Core Insights - The national carbon market in China is experiencing significant growth, with over 1,300 new key emission units added, leading to an increase in total greenhouse gas emissions by approximately 3 billion tons, now covering over 60% of the national CO2 emissions [1] - As of August 2025, the cumulative trading volume in the national carbon market reached 696 million tons, with a total transaction value of 47.826 billion yuan [1] - The market is becoming more active, with a 44% increase in daily trading volume compared to the previous compliance cycle, and a total transaction value of 18 billion yuan in 2024, the highest since the market's inception [2] Market Activity - The inclusion of the steel, cement, and aluminum industries has led to 1,277 new trading accounts being opened by key emission units as of August 2025 [2] - The trading willingness among key emission units has increased, with total buy and sell orders in the market rising by 232% year-on-year [2] - The average closing price of carbon credits was 69.30 yuan per ton as of August 2025, maintaining a reasonable range despite a global decline in carbon prices [2] Green Transition - The carbon market has played a crucial role in reducing carbon intensity in the power sector, which decreased by 10.8% from 2018 to 2024 [3] - A total of 564 key emission units in the power sector have achieved surplus quotas, amounting to 58.25 million tons, translating to approximately 4 billion yuan in revenue based on the average closing price [3] Policy Support - The central government has issued a comprehensive policy document aimed at advancing the national carbon market, with goals to cover major industrial sectors by 2027 and establish a robust trading system by 2030 [4] - The People's Bank of China is enhancing the green finance system to support the transition to a low-carbon economy [4] Data Governance - The establishment of a refined management process is seen as a key indicator of the maturity of the carbon market's data governance system [5] - Recommendations include developing cross-border carbon trading management measures to support international trading [5]

Core Insights - The expansion of the national carbon emissions trading market now includes steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries, increasing the total number of key emission units by over 1,300 and raising the total greenhouse gas emissions by approximately 3 billion tons, covering over 60% of the national carbon emissions [1][2] Group 1: Market Participation and Trading Dynamics - In 2024, the number of key emission units participating in the national carbon emissions trading market reached 1,471, a 1.38% increase from the previous compliance cycle, with trading activity showing an 18% year-on-year increase in transaction volume [2] - The willingness of key emission units to trade has increased significantly, with a 232% year-on-year rise in the total buy and sell orders for listed agreement trading by the end of August 2025 [2] - The number of key emission units selling quotas increased by 11.24% compared to the previous compliance cycle, indicating a gradual improvement in market supply and trading activity [2] Group 2: Trading Products and Price Trends - The national carbon emissions trading market has diversified its trading products, with five categories of carbon emission quotas released for trading, totaling transaction volumes of 287 million tons, 49.19 million tons, 194 million tons, 133 million tons, and 32.27 million tons for the years 2019 to 2024 [2] - In 2024, the total trading volume was 0.37 million tons for listed agreement trading and 1.52 million tons for bulk agreement trading, with the introduction of single-sided bidding trading in July 2025 enhancing market vitality [3] - The average closing price for carbon emissions in 2024 ranged from 69 yuan/ton to 106 yuan/ton, with a closing price of 97.49 yuan/ton at year-end, reflecting a 103.10% increase from the opening price on the first trading day in 2021 [3]

Group 1 - The national carbon market in China achieved a record high transaction value of approximately 48 billion RMB as of August 2024, marking the highest annual total since the market's launch in 2021 [1] - In 2024, the carbon emission trading market operated for 242 trading days, with an average daily transaction volume increasing by 43.55% compared to the previous compliance cycle, resulting in a total transaction volume of 1.89 million tons and a total transaction value of 18.114 billion RMB [1] - The carbon intensity of electricity generation in 2024 decreased by 10.8% compared to 2018, indicating the significant role of the carbon market in achieving emission reductions [1] Group 2 - The national voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction trading market was launched as a key policy tool to support China's "dual carbon" goals, with the first batch of certified voluntary emission reductions starting trading in March 2025 [2] - As of August 2024, the cumulative transaction volume in the voluntary reduction market reached 2.7061 million tons, with a transaction value of 229 million RMB and average prices exceeding 100 RMB per ton [2] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to steadily expand the coverage of the carbon market, enrich trading varieties and methods, and enhance international cooperation in the carbon market sector [2]

