在近日举办的中国国际橡塑展上，科思创工程塑料事业部全球总裁王丽表示："借助人工智能 （AI）驱动，科思创从传统产品研发转向更高效的创新模式。AI不仅提供应用开发新机会，还提升研 发速度和客户体验。科思创深度参与跨界融合趋势，创新聚碳酸酯解决方案，满足人工智能设备需求， 助力产业链加速推动AI变革。" 经由AI赋能，科思创得以促进一些关键领域加速发展，其中包括备受关注的循环经济。王丽强 调："循环经济是科思创的长期战略愿景。科思创通过产品研发、产业链合作、技术创新和产能布局来 落实愿景，尤其聚焦回收材料和技术的开发。" 在产业链合作方面，科思创凭借AI技术创新商业模式，拓宽合作伙伴关系。2025年4月，科思创宣 布推出采用汽车报废车灯回收制成的消费后再生（PCR）聚碳酸酯新品系列。该产品线是德国国际合作 机构GIZ发起的一项联合项目的最新成果。该产品系列含50%回收成分，已通过德国莱茵TüV认证，可 重新用于生产汽车部件。目前，大众与蔚来正推进材料验证，未来有望将其应用于新车型设计。 在技术研发方面，科思创开发化学回收技术，探索将聚碳酸酯分解为单体再生产的闭环工艺。德国 勒沃库森总部已启动化学回收技术中试。科思 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. is considering imposing tariffs on up to 50 critical minerals, which are essential raw materials for chemical production, potentially replacing the current "reciprocal tariffs" and posing a significant challenge to the U.S. chemical market [1] Group 1: Impact on Refining and Chemical Industries - Tariffs on minerals such as fluorspar, cerium, and lanthanum will significantly increase product prices in the refining catalyst market [3] - Fluorspar is used to produce hydrofluoric acid, a catalyst for alkylation units, while cerium and lanthanum are catalysts for fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) units [3] - Increased catalyst prices may lead refineries to alter their operations, potentially reducing the operating rates of alkylation units and shifting production towards toluene or mixed xylene, impacting the aromatics market [3] - Changes in the operating rates of alkylation and FCC units will simultaneously affect the supply and demand of propylene [3] Group 2: Broader Implications for Chemical Products - Fluorspar is also a key upstream raw material for fluorinated chemicals and fluoropolymers, which are increasingly important in 5G devices, semiconductor manufacturing, and lithium-ion batteries [3] - Concerns have been raised about titanium oxide being included in the tariff list, which would further increase costs for U.S. paint manufacturers already pressured by previous steel tariffs [3] - Special catalysts are also at risk; tariffs on antimony could lead to price increases for producers of polyethylene terephthalate (PET), as antimony is a crucial catalyst in its production [4] - Bismuth, another catalyst for polyurethane production, faces similar tariff risks, impacting the overall cost structure of these industries [4] - The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) indicates that various minerals, including iridium, neodymium, rhodium, ruthenium, palladium, and platinum, are essential for catalyst manufacturing, suggesting significant implications for domestic industries if tariffs are enacted [4]

Group 1 - Shenjian Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 33.65 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 32.29%, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per 10 shares [1] - Jingce Electronics experienced a net loss of 97.60 million yuan in 2024, transitioning from profit to loss, despite a revenue increase of 5.59% to 2.565 billion yuan [1] - Jingwei Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 35.54 million yuan for 2024, a decrease of 36.76%, with a proposed cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares [1][2] Group 2 - Minsheng Health achieved a net profit of 91.83 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.24%, with a proposed cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares [2] - Zhongshe Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 10.16 million yuan for 2024, a decline of 76.24%, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.2 yuan per 10 shares [3] - Keyuan Smart reported a net profit of 252 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 56.64%, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.4 yuan per 10 shares [4] Group 3 - Beilu Pharmaceutical reported a net profit of 14.54 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26.13%, with revenue of 283 million yuan [5] - Wangsu Technology achieved a net profit of 192 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38.54%, with revenue of 1.235 billion yuan [6] - Keyuan Pharmaceutical reported a net profit of 23.08 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.25%, despite a revenue decline of 23.98% [7] Group 4 - Guangting Information reported a net profit of 24.03 million yuan for Q1 2025, turning from loss to profit, with revenue of 134 million yuan [9] - Zhaori Technology reported a net loss of 1.23 million yuan for Q1 2025, with revenue of 35.23 million yuan [11] - Huakai Yibai reported