancelled warrants were 43,100 tons. The cash - 3S contract basis was -$9.79/ton, and the 3 - 15 spread was -$16.46/ton [11]. - **Cross - Market Structure**: After excluding exchange rates, the SHFE - LME ratio was 1.122, and the import profit and loss of zinc ingots was -1,638.03 yuan/ton [11]. - **Industry Data**: The domestic TC of zinc concentrate was 3,900 yuan/metal ton, and the import TC index was $79/dry ton. The port inventory of zinc concentrate was 263,000 physical tons, and the factory inventory was 625,000 physical tons. The weekly operating rates of galvanized structural parts, die - cast zinc alloys, and zinc oxide were 56.77%, 48.24%, and 56.13% respectively [11]. - **Overall Outlook**: Zinc ore inventories continued to accumulate, and TC increased rapidly. SMM estimated that domestic refined zinc production in August 2025 would be 621,500 tons, a month - on - month increase of 18,700 tons. Downstream operating rates declined significantly last week, and short - term zinc consumption weakened. The risk of a decline in zinc prices is expected to rise [11]. 2. Macro Analysis The report presents multiple macro - related charts, including the US fiscal revenue and expenditure, debt, the Fed's balance sheet, dollar liquidity, and manufacturing PMIs of China and the US, but does not provide specific text analysis [14][16][19]. 3. Supply Analysis - **Zinc Ore Supply**: In July 2025, zinc ore production was 346,800 metal tons, a year - on - year decrease of 5.68% and a month - on - month increase of 7.53%. From January to July, the cumulative zinc ore production was 2,080,500 metal tons, a cumulative year - on - year decrease of 2.27%. In June 2025, the net import of zinc ore was 330,000 dry tons, a year - on - year increase of 23.0% and a month - on - month decrease of 32.9%. From January to June, the cumulative net import of zinc ore was 2,533,500 dry tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 48.0% [25]. - **Total Zinc Ore Supply**: In June 2025, the total domestic zinc ore supply was 471,000 metal tons, a year - on - year increase of 8.4% and a month - on - month decrease of 13.8%. From January to June, the cumulative domestic zinc ore supply was 2,873,800 metal tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 13.5% [27]. - **Zinc Ingot Supply**: In July 2025, zinc ingot production was 603,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 23.1% and a month - on - month increase of 3%. From January to July, the cumulative zinc ingot production was 3,843,000 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 4.7%. In June 2025, the net import of zinc ingots was 38,200 tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.7% and a month - on - month increase of 50.9%. From January to June, the cumulative net import of zinc ingots was 196,200 tons, a cumulative year - on - year decrease of 17.0% [33]. - **Total Zinc Ingot Supply**: In June 2025, the total domestic zinc ingot supply was 623,300 tons, a year - on - year increase of 6.8% and a month - on - month increase of 8.5%. From January to June, the cumulative domestic zinc ingot supply was 3,436,200 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 0.5% [35]. 4. Demand Analysis - **Initial - Stage Operating Rates**: The weekly operating rate of galvanized structural parts was 56.77%, with raw material inventories of 13,000 tons and finished product inventories of 344,000 tons. The weekly operating rate of die - cast zinc alloys was 48.24%, with raw material inventories of 9,000 tons and finished product inventories of 10,000 tons. The weekly operating rate of zinc oxide was 56.13%, with raw material inventories of 2,000 tons and finished product inventories of 6,000 tons [40]. - **Apparent Demand**: In June 2025, the domestic apparent demand for zinc ingots was 607,800 tons, a year - on - year increase of 0.9% and a month - on - month increase of 5.0%. From January to June, the cumulative domestic apparent demand for zinc ingots was 3,375,200 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 2.7% [42]. 5. Supply - Demand Inventory - **Domestic Zinc Ingot Balance**: In June 2025, the domestic zinc ingot supply - demand difference was a surplus of 15,400 tons. From January to June, the cumulative domestic zinc ingot supply - demand difference was a surplus of 61,000 tons [53]. - **Overseas Zinc Ingot Balance**: In May 2025, the overseas refined zinc supply - demand difference was a shortage of - 39,800 tons. From January to May, the cumulative overseas refined zinc supply - demand difference was a surplus of 47,300 tons [56]. 6. Price Outlook - **Domestic Structure**: Domestic social inventories continued to accumulate to 113,200 tons. SHFE zinc futures inventories were 13,800 tons. The basis in Shanghai was -35 yuan/ton, and the spread between continuous contracts and the first - month contract was -30 yuan/ton [61]. - **Overseas Structure**: LME zinc inventories were 89,200 tons, and LME zinc cancelled warrants were 43,100 tons. The cash - 3S contract basis was -$9.79/ton, and the 3 - 15 spread was -$16.46/ton [64]. - **Cross - Market Structure**: After excluding exchange rates, the SHFE - LME ratio was 1.122, and the import profit and loss of zinc ingots was -1,638.03 yuan/ton [67]. - **Position Analysis**: The net long positions of the top 20 in SHFE zinc declined rapidly. The net long positions of investment funds in LME zinc increased, and the net short positions of commercial enterprises also increased. From the perspective of positions, it is bearish [70].
