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北京:符合条件家庭五环外不再限制购房套数
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-08 11:26
为促进北京市房地产市场平稳健康发展,更好满足居民改善性住房需求,有效发挥市场机制作用,坚持 首都城市战略定位,落实好城市总体规划,8月8日,北京市住房和城乡建设委员会、北京住房公积金管 理中心联合印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产相关政策的通知》(以下简称《通知》),自2025年 8月9日起施行。 一、《通知》明确符合条件家庭在本市五环外不再限制购房套数 北京城市总体规划实施以来,五环外平原新城地区宜居宜业水平和综合承载力显著提升,为了更好地满 足居民改善性住房需求,促进职住平衡,《通知》明确,符合本市商品住房购买条件的居民家庭,购买 五环外商品住房(含新建商品住房和二手住房)不限套数。即: 京籍居民家庭、在本市连续缴纳社会 保险或个人所得税满2年及以上的非京籍居民家庭,购买五环外商品住房不限套数。同时,《通知》明 确,对成年单身人士在本市购买商品住房的,按照居民家庭执行限购政策。 居民家庭购买五环内商品住房的政策不变,京籍居民家庭五环内限购2套,在本市连续缴纳社会保险或 个人所得税满3年及以上的非京籍居民家庭五环内限购1套。 二、《通知》从四方面加大了住房公积金支持力度 (一)扩大首套房公积金贷款支持范围。 ...
全球汽车产业面临大洗牌,升级后的中国长安汽车会成为关键变量吗?
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-08 09:49
Core Viewpoint - The global automotive industry is undergoing a significant transformation, with China leading the way in the electric vehicle (EV) market, particularly through the strategic upgrade of Changan Automobile Group, which aims to enhance its global competitiveness and high-end positioning [1][4][13]. Group 1: Industry Transformation - As of June 2025, global sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.8 million units, marking a 24% year-on-year increase, with China accounting for 1.11 million units sold, representing a 28% growth [1]. - Traditional automotive giants are struggling with electrification, while Chinese brands leverage their first-mover advantage in the new energy sector to reshape the global automotive landscape [1]. Group 2: Establishment of Changan Automobile Group - On July 29, 2023, Changan Automobile Group was officially established as China's third automotive state-owned enterprise, following FAW Group and Dongfeng Motor, consolidating 117 subsidiaries with total assets of 308.7 billion yuan and approximately 110,000 employees [4]. - This strategic adjustment is seen as a crucial move in optimizing China's automotive industry layout, aligning with national goals of building a strong automotive and technology nation [4][5]. Group 3: Performance and Future Goals - In the first half of 2023, Changan Automobile achieved total revenue of 146.9 billion yuan, with new energy vehicle sales increasing by 49.1% year-on-year and overseas sales growing by 5.1% [5]. - The company aims to reach a production and sales scale of 5 million vehicles by 2030, with new energy vehicles accounting for over 60% of sales and overseas sales exceeding 30% [8]. Group 4: Strategic Brands and Product Plans - Changan's three major new energy brands—Avita, Deep Blue, and Changan Origin—are set to collaborate strategically, each targeting different market segments to support the new state-owned enterprise's ambitions [8][10]. - Avita plans to launch 17 new models by 2030, focusing on luxury smart electric vehicles, while Deep Blue aims to introduce 30 new mainstream and differentiated models over the next five years [10]. - Changan Origin targets mainstream family users, with a goal of exceeding 1 million global sales by 2027 and 1.8 million by 2030, with several new models set to launch in the near future [10]. Group 5: Global Supply Chain Innovation - The newly established subsidiary, Chanjin Parts, is expected to play a significant role in driving global supply chain collaborative innovation [11]. Group 6: Historical Significance - The upgrade of Changan Automobile represents a pivotal moment for China's automotive industry, embodying the transition from a large automotive market to a strong one, with the potential to leave a lasting impact on the global automotive industry [13].
这一提名,特朗普“一箭双雕”!
