Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones down 0.94%, the S&P 500 down 0.34%, and the Nasdaq up 0.16% [1] - Major tech stocks showed mixed results, with Google up over 2%, Microsoft up over 1%, and Nvidia up over 1%, while Facebook fell nearly 2% and Apple down 0.77% [1] - Most Chinese concept stocks declined, with New World Development down over 7%, Full Truck Alliance down over 7%, and Tencent Music down over 5% [1] European Market - European stock indices closed mixed, with Germany's DAX index up 0.92% at 25122.26 points, while France's CAC40 index fell 0.04% to 8233.92 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 index down 0.74% to 10048.21 points [1] Commodity Markets - International precious metal futures generally fell, with COMEX gold futures down 0.65% at $4467.1 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 3.77% at $77.98 per ounce [1] - U.S. oil main contract fell 1.28% to $56.4 per barrel, while Brent crude oil main contract decreased by 0.51% to $60.39 per barrel [1] Currency and Debt Markets - The U.S. dollar index rose 0.15% to 98.74, while the offshore RMB against the U.S. dollar fell by 127 basis points to 6.9935 [1] - U.S. Treasury yields were mixed, with the 2-year yield up 1.45 basis points at 3.470% and the 10-year yield down 2.16 basis points at 4.147% [1] - European bond yields collectively fell, with the UK 10-year yield down 6.5 basis points at 4.415% and the German 10-year yield down 3 basis points at 2.811% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that most base metals in London experienced a decline, with specific increases and decreases in various metal prices [1] Group 2 - LME tin increased by 0.34% to $44,650.0 per ton [1] - LME lead decreased by 0.60% to $2,058.5 per ton [1] - LME aluminum fell by 1.60% to $3,083.5 per ton [1] - LME zinc dropped by 2.63% to $3,160.0 per ton [1] - LME copper declined by 2.93% to $12,866.0 per ton [1] - LME nickel decreased by 4.21% to $17,655.0 per ton [1]

Oil Market - Oil prices are declining due to the U.S. seizing two sanctioned oil tankers and indicating the sale of Venezuelan oil, leading to expectations of increased Venezuelan crude sales [2][10] - WTI crude oil fell by 2%, settling at just below $56 per barrel, with market expectations that increased Venezuelan oil sales will exert downward pressure on an already oversupplied market [2][10] - President Trump announced that Venezuela will transfer up to 50 million barrels of oil to the U.S., with the proceeds benefiting both countries [2][10] - The U.S. Department of Energy is selectively easing sanctions on Venezuela, although specific details were not provided [2][10] - Analysts suggest that if prices continue to fall and breach the critical $55 psychological level, futures could accelerate down to $50 [11] Base Metals - Copper prices have retreated from record highs, along with other industrial metals, as traders took profits after rapid price increases [4][14] - At the London Metal Exchange, copper, nickel, and zinc futures all fell over 2%, reducing the sharp gains seen in recent weeks [5][15] - Despite a generally bullish long-term outlook for copper and other metals, the rapid price increase has raised concerns about a potential sharp market decline as traders lock in profits [5][15] - LME copper closed down 2.56% at $12,899.5 per ton, LME aluminum down 1.29% at $3,088.5 per ton, LME nickel down 3.4% at $17,895.0 per ton, and LME zinc down 2.57% at $3,167.5 per ton [16] Precious Metals - Silver and platinum have seen significant declines, continuing a trend of extreme volatility, as traders weigh the impacts of index rebalancing, supply constraints, and potential U.S. tariffs [6][14] - Platinum prices dropped as much as 7.7%, while silver fell by up to 6%, although both metals have recorded gains for the month so far [6][14] - The annual commodity index rebalancing is pressuring prices as passive tracking funds need to sell previously high-performing metals to match new weights [6][14] - Gold and palladium also fell alongside other precious metals, with analysts predicting large-scale sell-offs due to significant rebalancing fund flows [6][14] - As of the latest data, silver was down 3.78% at $78.202 per ounce, and gold was down 0.92% at $4,453.31 per ounce [17][18]

在美联储货币政策转向宽松、全球地缘政治风险加剧以及央行持续购金的多重驱动下，摩根士丹利大幅上调金价预期，预计这一传统避险资产将 在2026年继续刷新历史高点，直至冲刺每盎司4800美元大关。 摩根士丹利在1月5日发布的研究报告中指出，黄金价格正受到宏观经济和政策转变的强力支撑。这些因素包括美联储预期的宽松周期、美联储领 导层的变动，以及各国央行和投资基金持续买入。此前，现货黄金已在2025年创下历史性涨幅，年终收涨64%，创下自1979年以来的最强年度表 现。 但在1月7日，贵金属市场遭遇重挫，现货黄金一度失守4450美元/盎司关口。据华尔街见闻，彭博商品指数（BCOM）即将于1月8日至14日启动年 度权重再平衡，市场正面临被动基金"技术性抛售"带来的流动性冲击压力，黄金面临短期看跌反转风险。 长期方面，地缘政治的不确定性进一步点燃了市场对避险资产的需求。据央视新闻报道，当地时间1月3日中午（北京时间1月4日凌晨），美国总 统特朗普、国防部长赫格塞思在佛罗里达州海湖庄园就美军对委内瑞拉动武、将委内瑞拉总统马杜罗控制并移送出境举行记者会。 随着委内瑞拉局势升级，包括美国军事力量介入及该国领导人被捕的消息传出，不 ...

