以下文章来源于autocarweekly ，作者autocarweekly autocarweekly . 车不只是代步工具，还是生活的一种刻度。 本文来自微信公众号： autocarweekly ，作者：Dedee，题图来自：视觉中国 最近，国家统计局发布了上半年省市自治区汽车产量数据。 | 排名 | 地区 | 量(万辆) | | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 安徽 | 149.95 | | 2 | 广东 | 131.34 | | 3 | 重庆 | 121.85 | | 4 | 山东 | 120.06 | | 5 | 江苏 | 116.10 | | 6 | 陕西 | 94.32 | | 7 | 浙江 | 89.62 | | 8 | 上海 | 81.05 | | 9 | 湖南 | 74.76 | | 10 | 吉林 | 71.82 | | II | 北京 | 71.33 | | 12 | 河南 | 67.94 | | 13 | 湖北 | 62.71 | | 14 | life | 52.13 | | 15 | 广西 | 51.72 | | 16 | 河北 | 46.65 | | 17 | 江 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential merger between Dongfeng Motor Group and Changan Automobile, highlighting the challenges and implications of such a move, particularly in terms of operational efficiency and market positioning. It concludes that Changan's recent elevation to a first-tier state-owned enterprise provides it with a significant opportunity for independent growth, especially in the context of its performance in the electric vehicle sector [3][5][43]. Sales Performance - In 2024, Changan and Dongfeng's sales were 2.684 million and 1.896 million vehicles respectively, with Changan leading by 41.6% [3]. - Changan's revenue in 2024 was 159.7 billion, while Dongfeng's was 106.2 billion, marking a 50.4% lead for Changan [3]. - Changan's net profit was 2.59 billion, whereas Dongfeng reported a net loss of 690 million [3]. New Energy Vehicle Business - In 2024, Changan sold 735,000 new energy vehicles, accounting for 27.4% of its total sales, while Dongfeng sold 395,000, representing 20.8% [4]. - Changan's balanced development across high, mid, and low-end electric vehicles positions it favorably compared to competitors like SAIC, which relies heavily on its Wuling brand [25]. Historical Sales Trends - Changan's sales peaked at 3.06 million in 2016 but faced a decline, dropping to 1.76 million in 2019 [7]. - Sales began to recover slowly, reaching 2.55 million in 2023, with a modest growth of 8.8% year-on-year [8]. - In the first five months of 2025, Changan's total sales were 1.12 million, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 1% [9]. Brand Performance - Changan's self-owned brand sales have consistently increased, reaching 93% of total sales in 2024, compared to 75% in 2020 [15][16]. - The decline in sales from joint venture brands has been offset by the growth of self-owned brands, with a total increase of 723,000 units from 2020 to 2024 [18]. Investment and Profitability - Changan's profitability has been significantly impacted by its joint ventures, particularly with Changan Ford, which saw a drastic decline in revenue and profitability starting in 2018 [29]. - In 2024, Changan received only 134 million in cash dividends from its joint ventures, a mere 11.4% of what it received in 2016 [30]. - The company has shifted its focus to self-owned brands and new energy vehicles, which has allowed it to avoid the pitfalls faced by its competitors reliant on joint ventures [43]. Market Dynamics - The article emphasizes the ongoing price war in the electric vehicle market, which primarily affects traditional fuel vehicles and joint venture brands [45]. - The government has indicated a preference for market-driven solutions rather than direct intervention in price wars, suggesting a competitive landscape ahead for all players [46].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Changan Automobile has gained an opportunity for independent development due to the failure of its joint ventures, which has ultimately led to its elevation to a first-tier state-owned enterprise, avoiding a merger with Dongfeng Motor Group [2][3][31] - In 2024, Changan's sales reached 2.684 million units, while Dongfeng's sales were 1.896 million units, indicating a 41.6% lead for Changan [1] - Changan's revenue in 2024 was 159.7 billion, compared to Dongfeng's 106.2 billion, marking a 50.4% advantage for Changan [1] Group 2 - Changan's net profit in 2024 was 2.59 billion, while Dongfeng reported a net loss of 690 million [1] - In the new energy vehicle sector, Changan sold 735,000 units in 2024, accounting for 27.4% of its total sales, while Dongfeng sold 395,000 units, representing 20.8% [1] - Changan's self-owned brand sales reached 2.226 million units in 2024, making up 93% of its total sales, a significant increase from 75% in 2020 [6][9] Group 3 - Changan's joint ventures, particularly with Ford, have seen a significant decline in performance, with investment income from Changan Ford turning negative in recent years [16][19] - The cash dividends from joint ventures have drastically decreased, with Changan receiving only 134 million in 2024, a mere 11.4% of what it received in 2016 [19][21] - The article highlights that Changan's early shift to focus on self-owned brands has allowed it to avoid the pitfalls faced by other automakers reliant on joint ventures [30][31] Group 4 - The article discusses the competitive landscape, noting that traditional automakers like SAIC and GAC are also facing challenges as the market shifts towards electric vehicles [32][35] - It emphasizes the importance of adapting to market changes, particularly in the context of price wars in the electric vehicle sector, which could further impact the profitability of joint ventures [32][34] - The government stance on maintaining fair competition while opposing disorderly price wars is also mentioned, indicating a complex regulatory environment for automakers [34][36]

