Market Overview - The market experienced a pullback after reaching a high, with total trading volume dropping below 2 trillion yuan [1][5] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3916.23, up 0.10%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to 13086.41 [1] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included coal (+2.35%), banks (+1.35%), and food & beverage (+0.97%), while the worst performers were steel (-2.14%) and non-ferrous metals (-2.06%) [2] - Concept sectors such as Hainan Free Trade Zone (+2.58%) and military restructuring (+1.98%) showed strong performance, whereas sectors like special steel (-2.68%) and photolithography (-2.47%) lagged [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to remain volatile but may trend upwards, supported by improving economic fundamentals and a reduction in tariff impacts [5] - The total social financing scale for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 30.09 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.42 trillion yuan year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in financing [4] Economic Indicators - As of September, the broad money (M2) balance was 335.38 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year growth [4] - The increase in RMB loans for the first three quarters was 14.75 trillion yuan, suggesting a robust lending environment [4]

Market Overview - The market has shown signs of recovery, with the Shanghai Composite Index rebounding above 3900 points, closing at 3912.21, up 1.22% [2][4][6] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also experienced significant gains, with increases of 1.73% and 2.36% respectively [2][4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Electric Equipment (up 2.72%), Automotive (up 2.37%), Electronics (up 2.29%), Pharmaceutical and Biological (up 2.08%), and Retail (up 1.92%) [3][4] - Conversely, the sectors that underperformed were Steel (down 0.21%), Oil and Petrochemicals (down 0.14%), Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery (up 0.01%), Real Estate (up 0.11%), and National Defense and Military Industry (up 0.20%) [3][4] Concept Index Performance - The leading concept indices included Tonghuashun Fruit Index (up 3.40%), Cell Immunotherapy (up 3.18%), PEEK Materials (up 3.06%), High Voltage Fast Charging (up 2.72%), and Xiaomi Automotive (up 2.68%) [3][4] - The lagging concept indices were Military Restructuring Concept (down 1.88%), Transgenic (down 1.07%), Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprise Reform (down 0.78%), Lithography Machine (down 0.73%), and Corn (down 0.54%) [3][4] Economic Outlook - The report highlights the need for continued efforts to expand domestic demand and strengthen the domestic circulation, as emphasized by the Premier during a recent economic forum [5] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slightly raised its global economic growth forecast for 2025, citing lower-than-expected impacts from tariffs and financial conditions, but warns of potential trade friction risks [5] - Domestic economic indicators show a slight decline in consumer prices and a narrowing decrease in producer prices, indicating a mixed economic environment [5][6] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that in the context of intensified Sino-U.S. technological competition, sectors benefiting from domestic innovation, such as the domestic chip industry and operating systems, are worth monitoring [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the lithium battery industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [5]. Core Insights - In September 2025, the production and sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached historical highs, with production and sales of 1.617 million and 1.604 million units respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 23.7% and 24.6%, and month-on-month growth of 16.25% and 14.98% [4]. - The penetration rate of NEVs in September was 49.7%, up 0.9 percentage points month-on-month, while the year-to-date penetration rate was 46.1% [4]. - Battery sales also saw significant growth, with total battery production reaching 151.2 GWh in September, a month-on-month increase of 8.3% and a year-on-year increase of 35.4% [4]. - The report highlights strong demand for energy storage in both domestic and international markets, with leading battery companies operating at full capacity [4]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicle Market - In September 2025, NEV sales reached 1.604 million units, with pure electric vehicle sales at 1.058 million units, showing a year-on-year increase of 36.4% [4]. - Year-to-date NEV sales totaled 11.224 million units, with pure electric vehicles accounting for 7.22 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 44.7% [4]. Battery Production and Sales - In September, the total battery sales were 146.5 GWh, with power batteries accounting for 110.5 GWh, representing 75.5% of total sales [4]. - The report notes that the export of batteries in September was 26.7 GWh, with power batteries making up 17.6 GWh of that total [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery supply chain, particularly those with technological and production advantages in solid-state electrolytes and new materials [4]. - Key companies to watch include CATL, EVE Energy, and others that are actively developing solid-state battery technologies [4].

