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新势力 | 8月:车市平稳向上 新势力销量环比增长【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-09-02 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the steady growth of the new energy vehicle market in August 2025, with significant delivery increases for various companies, while also noting the competitive landscape and technological advancements in the industry [3][4][10]. Group 1: Market Performance - In August 2025, the retail market for narrow passenger vehicles is estimated at approximately 1.94 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.0% and a month-on-month increase of 6.2% [3]. - The new energy vehicle retail sales are projected to reach 1.1 million units, with a penetration rate of about 56.7% [3]. - Six sample new force car companies (excluding Xiaomi) delivered a total of 199,279 vehicles in August, showing a year-on-year increase of 20.0% and a month-on-month increase of 5.9% [3]. Group 2: Company Deliveries - **Leap Motor**: Delivered 57,066 vehicles in August, up 88.3% year-on-year and 13.8% month-on-month, driven by strong sales of the B10 and C10 models [4]. - **Xpeng**: Reported deliveries of 37,709 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 168.7% and a month-on-month increase of 2.7% [5]. - **NIO**: Achieved 31,305 vehicle deliveries, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 55.2% and a month-on-month increase of 15.9% [6]. - **Li Auto**: Delivered 28,529 vehicles, but experienced a year-on-year decline of 40.7% and a month-on-month decrease of 7.2% [6]. - **Aion**: Reported 27,044 deliveries, down 23.5% year-on-year but up 1.8% month-on-month [6]. - **Zeekr**: Delivered 17,626 vehicles, showing a slight year-on-year decline of 2.2% but a month-on-month increase of 3.8% [7]. - **Xiaomi**: Exceeded 30,000 vehicle deliveries in August, with strong demand for its new SUV model [7]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The article discusses the acceleration of end-to-end technology applications in autonomous driving, marking the beginning of a new era in intelligent driving [8][10]. - Companies like Xpeng and those associated with Huawei have been leading the iteration and promotion of intelligent driving technologies since 2024 [10]. - The advancements in intelligent driving technology are expected to lower hardware barriers and expand applications in the mainstream market, particularly for vehicles priced under 200,000 yuan [10]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The article suggests a focus on companies with strong autonomous driving capabilities and those that are well-positioned in the new energy vehicle supply chain, including Geely, Xpeng, Li Auto, BYD, and Xiaomi [11][18]. - It emphasizes the importance of intelligent driving as a competitive factor and the potential for domestic suppliers to gain market share through cost-effective and responsive solutions [11].
吉利汽车 | 8月:银河月销持续亮眼 高端化新品密集【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-09-02 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong sales growth in August, with total wholesale sales reaching 250,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 38.0% and a month-on-month increase of 5.2% [2][3]. Sales Performance - In August, the total wholesale sales were 250,000 units, with a year-on-year growth of 38.0% and a month-on-month growth of 5.2%. Cumulative wholesale sales from January to August reached 1.897 million units, up 47.3% year-on-year [2][3]. - The sales of new energy vehicles in August were 147,347 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 95.2% and a month-on-month increase of 13.2%, with a penetration rate of 58.9%. Cumulative sales of new energy vehicles from January to August reached 1.003 million units, up 120.5% year-on-year [2][3]. Brand Performance - In August, the sales figures for different brands were as follows: Geely brand sold 205,000 units (including 111,000 units from Galaxy), Zeekr sold 17,626 units, and Lynk & Co sold 27,217 units [2][3][4]. - The Galaxy A7 was launched on August 8 with a limited-time price range of 81,800 to 117,800 RMB, achieving over 10,000 pre-orders within 27 minutes. The Galaxy M9 is expected to launch in mid-September with a pre-sale of over 40,000 units [3]. New Product Launches - Zeekr and Lynk & Co are focusing on high-end market segments with new product launches. The Zeekr 9X, priced between 479,900 to 569,900 RMB, has received 42,667 orders within the first hour of pre-sale. Lynk & Co 10 is expected to launch in September with a pre-sale price of 192,000 to 222,000 RMB [4][5]. Strategic Moves - The company is considering privatizing Zeekr to consolidate resources and enhance operational efficiency, aligning with its strategic focus on high-end luxury electric vehicles [5]. - The expected revenue for the company from 2025 to 2027 is projected to be 404.78 billion RMB, 489.69 billion RMB, and 572.83 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits of 16.21 billion RMB, 22.09 billion RMB, and 25.97 billion RMB [6][7]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts significant revenue growth with a projected increase in earnings per share (EPS) from 1.61 RMB in 2025 to 2.58 RMB in 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11, 8, and 7 [6][7].
