Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance have released a notice regarding the implementation of large-scale equipment updates and consumer goods replacement policies in 2026, optimizing support scope, subsidy standards, and implementation mechanisms [1] Group 1: Optimization of Support Scope - The support scope for equipment updates will generally continue from 2025, focusing on key consumer goods with strong coverage and driving effects for the consumer goods replacement policy [2] - The policy will enhance support for the installation of elevators in old residential areas, equipment updates in elderly care institutions, and updates for fire rescue and inspection equipment [3] Group 2: Optimization of Subsidy Standards - The subsidy for updating old residential elevators will shift from a fixed amount to a tiered subsidy based on the number of elevator floors [2] - The subsidy for scrapping and updating old operational trucks will prioritize the replacement with electric trucks [3] - The subsidy for household appliances will focus on products with a 1st-level energy efficiency or water efficiency rating, providing 15% of the product price with a maximum subsidy of 1,500 yuan per item [3] Group 3: Optimization of Implementation Mechanism - The project application mechanism and review process for equipment updates will be optimized to lower the investment threshold for applications, increasing support for small and medium-sized enterprises [2] - The notice emphasizes the need for strict enforcement against fraudulent subsidy claims and illegal practices [4] - Local governments are required to organize and implement the policies effectively, enhancing the efficacy of the "Two New" policies [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Sichuan Provincial Department of Commerce announced new subsidy policies for the replacement of old vehicles and the purchase of new household appliances, digital, and smart products starting January 1, 2026, aimed at boosting consumer spending and promoting energy-efficient products [1]. Automotive Trade-In Subsidies - The automotive trade-in subsidy allows individuals to receive a one-time subsidy for scrapping eligible vehicles registered before specific dates, with a maximum subsidy of 20,000 yuan for new energy vehicles and 15,000 yuan for fuel vehicles with an engine size of 2.0 liters or less [2][3]. - Consumers can apply for the subsidy through designated online platforms, and each individual can only claim either the scrapping or trade-in subsidy once [3]. Household Appliances and Digital Products Subsidies - The subsidy for household appliances and digital products will also start on January 1, 2026, with a 15% subsidy on the sales price for energy-efficient appliances, capped at 1,500 yuan per item, and similar terms for digital products with a cap of 500 yuan [4]. - The subsidy applies to personal consumers, including foreign nationals and residents from Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan, with specific conditions regarding the shipping address [4]. Subsidy Distribution Method - The subsidies will be distributed using a "subsidy deduction" model, with "Cloud Flash Payment" serving as the coupon service platform, allowing consumers to claim subsidies daily from 9:00 AM to 11:00 PM [5].

Core Viewpoint - The New Year's holiday in Guangxi has seen a significant boost in consumer activity, driven by a new round of trade-in policies and collaborative efforts among local governments, banks, and businesses, particularly in Nanning, which has emerged as a leading market for holiday consumption [1][4]. Group 1: Consumer Activity and Trends - Nanning has innovatively created diverse consumption scenarios during the holiday, including immersive performances and smart home experiences, which have attracted significant foot traffic and consumer engagement [2][3]. - Key shopping districts in Nanning reported a 21% increase in daily foot traffic and a 16% rise in sales during the holiday period, with some shopping centers experiencing over a 30% increase in visitor numbers [4]. - The introduction of various promotional activities, such as cultural events and themed exhibitions, has further stimulated consumer interest and spending [2][4]. Group 2: Cross-Industry Collaboration - The integration of commerce, culture, and tourism has been highlighted through events like concerts, which have significantly increased hotel bookings and travel to Nanning, with hotel reservations up 17 times compared to the previous year [5]. - Over 400 cultural and tourism activities were organized across the region, enhancing the overall consumer experience and driving economic activity [5][6]. Group 3: Trade-In Policies and Sales Performance - The launch of a trade-in program for home appliances and smart products has led to a doubling of sales for certain energy-efficient appliances, with government subsidies further incentivizing purchases [7]. - Within just two days of the trade-in policy's implementation, over 1 million yuan in subsidies were claimed, resulting in sales exceeding 4,125 million yuan [7]. - Sales of home appliances and communication devices during the holiday period saw year-on-year increases of 4.2% and 5.0%, respectively [7]. Group 4: Price Stability and Market Monitoring - The overall price of essential goods remained stable during the holiday, with minor fluctuations in certain categories, ensuring a well-functioning market without significant disruptions [8].

