1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No investment ratings for the industries are provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall market shows a mixed trend with different performances across various sectors. In the financial derivatives market, stock index futures show certain resilience, while treasury bond futures are affected by the money - market conditions. Precious metals continue to rebound due to international trade and economic data. In the commodity futures market, different metals and agricultural products have their own supply - demand and price trends, and the investment strategies vary accordingly [2][6][8]. 3. Summary According to the Catalog Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: On Monday, the A - share market showed a sector rotation. The red - chip sector rebounded, while the TMT sector pulled back. The four major stock index futures contracts had different price movements, and the basis spread widened. The macro situation is improving, but investors should be cautious about chasing high prices. They can lightly sell MO options with an execution price of 5900 in August - September to collect premiums [2][3][5]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: After the cross - month period, the money - market rate dropped significantly, and treasury bond futures generally rebounded. However, they lack the momentum to break through the previous high. The focus is on whether the money - market rate can further decline, the subsequent fundamental situation, and the central bank's bond trading announcements. Short - term unilateral strategies suggest appropriate allocation of long positions on dips and taking profits near the previous high [6][7]. Precious Metals - Gold continues its upward trend due to the US tariff threat and the decline of the US dollar index. The US economic data shows the impact of tariffs on the manufacturing industry, and the labor supply is tightening. The euro - zone inflation rate is stable. The long - term upward trend of gold remains unchanged, but there are short - term uncertainties. Silver is affected by gold and has a short - term range - bound trend [8][9][12]. Container Shipping Futures (EC) - The spot prices of major shipping companies are provided, and the container shipping index shows different trends in the European and US routes. The futures market rose yesterday, and the main contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 1800 - 2000 points. The actual price in August is not likely to drop significantly, and the subsequent price center will move up [13][14]. Commodity Futures Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The COMEX - LME spread has widened again, and high copper prices have suppressed downstream purchases. The supply of copper concentrate is limited, and the demand has some resilience, but there are also potential pressures. The copper price is expected to be supported in the short term, and the main contract is expected to trade in the range of 79000 - 81000 [15][17][19]. - **Alumina**: The supply of alumina is in a state of slight surplus, and the price is expected to be weak in the medium term. The main contract is expected to trade in the range of 2750 - 3100, and investors can consider short - selling on rallies [19][20][21]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum price is expected to fluctuate widely at a high level. The macro environment and low inventory support the price, but the consumption off - season restricts its upward space. The main contract is expected to trade in the range of 20000 - 20800 [22][23][24]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The market of aluminum alloy shows a pattern of weak supply and demand, and the price is expected to be weak and fluctuate. The main contract is expected to trade in the range of 19200 - 20000 [24][25][26]. - **Zinc**: The zinc price rebounds due to the weakening of the US dollar, but the downstream purchasing willingness is low. The supply of zinc ore is loose, the demand is weakening, and the inventory provides some support. The long - term strategy is to short on rallies, and the main contract is expected to trade in the range of 21500 - 22500 [27][28][30]. - **Tin**: The tin price is in a high - level range - bound state. The supply is still tight, and the demand is expected to be weak. The short - term strategy is to be bullish on dips and short on rallies based on inventory and import data [30][31][33]. - **Nickel**: The nickel price is in a narrow - range oscillation. The supply is at a relatively high level, and the demand is stable but with limited growth. The inventory still exerts pressure on the price. The main contract is expected to trade in the range of 116000 - 124000 [33][34][35]. - **Stainless Steel**: The stainless - steel price is expected to be weak and fluctuate. The supply is high, the demand is weak, and the cost support is weakening. The main contract is expected to trade in the range of 12300 - 13000 [36][37][38]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The lithium carbonate futures show a wide - range oscillation. The supply is sufficient, the demand is stable but with limited growth, and the inventory is at a high level. The main contract is expected to trade in the range of 58000 - 64000 [39][40][42]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The price of steel is slightly stable due to the rumor of production restrictions in Tangshan. The supply is at a high level but shows a slight decline, and the demand is in the off - season with a downward trend. The price of steel is affected by cost and demand expectations. Short - selling operations or selling out - of - the - money call options can be considered [42][43][44]. - **Iron Ore**: The 09 contract of iron ore may turn weak. The global shipment volume has decreased, the demand is affected by the off - season and the production - restriction policy in Tangshan. Short - selling on rallies is recommended, with the range of 690 - 720 [45][46][47]. - **Coking Coal**: The spot price of coking coal is strong, and the futures price is oscillating. The supply is expected to increase, the demand has some resilience, and the inventory is at a medium level. Unilateral short - selling of the 2601 contract of coke for hedging is recommended, and waiting for a stable trend to go long on the 2509 contract of coking coal [48][50][51]. - **Coke**: The price of coke is close to the bottom. The fourth - round price cut has been implemented, the supply is expected to increase, and the demand will slightly decline. The inventory is at a medium level. Unilateral short - selling of the 2601 contract of coke for hedging is recommended, and waiting for a stable trend to go long on the 2509 contract of coke [52][54][55]. Agricultural Products - **Meal Products**: The US soybean market is in a bottom - grinding state, and the support at the bottom is strengthening. The domestic soybean and soybean meal inventories are rising, and the market is waiting for the determination of the demand trend. Short - term bottom - grinding and long - position opportunities on dips can be focused on [56][57][59]. - **Pigs**: The spot price of pigs is oscillating strongly, but the futures price is under pressure due to profit - taking. The secondary fattening inventory is increasing, and the market sentiment is expected to be strong in the short term, but the 09 contract is under pressure [60][61][62]. - **Corn**: The spot price of corn is stable, and the import auction has a premium, which supports the futures price. The supply is tight in the long term, and the demand is gradually increasing. The overall trend is upward, but the pace is slow [63][64].

