长按扫码 ▲ 预约直播 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 当一个加拿大籍主持人，询问一位日本籍演讲嘉宾，关于中国人出海的话题。 值得一提的是，他们彼此交流时，说的都是中文。 这个略带喜感的画面，发生在新加坡出海峰会的舞台上。 有人在朋友圈点评：越来越多外国人习得一口流利中文，背后不仅是兴趣，更是对中国文化、经济与影响力的认同。语言的传播，是最温和却有 力的"出海"。 昨天是我们新加坡出海峰会的第二天，又有10位来自出海一线的嘉宾密集输出干货。 相较第一天，当天嘉宾的"外国人含量"明显提高，开场嘉 宾是 曾任日本通商产业省历任东北亚课课长的日本著名的国际经济学者和中国问题专 家津上俊哉。 他的普通话谈不上流利，但已经带上了一些江浙沪口音，反倒令人倍感亲切。 此外，还有来自哈萨克斯坦的Diana Ablyakimova，新加坡旅游局的潘政志，他们纷纷欢迎中国企业家们到他们所在国投资与观光。 由于是峰会最后一天，焦点自然落在了今天压轴出场的吴老师——他可是实打实得刚刚"出海"归来。不久前，他刚在地中海上进行了一场酣畅淋 漓的帆船之旅。 由此，他开场便感慨道： "我们出海不是为了征服大海，而是接受它给予的洗礼 ...

1—5月国内网上零售额增长8.5% 6月20日，商务部电子商务司负责人表示，据国家统计局数据，1—5月网上零售额同比增长8.5%。品质商品、网络服务消费、新模式新业态成为 新动能，线上线下融合态势深化，重点监测平台数字产品、15类以旧换新家电和数码、网络服务消费、即时零售销售额分别增长10.4%、14%、 13.3%和12%，4月以来平台外贸专区销售额超20亿。 据悉，丝路电商伙伴国升级扩围，与哈萨克斯坦升级、与孟加拉新建双边电商合作机制，伙伴国增至35个。全年40项重点活动协同发力、精准 赋能，在河南、陕西、湖南举办"丝路电商"国际合作对接会、中国-中亚"丝路电商"深化合作圆桌会、非洲好物网购季等12场活动，52国政府、 协会、企业参与，达成100余项合作意向。（商务部官网） ｜点评｜ 5月"国补"叠加"618"活动提前开启，网上零售额增速再提速。家用电器、影像器材、手机等品类零售额领涨，多重优惠叠加下，居民 对耐用消费品的升级换代需求被激活。不过，今年居民新增信贷需求较弱，表明居民在收入前景不明的情况下，更愿意用储蓄进行消费。"国 补"活动短期暂停后，预计很快将重新上线，但补贴范围和力度或将难以进一步扩大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of various e-commerce groups in China, particularly focusing on the "Zhengzhou Gang," "Xiamen Gang," "Anhui IP Gang," and "Guangzhou Gang," highlighting their unique operational strategies and market impacts [1][36]. Group 1: Zhengzhou Gang - The "Zhengzhou Gang" is characterized by its ability to generate a high volume of promotional content, producing around 1,000 viral posts monthly, leading to annual revenues of 10 billion yuan for some companies [2][8]. - Companies like Meng'erda Technology have achieved rapid growth, reaching over 5 billion yuan in annual revenue by leveraging multi-platform e-commerce strategies [5][6]. - The operational model involves mass replication of successful content, often using emotional triggers and conflict-driven narratives to engage consumers, which has resulted in a significant portion of local employment being tied to this industry [9][10]. Group 2: Xiamen Gang - The "Xiamen Gang" focuses on high-budget advertising and rapid product launches, with companies like Yiqiang Technology achieving over 2 billion yuan in sales through aggressive marketing strategies [15][16]. - This group has successfully dominated the Douyin (TikTok) beauty market, with their brands capturing a significant share of the market, estimated at one-sixth of China's cosmetics sector [16][20]. - Their operational strategy includes a high volume of live streaming and short video content, with brands producing thousands of promotional materials to ensure continuous market presence [18][21]. Group 3: Anhui IP Gang - The "Anhui IP Gang" leverages influencer marketing, with a significant portion of their sales coming from live streaming, accounting for 60-70% of their revenue [24][30]. - This group focuses on brand-building from the outset, offering higher-priced products compared to the white-label strategies of other gangs, thus creating a more sustainable business model [30][31]. - The reliance on strong personal brands means that any negative publicity or platform penalties can severely impact their operations, highlighting a vulnerability in their business model [40]. Group 4: Guangzhou Gang - The "Guangzhou Gang" benefits from a robust supply chain and industrial cluster, allowing for rapid product development and distribution, with live streaming sales reaching 517.1 billion yuan in 2024 [31][33]. - This group has adopted a hybrid model that combines elements from both the Xiamen and Anhui gangs, focusing on both influencer-driven sales and traditional supply chain advantages [31][34]. - The operational efficiency in Guangzhou is supported by a well-established network of manufacturers and logistics, enabling quick turnaround times for product launches [33]. Conclusion - The article concludes that these emerging e-commerce groups have transformed the landscape of online retail in China, each with distinct strategies that reflect their regional strengths and market dynamics [36][40].

