Market Overview - The market experienced a morning adjustment on October 31, with all three major indices declining collectively [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.56 trillion, an increase of 27.4 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 3,800 stocks in the market saw an increase, indicating a broad participation in the upward movement [1] Sector Performance - The pharmaceutical sector showed resilience, with notable stocks such as Sanofi and Lianhuan Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit [1] - The lithium battery sector was active, with Tianji Co. achieving two consecutive limit-ups and several other stocks also reaching the daily limit [1] - The Fujian sector strengthened again, with Pingtan Development achieving eight limit-ups in eleven days [1] - AI application concept stocks continued to rise, with Rongxin Culture and Fushi Holdings both hitting the daily limit [1] Declining Sectors - The computing hardware concept stocks collectively declined, with significant adjustments seen in the three major optical module companies [1] - The controlled nuclear fusion concept stocks fell, with China Nuclear Engineering hitting the daily limit down [1] - Sectors such as film and television, pharmaceuticals, and batteries saw the largest gains, while insurance, coal, and CPO sectors experienced the largest declines [1] Index Performance - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.63%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.62%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.49% [1] - The North Star 50 Index, however, increased by over 3% [1]

从财务结构看，公司总资产规模较年初增长4.17%，达到347.54亿元，资产负债结构基本稳定。尽管受 煤炭销量与价格波动影响，前三季度净利润有所承压，但公司在建工程同比增长明显，反映出其在产能 扩张与绿色转型方面的持续投入。随着后续项目陆续投产，公司盈利能力有望得到结构性改善。 甘肃能化表示，面对能源行业转型的关键阶段，公司将继续围绕"煤炭清洁高效利用+新能源布局"双轮 驱动战略，加快推进兰州新区、庆阳等地重大煤电及热电项目建设，不断提升绿色开采与低碳运营水 平，增强企业综合能源供应能力和抗风险能力。 在电力板块，兰州新区2×1000MW火电项目稳步推进，已完成初步设计编制和多项前期招标工作，强夯 工程已于9月底开标，项目建设步入实质性阶段。与此同时，新区热电联产项目也取得重要节点进展， 一号机组已于10月完成首次点火并进入整套启动准备阶段，为后续并网发电打下基础。 化工板块方面，靖远煤电清洁高效气化气综合利用(搬迁改造)项目一期已投入试生产，各单元竣工验收 有序推进；二期工程气化单元土建完工，尿素造粒塔主体建设完成，项目整体建设节奏紧凑高效。此 外，天宝公司红沙梁矿井及选煤厂项目也已启动地面储煤棚建设，进一 ...

Core Insights - The report focuses on the low-carbon transition pathways for the "Coal Triangle Region" in China, which includes Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi, and Ningxia, highlighting its significance in national energy security and global coal production [1][2] Group 1: Current State and Challenges - The "Coal Triangle Region" is a major coal production area, expected to produce 3.45 billion tons of coal in 2024, accounting for 73% of China's total and 37% of global production, with carbon emissions representing 19.6% of China's and 6.4% of global emissions [1] - The region faces significant risks of "lock-in" due to its reliance on coal-based industries, which constitute about 20.3% of the industrial GDP, limiting diversification and transition capabilities [1][2] - The transition process is challenged by insufficient funding and structural employment imbalances, with an estimated need for approximately 1.8 trillion RMB (around 250 billion USD) for transition funding from 2025 to 2030 [3] Group 2: Future Projections and Employment Impact - By 2060, the region is projected to have a remaining carbon emission of 0.15 to 2.75 billion tons, necessitating reliance on ecological carbon sinks and negative carbon technologies for offsetting [2] - The transition is expected to result in a net loss of about 3.4 million jobs in coal-based industries, while green energy-related jobs may increase from 330,000 to 1.4 million, indicating a persistent structural pressure in the labor market [3] Group 3: Policy Recommendations - The report suggests establishing a national strategy for energy transition and regional coordinated development, setting specific low-carbon transition goals for the "Coal Triangle Region" [4] - It recommends creating collaborative mechanisms within and between regions to facilitate the green low-carbon transition [4] - The report emphasizes the need for diversified funding solutions to support the green low-carbon transition and the establishment of an international exchange platform for resource-based regions [4]

