2026.02.27 本文字数：3393，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 |第一财经齐琦 2月27日，A股小金属板块延续强势表现，实现连续三个交易日走高。 期货市场同步狂热，沪锡主力2604合约午后强势崛起，盘中暴涨超8%至45.32万元/吨，最高位触及45.38万元/吨。 然而，在板块大面积上涨背后，各类小金属产业逻辑悄然生变，价格也分化明显。其中，钨价、锡价刷新历史新高，镁金属却仍在低位徘徊，部分企业甚 至出售资产缓解经营压力。本轮小金属行情的驱动力是什么？不同品种之间缘何分化？ 小金属开年大涨50%，多股翻倍 本周三，A股小金属板块行情被点燃，导火索是特朗普政府计划用AI为关键矿产设定参考价格。该AI定价模型初期聚焦锗、镓、锑和钨，未来将扩展至其 他矿物。 除了消息层面的催化，小金属供给端约束与需求端结构性爆发，成为板块持续升温的关键。 据Choice数据统计，截至2月27日，申万小金属行业年内累计涨幅近50%，在124个申万二级行业中暂列首位。 成份股中，25只个股涨势强劲，年内股价涨幅中位数达42.42%。其中，有12只股票年内累计涨幅已超50%，其中翔鹭钨业、章源钨业和中钨高新股价已经 翻倍，年内累计涨 ...

行业估值已处历史高位，需警惕价格波动与需求承接风险。 2月27日，A股小金属板块延续强势表现，实现连续三个交易日走高。 钨金属板块表现尤为亮眼，截至收盘，章源钨业（002378.SZ）涨停，录得7天5板；另外，厦门钨业 （600549.SH）、翔鹭钨业（002842.SZ）、中钨高新（000657.SZ）涨停。 同时，宝武镁业（002182.SZ）、锡业股份（000960.SZ）、金钼股份（601958.SH）涨停，云南锗业 （002428.SZ）盘中涨幅超8%，东方钽业（000962.SZ）涨超6%。 期货市场同步狂热，沪锡主力2604合约午后强势崛起，盘中暴涨超8%至45.32万元/吨，最高位触及 45.38万元/吨。 然而，在板块大面积上涨背后，各类小金属产业逻辑悄然生变，价格也分化明显。其中，钨价、锡价刷 新历史新高，镁金属却仍在低位徘徊，部分企业甚至出售资产缓解经营压力。本轮小金属行情的驱动力 是什么？不同品种之间缘何分化？ 小金属开年大涨50%，多股翻倍 本周三，A股小金属板块行情被点燃，导火索是特朗普政府计划用AI为关键矿产设定参考价格。该AI定 价模型初期聚焦锗、镓、锑和钨，未来将扩展至其他矿 ...

东兴晨报 P1 经济要闻 | 本期编辑 | | | --- | --- | | 分析师：刘嘉玮 | | | 010-66554043 | liujw_yjs@dxzq.net.cn | | 执业证书编号： | S1480519050001 | 东兴证券研究所金股推荐 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | | --- | --- | | 002392.SZ | 北京利尔 | | 002991.SZ | 甘源食品 | | 300619.SZ | 金银河 | | 300627.SZ | 华测导航 | | 300666.SZ | 江丰电子 | | 300810.SZ | 中科海讯 | | 603209.SH | 兴通股份 | | 603239.SH | 浙江仙通 | | 688095.SH | 福昕软件 | | 688627.SH | 精智达 | 数据来源：《二月金股汇》 2026 年 02 月 02 日，东兴证券研究所 东 兴 晨 报 东 兴 证 券 股 份 有 限 公 司 敬请参阅报告结尾处的免责声明 东方财智 兴盛之源 2026 年 2 月 27 日星期五 1. 中国人民银行：发布关于银行业金融机构人民币跨境同业融资 ...