a net loss of 15.09 million yuan for Q1 2025, despite revenue growth of 35.08% to 2.292 billion yuan [13] Group 5 - Xinhongye reported a net profit of 34.43 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.43%, with revenue of 755 million yuan [15] - Huning Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 3.61 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 45.68%, with revenue of 64.51 million yuan [16] - Camel Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 237 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 51.89%, with revenue of 4.136 billion yuan [17] Group 6 - Hengtong Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 42.55 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 51.62%, with revenue of 313 million yuan [19] - Changqing Technology reported a net profit of 35.38 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 23.80%, with revenue of 246 million yuan [21] - Libaba Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 34.72 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.91%, with revenue of 419 million yuan [22] Group 7 - Shouxiangu reported a net profit of 58.37 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 24.32%, with revenue of 171 million yuan [24] - Bojun Technology announced a stock issuance application accepted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [24] - Dayou Energy announced the full resumption of production at its Gengcun coal mine, with an annual production capacity of 3.6 million tons [25] Group 8 - Deyang Co., Ltd. successfully acquired land use rights for industrial land in Ningbo for 45.80 million yuan [27] - Tianyu Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for an injectable product [29] - Xingwang Yuda signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the Jilin Province Bionic Robot Innovation Center [30] Group 9 - Lifang Pharmaceutical received approval for clinical trials of a new drug [32] - Zai Sheng Technology reported a net profit of 33.56 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.69%, with revenue of 324 million yuan [34] - Jinxin Technology reported a net profit of 319,920 yuan for Q1 2025, turning from loss to profit, with revenue of 563 million yuan [36] Group 10 - Huayin Electric reported a net profit of 75.67 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 894.61%, with revenue of 2.307 billion yuan [37] - Xinghua Co., Ltd. reported a net loss of 95.51 million yuan for Q1 2025, with revenue of 840 million yuan [38] - Heren Technology reported a net loss of 384,410 yuan for Q1 2025, with revenue of 78.40 million yuan [40] Group 11 - Fenda Technology reported a net profit of 40.45 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 84.07%, with revenue of 760 million yuan [41] - Tongda Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 25.49 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 69.15%, with revenue of 6.201 billion yuan [43] - Zhonghe Holdings reported a net profit of 283 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 54.69%, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.3 yuan per 10 shares [44] Group 12 - Jiantou Energy reported a net profit of 531 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 181.59%, with a proposed cash dividend of 1.3 yuan per 10 shares [44] - Guanghua Technology reported a net loss of 205 million yuan for 2024, with revenue of 2.589 billion yuan [45] - Huajin Technology reported a net profit of 29.26 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, with a proposed cash dividend of 9 yuan per 10 shares [46] Group 13 - Yingke Medical reported a net profit of 1.465 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 282.63%, with a proposed cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares [46] - Solar Energy reported a net profit of 1.225 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 22.38%, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.56 yuan per 10 shares [46] - Dongfang Electric reported a net profit of 318 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 50.62%, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.32 yuan per 10 shares [47] Group 14 - Tianneng Heavy Industry reported a net loss of 262 million yuan for 2024, with revenue of 3.273 billion yuan [48] - Gangyan High-tech reported a net profit of 249 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 22.08%, with a proposed cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares [48] - Shihua Machinery reported a net profit of 96.88 