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-08 09:49
8月7日周四,美国总统特朗普提名其高级经济顾问Stephen Miran出任美联储理事,旨在填补因理事Adriana Kugler提前辞职而空出的、将于明年1月到期的理 事席位。 资料配图,动图 由豆包AI「照片动起来」生成 美国总统特朗普重塑美联储的布局,正以一记出人意料的短期任命拉开序幕。 据媒体最新分析, 此举一石二鸟:既在短期内向美联储安插了一位支持降息的盟友,又巧妙地为自己赢得了时间,以谋划下一任美联储主席这一关键人事任 命。 特朗普明确表示, "与此同时,我们将继续寻找永久性的替代人选",暗示这仅是一项临时安排。 这被市场解读为特朗普在为明年5月现任主席鲍威尔任期结束 后的人选进行战略布局。 消息公布后,市场对美联储独立性可能受损的担忧加剧,美元指数应声回落。 野村证券外汇策略师Yusuke Miyairi指出, 对美联储独立性减弱的担忧"可能自然导致美元的抛售压力"。 对投资者而言,这一任命不仅意味着 美联储内部可能出现更多支持降息的声音 ,更重要的是,它预示着特朗普希望美联储采取何种政策路径,并 为未来可能 出现的更激进的美联储改革埋下伏笔 。 一场"过渡性"任命: 争取时间,保留选择 特朗普 ...
美联储内部分歧严重,若鲍威尔要“转鸽”,那“杰克逊霍尔”是最佳时机
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-08 09:49
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing internal divisions within the Federal Reserve and the market's anticipation of clear signals from Chairman Powell at the upcoming Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Conference [1][6]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Internal Divisions - The Federal Reserve is experiencing a clear split between hawkish and dovish factions, leading to a more ambiguous policy outlook [3][4]. - The dovish camp, represented by figures like New York Fed President Williams, is more concerned about inflation, while the hawkish camp, including Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, is focused on the risks of economic downturn and labor market slowdown [4][5]. Group 2: Importance of Jackson Hole Conference - The Jackson Hole conference, scheduled for August 21-23, is highlighted as a critical platform for Powell to announce any significant policy shifts, particularly if the Fed's focus shifts from combating inflation to prioritizing full employment [2][7]. - Powell's communication remains dominant despite the internal divisions, as evidenced by a recent 9-2 voting outcome, underscoring his influence over the committee [6].
金价出现“重大隐患”,德银发警报!
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-08 09:49
数据显示, 第二季度央行黄金需求较第一季度下降三分之一,跌至2022年第二季度以来的最低水平 。该行称,这一变化尤其引人关注,因为央行需求一直是 近年来推动金价屡创新高的核心动力。 研报指出,央行需求放缓意味着黄金上涨的重要支撑正在减弱。因此,这一趋势不仅对黄金价格构成潜在威胁, 可能迫使分析师下调2026年金价预期至3600 美元/盎司 。 央行购金需求放缓,金价的重要支撑面临考验,或引发预期调整。 8月8日,据追风交易台消息,德意志银行发布的黄金需求分析报告揭示了一个令投资者不安的趋势: 全球央行黄金需求在Q2出现显著回落 。 该行表示, 从实际美元价值角度看,第二季度央行需求的降幅仅为23%,而非按盎司计算的33% 。 这一观察暗示,在金价持续走高的背景下,央行可能正在调整其购金策略,更多地关注配置的价值而非数量。如果这一逻辑成立,那么金价的持续强势本身可 能成为限制央行进一步大举购金的因素。 预测模型面临挑战 德银承认, 央行需求的放缓对其金价预测模型构成下行风险 。该行此前假设2025年央行需求将保持在1000吨左右,2026年回落至约750吨。然而, 2025年 上半年实际需求仅为415吨 ,这意 ...