Travel and Transportation - Approximately 590 million trips were made during the New Year holiday, averaging about 198 million trips per day, indicating a strong demand for travel [4] - The opening of the Xi'an to Yan'an high-speed railway reduced travel time to about 1 hour, contributing to a 165% increase in daily visitor numbers at the Hukou Waterfall scenic area [3][4] - Didi's ride-hailing demand surged by 31% year-on-year during the holiday, with peak demand exceeding 189,000 requests per minute on New Year's Eve [4] Cultural and Tourism Trends - The concept of "experience" and "ceremony" became key themes in cultural tourism consumption, with searches for "New Year travel" increasing by 125% year-on-year [6] - Popular destinations for ice and snow tourism accounted for 40% of the top 20 domestic flight routes during the holiday, highlighting a growing interest in winter activities [7] Consumer Market Dynamics - The introduction of the "National Subsidy" program led to a surge in the home appliance market, with foot traffic in stores increasing by 110% during the holiday [8] - The government allocated 62.5 billion yuan for consumer goods replacement programs to stimulate demand during peak seasons like New Year and Spring Festival [8] International Tourism and Shopping - Policies such as expanding visa-free travel and optimizing tax refunds for outbound tourists have boosted the popularity of "China travel" and "China shopping" among international visitors [9] - Foreign tourists are increasingly attracted to China's diverse shopping experiences, with reports of long queues at popular shopping destinations [10]

Group 1: US Market Performance - On January 2, US stocks opened high but closed lower, with the Nasdaq initially rising over 1% [1] - Chip stocks in the US saw a broad increase, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising over 4.5%, including significant gains from Nvidia, Intel, and ASML [1] - Major tech stocks such as Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Netflix experienced declines [1] Group 2: Chinese Stocks Performance - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index surged nearly 4%, with notable increases in popular Chinese stocks [2] - Baidu Group rose over 12%, while iQIYI increased by over 9% [2] - Other significant gainers included WanGuo Data, Century Internet, and various tech companies, with increases ranging from 5% to over 8% [2] Group 3: Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market opened strong, with major indices closing significantly higher: Hang Seng Index up 2.76%, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 2.86%, and Hang Seng Tech Index up 4.0% [3] - Sectors such as AI, semiconductors, commercial aerospace, electrical equipment, home appliances, and automotive showed strong performance throughout the day [3] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Analysts suggest that the strong performance of Chinese assets on the first trading day of 2026 indicates a continuation of the structural bull market from 2025 [4] - The investment focus for 2026 is expected to be on hard technology sectors like semiconductors and AI, alongside policy-driven consumer sectors such as home appliances and automotive [4] - The offshore RMB exchange rate against the US dollar strengthened, breaking above 6.97, reaching its highest level since May 2023 [4]

Economic Outlook - China's economy is expected to reach 140 trillion yuan this year, marking a significant increase in economic, technological, and national defense strength [1] - The country is experiencing a rise in people's sense of gain, happiness, and security, contributing to a positive economic outlook [1] Automotive and Technology Industry - The introduction of the first L3-level autonomous driving special license plates in Beijing and Chongqing signifies China's leadership in the electric vehicle sector and its rapid advancement towards smart technology [3] - The integration of various advanced technologies, including AI models and robotics, is injecting vitality into multiple industries, showcasing the deep fusion of technology and industry [3] Cultural and Tourism Sector - The cultural and tourism market is thriving, with increased attendance at cultural venues and events, reflecting a growing demand for cultural experiences and boosting consumer confidence [4] - The popularity of traditional culture and its representation in modern media is enhancing cultural self-confidence and contributing to domestic consumption [4] Social Policies and Consumer Support - New social policies, including free preschool education and the addition of 114 new drugs to medical insurance with an average price reduction of over 60%, are aimed at improving people's livelihoods [5] - The government is focusing on supporting the consumption of smart products and facilitating upgrades in various sectors, which aligns with the trend of high-end, intelligent, and green consumption [5]

柳州某家电家居旗舰店负责人 刘荣春：例如您购买一台1万元的电视，国补最高补贴1500元，我们在这个基础上会追加补贴接近15%，也会补贴1500元。这 样综合的话就在30个点，让更多消费者能享受到国家的政策，给我们带来了更多的销售信心。 四川：国补新政落地 消费市场活力涌现 元旦假期，四川各地消费市场热度攀升，"以旧换新"的政策红利叠加节日效应，不断激发消费新活力。 1月1日，新一轮"国补"正式开始。2026年首批625亿元国补资金已下达，延续消费品以旧换新，并加大对设备更新的支持力度。 广西：国补焕新开启 消费热度攀升 柳州、贵港是广西今年首批启动消费品以旧换新补贴活动的城市，消费者在指定商家购买家电、数码和智能产品可享受补贴直接减免，政策红利精准激活消 费活力。 0:00 在柳州一家电家居旗舰店，市民谭先生带着家人选购电视。得知补贴活动启动，他一早便到店，下单了心仪的机型。 依据国家相关政策，本次以旧换新全国统一覆盖四大领域，包括汽车报废与置换更新、6类家电以旧换新及4类数码智能产品购新。其中，个人消费者购买一 级能效或水效的冰箱、洗衣机等6类家电，以及单价不超6000元的手机、平板等4类数码和智能产品，可 ...

