Hua Er Jie Jian Wen
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国轩高科预计全年净利润同比翻番,奇瑞IPO大幅增加账面盈利 | 财报见闻
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 12:21
Core Viewpoint - The company Guoxuan High-Tech is expected to see a significant increase in net profit for the year, driven by the listing of its associate company Chery in Hong Kong and the booming demand in the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets [1][2]. Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be between 2.5 billion and 3 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 107.16% to 148.59% compared to 1.207 billion yuan in the previous year [2]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains is expected to reach between 350 million and 450 million yuan, an increase of 33.31% to 71.40% from 262.54 million yuan in the same period last year [2]. - The basic earnings per share are anticipated to be between 1.38 yuan and 1.66 yuan, doubling from 0.68 yuan per share in the previous year, indicating a significant improvement in shareholder returns [1][2]. Market and Product Development - The primary driver of the performance growth is the rapid increase in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage solutions, with a notable rise in sales of the company's next-generation high-energy-density lithium iron phosphate batteries [3]. - The company is actively pursuing an internationalization strategy, enhancing collaboration with strategic customers while exploring new businesses, clients, and markets to optimize customer and product structures [3]. - Continuous release of quality production capacity is expected to support future bulk orders from strategic customers and further reduce unit costs, alongside the implementation of lean manufacturing principles to improve operational efficiency [3].
寒武纪:2025年营收预计暴增5倍实现扭亏为盈,扣非净利润显著改善,盈利可持续性待验证
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 11:52
寒武纪2025年业绩预告:营收暴增5倍背后的AI芯片逻辑核心要点财务表现:预计2025年营收60-7...寒 武纪2025年业绩预告:营收暴增5倍背后的AI芯片逻辑 核心要点 财务表现:预计2025年营收60-70亿元,同比暴增411%-496%;归母净利润18.5-21.5亿元,实现扭亏为 盈;扣非净利润16-19亿元 对比基数:2024年营收仅11.74亿元,亏损4.52亿元,扣非亏损8.65亿元 业绩驱动:AI算力需求持续攀升,产品竞争力获市场验证,应用场景加速落地 2024年,寒武纪扣非亏损高达8.65亿元,而当年营收仅11.74亿元。这意味着公司当时的经营状况相当严 峻——即便不考虑研发投入,单纯的运营成本都难以覆盖。如今营收规模扩大5倍,扣非净利润却实现 了近28亿元的改善(以中值计算),这显示出典型的规模效应:固定成本被摊薄,边际利润率快速提 升。 然而公告并未披露毛利率数据,这让人无法判断产品本身的竞争力究竟如何。是产品定价能力增强了, 还是仅仅因为出货量大幅增加带来的采购成本下降?这个问题的答案,将决定寒武纪的盈利能力是否可 持续。 AI算力需求爆发:赶上了最好的时代 公告将业绩暴增归因于" ...
美银Hartnett预警:全球股市陷入“超买”困境,技术指标触及历史性卖出信号
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 11:50
美国银行策略师发出明确警告,认为全球股市已进入危险的"超买"状态。 1月30日,由Michael Hartnett领导的团队指出,尽管全球主要指数仍在刷新历史高点,但一个关键的内 部指标已触及预示潜在逆转的阈值。该团队监测的数据显示,截至1月28日当周,高达89%的MSCI全球 股票指数成分股交易价格同时高于其50日与200日移动均线。这一比例已突破了该行模型设定的88% 的"卖出信号"历史阈值。 过往经验表明,当该指标突破此水平时,通常意味着市场广度过度扩张,短期内发生技术性回调的风险 显著上升。这为当前火热的市场敲响了警钟。 技术面与资金面背离加剧 与股指屡创新高形成鲜明对比的是,市场内部已出现谨慎信号。在截至1月28日的一周内,全球股票基 金录得154亿美元的净流出,显示有部分资金正选择在历史高位获利了结。 相比之下,欧洲股市的资金流向出现逆转,出现七周以来首次净流出,规模为4亿美元,这标志着此前 持续的流入趋势暂时中断。 美银策略师Michael Hartnett明确表示,其在2026年最看好的交易策略是同时做多债券、国际股票和黄 金。这一配置延续了其自2024年底以来持续推荐的"偏好国际股票"的立场 ...