锌锭累库幅度有提速趋势
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-08 03:12
Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Cautiously bearish. - Arbitrage: Neutral. [6] Core View - The accumulation of zinc ingot inventories is accelerating. The zinc price is under significant pressure due to the supply pressure and the current consumption off - season. [1][5] Summary by Directory Important Data - **Spot**: LME zinc spot premium is -$9.79 per ton. SMM Shanghai zinc spot price is 22,510 yuan per ton, with a premium of -35 yuan per ton; SMM Guangdong zinc spot price is 22,470 yuan per ton, with a premium of -75 yuan per ton; Tianjin zinc spot price is 22,500 yuan per ton, with a premium of -45 yuan per ton [2]. - **Futures**: On August 7, 2025, the SHFE zinc main contract opened at 22,480 yuan per ton and closed at 22,580 yuan per ton, up 250 yuan per ton from the previous trading day. The trading volume was 131,099 lots, and the open interest was 96,819 lots. The highest price was 22,630 yuan per ton, and the lowest was 22,420 yuan per ton [3]. - **Inventory**: As of August 7, 2025, the total inventory of SMM seven - region zinc ingots was 113,200 tons, an increase of 5,900 tons from the previous period. As of the same date, LME zinc inventory was 84,950 tons, a decrease of 4,275 tons from the previous trading day [4]. Market Analysis - **Supply**: In July, China's zinc ingot production was 602,800 tons, a year - on - year increase of 23%. The expected production in August is 620,000 tons, with a year - on - year growth rate of 25%. The supply pressure is continuously increasing [5]. - **Cost**: There is no interference in the overseas mining end, and the domestic ore TC has increased by 100 yuan per ton, leading to higher smelting profits and continuous smelting enthusiasm [5]. - **Consumption**: The downstream operating rate shows relative resilience, and overall consumption is not bad. However, it cannot offset the high growth on the supply side. The inventory accumulation speed is accelerating, and the accumulation trend is expected to continue in the second half of the year [5]. Strategy - Unilateral: Cautiously bearish. - Arbitrage: Neutral. [6]
兴业期货日度策略:2025.08.07-20250807
Xing Ye Qi Huo· 2025-08-07 12:11
Report Summary on Investment Strategies 1. Industry Investment Ratings - **Equity Index Futures**: Bullish [1] - **Treasury Bonds**: Sideways pattern [1] - **Gold**: Bullish pattern; recommended to hold short - put option positions for the 10 - contract [1][4] - **Silver**: Bullish pattern; recommended to hold long positions and short - put option positions for the 10 - contract [4] - **Copper**: Cautiously bearish [4] - **Aluminum - related Metals**: Aluminum is cautiously bullish; Alumina and Aluminum Alloy are in a sideways pattern [4] - **Nickel**: Sideways; recommended to hold short - call option positions [4] - **Lithium Carbonate**: Sideways [6] - **Silicon Energy**: Sideways pattern [6] - **Steel and Iron Ore**: Sideways pattern; for rebar, hold short - put option positions; for hot - rolled coil, recommend to go long on the January contract on dips; for iron ore, consider short - put option positions for the 09 - contract or go long on the 01 - contract after the environmental protection limit expectation is fulfilled [5] - **Coking Coal and Coke**: Sideways [7] - **Soda Ash**: Bearish pattern; recommend to take profit on short positions for the 09 - contract [7] - **Float Glass**: Bearish pattern for the 9 - contract; recommend to take profit on short positions and go long on the 01 - contract [7] - **Crude Oil**: Bearish pattern [7] - **Methanol**: Sideways; recommend to sell an option straddle [9] - **Polyolefins**: Sideways, trending slightly bullish [9] - **Cotton**: Bearish pattern [9] - **Rubber**: Cautiously bullish [9] 2. Core Views - **Equity Index Futures**: With policy support, bottom - up recovery of corporate earnings, and abundant liquidity, the upward trend of the equity index is clear, and the bullish sentiment is strengthened [1] - **Treasury Bonds**: The macro - economic outlook is volatile, and although the bond market is supported by loose liquidity, there is a lack of new positive factors, so it may continue to trade at a high level [1] - **Precious Metals**: The weakening US dollar and rising Fed rate - cut expectations boost the prices of gold and silver. The gold - silver ratio has room for repair, and silver shows a clear bullish pattern [4] - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Supply disruptions support prices, but demand concerns limit the upside potential. Different metals have different supply - demand situations [4] - **Lithium Carbonate**: Supply - side disturbances are easing, and demand expectations are turning positive, with the supply - demand structure showing signs of improvement [6] - **Silicon Energy**: Industrial silicon supply is shrinking, and polysilicon has strong cost and policy support, but the actual production volume in August needs attention [6] - **Steel and Iron Ore**: Coal production control supports steel prices. Different steel products and iron ore contracts have different supply - demand and price trends [5] - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The supply of coking coal is expected to tighten, and the supply - demand of coke is expected to increase, with both in a sideways pattern [7] - **Soda Ash and Float Glass**: Soda ash has a bearish fundamental outlook, while float glass may turn around in the long - term if supply contraction expectations are fulfilled [7] - **Crude Oil**: The increasing probability of a cease - fire in the Russia - Ukraine conflict reduces the risk premium, leading to a short - term weakening of oil prices [7] - **Methanol**: The contradiction between loose coastal supply and tight inland supply makes it difficult for methanol prices to rise or fall, and an option straddle strategy is recommended [9] - **Polyolefins**: Supply and demand will increase simultaneously in August, and the trend will turn sideways and slightly bullish [9] - **Cotton**: The supply is expected to increase, and the demand is in the off - season, resulting in a weakening trend [9] - **Rubber**: The demand outlook is improving, and the raw material price is stabilizing, so the rubber price is expected to rebound [9] 3. Summary by Categories **Equity Index Futures** - Wednesday, the equity index rose steadily, with small and micro - cap stocks leading the gains. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets increased slightly to 1.76 trillion yuan. The mechanical, defense, and coal industries led the gains, while the pharmaceutical and construction sectors declined. The equity index futures strengthened with the spot market, and the basis of each contract narrowed slightly. The margin balance returned to the 2 - trillion - yuan mark, and leveraged funds accelerated their entry. With positive factors such as policy support and corporate earnings recovery, the upward trend of the equity index is clear, and long positions should be held [1] **Treasury Bonds** - The bond market continued to fluctuate at a high level. There is uncertainty about trade tariffs between some countries and the US, the Fed rate - cut expectation has risen, but inflation pressure still exists. The US dollar index continued to weaken. The central bank had a net withdrawal in the open market, but the liquidity remained loose. The bond market is difficult to reverse, but there is a lack of new positive factors, so it may continue to trade at a high level [1] **Precious Metals** - Trump's announcements on tariffs and sanctions, along with rising Fed rate - cut expectations, increased the short - term upward momentum of gold prices. The gold - silver ratio has room for repair, and silver shows a clear bullish pattern. It is recommended to hold short - put option positions for gold and silver 10 - contracts and long positions for silver [4] **Non - ferrous Metals** - **Copper**: Supply disruptions due to the Chilean copper mine incident and a weakening US dollar support copper prices, but weak demand expectations limit the upside [4] - **Aluminum - related Metals**: Alumina has an expected oversupply, but low warehouse receipts and market sentiment provide short - term support. The support for Shanghai Aluminum is strengthening, and its medium - term bullish pattern remains unchanged. Aluminum alloy follows the cost - based pricing logic and is in a sideways pattern [4] - **Nickel**: The supply is loose, and the demand is weak. Although the nickel price has rebounded due to macro - factors, the high inventory pressure limits the upside, and short - call option positions should be held [4] **Lithium Carbonate** - Due to policy impacts on the lithium resource end, the weekly production of lithium carbonate decreased, and the inventory pressure eased. The demand expectation has turned positive, but supply - side disturbances still exist [6] **Silicon Energy** - Industrial silicon supply is contracting passively, and polysilicon has strong cost and policy support. However, the actual production volume in August needs attention [6] **Steel and Iron Ore** - **Rebar**: The supply is restricted by environmental protection and industry policies, and the cost is supported by coal production control. The market sentiment is optimistic, and short - put option positions should be held [5] - **Hot - rolled Coil**: The fundamentals are resilient, with supply constraints and cost support. It is recommended to go long on the January contract on dips [5] - **Iron Ore**: The 9 - contract is dragged down by environmental protection limits and a weak basis, while the 01 - contract has positive expectations. However, the price upside is limited, and different strategies can be adopted for different contracts [5] **Coking Coal and Coke** - **Coking Coal**: The market expects supply to tighten, but the impact of expectations on prices is greater than the fundamentals, and the risk of over - rising prices should be guarded against [7] - **Coke**: Both supply and demand are expected to increase, and the spot market is actively traded, with the futures price stabilizing and trending slightly bullish [7] **Soda Ash and Float Glass** - **Soda Ash**: The supply is sufficient, the demand is weak, and the inventory is increasing. It is recommended to take profit on short positions for the 09 - contract [7] - **Float Glass**: The downstream demand is weak, and the inventory is expected to increase. In the long - term, if supply contraction expectations are fulfilled, the price may turn around. It is recommended to take profit on short positions for the 9 - contract and go long on the 01 - contract [7] **Crude Oil** - The increasing probability of a cease - fire in the Russia - Ukraine conflict reduces the risk premium, and the short - term oil price may weaken [7] **Methanol** - The port inventory is increasing, and the production enterprise inventory is decreasing. The contradiction between loose coastal supply and tight inland supply makes it difficult for prices to rise or fall, and an option straddle strategy is recommended [9] **Polyolefins** - The supply is increasing due to the restart of maintenance devices, and the demand is also rising. The trend will turn sideways and slightly bullish [9] **Cotton** - The domestic cotton production is expected to increase, and the overseas demand is affected by trade frictions. The downstream is in the off - season, and the cotton price is weakening [9] **Rubber** - The demand outlook is improving, and the raw material price is stabilizing. The rubber price is expected to rebound as it is at a relatively low level [9]