Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for both the real estate and building materials sectors [1][3] Core Insights - The report highlights that the construction materials sector is expected to continue its recovery due to increased infrastructure investment and consumption stimulation, supported by government policies [3][4] - The real estate sector has seen a weakening in sales momentum over the past two months, with the market remaining in a low-level fluctuation, influenced by policy developments [3][28] - The report suggests focusing on stable and leading companies in the real estate sector, particularly those operating in first and second-tier cities, such as Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and others [3][28] - In the building materials sector, the report emphasizes the potential for profit recovery in cement companies, recommending firms with solid fundamentals and attractive dividend yields [4][50] Summary by Sections Real Estate Sector - The report notes that the recent Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the importance of urban renewal and fiscal measures to support the real estate sector [3][28] - It anticipates ongoing issuance of special bonds to support urban renewal and old community renovations, which will provide some demand support for real estate [3][28] - The report indicates that the real estate sector's sales have weakened, and the market is currently in a policy negotiation phase, with potential short-term rebounds driven by policy announcements [3][28] - It highlights the need to monitor the recovery of sales and improvements in the fundamentals of real estate companies for medium-term outlooks [3][28] Building Materials Sector - The report discusses recent environmental regulations aimed at improving standards in the glass and cement industries, which are expected to positively impact company operations and profit recovery [4][50] - It mentions that the cement market is currently facing weak demand and excess capacity, but infrastructure investment is expected to support cement demand in the second half of the year [4][50] - The report provides data indicating that retail sales of building and decoration materials reached 15.8 billion yuan in June, with a year-on-year growth of 1.0% [5][53] - It suggests that the building materials sector will see improvements in sales and profit margins due to market recovery and internal optimization efforts by companies [7][53]

Market Performance - In July 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.74%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 5.20% and the ChiNext Index surged by 8.14%[5] - The average return of the stock portfolio in July was 1.14%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index which rose by 3.54%[5] Economic Outlook - China's GDP growth rate for the first half of 2025 was recorded at 5.3%, with a full-year target of 5% growth expected to be achievable[5] - The IMF has raised its global economic growth forecast, but the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has reduced expectations for a rate cut in September[5] Stock Recommendations - Chengdu Bank (601838) is recommended for its high dividend yield of 4.82% based on a closing price of 18.47 RMB, with a PE ratio of 5.64[9][12] - Xinhua Insurance (601336) shows strong business elasticity with a closing price of 66.77 RMB and a PE ratio of 8.64, reflecting a significant increase in new business value by 67.9%[13][17] - Xiamen Tungsten (600549) is positioned well in tungsten and rare earth sectors, with a closing price of 23.22 RMB and a projected EPS of 1.33 RMB[18][19] Investment Risks - Economic fluctuations may lead to weaker consumer spending and corporate investment, impacting credit demand and asset quality for banks[12] - Regulatory tightening could hinder new policy sales and affect premium growth for insurance companies[17] Company Performance Highlights - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical (600276) reported a 20.14% increase in revenue for Q1 2025, driven by innovative drug sales[26][29] - Ningde Times (300750) achieved a 33.33% increase in net profit for H1 2025, with a strong cash reserve of 350.58 billion RMB[30][33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Standard" investment rating for the mechanical equipment industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [40]. Core Insights - The application scenarios for humanoid robots are expected to accelerate, supported by infrastructure projects that bolster domestic engineering machinery demand [1][3]. - The mechanical equipment sector has shown a bi-weekly increase of 1.84%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.82 percentage points, ranking 14th among 31 sectors [11][15]. - The engineering machinery sub-sector has the highest growth, with a bi-weekly increase of 4.17% and a monthly increase of 9.36% [18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of July 31, 2025, the mechanical equipment industry has increased by 1.84% bi-weekly, 5.67% monthly, and 15.49% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.82, 2.12, and 11.92 percentage points respectively [11][15]. Valuation Situation - The current PE TTM for the mechanical equipment sector is 28.51 times, with sub-sectors showing varied valuations: General Equipment at 36.24, Specialized Equipment at 28.01, Engineering Machinery at 21.35, and Automation Equipment at 47.37 [2][22]. Industry News - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project on July 19 is expected to significantly support long-term demand for domestic engineering machinery [3][34]. - The global robot market is projected to exceed $400 billion by 2029, with China accounting for nearly 50% of this market [34]. Company Announcements - Companies such as Huichuan Technology and Green's Harmonic are recommended for attention due to their strong market positions and growth potential in the humanoid robot and servo product sectors [36][37]. Weekly Insights - The report highlights the anticipated launch of Tesla's Optimus Gen3 humanoid robot and the introduction of a medical care robot by Fourier, indicating a growing trend in humanoid robot applications [3][36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the public utility industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [49]. Core Insights - In June, the total electricity consumption in the society increased by 5.4% year-on-year, with significant growth in the third industry and urban residents' electricity consumption [44][47]. - The public utility index has underperformed the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 2.7% in the last two weeks and 2.0% year-to-date [12][22]. - The report highlights the performance of various sub-sectors, with hydroelectric power down by 4.8% and thermal service down by 3.6% in the last two weeks [13][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of July 31, the public utility index has dropped 2.7% in the last two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.7 percentage points [12]. - Year-to-date, the public utility index has decreased by 2.0%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 5.5 percentage points [12]. - Among the 132 listed companies in the public utility index, 32 saw stock price increases, with ST Jinhong, Victory Energy, and New Construction shares rising by 28.0%, 23.7%, and 15.5% respectively [13]. 2. Industry Valuation - As of July 31, the public utility sector's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 18.5 times, with the solar power sector at 584.5 times and thermal service at 34.8 times [20][21]. - The thermal power sector's P/E ratio is 11.8 times, indicating a relatively lower valuation compared to other sectors [20]. 3. Industry Data Tracking - The average price of Q6000 coal at the pit in Shaanxi Yulin was 587 RMB/ton, a 0.5% increase from the previous value [34]. - The average price of Q5500 coal at Qinhuangdao port was 643 RMB/ton, reflecting a 3.3% increase [34]. 4. Key Industry News - The National Energy Administration reported that the cumulative installed power generation capacity reached 3.65 billion kilowatts by the end of June, a year-on-year increase of 18.7% [47]. - The market transaction electricity volume for the first half of the year was 2.95 trillion kilowatt-hours, up 4.8% year-on-year, accounting for 60.9% of total electricity consumption [47]. 5. Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The report suggests focusing on companies like Huadian International and Guodian Power in the thermal power sector due to the decline in average coal prices [44]. - In the gas sector, companies such as Xin'ao Co., Jiufeng Energy, and New Natural Gas are recommended for their strategic advantages in gas sourcing and distribution [44][45].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][42]. Core Insights - The SW agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry slightly outperformed the CSI 300 index, with an increase of 1.06% from July 18 to July 31, 2025, surpassing the index by approximately 0.05 percentage points [3][10]. - Most sub-sectors recorded positive returns during the same period, with fisheries, aquaculture, planting, and feed sectors rising by 2.04%, 1.79%, 1.6%, and 0.64% respectively, while agricultural products processing and animal health sectors saw declines of 0.74% and 3.21% [11][12]. - Approximately 57% of stocks in the industry achieved positive returns, indicating a favorable market sentiment [12]. Industry Data Summary - **Pig Farming**: - The average price of external three-breed pigs decreased from 14.37 CNY/kg to 14.21 CNY/kg between July 18 and July 31, 2025 [21]. - The cost of corn was reported at 2402.02 CNY/ton, showing a slight decline, while soybean meal prices increased to 2984 CNY/ton [22]. - Profitability for self-bred pigs was 43.85 CNY/head, while purchasing piglets resulted in a loss of 116.78 CNY/head [26]. - **Poultry Farming**: - The average price of broiler chicks rose to 2.57 CNY/chick, while egg-laying chicks averaged 3.85 CNY/chick [28]. - The average price for broiler chickens increased to 6.83 CNY/kg, with a slight improvement in profitability to -0.43 CNY/chick [31]. - **Aquaculture**: - The average wholesale price for crucian carp was 22.69 CNY/kg, while carp saw a slight increase to 15.82 CNY/kg [33]. Industry News - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs and nine other departments released a plan to promote agricultural product consumption, focusing on optimizing supply, innovating distribution, and activating market demand [35]. - Among the companies reporting mid-year results, Haida Group achieved a revenue of 588.31 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 12.5%, with a net profit of 26.39 billion CNY, up 24.16% [36]. Company Insights - Key companies to watch include: - Muyuan Foods (002714): A leading pig farming company with cost and scale advantages [43]. - Haida Group (002311): A top feed company expected to maintain steady market share growth [43]. - Lihua Co. (300761): A leading yellow feather chicken farming company with integrated advantages [43]. - Reap Bio (300119): A leader in the animal health sector with a growing product matrix for pet health [43]. - Zhongchong Co. (002891): A leading pet food company with strong domestic growth prospects [43].