经纬恒润 | 2025Q2:扭亏为盈 RoboX业务即将推出【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-31 15:05
Event Overview - The company released its 2025 semi-annual report, showing a revenue of 2.908 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.48%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -87 million yuan, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was -115 million yuan. In Q2 2025, revenue reached 1.580 billion yuan, up 38.90% year-on-year and 18.98% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 33 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [2][3]. Revenue Growth Driven by Electronic Products - In Q2 2025, revenue of 1.580 billion yuan represented a year-on-year increase of 38.90% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.98%. The growth was primarily driven by the rapid expansion of the electronic products business, particularly the domain controller products [3]. - The gross profit margin in Q2 2025 reached 24.64%, an increase of 3.73 percentage points year-on-year and 3.25 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin attributable to shareholders was 2.09%, up 14.54 percentage points year-on-year and 11.12 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Cost reduction and efficiency improvements contributed to the reversal of profitability, alongside effective conversion of prior R&D investments into revenue growth [3]. Continuous Breakthroughs in Domain Fusion Technology - The company achieved significant milestones in domain fusion products, including the rollout of 1 million physical area controllers and strategic partnerships for mass production of intelligent driving domain controllers by year-end [4]. - New product developments in various domains, including chassis and cabin control, have received recognition from clients, with multiple new products set for mass production in the second half of the year [4]. International Strategy Progressing - The company is rapidly expanding its international market presence, securing multiple OEM/Tier 1 product contracts with notable companies such as Stellantis and Scania [5]. - Four production bases have been established in Tianjin, Nantong, Nanchang, and Malaysia, along with a comprehensive integrated supply chain system and R&D/service centers in China, the US, the EU, and ASEAN regions [5]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 7.324 billion yuan, 9.043 billion yuan, and 10.748 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 88 million yuan, 370 million yuan, and 928 million yuan [6][8]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are 0.73 yuan, 3.08 yuan, and 7.74 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 160, 38, and 15 [6][8].
钱江摩托 | 25Q2:业绩符合预期 中大排销量稳健【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-31 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The company's performance in Q2 2025 met expectations, with marginal improvements in motorcycle business despite a decline in overall sales and profits [3][6]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 270 million yuan, down 22.9% year-on-year [2]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 1.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 9.2% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30.3%. The net profit for Q2 was 180 million yuan, down 12.8% year-on-year but up 110.6% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. Motorcycle Business - The decline in revenue was primarily due to fluctuations in motorcycle sales, with Q2 2025 motorcycle sales at 106,000 units, down 17.2% year-on-year but up 9.6% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The company has improved its product definition capabilities, launching high-end models that have received positive market reception, indicating strong potential for future growth [4][6]. Cost Structure - The company has optimized its cost structure, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios showing improvements compared to previous periods, contributing to profit margins [3]. International Strategy - The company is focusing on international expansion, with a significant increase in exports of mid-to-large displacement motorcycles, achieving 26,000 units in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [4]. - The establishment of subsidiaries in key markets such as the U.S., Italy, and Indonesia is part of the company's strategy to enhance its global presence [4]. All-Terrain Vehicle (ATV) Development - The company is actively expanding its all-terrain vehicle product line, with two ATV models already in mass production and additional models in development [5]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.68 billion yuan, 7.98 billion yuan, and 9.47 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 640 million yuan, 750 million yuan, and 880 million yuan [6][8].