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve has paused interest rate cuts for four consecutive meetings, maintaining the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.5% [1] - There is a division among Federal Reserve officials regarding future rate cuts, with some supporting two cuts this year while others oppose them [2] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve may restart rate cuts in September, influenced by the impact of tariffs on macroeconomic data [1][2] Group 2: Foreign Investment in China - The profits of foreign-invested industrial enterprises in China are projected to increase from 1.6 trillion yuan to 1.8 trillion yuan from 2019 to 2024, with profit margins leading the national average [3] - High-tech sectors are expected to account for 43.7% of foreign investment in manufacturing by 2024, with foreign enterprises nearing 50% of high-tech product exports [3] - China's policies to stabilize foreign investment are aimed at enhancing confidence and attracting quality resources, which will invigorate domestic economic growth [4] Group 3: National Subsidy Policies - A total of 138 billion yuan in central funding will be distributed in batches in the third and fourth quarters to support consumption upgrades, despite some regions temporarily halting subsidy programs [5] - The "old for new" consumption policy has expanded to include more product categories, with the special national bond funding increasing from 150 billion yuan to 300 billion yuan this year [5] - The suspension of subsidies may lead to a decline in consumer spending, as seen during the "618" shopping festival [6] Group 4: Market Trends and Company Developments - The secondary market for Labubu collectibles has seen a significant price drop, with average transaction prices halving from 2279.7 yuan to 1181.3 yuan due to pre-sale strategies [7] - Texas Instruments announced a historic investment plan of over 60 billion USD to build seven chip factories, focusing on analog and embedded processing chips [9][10] - Audi has reversed its plan to stop developing and selling internal combustion engine vehicles, acknowledging market differences in the transition to electric vehicles [13][14]

长按扫码 ▲ 预约直播 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 6月19日，气温28℃，多云。 在新加坡，这算是一个难得的好天气。因靠近赤道，闷热是新加坡6月的底色，间歇性的下雨更是令人不胜其烦。去年同期，第一届"生而全 球"出海峰会便是在这样的天气下青涩初开。 到了今年再举办第二届出海峰会时，每个人都变得更加老练，只是阴晴不定的不再是天气，而是外部的环境。 短短一年间，出海从一门相对小众垂直的选修话题，成为了放在每个企业案头的必修课，报名参会的人，从去年近千人，增加到了1200人。 去年的参会者中，不乏来自东南亚各国"招商引资"的代表，今年取而代之的，是更多的企业家以及可以助力企业家出海落地的一线骨干； 去年，峰会内容还在侧重分析全球格局和出海动向，今年则是实战经验站到了舞台C位，蜕变本身，既反映了国际局势的剧变，也映照了企业家 们的光速迭代与进化。 昨天是峰会的第一天，9位导师分享了他们对当前出海局势的洞察与经验，他们有的是有着多年出海经验的"出海先锋"，有的是浸泡在一线、研 究企业出海十多年的专家学者，从"关税战"到地缘政治动荡，从DeepSeek浪潮乃至火遍全球的拉布布，热门的、冷门的，无所不谈。 ...