Group 1 - The "National Standards Going to the Grassroots" event was held in Gansu Province to promote the implementation of national carbon emission standards in key industries [1] - The event focused on five critical sectors: energy, chemicals, non-ferrous metals, new materials, and provided authoritative interpretations of the latest carbon emission standards [1] - Nearly 500 professionals from related enterprises, third-party verification agencies, and research institutions participated, enhancing carbon emission management capabilities [1] Group 2 - Gansu Province is leveraging national carbon emission standards to drive green and low-carbon transformation, helping enterprises clarify carbon accounting boundaries and reduction responsibilities [2] - Over 60 enterprises in the power generation, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries are included in the national carbon market, with power generation companies achieving 100% compliance in quota submissions for five consecutive years [2] - The carbon emission quota trading volume reached 15.02 million tons, with a transaction value of 0.925 billion yuan, and a provincial climate investment policy has mobilized approximately 16 billion yuan for green projects [2]

Group 1 - The "National Standards Going to the Grassroots" event in Gansu Province aims to promote the understanding and implementation of the latest national carbon emission standards among key industry enterprises [1] - The event featured authoritative interpretations of five newly released national standards, focusing on carbon emission quantification methods, monitoring specifications, reporting requirements, and verification points in critical sectors such as energy, chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and new materials [1] - Approximately 500 professional representatives from related enterprises, third-party verification agencies, and research institutions attended the event, enhancing their carbon emission management capabilities and solidifying the data foundation for achieving carbon neutrality goals [1] Group 2 - Since the introduction of the dual carbon goals in 2020, China has established a policy framework for carbon peak and carbon neutrality, resulting in a continuous decrease in carbon dioxide emission intensity [2] - Gansu Province has led the way in carbon emission standards, helping enterprises clarify carbon emission accounting boundaries and responsibilities, while actively optimizing energy structures and implementing energy-saving and carbon-reduction transformations [2] - Over 60 enterprises in the power generation, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries are included in the national carbon market, with key power generation enterprises achieving 100% compliance with quota submissions for five consecutive years [2] - The carbon emission quota trading volume reached 15.02 million tons, with a transaction value of 925 million yuan, and Gansu's first provincial climate investment and financing policy has mobilized approximately 16 billion yuan to support green projects [2] - Gansu Province has achieved a cumulative carbon intensity reduction of 56.3%, contributing significantly to the national carbon market expansion and climate investment innovation [2]

Core Insights - China is actively promoting efforts to address climate change and achieve carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, establishing the world's largest and fastest-growing renewable energy system [1] - The total installed capacity of wind and solar power has already met the 2030 national contribution target ahead of schedule [1] - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, China's carbon dioxide emission intensity has been continuously declining [1] Carbon Market Development - The construction of the national carbon market is progressing positively, with the establishment of the largest carbon trading market globally covering greenhouse gas emissions [1] - This year, new sectors including steel, cement, and aluminum smelting have been included, effectively managing over 60% of the national carbon dioxide emissions [1] - As of September 18, the cumulative trading volume of carbon emission allowances in the national market reached 714 million tons, with a total transaction value of 48.961 billion yuan [1] - The standardization, accuracy, and timeliness of carbon emission data statistics and accounting have significantly improved [1]

Core Insights - The press conference highlighted the importance of high-level ecological protection in promoting high-quality development, with a focus on climate change as a significant global challenge [1][2] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has made substantial progress in establishing a national carbon market, which is now the largest in the world, covering over 60% of the country's carbon dioxide emissions [1][2] Group 1: Carbon Market Development - The national carbon emissions trading market has achieved a cumulative trading volume of 714 million tons and a total transaction value of 48.961 billion yuan as of September 18, 2025 [2] - The market has seen improvements in the standardization, accuracy, and timeliness of carbon emissions data statistics [2] - The carbon market is recognized as a significant measure for achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality, enhancing China's efforts to address climate change [2] Group 2: Regulatory Framework - The Ministry has initiated the establishment of a voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market and has issued several key documents to support the carbon market's development [1] - Over 30 regulatory measures have been formulated, contributing to a multi-tiered and relatively complete regulatory framework for the carbon market [1]