星宇股份 | 2025Q2:盈利稳健 全新产能启动布局【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-31 15:05
Event Overview - The company released its 2025 semi-annual report, showing a revenue of 6.757 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.20%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 706 million yuan, up 18.88% year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 687 million yuan, an increase of 23.24% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue reached 3.663 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.85% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.36%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 384 million yuan, up 9.35% year-on-year and 19.31% quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 375 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.98% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.78% [2]. Revenue and Profitability - Revenue showed steady growth with Q2 2025 revenue at 3.663 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.85% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.36% [3]. - Profitability remained robust, with Q2 2025 gross margin at 19.64%, a decrease of 0.73 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 0.81 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 10.49%, down 0.14 percentage points year-on-year but up 0.08 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Expense ratios remained stable, with increases in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios primarily due to rising employee compensation and R&D material consumption [3]. Contribution from Core Suppliers - The company serves as a Tier 1 supplier for the AITO M9, providing exclusive front and rear lamp assemblies. The M9 has achieved significant sales milestones, including being the best-selling luxury car in China for over 15 months and achieving over 40,000 pre-orders within 27 days of its launch [4]. - The AITO M8, which features advanced lighting systems designed by the company, also set a record with 50,000 pre-orders in just four days [4]. Long-term Development Support - The company officially launched its Intelligent Automotive Electronics and Visual Systems Industrial Center project on August 20, 2025. This project will include six main factories with a total construction area of approximately 250,000 square meters, aiming for an annual production capacity of about 10 million intelligent lamp assemblies [5]. Market Outlook and Financial Projections - The automotive lighting sector is positioned favorably, with the trend towards electrification driving both volume and price increases. The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 16.013 billion yuan, 19.108 billion yuan, and 22.632 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits projected at 1.733 billion yuan, 2.017 billion yuan, and 2.543 billion yuan [6]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 6.07 yuan, 7.06 yuan, and 8.90 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 20, 17, and 14 [6][7].
广汽集团 | 2025H1:盈利承压 携手华为合作深化【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-31 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating significant operational challenges and a need for strategic adjustments to improve performance [2][3][4]. Revenue Performance - Total revenue for H1 2025 was 42.61 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year, with Q2 revenue at 22.73 billion yuan, also down 7.9% year-on-year but up 14.4% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle in Q2 2025 was 164,000 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.7% but a slight decrease of 0.7% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Profitability Analysis - The net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 was -2.54 billion yuan, marking a shift to negative from the previous year, while the adjusted net profit was -2.95 billion yuan, showing a reduction in losses by 32.3% year-on-year [2][3]. - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was -1.81 billion yuan, with an increase in losses compared to the previous quarter, and the adjusted net profit was -2.05 billion yuan, indicating a worsening financial situation [2][3]. Sales Volume and Market Dynamics - Total sales volume for H1 2025 was 755,000 units, down 12.5% year-on-year, with Q2 deliveries at 384,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 15.2% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.5% [4]. - The performance of joint venture brands varied, with GAC Honda experiencing a significant decline in Q2 sales, while GAC Toyota showed stable growth [4]. Strategic Partnerships and Product Development - The company is deepening its collaboration with Huawei, planning to launch two luxury smart electric vehicle models by 2026, which is expected to enhance its technological competitiveness and brand positioning [5]. - Continuous improvement of the product matrix and acceleration of the transition to new energy and intelligent vehicles are seen as key strategies to drive future growth [4][5]. Long-term Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in joint venture brands, with expectations of improved competitiveness in the hybrid and intelligent vehicle segments, potentially leading to a recovery from the current operational downturn [6]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 124.69 billion yuan, 144.15 billion yuan, and 167.35 billion yuan respectively, with a gradual return to profitability anticipated by 2027 [6][9].
