Xuan Gu Bao
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芯片代工巨头业绩全面超预期,资本开支将超三千亿
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 23:33
Group 1 - TSMC reported a significant 35% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q4, reaching a historical high and exceeding market expectations [1] - The company forecasts Q1 2026 revenue between $34.6 billion and $35.8 billion, representing a 38% year-on-year growth [1] - TSMC's gross margin and operating margin are projected to be between 63%-65% and 54%-56%, respectively, well above market estimates of 59.6% and 49.7% [1] Group 2 - TSMC's strong outlook alleviates market concerns regarding the sustainability of AI-related spending, with capital expenditures expected to rise significantly to $52-56 billion in 2026, up from $40.9 billion in 2025 [1] - The company anticipates nearly 30% revenue growth in 2026, surpassing average expectations [1] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing increased demand, with global semiconductor equipment sales projected to reach $133 billion by 2025, and domestic foundries like SMIC capitalizing on recovery opportunities [1][2] Group 3 - Changxin Technology, as the fourth-largest DRAM manufacturer globally and the largest in China, has received IPO approval to raise 29.5 billion yuan for production line upgrades and next-generation technology [2] - The domestic semiconductor equipment market is expected to benefit from increased demand and market share, with key players including Jingce Electronics and MAIWEI [2]
创造一个“前所未有的存储超级周期”,外资大幅上调闪存龙头目标价
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 23:13
Group 1 - Bernstein analysts highlight that the AI-driven data explosion is creating an unprecedented "storage supercycle," raising SanDisk's target price from $300 to $580 [1] - The introduction of NVIDIA's Vera Rubin architecture has elevated rack-level SSDs to a critical path for AI inference, transforming SSDs from cold storage to an "active context layer" that enhances GPU utilization [1] - The NAND and DRAM average selling prices (ASP) are experiencing a sharp increase due to a significant supply-demand mismatch, with almost no new NAND capacity added across the industry except for YMTC [1] Group 2 - Dongfang Securities notes that RAG technology and KV caching in AI large model inference processes are driving a demand increase of hundreds of exabytes for storage, with SSDs becoming the core choice for active data storage due to their fast read/write speeds and low power consumption [2] - The NAND industry is expected to face limited capital expenditure over the next two years, with leading manufacturers leaning towards HBM, while AI is driving rapid growth in SSD usage, indicating a prolonged period of high demand for NAND and SSD [2] Group 3 - ZheShang Securities reports that Zhaoyi Innovation is a global leader in NOR Flash, actively expanding into niche DRAM and MCU markets, and accelerating growth in automotive electronics and AI terminal markets [3] - Juchen Technology ranks third globally in EEPROM, with growth prospects driven by the continued penetration of DDR5 SPD, increased market share in automotive-grade EEPROM, and upgrades in closed-loop and optical image stabilization motor sectors [3] - Demingli focuses on self-developed main control chip technology, successfully binding enterprise-level SSDs with major domestic clients [3]
我国量产地表超强材料,单丝直径不到头发丝十分之一
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 15:18
Group 1 - The domestic T1000-grade high-performance carbon fiber has been developed, featuring 12,000 filaments per strand, with a weight of only 0.5 grams per meter and tensile strength exceeding 6,600 MPa, making it 7 to 8 times stronger than steel [1] - This breakthrough signifies a leap from T300 to T1000 in domestic carbon fiber production, addressing the "bottleneck" issue in high-end materials and providing strong momentum for the upgrade of high-end manufacturing during the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] Group 2 - The high-performance carbon fiber industry in China is at a critical transformation point, shifting from meeting domestic demand to participating in global high-end competition, with a projected capacity exceeding 250,000 tons by 2030, accounting for over 50% of global demand [2] - The usage of carbon fiber in the new energy vehicle sector is expected to increase from 5% to 20%, with the demand in this sector projected to represent 45% of total demand by 2030, making it the largest single application area [2] - The low-altitude economy in China is expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2026, leading to a surge in carbon fiber demand from core carriers like eVTOL and drones [2] Group 3 - Relevant A-share concept stocks include Zhongjian Technology and Guangwei Composites [3]