计算机行业 2025 年 8 月 1 日 卢芷心 S0340524100001 电话：0769-22119297 邮箱： luzhixin@dgzq.com.cn 罗炜斌 S0340521020001 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： luoweibin@dgzq.com.cn 陈伟光 S0340520060001 电话：0769-22119430 邮箱： chenweiguang@dgzq.com.cn 资料来源：iFinD，东莞证券研究所 相关报告 超配（维持） 计算机行业双周报（2025/7/18-2025/7/31） 行 业 北美四大 CSP 再次上调全年资本开支指引，全球算力需求有望维持高位 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 SAC 执业证书编号： 计 算 机 行 业 指 数 涨 跌 幅 及 估 值 ： 申 万 计 算 机 板 块 近 2 周 （2025/7/18-2025/7/31）累计上涨1.25%，跑赢沪深300指数0.23个百 分点，在31个申万一级行业中排 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [51]. Core Viewpoints - The implementation of childcare subsidies is expected to boost demand in the dairy sector, with a national standard of 3,600 yuan per child per year starting from January 1, 2025 [46]. - The report highlights the performance of various segments, noting that all sub-sectors underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index during the review period [9][11]. - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong certainty in high-end liquor, such as Kweichow Moutai, and also mentions potential in the beer and seasoning sectors due to seasonal demand increases [46][49]. Summary by Sections Market Review - From July 18 to July 31, 2025, the SW food and beverage industry index rose by 1.02%, ranking 25th among Shenwan's primary industries, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by approximately 1.74 percentage points [9][11]. - Approximately 37% of stocks in the industry recorded positive returns during this period, with notable gainers including Sunshine Dairy (+35.17%) and BeiYinMei (+22.40%) [13]. Industry Data Tracking - **Liquor Sector**: Prices for top brands like Feitian Moutai and Guojiao 1573 remained stable at 1,870 yuan and 835 yuan per bottle, respectively [19]. - **Seasoning Sector**: The price of soybean meal increased by 2.68% month-on-month, while white sugar prices decreased by 0.82% [22]. - **Beer Sector**: Barley prices rose by 0.45% month-on-month, with aluminum prices increasing by 0.15% [27]. - **Dairy Sector**: Fresh milk prices decreased to 3.03 yuan per kilogram, down 0.33% month-on-month [34]. - **Meat Sector**: The average wholesale price of pork fell to 20.45 yuan per kilogram, down 0.18 yuan from the previous period [36]. Important News - Beer exports saw a significant increase of 64.3% in June, while imports decreased by 20.1% [38]. - The report notes a stable price index for national liquor, with no significant fluctuations observed [39]. - The first half of 2025 saw a decline in profits for the beverage manufacturing sector, with a 2.1% year-on-year decrease [41]. Company Announcements - **East Peng Beverage**: Reported a 36.37% increase in total revenue for the first half of 2025 [44]. - **Jin Zai Food**: Announced a share buyback plan, purchasing 100,000 shares at prices between 12.67 and 12.70 yuan [45].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for both the real estate and building materials sectors [1][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the construction materials sector is expected to continue its recovery due to increased infrastructure investment and consumption stimulation, supported by government policies [3][4]. - The real estate sector has shown weakened sales momentum in recent months, with a focus on policy impacts for short-term rebounds and a need for improved sales recovery and company fundamentals for medium-term outlook [3][28]. - The building materials sector is facing challenges such as weak demand, excess capacity, and inventory pressure, but upcoming policies are expected to enhance environmental standards and control capacity, positively impacting profitability [4][50]. Summary by Sections Real Estate Sector - The central government is emphasizing urban