豪能股份 | 2025Q2:盈利承压 机器人减速器加速布局【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-31 15:05
Event Overview - The company released its 2025 semi-annual report, showing a revenue of 1.253 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.30%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 184 million yuan, up 13.45% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 172 million yuan, an increase of 10.54% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue was 634 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.43% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.34%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 80 million yuan, down 3.01% year-on-year and down 23.34% quarter-on-quarter, with the net profit excluding non-recurring items at 69 million yuan, down 10.43% year-on-year and down 32.45% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q2 2025, the revenue was 634 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.43% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 2.34%. The revenue growth was driven by significant increases in the sales of differential gears and aerospace components [3]. - The Q2 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders was 80 million yuan, which represented a year-on-year decrease of 3.01% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 23.34%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 69 million yuan, down 10.43% year-on-year and down 32.45% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 32.11%, a slight increase of 0.09 percentage points year-on-year but a decrease of 0.03 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 12.59%, down 1.36 percentage points year-on-year and down 4.22 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to increased management and R&D expense ratios [3]. Cost Structure - In Q2 2025, the expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs were 0.65%, 6.80%, 6.76%, and 2.21%, respectively. Year-on-year changes were -0.03, +2.57, +0.45, and -1.84 percentage points, while quarter-on-quarter changes were -0.13, +1.44, +1.49, and -0.28 percentage points. The increase in management expense ratio was mainly due to higher employee compensation and relocation costs for Chongqing Haoneng, while the increase in R&D expense ratio was attributed to advancements in technology research and product planning [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating its layout in the robot reducer sector, aiming to establish a second growth curve. In September 2024, the company signed an agreement with the People's Government of Bishan District, Chongqing, to jointly create a robot industry ecosystem, with a total investment of 1 billion yuan for the first phase. This initiative focuses on producing planetary reducers for new energy vehicles and high-precision industrial planetary reducers. The company is actively developing high-precision reducers and has established partnerships in various fields, including humanoid robots and exoskeletons [4]. - The aerospace components segment is experiencing rapid growth, with the company achieving a revenue of 167 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 32.21%. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing orders in the civil aviation sector, such as the C919 aircraft. An investment of 300 million yuan is being made to build an intelligent manufacturing center for aerospace components, which is progressing smoothly [5]. Financial Projections - The company is a leader in synchronizers, with a comprehensive product matrix for differential gears and an accelerated layout in robot reducers. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.808 billion yuan, 3.376 billion yuan, and 3.883 billion yuan, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 383 million yuan, 533 million yuan, and 676 million yuan for the same period, with corresponding EPS of 0.45 yuan, 0.62 yuan, and 0.79 yuan. The PE ratios are expected to be 34, 25, and 20 times, respectively, based on the closing price of 15.34 yuan per share on August 29, 2025 [6][7].