不卷HBM卷产能!铠侠高管:我们拥有“对的产品”,AI数据中心正处于存储饥渴期
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 11:40
Core Insights - Kioxia is strategically focusing on the high-density storage demand driven by AI data centers, differentiating itself from competitors heavily invested in the high bandwidth memory (HBM) market [1][2] - The company's stock has surged over 13 times since its IPO in late 2024, reflecting investor confidence in its growth potential in the AI storage sector [1] - Kioxia's partnership with SanDisk has been extended, with SanDisk committing to pay Kioxia $1.165 billion over four years, further solidifying Kioxia's market position [4] Market Dynamics - The storage chip market is currently polarized, with major players like Samsung and SK Hynix focused on HBM, leading to reduced investment in traditional NAND products [2] - This shift has created opportunities for Kioxia, as the demand for high-performance NAND storage solutions is increasing, allowing for better pricing power [2] - Analysts predict that NAND prices will continue to rise due to a lack of substantial capacity increases in the next 1-2 years, driven by strong AI inference demand [2] Capacity Expansion and Management Changes - Kioxia plans to expand its production capacity at a rate slightly above the overall market growth, with an expected bit growth rate of around 20% this year [3] - A leadership change is underway, with Hiroo Oota taking over as CEO from Nobuo Hayasaka, who successfully led the company through a challenging period [3] - Supply bottlenecks may persist due to cautious capacity expansion by chip manufacturers, with expectations that flash memory factory numbers will not meet market demand until 2027 [3] Financial and Partnership Developments - Kioxia's partnership with SanDisk, which has lasted over 25 years, has been extended until the end of 2034, marking a significant financial commitment from SanDisk [4] - Following the announcement of the partnership extension and positive forecasts from SanDisk, Kioxia's stock rose over 11% [4] - The company has overcome significant challenges, including heavy debt and leadership changes, to achieve its current success [4]
“重金砸入”AI研发,昆仑万维2025年预亏13.5亿-19.5亿|财报见闻
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 11:14
Core Viewpoint - Kunlun Wanwei is expected to incur losses in 2025 due to continued heavy investments in AI large models, market promotion, and R&D [1] Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be between -1.35 billion and -1.95 billion, compared to -1.59479 billion in the same period last year [2][8] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between -1.448 billion and -2.048 billion, compared to -1.64338 billion in the same period last year [2][8] - Revenue is expected to grow by over 40% year-on-year, with an increasing proportion of overseas revenue [8] Business Developments - The company has made significant breakthroughs in AI large models, including the release of various models such as Skywork-Reward-V2 and Matrix-3D, while continuously iterating existing models [3][4] - The TianGong Super Intelligent Agent has integrated AI Agent architecture and Deep Research technology, focusing on enhancing office efficiency and multi-modal creation [4] - The AI music product Mureka has reached version V8, improving in multiple dimensions, and aims to provide a seamless music creation experience for users [5] Short Video Platform Growth - The short video business has become a significant growth driver, with the DramaWave platform achieving over 28 million monthly active users globally [6] - The FreeReels application has surpassed 40 million monthly active users, leveraging a "free to watch" strategy to gain market share in emerging markets [6] Technological Innovations - The Opera platform has launched the AI Agent browser Opera Neon, which enhances user interaction by automating web browsing and task execution [7] - The StarMaker platform has integrated AI technology for song and video creation, significantly boosting user growth [7] - The company plans to deepen the industrialization of AI technology and strengthen its global market presence to enhance its core competitiveness [7]
证监会:拟扩大战略投资者类型 明确最低持股比例要求
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 10:59
中国证监会就《关于修改〈《上市公司证券发行注册管理办法》第九条、第十条、第十一条、第十三 条、第四十条、第五十七条、第六十条有关规定的适用意见——证券期货法律适用意见第18号〉的决定 (征求意见稿)》公开征求意见。征求意见提到,证监会拟扩大战略投资者类型,明确全国社保基金、 基本养老保险基金、企业(职业)年金基金、商业保险资金(保险公司运用保险资金自行投资或者委托 关联保险资产管理机构以及作为单一投资人通过关联保险资产管理机构发行的股权投资计划投资)、公 募基金、银行理财等机构投资者可以作为战略投资者,以耐心资本作为战略性资源对上市公司战略投 资。同时,在规则上将该类投资者界定为资本投资者,将其他实业投资者界定为产业投资者。证监会拟 明确最低持股比例要求。坚持战略投资者应当持有上市公司较大比例股份,进一步明确战略投资者本次 认购上市公司股份原则上不低于5%,可以根据持股比例参与上市公司治理。 风险提示及免责条款 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。 ...