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.35%, with revenue of 8.037 billion yuan [49] Group 15 - Gongtong Pharmaceutical reported a net loss of 27.59 million yuan for 2024, with revenue of 537 million yuan [51] - Zhongjing Electronics reported a net loss of 87.43 million yuan for 2024, with revenue of 2.932 billion yuan [53] - Yudai Development reported a net loss of 114 million yuan for 2024, with revenue of 388 million yuan [55] Group 16 - Zhenhua Technology reported a net profit of 970 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 63.83%, with a proposed cash dividend of 1.8 yuan per 10 shares [56] - Jierong Technology reported a net loss of 298 million yuan for 2024, with revenue of 1.357 billion yuan [58] - Changgao Electric New reported a net profit of 252 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 45.66%, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.8 yuan per 10 shares [60] Group 17 - Shibao Detection announced a plan to acquire 81% of Zhonghuan Lianshu for 52.65 million yuan [61] - Jiangsu Boyun announced a plan to reduce its shareholding by up to 3% [62] - Jingfeng Mingyuan announced a plan to acquire 100% of Yichong Technology for 3.283 billion yuan [63]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the short - term, V2509 is expected to show a volatile trend, with support around 4930 and resistance around 5100. The supply pressure has increased in the short - term due to the restart of the 800,000 - ton Bohua device this week, while the demand of downstream PVC floor enterprises, pipes and profiles is affected by factors such as tariff shocks and the weak real estate situation. The decline of calcium carbide prices is expected to slow down, and the ethylene market's external sales pressure has eased, but demand follow - up is still insufficient. The US trade policy still has uncertainties [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures Market - The closing price of PVC futures is 4968 yuan/ton, down 38 yuan; the trading volume is 629,540 lots, down 238,592 lots; the open interest is 921,503 lots, up 17,875 lots. The long position of the top 20 futures holders is 776,033 lots, down 8,672 lots; the short position is 856,251 lots, up 7,471 lots; the net long position is - 80,218 lots, down 16,143 lots [3]. 2. Spot Market - In the East China region, the price of ethylene - based PVC is 5075 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of calcium carbide - based PVC is 4806.15 yuan/ton, unchanged. In the South China region, the price of ethylene - based PVC is 5070 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan; the price of calcium carbide - based PVC is 4876.25 yuan/ton, up 14.38 yuan. The CIF price of PVC in China is 700 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the CIF price in Southeast Asia is 670 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the FOB price in Northwest Europe is 785 US dollars/ton, unchanged. The basis of PVC is - 188 yuan/ton, up 38 yuan [3]. 3. Upstream Situation - The mainstream average price of calcium carbide in Central China is 2850 yuan/ton, unchanged; in North China is 2806.67 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Northwest China is 2568 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan. The mainstream price of liquid chlorine in Inner Mongolia is 50.5 yuan/ton, unchanged. The CFR mid - price of VCM in the Far East is 524 US dollars/ton, unchanged; in Southeast Asia is 541 US dollars/ton, unchanged. The CFR mid - price of EDC in the Far East is 206 US dollars/ton, down 20 US dollars; in Southeast Asia is 211 US dollars/ton, down 10 US dollars [3]. 4. Industry Situation - The operating rate of PVC is 77.35%, up 0.68 percentage points; the operating rate of calcium carbide - based PVC is 79.35%, up 0.13 percentage points; the operating rate of ethylene - based PVC is 72.09%, up 2.11 percentage points. The total social inventory of PVC is 441,400 tons, down 9,200 tons; the total social inventory in the East China region is 395,200 tons, down 10,000 tons; the total social inventory in the South China region is 46,200 tons, up 800 tons [3]. 5. Downstream Situation - The national real estate climate index is 93.96, up 0.16. The cumulative value of new housing construction area is 129.9646 million square meters, up 63.8246 million square meters; the cumulative value of real estate construction area is 6.1370544 billion square meters, up 7.73344 million square meters; the cumulative value of real estate development investment is 110.0202 billion yuan, up 48.9131 billion yuan [3]. 