Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in both revenue and profit, with 2024 revenue expected to exceed 200 billion RMB for the first time, reaching 213.03 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.37%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 13.53 billion RMB, a 64.03% increase year-on-year [6] - The company has successfully increased production across its main mineral products, with copper production reaching 650,200 tons, a 55% increase year-on-year, making it one of the top ten copper producers globally [6] - The financial situation of the company continues to improve, with a net operating cash flow of 32.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 108.38%, and a reduction in the debt-to-asset ratio to 49.52%, down 8.88 percentage points year-on-year [6] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price of the stock is 7.98 RMB, with a total market capitalization of approximately 171.56 billion RMB [3] Financial Data - The company reported a net profit of 13.53 billion RMB for 2024, with a projected net profit of 15.57 billion RMB for 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 15.07% [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is expected to be 0.63 RMB, increasing to 0.72 RMB in 2025 [7] Production and Cost Efficiency - The company has achieved record production levels in copper, cobalt, niobium, and phosphate fertilizers, with significant reductions in unit operating costs for copper and cobalt [6] - The unit gross profit for copper is 30,500 RMB/ton, a year-on-year increase of 6.74% [6] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 15.57 billion RMB, 18.08 billion RMB, and 19.83 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.02, 9.49, and 8.65 [7]

Group 1 - China Aluminum reported a net profit of 12.4 billion yuan for 2024, an increase of 85.38% year-on-year, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.135 yuan per share [1] - Lihua Technology's net profit for 2024 decreased by 25.41% to 245 million yuan, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.7 yuan per 10 shares [1][2] - Zhongjing Food achieved a net profit of 175 million yuan in 2024, up 1.81% year-on-year, proposing a cash dividend of 8 yuan per 10 shares [3][4] - Sanwei Chemical's net profit fell by 6.92% to 263 million yuan, with a proposed cash dividend of 3 yuan per 10 shares [5] - Meino Biological's project for corn protein processing has received construction approval, with an investment of approximately 391 million yuan [6][7] Group 2 - Guangdian Electric's net profit surged by 411.28% to 74.73 million yuan, proposing a cash dividend of 0.7 yuan per 10 shares [13][14] - Xin'ao Co. reported a net profit of 4.493 billion yuan for 2024, down 36.64%, with a proposed cash dividend of 10.3 yuan per 10 shares [15] - Huaren Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for a raw material drug, enhancing its product line [16] - Huanxin Technology received a project confirmation from BAIC Group for two display screen products, expected to enter mass supply [17] - Haitong Development plans to purchase four bulk carriers for a total of 59.25 million USD to expand its fleet [18] Group 3 - Guochuang High-tech won a bid for an asphalt procurement project worth 128 million yuan [22][23] - Huayi Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received overseas marketing approvals for several products [24] - Haisco's innovative drug HSK41959 has received clinical trial approval [25] - Hetai Machinery's subsidiary obtained a patent for a dust-proof chain technology [28] - Le Xin Medical's fetal heart rate monitor registration renewal application has been accepted [29] Group 4 - Feilong Co. became a designated supplier for an international client's electronic oil pump project, with expected sales of approximately 160 million yuan [29] - Yunnan Copper reported a net profit of 1.265 billion yuan for 2024, down 19.9%, with a proposed cash dividend of 2.4 yuan per 10 shares [42] - China Merchants Bank's net profit increased by 1.22% to 148.39 billion yuan, proposing a cash dividend of 20 yuan per 10 shares [43] - Shuanghui Development's net profit decreased by 1.26% to 4.989 billion yuan, with a proposed cash dividend of 7.5 yuan per 10 shares [44]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][34] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from its full industry chain advantages, leading to a robust profit growth of 95% in 2024, with revenue reaching 156.2 billion yuan, a 17% increase year-on-year [1][6] - The increase in aluminum prices and a decrease in energy costs are driving significant profit growth in the electrolytic aluminum and alumina businesses [2][7] - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of 161 Hong Kong cents per share for 2024, which represents 63% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [1][6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 156.2 billion yuan, a 17% increase from 2023, and a net profit of 22.37 billion yuan, reflecting a 95% growth [1][6] - The operating cash flow for the year was 14.26 billion yuan, up 85% year-on-year [1][6] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 