事 件 有色金属行业 标配（维持） 降息预期叠加避险需求增加，国际金价突破 图 1：COMEX 黄金期货收盘价（美元/盎司） 图 2：伦敦现货黄金价格（美元/盎司） 4000 美元大关 有色金属行业事件点评 | 事 件 点 评 标配（维持） 4000 美元大关 | 有色金属行业 降息预期叠加避险需求增加，国际金价突破 有色金属行业事件点评 | | --- | --- | | 分析师：许正堃（SAC 2025 年 10 月 9 日 | 执业证书编号：S0340523120001） | | 电话：0769-23320072 | 邮箱：xuzhengkun@dgzq.com.cn | 事件： 截至10月8日，COMEX黄金期货价格收于4030美元/盎司，伦敦现货黄金价格收于4040.05美元/盎 司，均突破每盎司4000美元大关。 点评： 研 究 报 告 东莞证券研究报告评级体系： | | 公司投资评级 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 买入 | 预计未来 | 6 个月内，股价表现强于市场指数 15%以上 | | 增持 | 预计未来 | 6 个月内，股价表现强于市场指数 5%-15%之间 | | ...

月度策略/A 股市场 分析师：费小平 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340518010002 电话：0769-22111089 邮箱：fxp@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：尹炜祺 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340522120001 电话：0769-22118627 邮箱： yinweiqi@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：曾浩 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523110001 电话：0769-22119276 邮箱： zenghao@dgzq.com.cn | 市场主要指数 | 9 | 月份表现 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | | 上证指数 | 3882.78 | 0.64% | | 深证成指 | 13526.51 | 6.54% | | 沪深 300 | 4640.69 | 3.20% | | 创业板指 | 3238.16 | 12.04% | | 北证 50 | 1528.63 | -2.90% | | 科创 50 | 1495.29 | 11.48% | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 上证指数月线走势 2025 年 10 月 9 日 震荡整理中 ...

证券研究报告 2025 年 10 月 9 日 星期四 【A 股市场大势研判】 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 1 指数小幅放量上涨 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3882.78 | 0.52% | 20.25 | | | 深证成指 | 13526.51 | 0.35% | 47.08 | | | 沪深 300 | 4640.69 | 0.45% | 20.64 | | | 创业板 | 3238.16 | 0.00% | 0.15 | | | 科创 50 | 1495.29 | 1.69% | 24.87 | | | 北证 50 | 1528.63 | -0.70% | -10.85 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概念板块表现前五 ◼ | | 概念板块表现后五 | | | ...

Market Overview - In September 2025, the North Exchange market continued its oscillating trend, with the North Certificate 50 Index reaching a historical high mid-month, indicating sustained recognition of high-quality supply and institutional reform expectations[5] - As of September 29, 2025, the North Certificate 50 Index fell by 2.21% for the month, with a maximum increase of 6.08% during the period[15] - The overall PE valuation for the North Certificate 50 Index was 76.41 times, with a median of 75.86 times, compared to 42.73 times for the ChiNext Index and 180.14 times for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board[21] Trading Activity - The total trading volume for the North Exchange in September 2025 was 582.41 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 24.638 billion shares[24] - The average margin financing balance for September was 7.676 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 11.65% month-on-month[25] Investment Recommendations - Focus on three main lines: (1) High-growth new productivity targets and leading companies in competitive niche sectors; (2) Innovation-driven sectors such as semiconductors, military, AI, and satellite internet; (3) Consumer-related companies benefiting from policies aimed at boosting domestic demand[5] - The market is transitioning from retail-driven to institutional allocation, enhancing the market's representativeness and financing functions[5] New Listings and Regulatory Updates - Three new stocks were listed in September, bringing the total number of companies listed on the North Exchange to 277[33] - The "920 code switch" for existing companies is set to be implemented on October 9, 2025, enhancing market identification[37] Risk Factors - Risks include potential delays in policy implementation and the possibility of irrational investment behavior due to short-term stock price surges[39]

Core Insights - The overall market of the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) continued to show a fluctuating trend in September 2025, with the BSE 50 Index reaching a historical high mid-month, indicating sustained recognition of high-quality supply and expectations for institutional reforms [5][14] - The upcoming "920 code switch" for existing companies in October marks a significant step towards a unified code system, enhancing market recognition [5][14] - The market ecology is shifting from being dominated by retail investors to institutional allocation, reflecting a transition from "quantity expansion" to "quality optimization" [5][14] - Looking ahead to Q4, potential catalysts for funds include index adjustments, thematic fund issuances, and anniversary policy expectations, with a focus on "specialized, sophisticated, and new + high-end manufacturing" themes [5][14] Market Review and Valuation - As of September 29, 2025, the BSE 50 Index fell by 2.21% in September, with a maximum increase of 6.08% during the period. Year-to-date, the index has risen by 48.34% with a peak increase of 60.92% [6][15] - The average PE (TTM) for the BSE 50 Index was 76.41 times, while the median was 75.86 times. In comparison, the ChiNext Index had an average PE of 42.73 times, and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board had an average PE of 180.14 times [21][15] New Stock Dynamics - In September, three new stocks were listed on the BSE, bringing the total number of listed companies to 277. During the period from September 1 to September 29, four companies were subscribed, and three were listed [33][34] Key Company Announcements - The BSE announced that starting from October 9, 2025, existing listed companies will uniformly adopt new securities codes starting with "920," which will cover trading orders, market inquiries, and various business operations [37]

证券研究报告 2025 年 9 月 30 日 星期二 【A 股市场大势研判】 市场全天震荡攀升，三大指数集体上涨 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3862.53 | 0.90% | 34.43 | | | 深证成指 | 13479.43 | 2.05% | 270.43 | | | 沪深 300 | 4620.05 | 1.54% | 70.00 | | | 创业板 | 3238.01 | 2.74% | 86.48 | | | 科创 50 | 1470.41 | 1.35% | 19.59 | | | 北证 50 | 1539.47 | 0.69% | 10.50 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概 | 念板块表现前五 | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 非银金融 | 3.84% | 煤炭 ...