首席周观点：2026 年第 8 周 2026 年 2 月 26 日 首席观点 周度观点 张天丰 | 东兴证券金属首席分析师 S1480520100001，021-25102914，Zhang_tf@dxzq.net.cn 金属行业：小金属板块估值及收益弹性显现释放 DONGXING SECURITIES 东兴证券研究报告 首席周观点：2026年第8周 P1 金属行业的供需结构明显优化。从供给端观察，金属行业上游已处于弱供给周期，全球矿业 的供给状态在 2028 年前或延续强刚性化特征并且已显现产业链环节的垂直化扩散。从需求 端观察，绿色低碳能源转型、新质生产力发展及算力资本周期的来临或将提振多金属品种需 求曲线右移。 流动性周期的切换有助于金属价格的弹性释放。尽管 2025 年全球货币政策已由紧缩周期转 向宽松周期，但降息缩表的操作方式或将在 2026 年逐渐常态化，全球央行资产负债表的再扩 张或推动本就供需状态紧平衡的小金属品种获得流动性溢价。本文，我们将对稀土、铷铯、 锂、锑、钼和镁等小金属品种的基本面状态进行供需梳理和未来变化趋势的预测。我们认为， 金属行业的供需结构优化及流动性溢价或再次提振小金属板块 ...

按照产业引领、专班分工、区域联动、精准落地原则，《意见》细化北京、上海、深圳三大驻点专班任 务，实现重点区域与重点产业精准匹配。储能产业依托锂电基础，紧盯固态电池、系统集成、核心装备 等环节；高性能材料立足铝、铜、镁、钛、碳纤维优势，延链发展精深加工与高端复合材料；生物经济 聚焦高原特色资源，打造生物提取、生物医药、医疗器械等；电子信息围绕硅基半导体、新型显示强链 补链；绿色算力以"京数青算"为抓手，对接智算中心、超算中心全链条项目。同时，主动布局低空经 济、氢能、具身智能、光热配套等新赛道，培育新质生产力。 本报西宁讯 （记者 张慧慧） 为主动适应招商引资新形势新挑战，2月9日，西宁（国家级）经济技术开 发区印发《关于进一步加强区域招商专班工作的意见》，以系统化部署、清单化推进、闭环式管理，推 动驻点招商持续发力。 《意见》明确"稳住晶硅、拓展储能、深化有色、壮大生物、算电协同、培育新质"的产业思路，围绕新 能源、新材料、绿色算力、生物经济四大核心赛道，精准招引锻长板、补短板、填空白、强投资的优质 项目，加快构建具有西宁特色与竞争优势的现代化产业体系。并提出量化攻坚目标，即各招商专班全年 对接企业不少于20 ...

Core Insights - Constellium (CSTM) reported quarterly earnings of $0.8 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.37 per share, and showing an improvement from a loss of $0.34 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +119.42% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $2.2 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.89% and increasing from $1.72 billion year-over-year [2] Financial Performance - Over the last four quarters, Constellium has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates four times [2] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.42 on revenues of $2.29 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.82 on revenues of $9.24 billion [7] Market Position - Constellium shares have increased by approximately 24.2% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's zero return [3] - The Zacks Industry Rank places the Metal Products - Distribution sector in the top 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry [8] Future Outlook - The sustainability of Constellium's stock price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the trends in earnings estimate revisions [3][4] - The estimate revisions trend for Constellium was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, suggesting it is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The precious metals market is experiencing significant volatility, with prices fluctuating sharply due to geopolitical tensions and changes in U.S. Federal Reserve leadership. Recent comments from former President Trump advocating for lower interest rates have positively impacted precious metals [3][6][29] - The report highlights a strong demand for gold driven by central bank purchases and geopolitical risks, with expectations for continued price increases in the long term due to global monetary and debt concerns [7][21] - Silver has shown a dramatic price drop recently, attributed to profit-taking and market reactions to Federal Reserve announcements, but the underlying supply-demand dynamics remain supportive of future price increases [8][23] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - COMEX gold prices fell by 1.52% to $4,907.50 per ounce, while COMEX silver dropped by 17.44% to $85.25 per ounce. In contrast, SHFE gold rose by 4.10% to ¥1,161.42 per gram, and SHFE silver increased by 11.92% to ¥27,941.00 per kilogram [1][33] - The gold-silver ratio increased by 19.29% to 57.57, indicating a shift in market dynamics [34] - The geopolitical landscape, particularly tensions involving Iran, has heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold and silver, leading to increased volatility in their prices [3][6][29] Base Metals - In the LME market, copper prices decreased by 0.44% to $13,070.50 per ton, while aluminum fell by 1.20% to $3,135.50 per ton. Zinc, however, saw a rise of 3.09% to $3,370.00 per ton [9] - The SHFE market showed copper prices increasing by 2.31% to ¥103,680.00 per ton, with aluminum and zinc also experiencing gains [9] - Supply disruptions from overseas mines and structural demand from emerging industries are expected to support copper prices in the long term, despite current demand weakness in China [10][24] Small Metals - Magnesium prices rose by 1.45% to ¥18,240 per ton, driven by increased demand ahead of the Chinese New Year and stable supply from major production areas [19] - Molybdenum and vanadium prices have shown slight increases, supported by tight supply and steady demand from steel manufacturers [20]