2.36 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 6.1 [4][34] Business Segment Analysis - The average selling price of aluminum alloy products in 2024 is expected to be 17,550 yuan per ton, an increase of 1,100 yuan per ton compared to 2023 [2][7] - The cost of coal procurement is projected to decrease by 110 yuan per ton, resulting in a reduction of 480 yuan per ton of aluminum [2][7] - The selling price of alumina is expected to rise to 3,420 yuan per ton, an increase of 860 yuan per ton from 2023, while the cost is expected to decrease by 60 yuan per ton [2][7] Future Projections - For the years 2025 to 2027, the company is projected to maintain stable revenue at 137.5 billion yuan annually, with net profits of 22.22 billion, 22.92 billion, and 23.51 billion yuan respectively [3][34] - The diluted EPS for these years is expected to be 2.35, 2.42, and 2.48 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 6.1, 5.9, and 5.8 [3][34] - The company is expected to achieve a more stable profit capability due to reduced volatility in energy costs, alongside benefiting from the current high aluminum market cycle [3][34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in revenue and profit due to the release of production capacity from its overseas core mines, particularly in copper and cobalt, with a projected revenue of 2130.29 billion and a net profit of 135.32 billion for 2024, representing year-on-year growth of 14.37% and 64.03% respectively [1] - The company’s copper production is forecasted to reach 650,200 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 54.97%, while cobalt production is expected to grow by 105.61% to 114,200 tons [1] - The suspension of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of the Congo is anticipated to alleviate the oversupply in the cobalt market, potentially leading to increased prices and profit contributions from the cobalt segment in 2025 [1][2] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company reported a revenue of 213,029 million, a year-on-year growth of 14.4%, and a net profit of 13,532 million, reflecting a 64.0% increase [3] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14,641 million, 16,915 million, and 18,718 million respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.2, 9.7, and 8.8 [2][3] - The company’s gross margin for the copper segment is 50.26%, while the cobalt segment has a gross margin of 34.31% [1] Production and Sales Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a copper production of 174,000 tons, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.3%, and a sales volume of 219,000 tons, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 38% [1] - The average sales cost for copper was 30,200 yuan per ton, with an average gross profit of 30,500 yuan per ton [1] Market Outlook - The report suggests that the tightening supply of upstream resources and improved demand expectations are likely to support copper prices in 2025, benefiting the company [1] - The suspension of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of the Congo is expected to reduce global cobalt supply by 73,300 tons, which could support higher cobalt prices [1][2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][4] Core Views - The company's performance has been pressured by declining coal prices and sales, but there is potential for growth in coal and aluminum segments, along with improved dividend returns for investors [4][5] - For 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 38.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.99%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 27.07% to 4.31 billion yuan [4][5] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 5.81 billion, 6.46 billion, and 7.01 billion yuan respectively, indicating year-on-year growth of 34.9%, 11.2%, and 8.5% [4][5] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a coal production of 6.739 million tons, a decrease of 6% year-on-year, with a total coal sales volume of 6.701 million tons, down 7.5% [5][6] - The average selling price of coal in 2024 was 1,019.3 yuan per ton, a decrease of 7.8% year-on-year, while the comprehensive cost per ton increased by 33.5% to 849.4 yuan [5][6] - The aluminum segment showed a production increase of 7.3% year-on-year, with a total output of 1.629 million tons in 2024, and a slight improvement in profitability due to cost reductions [5][6] Future Outlook - The company anticipates an increase in coal production to approximately 7.2 million tons in 2025, supported by technical upgrades at the Liuhe coal mine [6] - The dividend payout ratio for 2024 was 41.78%, an increase of 11.3 percentage points from 2023, resulting in a current dividend yield of 4.1% based on the closing price on March 24, 2025 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][4] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to a decline in both coal prices and sales, but there is potential for growth in coal and aluminum segments, along with improved dividend returns for investors [4][5] - The company reported a revenue of 38.37 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 27.07% to 4.31 billion yuan [4][5] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 5.81 billion, 6.46 billion, and 7.01 billion yuan respectively, indicating a year-on-year growth of 34.9%, 11.2%, and 8.5% [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a coal production of 6.739 million tons, a decrease of 6% year-on-year, with a total coal sales volume of 6.701 million tons, down 7.5% year-on-year [5][6] - The average selling price of coal in 2024 was 1,019.3 yuan per ton, a decrease of 7.8% year-on-year, while the comprehensive cost per ton increased by 33.5% to 849.4 yuan [5][6] - The aluminum segment showed a production and sales volume of 1.629 million tons, with a slight increase of 7.3% and 6.7% year-on-year respectively, and a selling price of 15,956.4 yuan per ton, down 3.7% year-on-year [5][6] Future Outlook - The company expects coal production to increase to approximately 7.2 million tons in 2025 following technical upgrades at the Liuhe coal mine, which will also help reduce costs [6] - The company has increased its dividend payout ratio to 41.78% in 2024, up by 11.3 percentage points from 2023, resulting in a current dividend yield of 4.1% based on the closing price on March 24, 2025 [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining's ESG rating remains stagnant at B level from 2022 to 2024, significantly lower than its peers in the industrial metals sector, raising concerns among investors about its governance and environmental practices [3][4][7]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Zijin Mining's revenue exceeded 300 billion yuan, marking a 3.49% year-on-year increase, while net profit reached over 30 billion yuan, up 51.76% year-on-year [4]. - The company's revenue growth rate in 2024 is the lowest since 2014 [4]. Environmental Concerns - The amount of hazardous waste generated per unit of revenue increased by over 70% in 2024, reaching 0.94 tons per million yuan of revenue [8]. - Energy consumption intensity reached 4.59 MWh per ten thousand yuan of industrial added value, the highest in five years, with a year-on-year increase of 3.27% [7][9]. - Total water consumption rose to 72.52 million tons, a 9.66% increase year-on-year, while fresh water usage intensity increased to 238.84 tons per million yuan of revenue, up 5.97% [7][9]. Social Responsibility Issues - Employee turnover rate increased to 8.49% in 2024, with significant losses among Chinese employees [10]. - The company reported 104 employees disciplined for corruption-related issues, reflecting a rise in internal governance problems [13]. Governance and Ethical Practices - The coverage rate of business ethics training for employees dropped to the lowest level in three years, at 75.25% [14]. - The total number of complaints and reports reached 236 in 2024, doubling from 104 in 2020, indicating a significant rise in reported misconduct [13][14]. Shareholder Returns - In 2024, Zijin Mining executed only one share buyback worth less than 3 million yuan, significantly lower than competitors [16]. - The cumulative dividend payout ratio since listing is 38.14%, which is lower than several peers in the industry [16][17].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 303.64 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 32.05 billion yuan, up 52% year-on-year [2] - The company's copper and gold production volumes increased, contributing to significant revenue growth, with copper production reaching 1.07 million tons, a 6% increase year-on-year [3][4] - The gross profit margins for major products improved due to price increases and cost reductions, with copper and gold gross margins at 61% and 56% respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 6 and 11 percentage points [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 303.64 billion yuan and a net profit of 32.05 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 10.6% [2][5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 1.21 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.97 [1][11] - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 is expected to be 48.86 billion yuan, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [11]

同时盘中看到涨幅榜的两个板块，一是旅游旅游，在周末的时候有多地放春假，因此旅游股在今天短期 表现活跃，旅游是小盘股，适合这种短期炒作，投资者注意短炒就可以了。二是有色，虽然它叫工业金 属或农业金属，但整体来看就是铜和合金，铜类整体的走势趋势上还是比较明显，因此我们在月初的时 候看好有色，还是保持继续跟踪看好就行了。 和讯投顾李国学：大盘分化严重，只可逢低不可追 涨 3月24日，大盘盘中走势不稳，但最终收红收涨。盘后，和讯投顾李国学分析表示，盘中的整体状态， 技术形态上仍然还是喇叭口状态，3350点下方的最低点3340点。 这个位置能否直接反弹起来？李国学表示，3月底的时候大家应该关注两大问题：第一个是季度末资金 面的问题。上周央行7天逆回购是净投放资金，今天是净回笼，因此要注意资金的变化。第二是年报季 可以说是有喜有忧，大盘股在最近一个阶段里有多家发布财报，对指数起到一定的稳定作用，比如今天 的银行、保险，另外，一些小盘股也有着一些戴瑁压力，因此市场分化比较严重。 指数层面，在3月底之前，今天虽然收了下影线的阳线，但是还是震荡的过程，只可逢低不可追涨，盯 的方向方面，一是有色继续盯住，除了黄金、有色、铜、铝等 ...

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 03 15 年 月 日 中国宏桥（01378.HK） 历史最佳业绩，一体化成本优势凸显 事件：公司已于 3 月 14 日公布 2024 年全年业绩，2024 年公司实现营收 1561.7 亿元，同比增长 16.9%；实现归母净利润 223.7 亿元，同比增长 95.2%；扣非归母净利润 245.7 亿元，同比增长 96.1%；基本每股收益 2.36 元，同比增长 95.2%。净利润增加主要系电解铝及氧化铝"量价齐 升"及原材料采购价格较 2023 年同期下降所致。目前铝价在全球低库存 及国内供给刚性凸显下维持高位预期，并有望伴随美联储降息及新能源 相关绿色用铝占比提升带来定价中枢进一步上移，凭借铝行业高景气延 续，公司业绩弹性有望持续提升。 受益铝行业高景气，各产品"量价齐升"增厚公司业绩。1）量，公司实 现电解铝销量 583.7 万吨，同比增长 1.5%；氧化铝销量 1092.1 万吨， 同比增长 5.3%；铝合金加工产品销量 76.6 万吨，同比增长 32.1%。2） 价，公司电解铝外售价为 1.755 万元/吨（不含税），同比增长 6. ...