1月7日，A股三大指数早盘震荡拉升，截至午盘，沪指逼近4100点，创业板上涨0.41%，深成指上涨0.35%。沪深两市半日成交额1.85万亿 元，较上个交易日放量538亿元。全市场超过2500只个股上涨。 港股方面，恒生指数、恒生国企指数震荡走低，截至11:30，两大指数均跌近1%，恒生科技指数下挫1.5%。阿里巴巴跌近4%，比亚迪 （002594）股份、快手跌超2%，药明康德（603259）、中国人寿（601628）、信达生物逆势涨超3%。 国际贵金属集体飘绿，现货黄金跌破4480美元/盎司，早盘一度触及4500美元/盎司；现货白银小幅下跌，年初至今涨幅仍高达13%。 具体来看，半导体产业链全线走强，光刻机、存储器方向领涨。芯源微、南大光电（300346）、恒坤新材20CM涨停，国风新材（000859） 3天2板，中微公司、北方华创（002371）大涨续创历史新高。 | ( | | 半导体指数(886063) | | O | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 8181.14 175.89 +2.20% | | | | 资料 | 成分 | 资讯 | 相关基金 | 月度 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the optimistic outlook for the Chinese stock market in 2026, with a recommendation from Goldman Sachs to overweight Chinese stocks, particularly A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [1][2] - The A500 index, representing core assets in China, has shown a strong performance with a 0.38% increase, driven by significant gains in stocks such as Wei股份 (up 12.26%) and 南大光电 (up 11.26%) [1] - The number of new A-share accounts opened in 2025 reached 27.44 million, a 9.75% increase from 2024, indicating growing investor interest [1] Group 2 - The A500 index is noted for its balanced representation of both traditional and emerging industries, with a focus on valuation, profitability, and dividends, suggesting an increasing demand for capital allocation towards it [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the A500 index as of December 31, 2025, include 宁德时代, 贵州茅台, and 中国平安, collectively accounting for 20.33% of the index [2] - The market is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by key sectors such as commercial aerospace, artificial intelligence, and robotics, alongside cyclical sectors like oil and non-ferrous metals [2]

在美国芝商所两次上调保证金之后，黄金白银等贵金属大幅震荡下，仍然保持高位上冲姿态，铜、铝等 基本金属则在不断刷新历史高位。 在经过2025年超60%的涨幅后，投资机构对于2026年黄金涨幅趋向于谨慎，但是对于涨幅超146%的白 银仍然充满想象力。而国投白银LOF（161226）份额仍在创下历史高点。相对于贵金属而言，期货市场 资金更偏爱铜铝等基本金属，特别是铜在两个交易日资金大幅净流入。 白银比黄金还有想象空间 清和泉资本认为，2026年最大的投资机会之一，就是战略资源股，如铜、铝、煤等。当前这些上游品种 供需均处于平衡或紧缺的状态，中上游品种则依托中国成本优势，盈利水平处于历史高位，而且这些行 业均存在具备全球竞争力的企业，包括成本水平、管理水平等，其中铜的公司成长属性高一点，铝和煤 炭的价值属性更突出；这些行业中，估值低的品种PE在10倍左右，高的在15倍左右，中期性价比依然 十分可观。 1月6日，国内黄金主力2602合约收盘时，报价继续站上1000元/克关口上方。而白银主力2604合约，收 盘价格创下历史新高，报19452元/千克，涨幅7.06%，成交量和持仓量均大幅增长，其中成交量增加了 125.8万 ...