Market Overview - The market experienced a day of volatility with the Sci-Tech 50 index leading the decline, closing down 4.26% at 1410.30 points [2][4] - Major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index also saw declines of 0.62% and 2.54% respectively, indicating a broad market downturn [2][4] Sector Performance - The banking sector showed resilience with a gain of 2.51%, while coal and food & beverage sectors also performed positively with increases of 2.18% and 1.69% respectively [3][4] - Conversely, sectors such as telecommunications and electronics faced significant declines, with losses of 4.98% and 4.64% respectively [3][4] Conceptual Index Performance - Conceptual indices such as cultivated diamonds and liquor concepts performed well, with gains of 3.74% and 1.64% respectively [3][4] - In contrast, sectors like state-owned fund holdings and advanced packaging saw declines of 5.47% and 3.96% respectively [3][4] Future Outlook - The market is expected to remain under pressure due to ongoing uncertainties in U.S.-China relations and potential impacts from trade discussions [6] - The report highlights that the supply tightness, policy uncertainties, and surging investment demand could continue to support gold and silver prices in the near term [6] Key Economic Indicators - The report notes that the retail sales of passenger vehicles reached a historical peak in September, suggesting a stable growth trend in the automotive market for the fourth quarter [5] - The Ministry of Commerce's recent announcements regarding countermeasures against U.S. maritime actions may also influence market dynamics [5]

Market Overview - The three major indices opened lower but rebounded throughout the day, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3889.50, down 0.19% [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13231.47, down 0.93%, while the CSI 300 Index closed at 4593.98, down 0.50% [2] - The ChiNext Index closed at 3078.76, down 1.11%, but the STAR 50 Index rose by 1.40% to 1473.02 [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Nonferrous Metals (up 3.35%), Environmental Protection (up 1.65%), and Steel (up 1.49%) [3] - The underperforming sectors were Automotive (down 2.33%), Household Appliances (down 1.74%), and Beauty Care (down 1.58%) [3] - Concept sectors that performed well included Rare Earth Permanent Magnet (up 6.92%) and Military Restructuring Concept (up 3.51%) [3] Future Outlook - The market showed resilience despite initial declines due to U.S. tariff threats, with a notable recovery in the afternoon [4] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.35 trillion, a decrease of 160.9 billion from the previous trading day [6] - The report suggests that the market's risk appetite may remain resilient due to accumulated experience and policy support, with potential sector rotation favoring anti-tariff and stable assets like rare earths and military [6] Economic Indicators - China's goods trade for the first three quarters reached 33.61 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4%, with exports at 19.95 trillion yuan (up 7.1%) and imports at 13.66 trillion yuan (down 0.2%) [5] - In September, trade volume was 4.04 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8% year-on-year growth [5]

基 金 ETF 基金周报（20251006-20251010）： 战略金属与新兴产业的双重驱动 稀土板块仍具备投资价值 2025 年 10 月 13 日 投资要点 分析师：李荣 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521010001 基金从业资格证书编号： F4520000001431 电话：0769-26628039 邮箱：lirong@dgzq.com.cn 研 究 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 证 券 研 究 报 告 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，Wind 资讯 各类ETF基金周度平均收益及资金流动概览：本周全球大类资产显著分 化。日经指数在高市早苗大概率当选女首相等消息影响下跳空涨超5%， 而美国市场受政府停摆影响及贸易摩擦升级的影响，三大指数均跌超2%， 港股市场同步调整，而传统避险资产黄金一度再创出历史新高。国内权 益市场方面，价值风格优于成长风格。在ETF基金方面，商品型ETF和货 币型ETF基金周度平均收益为正，其他类型ETF基金均录得负收益。本周 ETF基金资金流动情况并不显著， ...