4. 芝加哥期货交易所（CBOT）农产品期货主力合约收盘多数上涨，大豆期货涨 0.05%报 1027.50 美分/蒲式耳，玉米期货跌 0.86%报 405.75 美分/蒲式耳，小麦 期货涨 2.14%报 549.75 美分/蒲式耳。 地址：北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲6号万通中心D座20层（100020） 总机：010-8535 6666 资讯早间报 制作日期： 2025/07/02 隔夜夜盘市场走势 1. 国际贵金属期货普遍收涨，COMEX 黄金期货涨 1.28%报 3349.90 美元/盎司， COMEX 白银期货涨 0.20%报 36.25 美元/盎司。 2. 国际油价小幅走强，美油主力合约收涨 0.65%，报 65.53 美元/桶；布伦特原 油主力合约涨 0.69%，报 67.20 美元/桶。 3. 伦敦基本金属多数下跌，LME 期锌跌 1.38%报 2713.50 美元/吨，LME 期铅跌 0.29%报 2039.00 美元/吨，LME 期铜涨 0.75%报 9943.00 美元/吨。 重要资讯 【宏观资讯】 1. 据英国金融时报报道，特朗普的高级贸易官员正在缩减与外国达成全面对等 协议的雄心，寻求达 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market showed a strong performance in certain sectors such as banking, electricity, chemical pharmaceuticals, and fiberglass, while software development, internet services, batteries, and auto parts lagged behind [1] - Long-term capital inflow into the market is accelerating, with a steady increase in ETF size and continuous inflow of insurance funds, providing significant support [1] - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates in June introduces uncertainty regarding future rate cuts, which could significantly boost global risk appetite if clear signals are released [1] Group 2 - The A-share market exhibited a clear divergence in style, with strong performance in dividend stocks despite adjustments in previously strong sectors like solid-state batteries, stablecoins, and military industry [2] - The market is expected to continue its oscillation in the short term, with structural opportunities in specific themes, while caution is advised against chasing high-performing sectors and stocks [2] - The medium-term outlook for the A-share market appears positive, with expectations of continued upward trends supported by financial policies for high-quality development and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2]

Group 1: IPO Activity - A-share IPO activity has surged in the first half of 2025, with a total of 177 companies accepted for listing, marking a significant increase compared to previous years [1] - In June alone, 150 companies were accepted, accounting for over 80% of the total for the first half of the year, setting a new monthly record [1] - The increase is attributed to the gradual easing of the "phase tightening IPO" policy and the withdrawal of non-compliant applications, which has reduced pressure on exchanges and improved acceptance and review efficiency [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Signals - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that most committee members expect a rate cut later this year, depending on economic data [3] - Following Powell's comments, the probability of a rate cut in July rose to approximately 25%, up from less than 20% previously [3] - Goldman Sachs predicts that the Fed will restart rate cuts in September, with expected cuts of 25 basis points in September, October, and December [3] Group 3: Automotive Industry Performance - BYD reported June sales of 382,500 new energy vehicles, up from 341,700 in the same month last year, with a cumulative sales increase of 33.04% year-on-year [8] - Great Wall Motors sold 110,700 vehicles in June, a year-on-year increase of 12.86%, with a total of 197,700 vehicles sold in the first half of the year [8] - Xiaomi's automotive division delivered over 25,000 vehicles in June [8] Group 4: Innovation in Pharmaceuticals - The National Healthcare Security Administration and the National Health Commission issued measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, emphasizing the use of healthcare data for drug research [10] - The measures aim to enhance collaboration among healthcare, insurance, and pharmaceutical sectors to facilitate innovative drug development [10] Group 5: Corporate Developments - He Yuan Bio's IPO application has been approved, marking the first company to pass under the newly restarted fifth set of standards for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [14] - The company plans to raise 2.4 billion yuan for projects including the construction of a human albumin industrialization base and new drug research [14] - Zhongke Environmental announced the acquisition of 100% equity in two environmental companies for a total of 354 million yuan, expanding its waste treatment capabilities [19]