解散Dojo超算团队,马斯克回应
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-08 05:41
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is disbanding its Dojo supercomputer team, indicating setbacks in its self-developed autonomous driving technology chips and a shift towards reliance on external partners for chip development [4][5][9]. Group 1: Dojo Project and Strategic Shift - The Dojo supercomputer was designed to train models for Tesla's Autopilot and fully autonomous driving programs, but its termination reflects a strategic shift in Tesla's AI competition focus [7][9]. - CEO Elon Musk stated that pursuing two distinct AI chip designs was not meaningful, and efforts will now concentrate on the AI5 and AI6 chips, which are expected to perform well in inference and training [5][9]. - Following the disbandment, approximately 20 members of the Dojo team have joined a new startup, DensityAI, which focuses on developing chips and software for robotics and AI applications [9][15]. Group 2: Talent Loss and Internal Challenges - Tesla is facing significant talent loss, with key figures such as the Dojo project leader and other senior engineers leaving the company [13][14]. - The loss of talent is indicative of broader challenges, including intensified competition, declining sales, and consumer backlash against Musk's political activities [17]. Group 3: External Partnerships and Supply Chain Adjustments - In response to internal setbacks, Tesla is accelerating its reliance on external technology suppliers, including a $16.5 billion agreement with Samsung for AI semiconductor supply through 2033 [19]. - Tesla's supply chain strategy is shifting, with plans to diversify sources for the Dojo 3 system chips, involving Samsung for front-end production and Intel for module packaging [20]. - Musk has indicated a potential integration of self-developed technology with partner technologies, suggesting a collaborative approach moving forward [20]. Group 4: Project Delays and Construction Issues - The termination of the Dojo project is also attributed to significant delays in the construction of the Dojo data center in Austin, Texas, which faced various logistical and weather-related challenges [21]. - Musk expressed frustration over the construction delays, which led to the dismissal of the infrastructure project supervisor and a broader workforce reduction [21].
特朗普选了“海湖庄园协议”总设计师,启动“美联储MAGA化”?
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-08 03:13
Core Viewpoint - Trump's nomination of Stephen Miran to the Federal Reserve Board is seen as a significant move to reshape the Fed's leadership and align it more closely with his economic agenda, particularly in advocating for lower interest rates and financial deregulation [2][4][17]. Summary by Sections Nomination Announcement - Trump announced the nomination of Stephen Miran to fill the vacancy left by Adriana Kugler's resignation from the Federal Reserve Board [2][3]. Background of Stephen Miran - Miran is praised by Trump for his unparalleled expertise in economics and has been a close advisor since Trump's second term began [3]. - He is known for his influential "Mar-a-Lago Accord" paper advocating for a lower long-term value of the dollar and has publicly questioned the independence of the Federal Reserve [4][5]. Views on Federal Reserve - Miran has criticized the Fed's flexible inflation targets and warned that failure to manage inflation could lead to legislative changes to the Federal Reserve Act or the dismissal of board members by future presidents [6]. - He has also pointed out that the Fed's policies have created market expectations for aggressive easing in response to economic downturns [7]. Proposed Reforms - Miran has co-authored a report suggesting radical reforms for the Federal Reserve, including: - Granting voting rights to all Fed officials at every FOMC meeting [8]. - Allowing state governors to control local oversight committees for selecting regional Fed presidents [9]. - Permitting the White House to dismiss Fed officials at any time [10]. - Prohibiting board members from taking executive branch positions for four years after their term [11]. - Requiring Congress to allocate the Fed's operating budget [12]. Market Reactions - Wall Street's reaction to Miran's nomination is mixed, with some investors viewing it positively for potential rate cuts, while others express concerns about his qualifications and political stance [13][14]. - Analysts generally believe that Miran's nomination will not alter expectations for an upcoming rate cut by the Fed [14]. Implications of the Nomination - If confirmed, Miran will serve until the end of January, with limited opportunities to influence rate decisions [16]. - His nomination is seen as the beginning of Trump's long-term plan to reshape the Fed, introducing a strong "MAGA perspective" into the FOMC [17].