Report Summary - This is a futures research report by Baocheng Futures, presenting arbitrage data for various commodities on October 31, 2025. The report includes data on power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non-ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - Not provided in the report. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Power Coal - The report provides the basis and spread data for power coal from October 24 to October 30, 2025. The basis remained at -31.40 yuan/ton during this period, and the spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) were all 0.00 yuan/ton [1][2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: The report shows the basis and price ratio data for fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from October 24 to October 30, 2025. For example, on October 30, the basis for fuel oil was -75.56 yuan/ton, and the price ratio of crude oil to asphalt was 0.1406 [7]. - **Chemical Commodities**: - **Basis**: The basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from October 24 to October 30, 2025 are presented. For instance, on October 30, the basis for rubber was -600 yuan/ton, and for methanol was 4.5 yuan/ton [9]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are provided. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread for rubber was 90 yuan/ton [10]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads for LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from October 24 to October 30, 2025 are given. On October 30, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2211 yuan/ton [10]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from October 24 to October 30, 2025 are shown. On October 30, the basis for rebar was 104.0 yuan/ton, and for iron ore was 4.5 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, 9(10) - 5 month) for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread for rebar was 63 yuan/ton [19]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads for rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from October 24 to October 30, 2025 are presented. On October 30, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.88 [19]. 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: The domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from October 24 to October 30, 2025 are given. On October 30, the basis for copper was -30 yuan/ton, and for aluminum was 15 yuan/ton [29]. - **London Market**: The LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit/loss data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on October 30, 2025 are provided. For example, the LME spread for copper was (21.39) [32]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from October 24 to October 30, 2025 are shown. On October 30, the basis for soybeans No.1 was -123 yuan/ton, and for soybeans No.2 was 338.16 yuan/ton [37]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) for various agricultural products are provided. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread for soybeans No.1 was 41 yuan/ton [37]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads for soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc. on October 30, 2025 are presented. The soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.94 [37]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from October 24 to October 30, 2025 are given. On October 30, the basis for CSI 300 was 19.91 [49]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (next month - current month, next quarter - current quarter) for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are provided. For example, the next month - current month spread for CSI 300 was -40.4 [51].

期货研究报告 宝城期货煤焦早报（2025 年 10 月 31 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 焦煤 | 2601 | 震荡 偏强 | 震荡 | 上涨 | 震荡思路 | 贸易利好支撑，焦煤高位运行 | | 焦炭 | 2601 | 震荡 偏强 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏强 | 震荡思路 | 市场氛围偏多，焦炭震荡上行 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货黑色板块 品种：焦煤（JM） 日内观点：上涨 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：震荡思路 核心逻辑：现货市场方面，甘其毛都口岸蒙 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 资讯早班车-2025-10-31 一、 宏观数据速览 | 发布日期 | 指标日期 | 指标名称 | 单位 | 当期值 | 上期值 | 去年同期值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 20251020 | 2025/09 | GDP:不变价:当季同比 | % | 4.80 | 5.20 | 4.60 | | 20250930 | 2025/09 | 制造业 PMI | % | 49.80 | 49.40 | 49.80 | | 20250930 | 2025/09 | 非制造业 PMI:商务活 动 | % | 50.00 | 50.30 | 50.00 | | 20251016 | 2025/09 | 社会融资规模增量:当 | 亿元 | | 35296.00 25660.00 | 37635.00 | | | | 月值 | | | | | | 20251015 | 2025/09 | M0(流通中的现金):同 比 | % | 11.50 | 11.70 | 11.50 | | 20251 ...