国网“十五五”投资有望增40%,电网设备迎来确定性增长
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 15:11
*免责声明:文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议 据证券时报报道,国家电网"十五五"投资计划出炉:"十五五"期间,国家电网公司固定资产投资预计达 到4万亿元,较"十四五"投资增长40%;将重点聚焦于绿色转型、构建新型电力系统、强化科技赋能等 方面。 根据新型电力系统"三步走"发展路径,2030年为我国新型电力系统构建战略目标的重要时间节点,十五 五期间电力系统建设处于加速转型阶段。在此时代背景下,电网投资有望高位再增,主网投资强化互联 互通,配网投资实现扩容增效,叠加海外电力需求,电网设备迎来确定性增长。 东方电子(000682)为电网数智化设备领先者,受益于新型电力系统改造。四方股份(601126)是继电 保护与调度自动化龙头,网内外业务景气共振,固态变压器有望打开新空间。 *风险提示:股市有风险,入市需谨慎 国家电网"十五五"固定资产投资计划极具前瞻性和战略高度,不仅在总量上大幅提升,且全面面向绿色 低碳、新型电力系统构建和自主可控的产业安全体系,聚焦特高压、智能电网、数智化、储能和高效管 理。从投资方向到技术攻关,再到产业链和服务模式,此轮投资有望引领中国电力系统升级和能源革 命,强化国家能源安全、绿色转型 ...
需求持续增长,钨系列产品价格上涨
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 15:05
Industry Overview - The prices of tungsten products in China have increased, with black tungsten concentrate and white tungsten concentrate rising by 5000 CNY/ton, and tungsten iron and ammonium paratungstate increasing by 10000 CNY/ton [1] - Global supply growth is limited, while demand is driven by emerging industries and increasing safety requirements. China's tungsten ore production growth is slowing, with Kazakhstan and South Korea expected to contribute to supply increases in the short term [1] - The global tungsten supply is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.57% from 2023 to 2028, while global tungsten consumption is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.61% during the same period [1] Company Insights - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry has established an integrated production system covering exploration, mining, beneficiation, smelting, powder production, and deep processing, making it one of the few companies in China with a complete industry chain [3] - Zhongjin Lingnan is an integrated enterprise in non-ferrous metal deep processing, with its mining operations holding tungsten metal resources amounting to 16,500 tons [4]
晚报 | 1月16日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 14:22
Semiconductor Industry - TSMC reported Q4 2025 revenue of $33.73 billion, a 25.5% year-over-year increase and a 1.9% quarter-over-quarter increase, with a gross margin of 62.3%, driven by strong demand for high-end chips due to the AI computing wave [1] - TSMC's capital expenditure is expected to reach $52-56 billion in 2026, exceeding market expectations, indicating robust future AI computing demand [1] Tungsten Industry - Domestic prices for tungsten products have increased, with black tungsten concentrate and ammonium paratungstate prices rising by 5,000 yuan/ton and tungsten iron by 10,000 yuan/ton [1] - Global tungsten supply growth is limited, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 2.57% from 2023 to 2028, while demand is expected to grow at 2.61% during the same period, driven by emerging industries [2] Commercial Aerospace - Beijing's Rocket Street project has completed its construction and will serve as China's first commercial aerospace research and production base, offering various shared services for the entire commercial aerospace development chain [3] - The U.S. aims to produce 10,000 Starship spacecraft annually, and the FCC has approved SpaceX's deployment of an additional 7,500 second-generation Starlink satellites, totaling 15,000 [3] Power Grid Equipment - The State Grid's investment plan for the 14th Five-Year Plan is set at 4 trillion yuan, a 40% increase from the previous plan, focusing on green transformation and new power system construction [4] - This investment is expected to lead to significant upgrades in China's power system, enhancing energy security and global competitiveness [4] Carbon Fiber Industry - A breakthrough in domestic T1000-grade high-performance carbon fiber has been achieved, with each fiber having 12,000 filaments and a tensile strength exceeding 6,600 MPa, marking a significant advancement in high-end materials [5] - By 2030, China's carbon fiber production capacity is expected to exceed 250,000 tons, with demand in the new energy vehicle sector projected to rise significantly [6] GaN Power Products - Onsemi has signed a collaboration agreement with GlobalFoundries to develop advanced GaN power products, starting with 650V devices, to meet the growing power demands in various sectors [6] - GaN technology is expected to enhance efficiency and reduce costs in applications such as AI data centers and electric vehicles [7]