renewal and fiscal measures to support the real estate market, including the issuance of special bonds [3][28]. - The real estate sector has seen a slight increase of 0.66% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.24 percentage points [15][20]. - Key companies to watch include Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and China Vanke, focusing on stable operations and strong positions in first and second-tier cities [3][28]. Building Materials Sector - The building materials sector has experienced a 6.23% increase over the past two weeks, ranking second among 31 sectors [29][31]. - Cement prices are under pressure due to weak demand, with the national average price at 320 RMB per ton, down 4 RMB from the previous week [36][50]. - Companies such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement are recommended for their solid fundamentals and attractive dividend yields [4][50]. Consumer Building Materials - Retail sales of building and decoration materials reached 15.8 billion RMB in June, with a year-on-year growth of 1.0% [5][53]. - The report anticipates a recovery in sales and profit margins for consumer building materials companies due to market improvements and cost optimization strategies [7][53]. - Recommended companies include Beixin Building Materials, Rabbit Baby, and Three Trees for their competitive advantages and solid fundamentals [7][53].

2025 年 8 月 1 日 震荡整固中夯实上行基础 2025 年 8 月份投资策略报告 分析师：费小平 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340518010002 电话：0769-22111089 邮箱：fxp@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：尹炜祺 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340522120001 电话：0769-22118627 邮箱： yinweiqi@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：曾浩 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523110001 电话：0769-22119276 邮箱： zenghao@dgzq.com.cn | 市场主要指数 | 7 | 月份表现 | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 涨跌幅 | | 上证指数 | 3573.21 | 3.74% | | 深证成指 | 11009.77 | 5.20% | | 沪深 300 | 4075.59 | 3.54% | | 创业板指 | 2328.31 | 8.14% | | 北证 50 | 1422.87 | -1.68% | | 科创 50 | 1047.87 | 4.43% | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iF ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the steady development of the new energy storage industry in China, with a total installed capacity of 73.76 million kilowatts and 168 million kilowatt-hours by the end of 2024, accounting for over 40% of the global total [40][45] - It emphasizes the importance of leading companies that benefit from the development of new energy storage technologies and scale [45] Market Review - As of July 31, 2025, the electric equipment industry has seen a 0.23% increase over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.79 percentage points, ranking 22nd among 31 industries [13][14] - The wind power equipment sector increased by 2.46%, while the photovoltaic equipment sector decreased by 1.97% during the same period [17][19] Valuation and Industry Data - The electric equipment sector's PE (TTM) is 25.57 times, with sub-sectors like motors at 50.77 times and photovoltaic equipment at 18.17 times [27][24] - The report provides detailed valuation metrics for various sub-sectors, indicating a range of performance and market expectations [27] Industry News - The National Energy Administration released the "China New Energy Storage Development Report (2025)", summarizing the development of new energy storage from 2021 to 2024 and outlining future prospects [40][45] - The report notes that the new energy storage technology landscape is diverse, supporting the construction of a new power system [40] Company Announcements - The report includes various company announcements, such as科力远's expansion of its energy storage fund to 1.402 billion yuan and新宏泰's shareholder stock freeze [43][44]