别只盯着Azure!大摩力挺微软:cRPO大增39%+Copilot临近爆发,公司长期增长逻辑未变
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 10:35
Core Viewpoint - Despite a significant drop in Microsoft's stock price due to Azure's growth rate falling short of market expectations, Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish outlook, emphasizing the company's overall strong performance metrics and future growth potential [1][11]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Microsoft reported a revenue of over $240 billion with a constant currency growth of 15%, an operating margin expansion of 160 basis points to 47%, and a 21% increase in EPS [1][11]. - The second fiscal quarter of FY2026 showed Azure's constant currency growth at 38%, slightly above company guidance but below investor expectations [1][2]. - The total commercial remaining performance obligations (cRPO) grew by 39% year-over-year, indicating robust future demand, with total RPO reaching $625 billion, a 110% increase [1][4]. Group 2: Azure Growth Constraints - CFO Amy Hood highlighted that Azure's growth is constrained by supply issues rather than demand, stating that customer demand exceeds supply capabilities [2]. - The management is balancing Azure growth with investments in first-party applications like M365 Copilot, which is seen as a long-term strategic decision [2]. Group 3: M365 Copilot and User Growth - M365 Commercial Cloud showed a constant currency growth of 14%, with 15 million paid M365 Copilot seats and a tenfold increase in daily active users [3]. - The growth in average revenue per user (ARPU) is becoming a key contributor, with E5 upgrades previously driving growth now being overtaken by Copilot as the primary growth driver [3]. Group 4: Profitability and Guidance - Microsoft achieved a gross margin of 68.0%, exceeding market expectations, and an operating margin of 45.6%, also above expectations [4]. - The company raised its full-year operating margin guidance from "essentially flat" to "slightly up," reflecting strong cost control and operational efficiency [4]. Group 5: Valuation and Price Target - Morgan Stanley maintains a price target of $650 for Microsoft, based on a 31x CY27 EPS of $21.17, slightly down from a previous 32x valuation [5]. - The firm believes that Microsoft's strong positioning and execution justify its premium valuation compared to peers [5].