1月15日晚间公告 | 志特新材、*ST铖昌停牌核查完成并复牌;立讯精密拟回购10亿元-20亿元
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 12:00
Reinstatement - Zhite New Materials and *ST Chengchang have completed their suspension investigations and their stocks have resumed trading [1][1] Share Buybacks and Equity Transfers - Hongli Zhihui's Mr. Li Guoping plans to transfer 5% of shares at a price of 5.93 CNY per share [2] - Luxshare Precision plans to repurchase company shares for between 1 billion to 2 billion CNY [2] - Defu Technology intends to repurchase shares for between 75 million to 150 million CNY, with a maximum repurchase price of 53.46 CNY per share [2] External Investments and Daily Operations - Hanyu Pharmaceutical has signed a sales order for GLP-1 raw materials worth 180 million CNY, which accounts for 30.50% of its audited revenue for 2024 [3] - Defu Technology plans to acquire a 26.32% stake in Amber New Materials for 509.5 million CNY [4] - Changchun High-tech has received a one-time payment of 70 million USD from Yarrow for the exclusive licensing agreement related to the GenSci098 injection project [4] - Zhongchuang Zhiling plans to issue convertible bonds to raise no more than 4.35 billion CNY for various high-end manufacturing projects [4] - Triangle Tire intends to invest 3.219 billion CNY to establish a new company in Cambodia for the production of 7 million high-performance radial tires annually [4] - Zhejiang Zhongtuo's subsidiary Hunan Zhongtuo has been selected as a restructuring investor for Jiangsu Delong Nickel Industry and 30 other companies [4] Performance Changes - Tianji Co. expects a net profit of 70 million to 105 million CNY in 2025, with a recovery in profitability due to rising sales prices of lithium hexafluorophosphate [5] - SAIC Group anticipates a net profit of 9 billion to 11 billion CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 438% to 558% [6] - Shengnuo Bio expects a net profit of 152 million to 190 million CNY in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 204.42% to 280.53% [6] - Zhenghai Magnetic Materials forecasts a net profit of 310 million to 380 million CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 235.72% to 311.52% [6] - Sanmei Co. expects a net profit of 1.99 billion to 2.15 billion CNY in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 155.66% to 176.11% [6] - Tongxing Technology anticipates a net profit of 68 million to 88 million CNY in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 74.2% to 125.44% [7] - Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit of 20 billion to 20.8 billion CNY in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.80% to 53.71% [8] - Nawei Technology forecasts a net profit of 12.8 million to 14.5 million CNY in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.51% to 75.03% [9]
龙虎榜复盘丨半导体再度领涨,旅游股活跃
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 10:44
Group 1: Stock Market Activity - 67 stocks were listed on the institutional trading leaderboard today, with 44 seeing net purchases and 19 experiencing net sales [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net purchases by institutions were China Satellite Communications (5.85 billion), Shengguang Group (4.94 billion), and Sanwei Communication (2.79 billion) [1][2] Group 2: Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor equipment localization rate in China is currently low, with a projected comprehensive localization rate of 25% by 2024, and specific equipment like photolithography machines and detection equipment having rates below 10% [3] - Changxin Technology, the leading DRAM manufacturer in China, is set to raise 29.5 billion for technology upgrades and production line improvements, which is expected to boost domestic equipment demand [3] Group 3: Tourism Industry - Zhongxin Tourism is a leading outbound tourism operator, with Alibaba as its second-largest shareholder [5] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has initiated an investigation into Ctrip Group for alleged monopolistic practices [5]
A股五张图:笑了,你弥补了A股没有台积电的遗憾!