Global Macro Assets - Major overseas stock indices showed mixed performance during the New Year holiday, with the US indices declining: Nasdaq down 1.6%, Dow Jones down 1.4%, and S&P 500 down 1.1% [2][7] - Long-term bond yields in major developed countries mostly rebounded, with the 10Y US Treasury yield rising by 5.0 basis points to 4.19% [9][12] - Oil prices continued to weaken, with WTI and Brent crude down 1.8% and 2.4% respectively, while gold prices quickly retreated by 3.7% after reaching a historical high [12][13] Overseas Fundamentals & Data - The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes revealed a division of opinions among officials regarding future interest rate cuts, with some supporting a pause [15] - Initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending December 27 were 199,000, lower than the expected 218,000 [17] - The US military conducted airstrikes in Venezuela, escalating geopolitical tensions, with President Trump claiming the capture of Venezuelan President Maduro [20] - Trump announced a delay in tariff increases on furniture and kitchen cabinets from January 1, 2026, to January 1, 2027 [25] Domestic Events & Data - During the New Year holiday, domestic travel intensity increased significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 20.3% in cross-regional passenger flow [30][37] - Domestic tourism, particularly "ice and snow tourism" and "winter escape tourism," saw a notable rise, while cross-border travel experienced a decline [43] - The average ticket price for economy class flights during the New Year holiday was 597 yuan, showing a slight decrease of 1.1% year-on-year [50] - The film market showed steady recovery, with daily box office revenue increasing by 42.5% compared to the same period in 2025 [53]

Core Viewpoint - The Changchun Municipal Bureau of Commerce has announced the extension of the "Ice and Snow Carnival: Enjoy Consumption" appliance coupon subsidy program until January 30, 2026, at 24:00, with the program ending immediately if funds are exhausted [1] Group 1: Supported Categories - The subsidy program includes 6 categories of major appliances: range hoods, gas stoves (including integrated stoves), dishwashers, water purifiers, microwave ovens (including integrated machines), and rice cookers [2] - The program also covers 10 categories of small appliances: robotic vacuum cleaners, induction cookers (including electric ceramic stoves), ovens (including steam ovens), air purifiers (including fresh air systems), humidifiers (dehumidifiers), heaters (including air conditioning fans), printers (scanners), food processors, hair dryers, and electric pressure cookers [2] Group 2: Subsidy Standards - For major appliances, the subsidy is 20% of the sales price for products with a 1st-level energy or water efficiency standard, capped at 2000 yuan per item; for 2nd-level and other standards, the subsidy is 15%, capped at 1500 yuan per item. Each consumer can receive a subsidy for one item per category [3] - For small appliances, the subsidy is 15% of the sales price, with a cap of 1500 yuan per item, and each consumer can receive a subsidy for one item per category [3] Group 3: Specific Process - Consumers must log in to the Cloud Flash Payment APP to claim the consumption coupons, which are valid for the day of issuance and expire at 24:00 if not used. If a return occurs, consumers can reapply for the government subsidy the day after the return [4] - At the time of payment, consumers must use a linked bank card in the Cloud Flash Payment APP to automatically redeem the government subsidy. For 3C digital products, SN code verification is required during purchase [4] Group 4: Other Matters - The list of merchants eligible for redemption remains unchanged [5] - Consumers must provide real-name information to merchants and request a real-name invoice when purchasing subsidized products [6] - Other rules of the program remain unchanged [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the positive trend in cash dividends among companies listed in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, indicating a stable and transparent dividend mechanism that enhances shareholder recognition and boosts the market image and long-term investment value of companies [1][2]. Group 1: Dividend Trends and Amounts - In 2025, companies in the Shenzhen market are expected to distribute over 500 billion yuan in dividends, with more than 18 companies anticipated to announce distributions exceeding 10 billion yuan at the beginning of 2026 [1]. - By the end of 2025, a total of 5,475.59 billion yuan in cash dividends will be distributed, contributing to a cumulative total of over 20 trillion yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4]. - The number of companies disclosing mid-term dividend plans in 2025 reached 535, an increase of 7.24% year-on-year [3]. Group 2: Regulatory and Policy Support - Recent policies, including the new "National Nine Articles," have strengthened the regulation of cash dividends and increased incentives for companies with high-quality dividend practices [2]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued guidelines to encourage cash dividends, aiming to enhance the frequency and level of dividends among listed companies [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Governance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Shenzhen-listed companies achieved a total operating revenue of 15.72 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 903.02 billion yuan, up 9.69% [2]. - The improvement in corporate governance has led to more standardized and predictable dividend distributions, enhancing transparency and investor confidence [3]. Group 4: Sector-Specific Dividend Highlights - Leading companies in the consumer and financial sectors have shown strong dividend distribution activity, with notable examples including Wuliangye and Gree Electric, which announced significant cash distributions in late 2025 [5][6]. - In the advanced manufacturing sector, companies like CITIC Special Steel and Weichai Power have also implemented substantial mid-term dividends, reflecting a robust return mechanism [5][6]. - The green and low-carbon sector is represented by companies like CATL, which distributed significant dividends, further demonstrating the trend of stable dividends across various industries [7].