证券研究报告 2025 年 10 月 13 日 星期一 【新股发行跟踪（20251013）】 一、上周新股表现情况 上周（10 月 6 日-10 月 10 日）共有 1 只新股上市，上市首日涨跌幅为 349.82%。 表 1：上周新股表现 新股发行跟踪 图 2：周度新股上市首日涨跌幅均值及破发率 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 上市日期 | 上市 | 发行价 | 发行市 | 证监会行业 | 首日收盘 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 板块 | 格（元） | 盈率 | | 涨跌幅(%) | | 920080.BJ | 奥美森 | 2025-10-10 | 北证 | 8.25 | 12.52 | 专用设备制造业 | 349.82 | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 二、周度新股上市情况走势 从周度新股上市规模来看，上周（10 月 6 日-10 月 10 日，下同）较上 上周（9 月 29 日-10 月 3 日，下同）相比，上市新股数量少 1 只，首发募 资金额少 21.79 亿元。 从周度上市新股表现来看，上周与上上周均无 ...

证券研究报告 2025 年 10 月 13 日 星期一 【A 股市场大势研判】 A 股震荡回调，三大指数集体下挫 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3897.03 | -0.94% | -36.94 | | | 深证成指 | 13355.42 | -2.70% | -370.14 | | | 沪深 300 | 4616.83 | -1.97% | -92.65 | | | 创业板 | 3113.26 | -4.55% | -148.56 | | | 科创 50 | 1452.68 | -5.61% | -86.41 | | | 北证 50 | 1506.91 | -1.24% | -18.90 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概 | 念板块表现前五 | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 建筑材料 ...

汽车行业 超配（维持） 汽车行业双周报（2025/09/26-2025/10/09） 行 业 三部门调整减免车辆购置税新能源汽车产品技术要求 2025 年 10 月 10 日 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 S0340124020014 电话：0769-22117626 资料来源：iFinD，东莞证券研究所 分析师：刘梦麟 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 申万汽车行业指数涨跌幅：截至2025年10月9日，申万汽车板块近两周 上涨0.74%，跑输沪深300指数1.78个百分点，在申万31个行业中排名第 16名；申万汽车板块从9月初至今下跌0.39%，跑输沪深300指数1.87个 百分点，在申万31个行业中排名第28名；申万汽车板块从2025年初至今 上涨27.92%，跑赢沪深300指数8.24个百分点，在申万31个行业中排名 第9名。 周 报 研究助理：吴镇杰 SAC 执业证书 ...

Investment Themes - Recommended stocks include Huaxin Cement, China State Construction, and Ningde Times in the cyclical sector[2] - In the consumer sector, recommended stocks include Hengrui Medicine and Shanxi Fenjiu[2] - In the power equipment and new energy vehicle sector, recommended stocks include Ningde Times and Goldwind Technology[2] - In the TMT sector, recommended stocks include Longi Green Energy and Luxshare Precision[2] Market Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 12.73%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 29.25%, and the ChiNext Index by 50.40%[4] - The average gain of the recommended stock portfolio was 33.11%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 Index's gain of 17.90%[4] - Key outperformers included Huaxin Cement and Ningde Times, with quarterly gains exceeding 50%[4] Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic environment remains stable, with a focus on "appropriate easing" in monetary policy to support growth[4] - The manufacturing PMI showed signs of recovery but remained in contraction territory as of September[4] - The report anticipates continued inflow of foreign capital due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, enhancing the attractiveness of equity assets[4] Company Highlights - Huaxin Cement's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.30, with a PE ratio of 14.27[6] - China State Construction's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.16, with a PE ratio of 4.68[12] - China Rare Earth's projected EPS for 2025 is 0.34, with a PE ratio of 150.92[25] - Hengrui Medicine's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.26, with a PE ratio of 56.90[33]