Report Information - Report Type: Coke and Coking Coal Daily Review [1] - Date: October 31, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Black Metal Research Team [3] - Researchers: Zhai Hepan, Nie Jiayi, Feng Zeren [3] 1. Market Review and Future Outlook 1.1 Spot Market Dynamics and Technical Analysis - On October 30, the main contracts of coke and coking coal futures 2601 rose slightly and then gave back some of the previous day's gains [7] - The closing prices of coke J2601 and coking coal JM2601 were 1786.5 yuan/ton and 1288 yuan/ton respectively, with daily price changes of -0.59% and -1.62% [5] - The KDJ indicator of the coke 2601 contract showed a divergent trend, with the J and K values turning down and the D value continuing to rise, showing a potential dead - cross. The MACD red bar of the coke 2601 contract narrowed, while that of the coking coal 2601 contract continued to expand slightly [10] - The spot prices of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke at Rizhao, Qingdao, and Tianjin ports remained unchanged at 1570 yuan/ton. The price of low - sulfur main coking coal in Handan increased by 50 yuan/ton, while prices in other regions remained stable [10] 1.2 Future Outlook - Policy: On October 24, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a new draft of the "Implementation Measures for Capacity Replacement in the Iron and Steel Industry", with stricter replacement ratio requirements. Tangshan planned a 30% blast furnace production limit from October 27 for 4 days due to environmental protection [11] - Fundamentals: Recent coke production from independent coking enterprises and steel producers has declined. Coke inventories at ports and independent coking enterprises are generally low, leading to a demand for the third round of price increases, expected to be implemented by the end of the month. Cold weather in northern regions and stricter coal mine safety inspections have pushed up coal prices. Coking coal port inventories are low, and although imports have recovered, the January - September imports are still down by over 6% year - on - year, causing a significant jump in coking coal spot prices [11] - Outlook: Coke and coking coal futures are expected to continue their upward trend, supported by positive news and the spot market. After a short - term sharp rebound, there may be a phased correction, but the overall upward trend is difficult to reverse. Future attention should be paid to the impact of rising temperatures on coal demand and the positive cycle effect of steel market profit recovery on the coal - coke market [12] 2. Industry News - Sino - US Trade: On October 30, the US will cancel the 10% "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods and continue to suspend the 24% tariff for another year. Both sides will suspend relevant export control measures for one year and reach consensus on issues such as fentanyl anti - drug cooperation and expanding agricultural product trade [13] - Carbon Market: The Ministry of Ecology and Environment will accelerate the construction of the national carbon market, including expanding the coverage, implementing quota control and paid distribution, tightening quotas, and promoting the construction of the voluntary emission reduction trading market [14] - Steel Company Performance: In Q3 2025, Baosteel's revenue was 81.064 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.83%, and net profit was 3.081 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 130.31%. Shagang's revenue was 3.452 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 9.66%, and net profit was 75.5324 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5518.37%. Shandong Steel's revenue was 18.022 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 5.74%, and net profit was 127 million yuan [14] - Coal Company Performance: In Q3 2025, Shanxi Coking Coal's revenue was 9.122 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 20.84%, and net profit was 420 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 52.24%. Lu'an Huanneng's revenue was 7.031 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 21.83%, and net profit was 206 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 63.96%. Shaanxi Coal's revenue was 40.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 20.91%, and net profit was 5.075 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 26.59%. Dayou Energy reported a loss of 1.122 billion yuan in the first three quarters [14] - Other News: Vietnam launched an anti - circumvention investigation on Chinese hot - rolled coils; Australia and Thailand launched anti - dumping and anti - circumvention investigations on Chinese steel products; the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points and will stop balance sheet reduction on December 1; Anglo American's metallurgical coal production in Q3 2025 was 1.884 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 54%; Glencore's coal production from January - September 2025 was 98.2 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 16.6%; the US imposed new sanctions on Russian oil companies [13][15][16] 3. Data Overview - The report provides various data charts, including the spot price index of metallurgical coke, the summary price of main coking coal, the production and capacity utilization of coking plants and steel mills, national daily average hot metal production, coke and coking coal inventories at ports, coking plants, and steel mills, and the basis between spot and futures contracts [18][22][23][30][32]