6. Options Market - The 20 - day historical volatility of PVC is 15.72%, up 0.11 percentage points; the 40 - day historical volatility is 14.61%, down 0.01 percentage points. The implied volatility of at - the - money put options is 19.68%, up 0.89 percentage points; the implied volatility of at - the - money call options is 19.68%, up 0.88 percentage points [3]. 7. Industry News - On April 24, the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that there was no consultation or negotiation on tariffs between China and the US, let alone an agreement. On April 24, the cash - on - delivery price of Changzhou PVCSG5 in the warehouse remained stable compared with the previous day, ranging from 4740 to 4840 yuan/ton. From April 12 to 18, China's PVC capacity utilization rate was 77.35%, a month - on - month increase of 0.68%. As of April 24, the PVC social inventory of the new (41) samples decreased by 5.15% month - on - month to 6.877 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 20.77% [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's basic warehouse business shows strong resilience, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 2.62% to 2.554 billion yuan in 2024, and a net profit increase of 9.79% to 787 million yuan [4][6] - The company has a robust growth trajectory in its adsorption materials segment, with total production increasing by 33.4% to 65,700 tons and sales volume increasing by 33.6% to 63,700 tons [6][9] - The internationalization strategy is yielding results, with overseas revenue growing by 45.1% to 655 million yuan in 2024 [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 577 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.58%, but net profit increased by 14.18% to 193 million yuan [5][8] - The company’s gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 50.79%, up 5.37 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 33.90%, up 6.79 percentage points year-on-year [8] Business Segments - The life sciences segment generated revenue of 568 million yuan in 2024, a growth of 28% year-on-year, driven by the company's solid phase synthesis carriers [9] - The water treatment segment saw revenue of 688 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34% [9] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 3.283 billion yuan, 4.245 billion yuan, and 5.561 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10][12] - The net profit forecasts for the same years are 1.059 billion yuan, 1.371 billion yuan, and 1.872 billion yuan, indicating a strong growth potential [10][12]

Group 1 - In the first quarter, Yichun's total import and export reached 5.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.1% [1] - Exports amounted to 4.46 billion yuan, growing by 30.3%, while imports were 690 million yuan, increasing by 4.3% [1] - Production-oriented enterprises dominated the foreign trade, accounting for 81.7% of the total foreign trade value [1] Group 2 - Private enterprises played a significant role as a "stabilizer" in foreign trade, with imports and exports reaching 3.36 billion yuan, a growth of 36.9% [1] - Foreign-invested enterprises had imports and exports of 1.7 billion yuan, growing by 9%, while state-owned enterprises accounted for 97.37 million yuan, increasing by 27.2% [1] Group 3 - Trade with major partners showed overall growth, with ASEAN, EU, Japan, and the US seeing respective trade values of 1.27 billion yuan, 810 million yuan, 700 million yuan, and 630 million yuan [2] - Trade with Belt and Road countries reached 2.62 billion yuan, growing by 38.7%, while trade with other RCEP members was 2.2 billion yuan, increasing by 47.1% [2] Group 4 - Processing trade continued to rise, with imports and exports totaling 1.25 billion yuan, a growth of 89.8%, accounting for 24.3% of the total [2] - Mechanical and electrical products maintained a rapid growth rate, with exports of 2.01 billion yuan, increasing by 67.7% [2] Group 5 - The demand for intermediate goods remained stable, with imports totaling 620 million yuan, a growth of 5.2%, making up 90.7% of total imports [3] - Integrated circuits and inorganic chemicals saw imports of 220 million yuan and 100 million yuan, growing by 5.7% and 34.7% respectively [3]