长按扫码 ▲ 预约直播 " 特朗普的那句 ' 祝你好运 ' ，是下场前的暗示，还是继续隐身，将左右战事的方向。 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） "我可能会，也可能不会，没人知道我会怎么做"。 随着以色列和伊朗的冲突升级，一个最大的悬念出现了：美国到底会不会参战？ 尽管发出威胁后没有下达最终进攻指令，美国总统特朗普还是强调："美国不寻求长期战争，我只想要一件事：伊朗不能拥有核武器。" 面对特朗普的咄咄逼人，伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊警告：如果美国发动对伊朗的袭击，那么就会遭到"无法挽回的损失"。 6月18日，特朗普对哈梅内伊送出一句言不由衷的"祝你好运"。他似乎对伊朗的耐心已经耗尽。 的确，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队的高层军官几乎被以色列"一锅端"，纳坦兹核设施浓烟滚滚、防空系统形同虚设。以色列宣布夺取制空权，F-35隐 形战机在德黑兰上空肆无忌惮地飞行。 而不乐观的背后，更应验了一句老话：战争不仅是军事和政治的竞赛，更是经济的竞赛。 " 在美国的极限制裁下，伊朗的经济窟窿越来越大，哈梅内伊嘴上的"绝不妥协"，背后却是国家最虚弱的时刻。 如今的伊朗经济，到底能在战火中撑多久？ 亚洲强国的陨落 很多人不知道，曾经的伊 ...

要知道，汽车制造业可是现代工业王冠上的明珠，也是各省市政府互相争抢的重点产业。 点击图片▲立即了解 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 今年一季度，安徽省汽车产量高达76.17万辆，超越广东、山东、江苏等经济大省，力压重庆、上海、吉林、湖北等传统汽车基地，成功拿下"中国 汽车产量第一省"桂冠。 76.17万辆，是什么概念？土地面积世界第五、人口总量全球第七的巴西，一个季度也才生产60多万辆。 上下滑动 ▲ 查看更多 2025年一季度各省份汽车产量 安徽在汽车制造业方面的造诣，已经超越了一个人口和经济大国。 为什么一不靠海、二没有政策扶持、三没有矿产优势的安徽，能够杀出重围、脱颖而出？ 7月5日—6日，走进标杆工厂2025再度启航，这次我们将前往安徽汽车产业基地——合肥市新桥智能电动汽车产业园，以蔚来为样本，探讨安徽汽 车产业的崛起之道。 该园区规划总面积16950亩，计划整车年产能100万辆、电池年产能100GWh，预计年产值达5000亿元，里面已经建成了一座堪称业内标杆的整车 工厂——蔚来先进制造新桥二工厂（以下简称"蔚来F2厂"）。 "蔚来F2厂"是由蔚来董事长李斌亲自部署的超级项目， 在全链智能化 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses two significant policy packages aimed at enhancing China's financial sector and increasing its international financial influence [1][2] - The first package includes eight major financial policies announced by the central bank, focusing on supporting foreign trade and establishing Shanghai as a major financial hub [2][6] - Key policies include the establishment of a digital RMB international operation center, development of offshore trade finance, and optimization of free trade account functions, which will facilitate cross-border financing for foreign trade enterprises [11][12][17][20] Group 2 - The second package, issued by the central government, allows companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to also list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, promoting the return of quality enterprises to the mainland [5][35] - This policy enables companies registered in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to issue depository receipts in Shenzhen, providing a pathway for companies like Tencent and Alibaba to access A-share markets [36][41] - The return of these companies is expected to invigorate the A-share market, enhance capital market openness, and potentially reduce foreign exchange outflows [52][55]