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 10:31
1、行情 午后光刻胶概念大幅走强,七彩化学(20CM)2连板,彤程新材涨停,上海新阳、芯源微、恒坤新材、南大光电涨超10%,艾森股份、飞凯材 料、雅克科技等集体大涨; CPO概念此后也局部反弹,源杰科技、仕佳光子、联特科技、罗博特科、剑桥科技、中际旭创、新易盛等集体大涨; 尾盘阶段,智能电网受消息刺激脉冲,三变科技回封3连板,保变电气直线拉板,特变电工、安靠智电、中国西电、许继电气、神马电力、国 电南自等集体大幅拉升; 此外,无人驾驶、有色、存储、化工等均有局部强势表现,AI应用、航天、AI医疗等集体重挫。 截至收盘,沪指收跌0.33%,深成指、创业板指分别收涨0.41%、0.56%,市场超3100股下跌,2200余股上涨。 指数小幅震荡,但市场体验非常糟糕的一天。 题材方面,玻纤概念(电子布)开盘大幅高开高走,东材科技涨停,国际复材、中材科技、宏和科技、长海股份、中国巨石、菲利华等集体大 幅冲高; 今日三市成交额为2.9万亿,相较昨日少了1万亿。 2、航天 昨日盘中一波降温后,盘后又接了一波降温。 航天板块又是停牌、又是澄清、又是集体异动警示,于是今日开盘后板块集体核按钮。 海格通信、烽火通信、神剑股份、东 ...
1月15日主题复盘 | 市场大幅缩量,光刻胶、半导体强势,锂电池反弹
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-15 08:32
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced fluctuations throughout the day, while the ChiNext Index rebounded after hitting a low. Semiconductor stocks strengthened in the afternoon, with photolithography machines and photoresists leading the gains, resulting in multiple stocks like Tongcheng New Materials and Kangqiang Electronics hitting the daily limit. The tourism sector was active, with stocks like Zhongxin Tourism and Shaanxi Tourism also reaching the daily limit. The non-ferrous metals sector saw gains, with stocks like Zinc Industry and Luoping Zinc Electric hitting the daily limit. Overall, more stocks declined than rose, with over 3,100 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets in the red, and today's trading volume decreased by over 1 trillion to 2.94 trillion [1]. Hot Topics Photolithography Resins - The photolithography resin sector saw significant gains today, with stocks like Tongcheng New Materials, Baiao Chemical, and Dongcai Technology hitting the daily limit, while Su Da Weige and Shanghai Xinyang saw increases of over 15%. According to Frost & Sullivan, the domestic photolithography resin market is expected to reach 15.03 billion yuan by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate of 18.5% [4][5]. Lithium Batteries - The lithium battery sector rose today, with Lingpai Technology increasing by over 18%, and stocks like Keheng Co., Xianhui Technology, and Honggong Technology rising by over 10%. Tianfeng Securities predicts that the demand for power and energy storage batteries will reach 1,872 GWh and 2,236 GWh in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 45% and 25% [6][7]. Domestic Chips - The domestic chip sector performed well today, with stocks like Sanfu Co., Unisoc, Wenkai Co., and Kangqiang Electronics hitting the daily limit. TSMC's latest quarterly results showed a significant increase in AI chip demand, with a 35% year-on-year growth in net profit for Q4 2025. TSMC expects sales in Q1 2026 to be between $34.6 billion and $35.8 billion, exceeding market expectations of $33.22 billion [9][10][11]. Longxin Technology - Longxin Technology has received IPO acceptance, being the fourth-largest DRAM manufacturer globally and the largest in China. The company plans to raise 29.5 billion yuan for production line upgrades and next-generation technology development, with expectations to complete most equipment installations by the end of 2027, which may boost domestic equipment demand and market share [12].