288亿,复旦女学霸3年干出一个独角兽
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-07 11:05
投中网是领先的创新经济信息服务平台,拥有立体化传播矩阵,为创新经济人群提供深入、独到的智识和洞见,在私募股权投资行业和创新商业领域拥有权 威影响力。官网:www.chinaventure.com.cn 以下文章来源于投中网 ,作者陈美 投中网 . 资料配图,动图 由豆包AI「照片动起来」生成 如果要说,最快诞生独角兽的地方,恐怕要数AI创业圈了。 近日,据外媒报道, Fireworks AI——一家新兴的云服务提供商,正在寻求以40亿美元 (约合288亿元) 估值 (包含融资金额) 进行新一轮融资 。 知名风险投资机构Lightspeed Venture Partners(美国光速)和Index Ventures等正就领投事宜,进行深入讨论。一旦融资成功,Fireworks AI创始人 将创造1年估值增长7倍, 3年干出一个288亿元独角兽的奇迹。 华人女性创业,年化营收突破2亿美元 这是一位华人女性在加州创业的故事。 2022年,Meta前高级工程总监乔琳(Lin Qiao)与6位联合创始人,一起在美国加州雷德伍德市成立了Fireworks AI。 图源: Fireworks 联合创始人兼首席执行官的 乔琳 ...
参加大阪世博会!大咖带队考察日本金融、地产、新消费等核心产业
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-07 11:05
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing interest in Japan's financial and real estate markets, particularly following Warren Buffett's investments in Japanese assets, which have contributed to significant gains in the Nikkei index over the past two years [2][4]. Group 1: Japan's Economic Recovery - Japan's economy is emerging from the "lost three decades," with inflation returning in 2024 and a notable increase in employee wages, which rose by 5.25% in the latest labor negotiations, marking the highest level in 34 years [4]. - The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds reached its highest level since 2008 on July 23, 2024, indicating a shift in the economic landscape [4]. Group 2: Real Estate Market Dynamics - Following the burst of the real estate bubble, Japan's rental and sales ratios have become more attractive, with core cities like Tokyo experiencing a rise in real estate prices in recent years [5]. - The article mentions a previous successful research trip to Tokyo, which focused on various sectors including real estate, finance, and healthcare, leading to the current trip to Osaka and Kyoto to further explore these opportunities [5]. Group 3: Research Trip Details - The upcoming research trip from September 8 to 13, 2025, will include in-depth investigations into the real estate and cosmetics industries, featuring discussions with executives from notable companies like Ze Yu Group and TOA [12][16]. - Participants will also visit significant cultural sites and engage in activities such as experiencing Japanese whisky production at the Yamazaki Distillery and exploring the Panasonic Museum [37][35]. Group 4: Expert Guidance - The research trip will be led by experienced financial experts, including renowned economists who will provide insights into Japan's economic opportunities and asset allocation strategies [49][42].
“散户歇了,机构满了”,美股9月风暴将至?
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-07 11:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that despite the recent rise in the U.S. stock market, key support forces are showing signs of weakening, leading to potential risks in September [1][21] - Retail investors have been a significant driving force behind the recent rebound in the U.S. stock market, with net buying occurring on 27 out of the last 28 trading days [4][20] - Systematic funds, which have injected over $365 billion into global markets in the past 75 trading days, are nearing their capacity limits, which may reduce their role as stabilizing buyers [9][12] Group 2 - Historical data indicates that retail trading activity typically peaks in June and July, then declines in August, reaching its lowest point in September, suggesting a loss of a key buying force [6][16] - The article warns of a "support vacuum" as retail buying wanes and institutional buying exhausts, particularly in September, which is historically the worst-performing month for the S&P 500 index [2][17] - Despite strong earnings reports, with 85% of companies exceeding expectations, these positive factors may not be enough to counteract the dual pressures from funding and seasonal trends [20][21] Group 3 - The article emphasizes that the market's ability to withstand negative macroeconomic news will be significantly weakened, preparing investors for potential higher volatility [3][21] - The article also notes that volatility control strategies may see a slowdown in buying demand due to recent increases in volatility, while risk parity strategies are returning to historical levels [13][14]