智通财经APP获悉，随着美国股市在进入2026年之际交易于高企的估值水平，美国银行证券策略师萨维 塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚建议投资者将目光投向整体市场之外，聚焦选择性行业机会，特别是医疗保健和房地 产板块。 在12月31日发布的题为"AI之外的生命线"的策略报告中，萨勃拉曼尼亚指出，标普500指数在几乎每一 项主要估值指标上都显得昂贵，尽管结构性差异使得与历史的直接对比并不完全准确。 在该机构追踪的20项估值指标中，该指数在18项上均显示出昂贵水平，其中市值与GDP之比、市净率、 股价与经营性现金流之比以及企业价值与销售额之比等指标均接近历史高位。在九项指标上，当前估值 已超过2000年3月互联网泡沫顶峰时期的水平。 尽管当今指数的构成反映了比以往周期更优质、资产更轻、杠杆更低的企业，萨勃拉曼尼亚表示，指数 层面的风险仍然较高。美国银行对2026年底标普500指数的目标点位设定在7,100点，低于市场普遍预 期。 "牛市总在某些地方存在，"报告称，并主张投资者应聚焦行业板块而非单纯持有指数。 医疗与房地产板块脱颖而出 萨勃拉曼尼亚指出了近年来推动标普500指数盈利增长的两股力量之间潜在的冲突：人工智能的崛起和 美国消 ...

高盛交易部门将2026年美股投资聚焦于AI应用的深化阶段，从基础设施投资转向实际生产力提升。这 一转变反映出市场在经历三年AI狂热后，开始更加审慎地评估哪些公司能够真正将技术转化为盈利能 力。 据高盛衍生品策略师Brian Garrett总结的三大主题交易策略包括：做多采用AI提升生产率的公司、做空 面向低收入群体的可选消费品公司，以及做多优质AI股票同时做空脆弱AI股票的配对交易。 高盛交易团队表示，尽管2025年GDP增长强劲，但劳动力市场表现疲弱，尤其是夏季月份出现负就业增 长，失业率从6月的4.1%升至11月的4.6%。K型经济特征持续显著，低收入群体继续承受高物价压力， 而高收入群体资产财富大幅增长。 高盛推荐的低收入消费者非必需品公司指数在2025年表现落后于标普500和标普493指数。该行预计这一 主题将在2026年延续，因为低收入消费者在负担能力危机中继续挣扎。 分析指出，这些策略旨在捕捉美国经济"K型复苏"和AI应用分化的市场机遇，也反映了AI技术从投资 阶段向应用阶段的转变，以及市场对AI相关投资日益严格的筛选标准。 高盛首席市场策略师Tony Pasquariello在年度首份报告中指出 ...

来源：滚动播报 周五早盘，澳大利亚股市下跌， 基准指数S&P/ASX200 指数下跌 0.1%，至 8705.20 点。在市值至少为 150 亿澳元（约合 100.1 亿美元）的本地公司中，北方之星资源公司（Northern Star Resources）表现最 差，股价暴跌 7.7%，进化矿业公司（Evolution Mining）股价下跌 0.9%。South32 公司股价下跌 0.8%。 Suncorp 集团涨幅最大，上涨 0.6%，澳洲航空上涨了 0.4%。Sigma Healthcare 股价上涨 0.3%，位列涨幅 前三。在货币方面，美元指数稳定在 95.95。美元兑澳元升值 0.1%，报1.50 澳元。在债券市场，澳大利 亚 10 年期国债收益率上升 2.87 个基点，至 4.792%。 ...