首次年度盈利!寒武纪2025年营收预增超4倍,净利润18.5亿元到21.5亿元 | 财报见闻
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 10:20
根据公司发布的2025年年度业绩预告,寒武纪预计全年实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润在18.5亿元至 21.5亿元之间,不仅彻底扭转了上一年度逾4.5亿元的亏损局面,更标志着公司商业化进程迈入全新阶 段。此外,扣除非经常性损益后的净利润同样表现亮眼,预计达到16亿元至19亿元,这与2024年同期扣 非后亏损8.65亿元的状况形成了鲜明对比,显示出公司主营业务造血能力的根本性好转。 中国人工智能芯片领军企业中科寒武纪科技股份有限公司(下称"寒武纪")预计,得益于行业算力需求 的激增与市场拓展的成功,公司2025年将迎来历史性的业绩拐点,实现首次年度盈利。 寒武纪同时强调,本次披露的数据仅为财务部门初步核算结果,尚未经注册会计师审计。尽管截至公告 披露日,公司未发现可能影响预告准确性的重大不确定因素,但具体财务数据仍需以公司正式披露的 《2025年年度报告》为准。投资者需注意相关投资风险。 算力需求驱动业务落地 针对业绩剧变的原因,寒武纪董事会在公告中解释称,公司长期深耕人工智能芯片产品的研发与技术创 新,目前正受益于行业宏观环境的积极变化。 报告期内,人工智能行业对算力的需求持续攀升。寒武纪表示,公司凭借产品的优 ...
重庆国资入局的2025年,招商仁和人寿净利“翻两番”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 10:16
在低利率环境与行业转型的交织下,背靠招商局集团与中国移动两大巨头的招商仁和人寿,在2025年交出了一份带有明显扩张"痕迹"的答卷。 根据最新披露的2025年第四季度偿付能力报告,招商仁和人寿正式迈入"千亿俱乐部": 截至2025年末,其总资产达到1081.0亿元,较上年末增长约18.4%;规模的跃迁,也是这家成立仅八年的险企在市场博弈中锚定的新坐标。 规模增长的背后,是利润端的爆发式释放,2025年招商仁和人寿实现累计净利润6.72亿元,同比激增411%,净资产收益率(ROE)从2.24%飙升至8.69%。 从财务表现看,公司似乎已走出初创期的亏损周期,步入利润收割的快车道。 不过在规模与利润的"双重狂欢"下,仍需关注资本充足率走势。 报告显示,2025年末招商仁和人寿的核心偿付能力充足率降至96.18%,较2024年末的128.47%出现了显著下滑; 这一变动的主因在于业务负债的快速累积,其认可负债已由76.5亿元跃升至95.3亿元。 同时,受偿二代二期规则及市场环境影响,计入核心一级资本的保单未来盈余由11.7亿元缩减至5.2亿元,资本底座受到一定程度的侵蚀。 面对核心资本的"失血",招商仁和人寿在四季度 ...
关于加盟商筛选、补贴大战与跨国并购,柠季汪洁和我们复盘了这五年
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 10:15
2021年,中国新茶饮的战局似乎已尘埃落定。 彼时,发迹于2015年前后的那批"茶饮黄金一代"早已割据一方:蜜雪冰城正在冲刺两万家店,喜茶与奈 雪在高端商圈贴身肉搏,古茗则在下沉市场筑起了高墙。 就在所有人都认为茶饮赛道不再有缝隙时,曾经做过办公用品、餐饮软硬件、加盟商、投资人和瑞幸顾 问的汪洁,在广东街头看到了新机会。 那是一次并不愉快的体验。第一口广东最原始的柠檬茶,给汪洁留下的印象是"太难喝了"。 尽管口感劝退,她却看到了另一个惊人的数据:仅在广东一地,这种现制柠檬茶专门店超过6000家。而 维他柠檬茶一年的销售额能达到数十亿元量级。 这意味着,在一个拥挤的红海里,还藏着一个未被全国化的超级品类——柠檬茶。 2021年2月,汪洁在长沙开出了柠季的第一家柠檬茶门店。 这家门店特意选在长沙一个"连身都转不开"的"差位置",只为验证如果不靠地段,产品到底能不能打; 行业为了扩张往往偏爱手握重金的"大加盟商",汪洁亦青睐那些愿意全职守店的大学生,甚至定下规矩 ——开店的钱必须是自己挣的,不能是父母给的,因为只有花自己的钱,对商业才会有"敬畏心"。 如今,柠季的加盟商平均开店数达到了 1:2.7,签约门店数超过3 ...