隆盛科技 | 2025Q2:盈利承压 机器人部件+整机全面推进【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-31 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 1.224 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.44%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 105 million yuan, up 1.38% year-on-year [2] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 618 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.03% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.06% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 2025 was 46 million yuan, down 9.04% year-on-year and down 21.49% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 18.01%, a decrease of 1.46 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in accounting standards and adjustments in sales expenses [3] Business Growth and Cost Management - The EGR (Exhaust Gas Recirculation) business experienced rapid growth, driven by the strong performance of leading domestic car manufacturers and breakthroughs in heavy-duty truck EGR systems [3] - The company’s sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios for Q2 2025 were 0.42%, 3.88%, 3.62%, and 1.56% respectively, with notable changes attributed to accounting adjustments and increased costs [3] Production and Technological Advancements - The company is accelerating its production line upgrades, particularly in the electric motor core components, which significantly enhance product value and competitiveness [4] - The establishment of a dual-path approach in "core components + complete machine R&D" is underway, focusing on both robot assembly and breakthroughs in key components like harmonic reducers [5] Investment Outlook - The company maintains a solid position as a leader in the EGR market, with a three-dimensional growth strategy encompassing traditional business, new energy initiatives, and international expansion [6] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.898 billion yuan, 3.648 billion yuan, and 4.523 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to reach 253 million yuan, 339 million yuan, and 478 million yuan [8]
比亚迪 | 2025Q2:营收同环比增长 出海开启新成长【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-31 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 23.3%, while the net profit showed a more modest growth of 13.8% [2] Revenue Analysis - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 200.92 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.9% [4] - The sales volume reached 1.145 million units in Q2 2025, up 16.1% year-on-year and 14.4% quarter-on-quarter, with high-end models accounting for 7.8% of total sales [4] - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle in Q2 2025 was 137,300 yuan, reflecting an increase of 1,400 yuan year-on-year and 3,900 yuan quarter-on-quarter, driven by a higher proportion of overseas and high-end models [4] Profitability Analysis - The overall gross margin in Q2 2025 was 16.3%, down 2.4 percentage points year-on-year and 3.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.36 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a decline of 29.8% year-on-year and 30.5% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the decrease in gross margin [5] - The company’s R&D expense ratio increased due to a rise in R&D personnel and fixed expenditures [5] International Expansion - The company’s overseas sales of new energy vehicles reached 545,000 units from January to July 2025, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 133.5% [6] - The company is actively expanding its international presence, with the opening of a passenger car factory in Brazil and plans for additional factories in Uzbekistan, Hungary, Turkey, and Indonesia [6] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 990.81 billion yuan, 1,188.97 billion yuan, and 1,397.04 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 45.402 billion yuan, 60.353 billion yuan, and 70.419 billion yuan [7][8] - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 23, 17, and 15 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]
爱柯迪 | 2025Q2:业绩符合预期 全球化+机器人齐驱【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-08-30 14:56
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a positive performance in its 2025 Q2 results, with revenue and net profit showing significant year-on-year growth, indicating a recovery in the automotive market and effective cost management strategies [2][3]. Revenue Performance - In 2025 H1, the company achieved revenue of 3.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 570 million yuan, up 27.4% year-on-year [2]. - For 2025 Q2, the company reported revenue of 1.78 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.0% increase year-on-year and a 1.3% increase quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to seasonal recovery in the passenger car market and the gradual release of new orders [3]. Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for 2025 Q2 was 29.7%, which is an increase of 2.1 percentage points year-on-year and 1.0 percentage point quarter-on-quarter, driven by a slight decrease in aluminum ingot prices and economies of scale [3]. - The net profit for 2025 Q2 reached 320 million yuan, marking a 44.9% increase year-on-year and a 22.7% increase quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the recovery in gross margin and increased foreign exchange gains [3]. Cost Management - The company reported various expense ratios for 2025 Q2: sales expenses at 0.6%, management expenses at 6.5%, R&D expenses at 4.8%, and financial expenses at -4.2%, showing a mixed trend in cost management compared to previous periods [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding into the robotics sector, establishing a wholly-owned subsidiary and planning to acquire a 71% stake in Zhuoerbo for 1.12 billion yuan, which is expected to enhance its technological capabilities and market reach in robotics [4]. - The acquisition is anticipated to leverage the company's strengths in precision manufacturing to drive innovation and growth in the robotics field [4]. Incentive Plans - The company has introduced a stock incentive plan, proposing to grant 8.032 million restricted shares, representing 0.8% of the total share capital, to attract and retain talent, ensuring long-term development [5]. - The performance targets set for 2025 and 2026 include revenue growth rates of at least 19.2% and 25.9%, respectively, indicating ambitious growth expectations [5]. Future Projections - The company expects to see continued growth in revenue and net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 8.26 billion yuan, 10.16 billion yuan, and 11.84 billion yuan, respectively, alongside net profits of 1.205 billion yuan, 1.490 billion yuan, and 1.789 billion yuan [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase to 1.22 yuan, 1.51 yuan, and 1.82 yuan over the same period, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's financial performance [8].