Economic Performance - The U.S. economy has shown resilience with a real GDP annualized growth rate consistently above 2% in the first three quarters of 2025, excluding tariff impacts[5] - However, there is a stark contrast between macroeconomic data and micro-level experiences, with declining employment market activity and falling consumer confidence[5] Structural Issues - The economic growth is characterized by a "K-shaped" divergence, where a narrow prosperity in certain sectors, like AI, contrasts with widespread slowdown in others[5] - AI-related investments contributed 0.8 percentage points to the real GDP growth, while personal consumption expenditures contributed 1.8 percentage points, indicating a dual-driven economic model[13] Industry Disparities - Traditional cyclical industries, particularly real estate, are experiencing downturns due to high interest rates and housing prices, with residential investment maintaining negative growth[17] - The real estate sector is under pressure, with mortgage burdens at historical highs, limiting demand and investment willingness[17] Consumer Behavior - Wealth concentration is evident, with the top 20% of income earners holding nearly 90% of stock and mutual fund assets, exacerbating the K-shaped economic divide[23] - Consumer spending is increasingly reliant on high-end sectors, while essential goods and services show weaker performance, reflecting structural imbalances in consumption[34] Political Implications - The upcoming 2026 elections are expected to focus on improving living standards, with the Trump administration likely to adopt a dual strategy of encouraging AI investment and enhancing social welfare[36] - The administration's policies may aim to address economic disparities to regain public support, especially as approval ratings decline[36] Risks - Potential risks include aggressive policies leading to economic downturns, unexpected tariff expansions causing global economic slowdowns, and geopolitical tensions increasing asset price volatility[47]

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance have allocated 62.5 billion yuan for the first batch of special bonds to support the consumption upgrade policy for old goods replacement in 2026 [6] - The new policy will expand support to include the installation of elevators in old residential areas, equipment updates in elderly care institutions, and facilities for fire rescue, among others, to better meet public needs [6] - The policy aims to optimize application conditions and review processes, lowering the investment threshold for equipment updates, and increasing support for small and medium-sized enterprises [6] Group 2 - The implementation regulations for the Value-Added Tax Law will take effect on January 1, 2026, detailing taxpayer and tax scope, applicable tax rates, and tax calculation methods [7] - Individuals selling residential properties purchased for less than two years will be subject to a 3% VAT, while those selling properties held for two years or more will be exempt from VAT starting January 1, 2026 [7] Group 3 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a digital transformation implementation plan for the automotive industry, aiming for significant improvements in smart manufacturing capabilities and digitalization by 2027 [8] - The plan includes enhancing labor productivity by 10% and reducing product development and delivery cycles by 20% by 2027 [8] Group 4 - Beijing's Health Commission has released measures to support the innovation and development of the artificial intelligence industry in healthcare, aiming to establish a comprehensive AI product development and application model by 2027 [9] - The goal is to create a support system for AI in healthcare that ensures precise demand matching, efficient data flow, rapid technology transfer, and collaborative ecosystem development [9]

Core Viewpoint - Southbound capital has accelerated its expansion, significantly enhancing market pricing power, with cumulative net inflow exceeding 5 trillion HKD since the launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, reaching a record high of 6.27 trillion HKD by November 2025, accounting for 13.05% of the total market capitalization of Hong Kong stocks [4][5]. Group 1: Capital Flow and Market Impact - The pace of capital allocation has notably increased, with net buying in the first three quarters of 2025 surpassing the total for 2024, indicating a rare acceleration in allocation rhythm [4]. - Southbound capital's trading volume has risen to over 50% of the total trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market, reflecting its growing influence [4]. - The behavior of capital allocation has shifted from "sentiment overflow" to "value-driven," with southbound capital transitioning from speculative traders to pricing anchors in the Hong Kong market [4]. Group 2: Long-term Evolution of Southbound Capital Allocation - At the primary industry level, the allocation has evolved from a "finance and real estate-dominated" structure to a diversified structure centered on "finance, technology, and consumption," supplemented by healthcare and utilities [5]. - At the secondary industry level, the investment style has shifted from value-oriented to a growth style dominated by technology and new consumption, incorporating defensive and resource factors [5]. - The consistency between net inflow structure and holding changes reaffirms that southbound capital has matured into a forward-looking and stable long-term allocation force, enhancing its impact on the long-term pricing of Hong Kong stocks [5]. Group 3: Southbound Capital Allocation in 2025 - As of November 30, 2025, cumulative net buying of southbound capital has exceeded 1.38 trillion HKD, with a trading share approaching 50%, becoming a crucial support for liquidity and pricing in the Hong Kong stock market [6]. - Core allocations remain stable, with marginal industry rotations observed; finance and non-essential consumption have been the most stable net inflow lines, while information technology and healthcare have provided flexibility and rebalancing [6]. Group 4: Stock-Level Insights - Incremental capital continues to concentrate on high liquidity and fundamentally sound industry leaders, with a slight decrease in the proportion of the top ten and top fifty holdings, indicating a notable internal rebalancing among core assets [7]. - The annual net inflow reflects a long-term preference for core assets, while monthly levels exhibit tactical flexibility around valuation, events, and sentiment [7]. - In November 2025, despite a mild decline in trading volume, the overall accumulation pace remained high, with a net buying of 121.895 billion HKD, primarily in non-essential consumption and finance [7].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On December 29, 55 Hong Kong-listed companies conducted share buybacks, totaling 37.9 million shares and an aggregate amount of HKD 999 million [1][2]. Group 1: Major Companies Involved in Buybacks - Tencent Holdings repurchased 1.057 million shares for HKD 636 million, with a yearly total buyback amount of HKD 78.765 billion [1][2]. - Xiaomi Group-W bought back 3.9 million shares for HKD 151 million, with a total buyback amount of HKD 6.136 billion for the year [1][2]. - China COSCO Shipping Holdings repurchased 3.46 million shares for HKD 47.9 million, with a total buyback amount of HKD 6.866 billion for the year [1][2]. Group 2: Buyback Statistics - The highest buyback amount on December 29 was from Tencent Holdings at HKD 636 million, followed by Xiaomi Group-W at HKD 151 million [1][2]. - The largest number of shares repurchased on December 29 was by Four Seasons Medicine, with 8 million shares, followed by Xiaomi Group-W and China COSCO Shipping Holdings with 3.9 million and 3.46 million shares, respectively [1][2]. Group 3: Additional Companies and Their Buyback Data - Kingsoft repurchased 713,600 shares for HKD 20 million, with a total buyback amount of HKD 33.465 million for the year [2]. - Kuaishou-W bought back 310,000 shares for HKD 20 million, with a total buyback amount of HKD 306.840 million for the year [2]. - Other notable companies include Miniso Group, which repurchased 320,600 shares for HKD 1.195 million, and Four Seasons Medicine, which had a total buyback amount of HKD 15.332 million for the year [2][3].