Core Viewpoint - The company is implementing a transformation and upgrading strategy to enhance its core competitiveness and operational efficiency, focusing on stable growth and structural adjustment while addressing challenges in the industry [3][25]. Group 1: Growth and Structural Adjustment - The company is committed to fulfilling its mission as a state-owned enterprise by achieving stable and progressive development [4][26]. - It aims to address weaknesses in the industry by precisely adjusting its main business structure and enhancing its operational capabilities [27][28]. Group 2: Reform and Innovation - The company is reforming its main business structure and governance system to tackle management shortcomings and enhance efficiency [28][29]. - It emphasizes the importance of innovation as the primary driving force for growth and aims to strengthen its technological capabilities [20][48]. Group 3: Strategic Goals - The company has set a target for its main business structure to achieve a ratio of 5:4:1 for traditional, new, and future products, respectively, to ensure substantial growth [35][36]. - By the end of the "15th Five-Year Plan," the company aims for an average annual revenue growth of over 7.5%, industrial output growth of over 8%, and profit growth of over 8% [39][40]. Group 4: Core Competitiveness - The company is focusing on five dimensions to enhance its core competitiveness, including main business competitiveness, technological competitiveness, cost competitiveness, talent competitiveness, and market competitiveness [41][43]. - It aims to integrate development with safety, ensuring effective risk management while pursuing long-term growth [43][44]. Group 5: Leadership and Governance - The company is strengthening its party leadership and governance to ensure political integrity and accountability within its operations [49][50]. - It is committed to enhancing its management practices and ensuring that its operations align with national strategic goals [22][50].

证券日报网讯1月21日，钢研高纳（300034）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司目前是国内高端 和新型高温合金制品生产规模领先且产品体系最完整的企业之一，公司深耕镍基高温合金领域，拓展 铝、镁、钛铸锻件领域，布局精密铸造、离心铸造、模锻环轧、粉末冶金、精细制造、增材制造产业布 局。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight (Maintain)" for non-ferrous metals and basic metals and processing [7] Core Insights - The non-ferrous metal industry is expected to maintain high prosperity in 2026-2027 due to the resonance of recovery cycles and supply constraints, with copper and aluminum prices influenced by supply hard constraints and demand recovery [1] - The global electrolytic aluminum supply growth is projected to be only 1.7% in 2026, leading to a supply gap of over 800,000 tons despite some demand drag from construction and photovoltaics [2] - The electrolytic copper supply is expected to remain limited with a year-on-year increase of 66,000 tons (2.4%), while demand is driven by U.S. stockpiling and grid construction, resulting in a shift from surplus to shortage [3] - Energy metals such as cobalt and lithium have confirmed price bottoms in 2025, with expectations for improved supply-demand dynamics in 2026-2027 [4] - Strategic metals like tungsten are anticipated to continue facing shortages due to strict mining controls in China, while the magnesium industry is expected to improve as it increasingly substitutes aluminum in lightweight applications [5] Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metal industry is projected to experience sustained high prosperity in 2026-2027, driven by a combination of supply constraints and demand recovery [1] Aluminum - The global electrolytic aluminum supply is expected to grow at a slow rate of 1.7% in 2026, leading to a supply gap of over 800,000 tons, which supports a bullish outlook for aluminum prices [2] Copper - The electrolytic copper supply is limited with a projected year-on-year increase of 66,000 tons (2.4%), while demand is expected to grow by 93,000 tons (3.3%), resulting in a shift to a supply shortage [3] Energy Metals - Cobalt and lithium prices are expected to rise as supply-demand dynamics improve, with lithium benefiting from increased battery storage demand and cobalt facing supply constraints from Congo [4] Strategic Metals - Tungsten is expected to remain in short supply due to strict mining regulations in China, while magnesium is anticipated to gain market share in lightweight applications, improving its industry outlook [5]