Core Insights - The primary form of plastic production in Heilongjiang Province for December 2024 was 20.9 thousand tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% and a decline of 10.7 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] - For the entire year of 2024, the total primary form of plastic production reached 248.3 thousand tons, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 24.2%, which is 44.5 percentage points higher than the previous year [1] Monthly Production Analysis - In December 2024, the primary form of plastic production in Heilongjiang accounted for 1.8% of the national total of 1,135.01 thousand tons, indicating a lower growth rate compared to the national average [1] - The monthly production statistics illustrate a downward trend in December, contrasting with the overall annual growth observed throughout 2024 [1] Annual Production Overview - The total primary form of plastic production for the year 2024 was 248.3 thousand tons, which is 1.9% of the national total of 12,751.63 thousand tons, highlighting the province's contribution to the national output [1] - The annual growth rate of 24.2% in 2024 was significantly higher than the national growth rate by 19.9 percentage points, indicating a strong recovery in production compared to the previous year [1]

Group 1: Gold Market Insights - Gold prices have surged to $3,500 per ounce, with predictions from Goldman Sachs raising the 2025 year-end forecast from $3,300 to $3,700 per ounce, and a potential target of $4,500 under bullish scenarios [1] - UBS has also increased its gold price forecast to $3,500, highlighting strong purchasing potential from both institutional and retail investors in China, indicating a release of pent-up demand [1] - The options market has seen extreme volatility, with some contracts experiencing maximum increases of up to 9,800% [3][4] Group 2: Huawei AI Chip Developments - Huawei plans to begin large-scale shipments of its advanced 910C AI chip to Chinese customers as early as next month, with some shipments already initiated [5] - The 910C chip offers double the computing power and memory capacity of its predecessor, the 910B, and is comparable in performance to NVIDIA's H100 chip [5] Group 3: A-Share Market Performance - The A-share market showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.25% but failing to reclaim the 3,300-point mark, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.36% and 0.82%, respectively [7] - The market saw a total turnover of 11,213 billion yuan, with over 2,500 stocks rising and 93 stocks hitting the daily limit up [7] Group 4: Plastic Industry Challenges - Chinese plastic factories reliant on imported ethane from the U.S. face significant production risks due to high tariffs, leading to potential shutdowns if they cannot secure alternative raw materials [9][10] - The current tariff of 125% results in a loss of $184 per ton for Chinese factories processing U.S. ethane, compared to a potential profit of over $100 per ton without tariffs [10] Group 5: Sector Performance and Trends - The retail, construction materials, and transportation sectors are leading in performance, while media, communication, and computer sectors are lagging [22] - The trading heat in sectors like oil and gas, retail, and electronics is increasing, while non-bank financials, agriculture, and light manufacturing are at historical low PE ratios [22]

Core Insights - The production of primary plastic shapes in Liaoning Province for November 2024 was 555,000 tons, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.9% and a decline in growth rate of 9.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - For the period from January to November 2024, the total production of primary plastic shapes reached 5,792,000 tons, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.1% and a decrease in growth rate of 6.6 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] Monthly Production Analysis - In November 2024, Liaoning's primary plastic production accounted for 5.0% of the national total of 11,100,999.1 tons [1] - The cumulative production from January to November 2024 represented 4.9% of the national total of 11,738,270.7 tons [3] Historical Context - The term "primary plastic" was previously referred to as plastic resins and copolymers before 2004 [4] - Since 2011, the threshold for large-scale industrial enterprises in China has been raised from an annual main business income of 5 million yuan to 20 million yuan [4]

计震荡走势，下方关注7120附近支撑，上方关注7300附近压力。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:聚丙烯(日,元/吨) | 7189 | 0 1月合约收盘价:聚丙烯(日,元/吨) | 7115 | -3 | | | 5月合约收盘价:聚丙烯(日,元/吨) | 7271 | 6 9月合约收盘价:聚丙烯(日,元/吨) | 7189 | 0 | | | 成交量聚丙烯(PP)(日,手) | 269738 | -47110 持仓量聚丙烯(PP)(日, ...