Core Viewpoint - The carbon market is a crucial policy tool for promoting green and low-carbon transformation in China, with a focus on establishing a robust national carbon market system that includes both mandatory and voluntary carbon markets to achieve the "dual carbon" goals [2][3]. Summary by Sections Carbon Market Development - China has established a national carbon emissions trading market that mandates key emission units to fulfill reduction responsibilities, alongside a voluntary carbon market that encourages self-reduction efforts. These two markets operate independently but are interconnected through a quota management system [4][5]. - As of August 22, 2023, the mandatory carbon market has seen a cumulative transaction volume exceeding 680 million tons, with a transaction value of 47.41 billion yuan. The voluntary carbon market has recorded a cumulative transaction of 2.49 million tons, amounting to 210 million yuan [4]. Future Plans and Roadmap - The "Opinions" document outlines a timeline and roadmap for the development of the national carbon market. By 2027, the mandatory carbon market will expand to cover major industrial sectors, while the voluntary market will broaden its scope to include biomass utilization and solid waste management [6][9]. Quota Management System - A clear and transparent carbon emissions quota management system is essential for the healthy operation of the national carbon trading market. The distribution of quotas will balance reduction targets with economic costs and industry differences, aiming for a stable total carbon emissions control by 2027 [7][8]. Market Vitality and Financial Integration - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to enhance market vitality by collaborating with financial institutions to develop green financial products related to carbon emissions rights. This includes mechanisms like carbon pledges and carbon repurchase agreements to facilitate financing for key emission units [11]. Data Quality and Regulatory Framework - Accurate and reliable carbon emission data is critical for quota trading and compliance. The government is enhancing data quality management through a three-tier review system and utilizing advanced technologies like big data and blockchain to improve regulatory efficiency [9][12]. Systematic Improvement - The construction of the national carbon market is a complex system engineering task that requires a problem-oriented and goal-oriented approach. The focus will be on improving the reliability of data and inclusivity across industries [10].

Core Insights - The report presented by the Minister of Ecology and Environment highlights China's commitment to addressing climate change and achieving carbon peak and neutrality goals, with significant advancements in green building and energy transition [1][2][3] Group 1: Green Building Development - In 2024, the area of newly constructed green buildings in urban areas is projected to reach 1.69 billion square meters, accounting for 97.9% of the total new urban construction area [2] - The government is actively promoting high-quality development in green buildings and construction [2] Group 2: Energy Transition - By June 2025, the installed capacity of non-fossil energy is expected to reach 2.22 billion kilowatts, representing 60.9% of the total installed capacity [2] - The government is enhancing the clean and efficient use of fossil energy, implementing coal power reforms, and steadily increasing natural gas production and utilization [2] Group 3: New Energy Production - Since the start of the 14th Five-Year Plan, the production of photovoltaic components and lithium batteries has increased by 3.7 times and 6.4 times, respectively [2] - China has maintained its position as the global leader in the production and sales of new energy vehicles for ten consecutive years [2] Group 4: Carbon Market Development - The national carbon market has been progressively improved, with the inclusion of the steel, cement, and aluminum industries, covering over 60% of national carbon emissions [2] - As of June 2025, the cumulative trading volume of carbon emission allowances in the national carbon market is 670 million tons, with a transaction value of 45.93 billion yuan [2] Group 5: Climate Change Adaptation - The report outlines the implementation of the National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy 2035, focusing on climate-resilient urban development and enhancing disaster prevention and response capabilities [3] - The government aims to integrate climate change adaptation requirements into land use planning at all levels [3] Group 6: Legal and Policy Framework - There is a commitment to improve legal policies to support climate change response, including the development of specialized laws and the revision of energy conservation laws [3][4] - The government plans to enhance carbon emission regulatory enforcement and establish mechanisms to combat data fraud in the carbon market [3]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic electrolytic aluminum supply is stabilizing while demand remains resilient, driven by the transition from off-peak to peak season and the continued high demand for aluminum as a substitute for copper [1][2]. Supply Side Stability - The domestic electrolytic aluminum industry operates at over 95% capacity, with seasonal production cuts diminishing due to improved power supply from renewable energy projects [1]. - Although there are expansion plans in overseas markets like Indonesia, challenges such as inadequate power infrastructure slow down the release of new capacity, resulting in limited overall supply growth [1]. Demand Resilience - The market is transitioning from a low-demand season to a peak season, with recovery in downstream processing rates and increasing orders in sectors like photovoltaics and automotive [2]. - Despite previous concerns about weakening export demand, aluminum product exports show strong resilience, with a shift from initial processing products to deep-processing products [2]. Low Inventory Support - The ongoing decline in alumina prices is unlikely to significantly drag down aluminum prices due to strong support from bauxite prices and expected reductions in bauxite export volumes as the rainy season approaches [3]. - Both domestic and overseas aluminum ingot inventories are at historically low levels, which, combined with the upcoming peak season, is expected to lead to further inventory depletion and support a bullish price outlook for aluminum [3].