在经过2025年超64%的涨幅后，投资机构对于2026年黄金涨幅趋向于谨慎，但是对于涨幅超146%的白银仍然 充满想象力。比如，美国银行金属研究报告认为，黄金今年仍将是关键的投资组合对冲工具，预计2026年黄金 均价将达到每盎司4538美元（目前已经4458美元），而白银价格可能飙升至每盎司135至309美元的峰值区间。 在美国芝商所两次上调保证金之后，黄金白银等贵金属大幅震荡下，仍然保持高位上冲姿态，铜、铝等基 本金属则在不断刷新历史高位。 在经过2025年超60%的涨幅后，投资机构对于2026年黄金涨幅趋向于谨慎，但是对于涨幅超146%的白银仍然 充满想象力。而国投白银LOF（161226）份额仍在创下历史高点。相对于贵金属而言，期货市场资金更偏爱铜 铝等基本金属，特别是铜在两个交易日资金大幅净流入。 白银比黄金还有想象空间 1月6日，国内黄金主力2602合约收盘时，报价继续站上1000元/克关口上方。而白银主力2604合约，收盘价格 创下历史新高，报19452元/千克，涨幅7.06%，成交量和持仓量均大幅增长，其中成交量增加了125.8万手，持 仓量大幅增加了3.8万手，在5日23.9万手基础上升高到2 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings The report does not provide overall industry investment ratings. However, it gives trend intensities for each commodity: - Gold: 1 [6] - Silver: 1 [6] - Copper: 2 [9] - Zinc: 1 [12] - Lead: 0 [14] - Tin: 1 [18] - Aluminum: 1 [22] - Alumina: 0 [22] - Cast Aluminum Alloy: 1 [22] - Platinum: 0 [28] - Palladium: 0 [28] - Nickel: 0 [32] - Stainless Steel: 0 [32] 2. Core Views - Gold: Safe - haven sentiment has rebounded [2] - Silver: Consolidating at high levels [2] - Copper: Bullish sentiment is strong, and prices are rising continuously [2] - Zinc: Oscillating with an upward bias [2] - Lead: Reduced inventory supports prices [2] - Tin: Trading in a range [2] - Aluminum: Continuing to make up for losses [2] - Alumina: Slightly declining [2] - Cast Aluminum Alloy: Following the trend of electrolytic aluminum [2] - Platinum: Oscillating upwards [2] - Palladium: Trading in a range [2] - Nickel: A wide - range oscillation due to the game between real - world pressure and cycle - shift narratives [2] - Stainless Steel: The real - world fundamentals are dragging down, and the market is mainly speculating on Indonesian policies [2] 3. Summary by Commodity Gold and Silver - **Price Performance**: Shanghai Gold 2602 closed at 984.84, down 2.22%; Comex Gold 2602 closed at 4352.30, up 0.05%. Shanghai Silver 2602 closed at 18140, down 0.35%; Comex Silver 2602 closed at 76.015, up 6.11% [4] - **Macro and Industry News**: US air - strikes on Venezuela, geopolitical risks support gold, and OPEC+ will maintain the plan to suspend production increases in Q1 [4][6] Copper - **Price Performance**: Shanghai Copper's main contract closed at 101350, up 3.17%; LME Copper 3M closed at 13088, up 5.03% [7] - **Macro and Industry News**: Venezuelan President Maduro's arrest, US 12 - month ISM manufacturing PMI shrank, and China's November 2025 copper ore imports increased [7] - **Industry Developments**: Chile's Mantoverde copper - gold mine labor contract negotiation, Julong Copper Mine's second - phase expansion, and Kamoa - Kakula copper smelter's production [9] Zinc - **Price Performance**: Shanghai Zinc's main contract closed at 23820, up 2.34%; LME Zinc 3M closed at 3127, up 0.03% [10] - **News**: China's December service industry PMI expanded, and Maduro pleaded not guilty in the US court [11] Lead - **Price Performance**: Shanghai Lead's main contract closed at 17395, up 0.23%; LME Lead 3M closed at 1994, down 0.57% [13] - **News**: Maduro's arrest and US 12 - month ISM manufacturing PMI shrinkage [14] Tin - **Price Performance**: Shanghai Tin's main contract closed at 334370, up 3.55%; LME Tin 3M closed at 42560, up 5.74% [17] - **Macro and Industry News**: US hopes Venezuela to stop oil sales, SK Hynix's new product display, and NVIDIA's plan [18] Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Price Performance**: Shanghai Aluminum's main contract closed at 23645, up 720; Shanghai Alumina's main contract closed at 2770, down 8; Cast Aluminum Alloy's main contract closed at 22520 [20] - **Comprehensive News**: US 12 - month ISM manufacturing PMI shrinkage and US motives for Venezuelan military action [22] Platinum and Palladium - **Price Performance**: Platinum futures 2606 closed at 583.95, up 8.80%; Palladium futures 2606 closed at 452.85, up 6.50% [27] - **Macro and Industry News**: Venezuelan situation, FOMC member's speech, China - South Korea summit, and new energy vehicle sales [28] Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Price Performance**: Shanghai Nickel's main contract closed at 134100, up 1250; Stainless Steel's main contract closed at 13075, down 50 [29] - **Macro and Industry News**: Indonesia's suspension of new smelting licenses, China's steel product export license, and Indonesia's nickel - related policies [29][30]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，当地时间1月5日，伦敦基本金属全线上涨，LME期锡涨5.32%报42560.0美元/吨，LME期 铜涨4.96%报13087.5美元/吨，LME期镍涨2.79%报17290.0美元/吨，LME期锌涨2.59%报3208.0美元/ 吨，LME期铝涨2.47%报3090.0美元/吨，LME期铅涨1.15%报2029.5美元/吨。 ...