Core Viewpoint - The decision to halt the merger between Dongfeng and Changan reflects a pragmatic approach to respect the actual circumstances and allows both companies to continue their strategic development independently [1][3][5]. Group 1: Company Performance - Dongfeng's new energy vehicle sales are projected to reach 860,000 units in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 64.4% [1]. - From January to May 2024, Dongfeng's cumulative sales of new energy vehicles reached 299,000 units, a staggering increase of 118.1% year-on-year [1]. - Changan's cumulative sales in 2024 are expected to hit 2.684 million units, marking a 5.1% year-on-year increase, the highest in nearly seven years [2]. - Changan's new energy vehicle sales reached 735,000 units in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52.8% [2]. - In May 2024, Changan's single-month sales of new energy vehicles surpassed 94,800 units, with a year-on-year increase of 70% [2]. Group 2: Strategic Development - The cessation of the merger allows both Dongfeng and Changan to maintain their strategic stability and focus on their respective market demands and innovation [4]. - The restructuring of Changan's controlling shareholder to an independent central enterprise enhances decision-making efficiency and resource allocation flexibility [4]. - Both companies are positioned to explore collaborative opportunities in technology innovation and market expansion, particularly in new energy technology development and international market penetration [4][5]. Group 3: Industry Context - The automotive industry is undergoing significant transformation towards new energy and intelligent technology, necessitating companies to respond swiftly to market changes [3]. - The decision to stop the merger aligns with the trend of "professional integration" in the industry, as the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasizes focusing on core responsibilities [3].

Core Insights - The domestic electric vehicle (EV) market experienced significant growth in May, with retail sales expected to reach 980,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 22%, and an EV penetration rate of approximately 52.9% [2] - A competitive reshuffling is occurring in the market, with new energy vehicle (NEV) manufacturers and traditional automakers adjusting their strategies amid a deep industry transformation [2] New Energy Vehicle Manufacturers - Leap Motor led the new energy vehicle segment in May with sales of 45,000 units, a 148% increase year-on-year, driven by popular models like the C10 and C11 [5][4] - Li Auto followed closely with 41,000 units sold in May, a 17% increase, supported by the launch of the upgraded L series [5] - Aito's sales reached 37,000 units in May, marking a 35% increase, with the M9 model contributing significantly to its performance [5] - Xpeng Motors sold 34,000 units, a 230% increase, attributed to the introduction of lower-priced models [6] - Xiaomi Motors maintained sales at 28,000 units, preparing for the launch of its second model, the YU7 [6] - NIO delivered 23,000 units, a 13% increase, while undergoing internal restructuring to enhance brand synergy [7] Traditional Automakers - BYD remained the leader among traditional automakers with sales of 382,000 units in May, a 15% increase, and a cumulative total of 1,763,000 units for the year [9] - Geely sold 138,000 NEVs in May, a 135% increase, with the Galaxy series being the main contributor [10] - Changan Automobile reported sales of 95,000 units, a 70% increase, with significant contributions from its various models [10] - SAIC-GM-Wuling sold 74,000 units, a 50% increase, focusing on small electric vehicles [10] - Chery's sales reached 63,000 units, a 48% increase, marking it as the fastest-growing traditional automaker [11] - Great Wall Motors sold 33,000 units, a 32% increase, with notable growth in its WEY brand [11] Emerging Brands - Emerging brands like Arcfox and Lantu also showed growth, with Arcfox selling 14,000 units (200% increase) and Lantu selling 10,000 units (122% increase) [12]

Group 1 - Changan Automobile appointed two new product CEOs for its brands, Ingrity and Qiyuan, to enhance sales by integrating product and marketing functions [1] - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 3 million vehicles by 2025, with specific contributions from its brands: Deep Blue and Avita are expected to contribute 500,000 and 220,000 units respectively, while the Changan brand will account for the remaining 2.28 million units [1][4] - In 2024, Changan's total sales are projected to be 2.68 million vehicles, with Ingrity contributing 1.21 million units, highlighting its critical role in meeting the overall sales target [2] Group 2 - Deep Blue and Avita, as newer brands under Changan, are under scrutiny for their profitability, with Deep Blue expected to break even at a monthly sales volume of 30,000 units, while Avita is projected to reach breakeven by 2026 [3] - Changan's total revenue is expected to reach 300 billion yuan by 2025, with a target of 1 million units in new energy vehicle sales [4] - The company is undergoing a restructuring process with Dongfeng Group, which is not expected to alter its strategic direction or brand development plans [3]