Core Insights - The report highlights the potential for collaboration between China and the United States to address significant global issues, emphasizing the importance of joint efforts in various sectors [4] - The revenue of large-scale cultural enterprises in China increased by 7.9% year-on-year in the first three quarters [4] - The establishment of a special fund for strategic emerging industries by state-owned enterprises is expected to support the aerospace industry, with specific stocks identified as potential beneficiaries [5] Industry Updates - The "robotics + AI + low-altitude" integration is expected to open new market opportunities, with solid-state battery industrialization anticipated to accelerate, highlighting related stocks [5] - The storage sector in the U.S. continues to perform well, with institutions predicting a significant improvement in the performance of storage-related stocks [5] Company Focus - Tianyu Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 71.42 million yuan for the third quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of 123.9% [6] - Mingyang Circuit achieved a net profit of 32.98 million yuan in the third quarter, marking a year-on-year growth of 1121.3% [6] - Tianqi Lithium Industries recorded a net profit of 180 million yuan in the first three quarters, supported by forward-looking strategic planning [6] - Hanyu Pharmaceutical reported an operating income of 683 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with operating cash flow reaching a historical high for the same period [6] Market Review and Outlook - On October 30, the market experienced fluctuations, with major indices showing declines, particularly the ChiNext Index which fell nearly 2% [7] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.42 trillion yuan, an increase of 165.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [7] - The report notes a mixed performance across sectors, with lithium mining stocks gaining strength while computing hardware stocks faced declines [7] - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with a focus on performance growth and cyclical stock styles attracting more capital [7]

Market Overview - The A-share market is currently experiencing a tug-of-war around the 4000-point mark, with significant fluctuations and differing opinions among investors [2][9][10] - The recent index movements are driven primarily by a few large-cap technology stocks, leading to a disparity in returns between retail investors and the index [10][12] - Current policies indicate a supportive stance, with liquidity remaining reasonably ample, suggesting potential for the index to challenge the 4000-point level again [10][12] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a cautious approach to investment, emphasizing the importance of controlling positions while balancing short-term defense and medium-term layout [3][11] - Key investment themes include: - **Technology Growth**: Focus on sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and robotics, supported by government policies and strong quarterly performances [3][11] - **High Dividend Defensive Stocks**: Sectors like banking, public utilities, and transportation are highlighted for their ability to provide safety margins during market volatility [3][11] - **Cyclical Sectors**: Areas such as photovoltaics, batteries, and rare earths are expected to benefit from policy changes aimed at reducing competition and improving profitability [3][11] Sector Performance - The energy metals and battery sectors have shown strong performance, with significant gains noted in recent trading sessions [7][8] - The quantum technology sector is also gaining traction, driven by government initiatives aimed at fostering future industries [8]

钢材产业期现日报 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年10月31日 知识图强,求实奉献,客户至上,合作共赢 | 铁矿石产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025/10/31 | | | | Z0020017 徐艺丹 | | | 铁矿石相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 我们 | 前11 | 活跃 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 仓单成本:卡粉 | 844.0 | 850.6 | -6.6 | -0.8% | | | 仓单成本:PB粉 | 854.6 | 854.6 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 仓单成本:巴混粉 | 866.4 | 867.5 | -1.1 | -0.1% | | | 仓单成本:金布巴粉 | 850.0 | 854.3 | -4.3 | -0.5% | | | 01合约基差:卡粉 | 41.5 | 46.1 | -4.6 | -10.0% | | | 01合约基差:PB粉 | 52.1 | 50.1 | 2.0 ...