来自天南海北的企业家朋友们因第二届出海全球峰会再次齐聚"亚洲学术殿堂"——新加坡国立大学。 上午9点，特邀嘉宾主持美讯创始人兼CEO彭家荣（Chris Pereira）将登台主持开场，一场关于全球化未来的深度对话即将启幕。 点击按钮▲预约直播 今天9:00，"生而全球·共融共建"第二届出海全球峰会将在新加坡国立大学正式开 幕，千余位企业出海掌舵人再聚狮城，与吴晓波、王辉耀、秦朔、津上俊哉、杨宇 东、张华荣等嘉宾，共同探索中企出海从"产能迁徙"到"文 明共生"的 跃迁之路 。 无法亲临峰会的朋友，请锁定吴晓波频道视频号直播间，云端直击精彩现场。 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号： 吴晓波频道） 当马克思在《共产党宣言》中首次系统勾勒全球化图景时，他或许未曾预见：两个世纪后，中国企业正以"共融共建"的态度，将这场文明实验推向 新高度。 本届峰会遵循高水平、国际化、实效性的办会理念，共设置2日主论坛、1场深度晚宴以及1场中国企业家商务考察行程。 主论坛围绕"逆全球化与新全球化""全球供应链的重构与创新""多生态赋能中资全球化""国际化即本土化"四大核心议题展开深度探讨，共安排17 场主题演讲、2场全球链接宣讲以及1场高峰 ...

Group 1: Financial Policies and Regulations - The People's Bank of China announced 8 significant financial policies aimed at enhancing financial openness, including the establishment of a trading report database and a digital RMB international operation center [1][2] - The policies focus on financial regulation, digital finance, and cross-border finance, indicating a clear signal for promoting openness and innovation in response to complex foreign trade conditions [1] - The introduction of structural monetary policy tools in Shanghai is expected to guide funds more effectively towards the real economy, suggesting a potential increase in such tools in the future [2] Group 2: Cryptocurrency Regulation - The U.S. Senate passed a bipartisan bill to establish a regulatory framework for stablecoins, marking a significant step in cryptocurrency legislation [3] - If passed by the House and signed into law, the bill will require stablecoin issuers to back their tokens with liquid assets and disclose their reserves monthly [3][4] - The expansion of the stablecoin market is anticipated to create more demand for U.S. Treasury bonds, indicating a potential impact on the sovereign currency system [4] Group 3: Military Industry Trends - The military sector saw significant gains in the stock market, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and increased interest in domestic military equipment [5][6] - The National Aerospace Index, heavily weighted towards military stocks, is the largest of its kind, reflecting strong market recognition [7] - The military industry is characterized by high beta, making it sensitive to policy changes and macroeconomic sentiment, which could lead to short-term volatility [7] Group 4: Smart Glasses Market - China's smart glasses market experienced a 116.1% year-on-year increase in shipments in Q1 2025, with audio and audio-capturing glasses leading the growth [8] - The introduction of payment functionalities in smart glasses is seen as a differentiating factor for manufacturers, with global shipments expected to grow significantly in the coming years [8] - Despite the growth, smart glasses are still perceived as "tech toys," facing challenges such as limited battery life and content ecosystem [9] Group 5: JD.com's Hotel Industry Entry - JD.com announced its entry into the hotel industry, offering a three-year commission-free period for hotel operators to join its platform [10][11] - The strategy aims to optimize supply chain costs in the hotel sector, which is expected to enhance service quality and operational efficiency [10] - JD.com faces competition from established players like Ctrip and Meituan, necessitating improvements in service experience and technology to attract hotel operators [11] Group 6: IPO of Cao Cao Travel - Cao Cao Travel plans to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise approximately HKD 1.853 billion through its IPO [14][15] - The company, part of Geely's strategy in the ride-hailing market, has shown increasing revenue projections but also faces significant operational challenges [14] - The shift towards autonomous driving taxis represents a new growth direction for Cao Cao Travel, although it encounters multiple challenges in funding and technology [15] Group 7: Cross-Border Brokerage Adjustments - Several cross-border brokers have adjusted their policies for opening accounts for mainland residents, responding to regulatory requirements [16][17] - The cancellation of the "existing proof" for account opening is aimed at preventing illegal financial activities and ensuring compliance with regulations [16][17] - The changes reflect a broader effort to maintain investor protection and market integrity in cross-border trading activities [17] Group 8: Market Overview - The stock market showed slight gains with mixed performance across sectors, highlighting ongoing geopolitical tensions and sector-specific dynamics [18] - The military equipment sector remained active, while other sectors like beauty care and rare earths faced declines [18] - The market's overall trading volume decreased, indicating a cautious sentiment among investors [18]