换手率方面，航天环宇换手率为36.11%，位居首位；中科微至换手率为0.17%，位居末位。 个股表现方面，瑞松科技、步科股份、上纬新材、航天环宇涨停，涨幅靠前；佳华科技跌8.10%，跌幅 居首。 成交额方面，寒武纪成交额134.1亿元，位居首位；ST帕瓦（维权）成交额625.1万元，位居末位。 转自：新华财经 新华财经北京12月29日电（胡晨曦）科创50指数12月29日早间微有高开，随后快速冲高，午后指数震荡 下挫，尾盘时一度翻绿，最终微幅收涨。至收盘时，科创50指数报1346.32点，涨幅0.04%，指数振幅为 1.66%，总成交额约584.9亿元。 12月29日，科创综指全日收涨0.23%，收于1638.08点，总成交额约2136亿元。 从盘面来看，剔除停牌的中微公司，科创板其余598只个股涨少跌多，高价股、低价股均多数下跌。细 分领域来看，医疗保健股、半导体股表现活跃，电气设备股、软件服务股跌幅靠前。 经新华财经统计，12月29日，剔除停牌的中微公司，科创板其余598只个股平均涨幅0.06%，平均换手 率2.94%，合计成交额2136亿元，平均振幅为3.84%。 编辑：王媛媛 ...

每经AI快讯，Wind数据显示，机构本周共调研了144家上市公司，其中领益智造（002600）最获关注， 参与调研的机构达106家。此外，普利特（002324）、光庭信息（301221）、广电计量（002967）、诺 德股份（600110）等均获超50家机构调研。从被调研总次数来看，泰和新材（002254）、燕京啤酒 （000729）、博盈特焊（301468）等获机构调研3次，箭牌家居（001322）、联环药业（600513）、中 农立华（603970）等7股均获机构调研3次。从调研行业来看，机构持续聚焦电子元件、工业机械、医疗 保健等板块。 ...

从被调研总次数来看，泰和新材、燕京啤酒、博盈特焊等获机构调研3次，箭牌家居、联环药业、中农 立华等7股均获机构调研3次。 从调研行业来看，机构持续聚焦电子元件、工业机械、医疗保健等板块。 Wind数据显示，机构本周共调研了144家上市公司，其中领益智造最获关注，参与调研的机构达106 家。此外，普利特、光庭信息、广电计量、诺德股份等均获超50家机构调研。 ...