Core Viewpoint - The collective production cut of 30% by the top ten domestic photovoltaic glass manufacturers is expected to help stabilize and recover glass prices, which have been under pressure due to oversupply and declining demand [1][3]. Industry Summary - On June 29, the decision for a 30% production cut was announced to address market supply-demand imbalances [3]. - Starting in July, major photovoltaic glass companies plan to implement this production cut, with expectations of a rapid decline in domestic supply, improving the supply-demand situation [3]. - The production cut is seen as a necessary measure to digest inventory and adjust production according to sales [7]. - In June, the domestic photovoltaic glass production capacity increased, but demand weakened, leading to a mismatch in supply and demand [8]. - As of June 30, the price of 3.2mm coated photovoltaic glass was 18.5 yuan/m², down 5.13% from the previous week, indicating significant price pressure [9]. Company Responses - Fuyao Glass reported that its glass furnaces are operating normally and have not ceased production [4]. - Qibin Group stated that it has not received any notifications regarding furnace shutdowns and is currently operating normally [5]. - Anhuai High-Tech mentioned that it has not issued any formal production cut notices and is currently operating at full capacity, although it anticipates a contraction in market demand in the second half of the year [6]. - Yamaton confirmed the validity of the production cut news, stating that it will facilitate sustainable development in the industry [6]. - Sanxia New Materials plans to halt production for maintenance on one of its glass production lines [7].

昨日A股 国际油价7月1日上涨。截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所8月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨34美分，收于每桶65.45美元，涨 幅为0.52%；9月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨37美分，收于每桶67.11美元，涨幅为0.55%。 | 名标 | 报价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯 | 44494.94 | 20.91% | | 纳斯达克 | 20202.89 | -0.82% | | 标普500 | 6198.01 | -0.11% | | 富时100 | 8785.33 | 0.28% | | COMEX黄金 | 3349.90 | 9-1.28% | | WTI原油 | 65.45 | 0.52% | | 美元指数 | 96.65 | 0.01% | | 美元离岸人民币 | 7.16 | 0.04% | | | 注:美元指数、汇率为最新价,数据截至北京时间6:30,其它为收盘价 制图:21投资通 | | 重磅资讯 1. 中央财经委员会会议：推动海洋经济高质量发展，要加强顶层设计 | 名称 | 最新点位 | 、涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上 ...

特朗普表示，美方已经和日本打过交道，不确定是否会达成协议。特朗普表示，他可以对从日本进口的商品征 收"30%或35%或任何我们确定的数字"的关税，而这远高于他在4月2日宣布的对日本商品的24%的关税税率。 【郑钦文，遗憾止步温网首轮】 据央视体育，北京时间7月1日，在温网女单首轮较量中，赛会五号种子郑钦文以5-7，6-4，1-6的比分憾负捷克 选手西尼亚科娃，连续三年止步温网首轮。 【小米在北京、南京推出月租1999元员工公寓，应届生优先】 大家早上好！这里是今天的早报，每天早上，我都会在这里跟你聊聊昨夜今晨发生了哪些大事儿。 本 栏目由虎嗅出品。 热点追踪 【特朗普称不考虑延长关税谈判最后期限】 据央视新闻，当地时间7月1日，美国总统特朗普在"空军一号"总统专机上表示，他没有考虑延长各国与美国谈 判贸易协议的7月9日截止日期，并对与日本能否达成协议表示怀疑。 据界面新闻，7月1日，小米集团副总裁张剑慧在社交媒体平台发文称，为提升员工幸福感，小米集团在北京昌 平园区附近打造的小米青年公寓正式落成。 雷军本人也转发小米青年公寓相关信息，并表示：这是为小米年轻工程师打造的员工公寓，位于北京小米昌平 园区附近，月租 ...

智通财经7月2日早间新闻精选 1、习近平7月1日上午主持召开中央财经委员会第六次会议，研究纵深推进全国统一大市场建设、海洋 经济高质量发展等问题。 2、据国家发改委消息，从7月1日24时起，国内汽、柴油每吨分别上调235元和225元，全国平均来看， 92号汽油、95号汽油和0号柴油每升上调0.18元、0.19元和0.19元。 3、针对"国内头部光伏玻璃企业计划于7月开始集体减产30%"的市场消息，亚玛顿董秘刘芹回应称，光 伏玻璃行业减产的消息属实。 4、工信部发布数据，1—5月份，规模以上互联网和相关服务企业完成互联网业务收入7735亿元，同比 增长0.9%。 5、比亚迪上半年新能源汽车销量约214.6万辆，同比增长33.04%。 7、百川股份公告，公司实际控制人、董事长郑铁江被留置。 8、新大陆公告称，设立境外子公司并取得美国MSB牌照，覆盖数字货币交易等场景。 9、欣旺达拟发行H股股票并在香港联交所主板上市；长春高新拟发行H股并在香港联交所上市。 10、金力泰公告称，被实施退市风险警示和其他风险警示，股票简称变更为"*ST金泰"。 11、拉卡拉公告，股东联想控股计划在未来三个月内以集中竞价和大宗交易方式合 ...

·美国参议院通过"大而美"税收与支出法案预计将美国债务上限进一步提高5万亿美元 重点关注 ·两部门发文支持引导创新药高质量发展十六条创新发展举措公布产业迎支付准入两端重大利好 ·禾元生物IPO获上交所审核通过科创板第五套上市标准重启后迎首家过会企业 ·6月，财新中国制造业PMI录得50.4，较前一月上升2.1个百分点并重回扩张区间。（新华财经） ·上交所上市委7月1日通过武汉禾元生物科技股份有限公司的科创板IPO申请。这是6月18日中国证监会 主席吴清在陆家嘴论坛宣布重启未盈利企业适用科创板第五套标准上市以来，首家过会的科创板第五套 标准企业。（新华财经） ·针对广受关注的"坐火车是否需要严查充电宝3C标识"等问题，记者1日从中国国家铁路集团有限公司获 悉，根据相关规定，只要充电宝额定能量不超过100Wh就可以携带上火车。（新华社） ·据国家电影局统计，截至6月30日，2025年上半年中国电影票房为292.31亿元，比去年同期增长 22.91%。得益于《哪吒之魔童闹海》等一批新片，今年上半年国产影片票房达到266.37亿元，同比增长 38.64%。与此同时，由电影带动的文旅、餐饮等关联消费增长明显，进一步激发 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic glass industry is facing significant challenges due to oversupply and declining prices, prompting major manufacturers to collectively reduce production by 30% to address supply-demand imbalances [1][2]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic glass sector is experiencing a continuous increase in production capacity, but demand is weak due to reduced component orders, leading to inventory accumulation [2]. - The average net profit for the photovoltaic glass industry has dropped to a historical low of negative 362 yuan per ton, indicating severe profitability issues [1]. Production Adjustments - Major photovoltaic glass manufacturers have decided to implement a collective production cut of 30% to improve the supply-demand balance, with expectations that this adjustment will take time to stabilize the industry [1][2]. - Some companies, such as 福莱特 and 旗滨集团, have indicated that they are currently operating normally and have not yet received formal reduction notices, suggesting variability in production responses among firms [2]. Future Projections - Analysts predict that the photovoltaic industry may see a significant reduction in production in the second half of the year, with potential cuts of 10% to 15% expected, and daily melting capacity could decrease to around 90,000 tons by year-end [3]. - The industry is anticipated to improve by 2025, driven by supportive policies from both supply and demand sides [3]. Related Companies - 凯盛新能 is investing approximately 1.399 billion yuan in a new project to build a 2000t/d photovoltaic component ultra-thin packaging material production line [4]. - 信义光能 is expected to benefit from potential supply-side reforms in the solar energy sector, particularly regarding polysilicon pricing [4]. - 福莱特玻璃 has had its earnings forecasts downgraded by 15%, 10%, and 9% for 2025-2027 due to unexpected production from second and third-tier companies, but is still expected to see significant quarterly earnings increases due to rising product prices [5][6].