事 北交所 统一代码将显著提升市场辨识度。本次"920代码时代"的开启强化了北交所作为独立交 易所的市场定位。统一的代码体系有助于投资者更清晰地区分板块属性，提升市场整体 品牌形象和公信力，为后续市场化改革夯实基础。 统一代码将为资金工具化配置打开通道。代码切换不仅是技术层面的更新，更是市场制 度标准化的关键一环。统一的标识体系为指数编制、产品开发和跨市场资金流动提供了 底层支持，有助于降低投资者识别与使用成本。随着北证50等宽基指数影响力提升，未 来ETF及衍生品工具的推出将更加顺畅，资金进出效率和市场承接力有望同步增强，从而 推动北交所逐步迈向机构化和长期化配置格局。 研 究 证 券 研 长期来看，统一代码将加快北交所从交易型市场向配置型市场转型。通过制度统一与产 品创新的联动，市场的标准化水平与流动性基础将进一步增强。叠加高质量扩容和资金 端支持，北交所将在未来逐步构建起以ETF、指数产品和长期资金为核心的市场生态，形 成更具持续性的增量资金循环和资产定价体系。 究 报 告 投资策略：中长期围绕"专精特新+高端制造"主线，自上而下筛行业景气、自下而上看 盈利质量，关注订单驱动与兑现路径清晰的标的。 无评 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a day of volatility with the ChiNext index dropping over 2.5% during the session [2] - Major indices closed in the red, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3828.11 (-0.65%), Shenzhen Component at 13209.00 (-1.76%), and the ChiNext at 3151.53 (-2.60%) [1][2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Oil & Petrochemicals (+1.17%), Environmental Protection (+0.38%), and Public Utilities (+0.35%) [1] - Conversely, the weakest sectors were Computer (-3.26%), Electronics (-2.75%), and Media (-2.65%) [1] Investment Insights - The report highlights a robust performance of the basic pension insurance fund, which has reached an investment operation scale of 2.6 trillion, doubling since the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [3] - The average annual investment return of the pension fund stands at 5.15%, indicating effective value preservation and growth [3] Future Market Outlook - The market is expected to show a trend of oscillating upward rather than a one-sided increase, with a focus on whether growth policies can effectively translate into improved corporate earnings [4] - Key sectors to watch include TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), Public Utilities, Non-ferrous Metals, and Financials [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [2] Core Insights - The energy storage system bidding scale in August 2025 increased by over 10 times month-on-month, reaching a historical high of 17.7GW/45.7GWh, with year-on-year growth of 237.1% and 691.4% respectively [4][38] - The electric equipment sector has shown strong performance, with the sector rising 8.19% in the last two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 7.19 percentage points, and ranking second among 31 sectors [11][12] - The report highlights the significant growth in the grid-side energy storage system, which reached a bidding scale of 18.2GWh in August, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 437.2% and a month-on-month increase of 521.9% [39] Summary by Sections Market Review - As of September 25, 2025, the electric equipment sector has risen 17.13% this month, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 14.98 percentage points, ranking first among 31 sectors [11] - The wind power equipment sector increased by 8.31%, while the battery sector saw a rise of 12.48% in the last two weeks [12][16] Valuation and Industry Data - The electric equipment sector's PE (TTM) is 34.90 times, with sub-sectors like motors at 67.83 times and batteries at 37.26 times [24] - The report provides a detailed valuation comparison, indicating that the current valuation is significantly above the one-year average for most sub-sectors [24] Industry News - The report notes that the Chinese government has set ambitious targets for renewable energy, aiming for non-fossil energy consumption to account for over 30% of total energy consumption by 2035 [38] - The report emphasizes the importance of energy storage technology development, highlighting government initiatives to promote large-scale applications of energy storage equipment [38]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the Beijing Stock Exchange, indicating it as "No Rating" due to the inability to obtain necessary information or the presence of significant uncertainties [1]. Core Insights - The Beijing Stock Exchange has completed four years since its establishment, with a steady expansion in market size, reaching 274 listed companies and a total market capitalization exceeding 922 billion yuan. The proportion of "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" small giant enterprises exceeds 50%, while high-tech enterprises account for 82%. Five major industrial clusters have formed: high-end equipment, information technology, consumer services, new chemical materials, and biomedicine [3]. - High-quality supply has become the core driving force of the market, transitioning from "quantity expansion" to "structural optimization." Specialized and high-tech enterprises have become the main force among listed companies, with initial signs of industrial cluster effects [3]. - Continuous institutional innovation has enhanced market vitality, with the introduction of mechanisms such as "small and fast" review processes and simplified restructuring review procedures, significantly improving market efficiency and boosting the quantity and quality of mergers and acquisitions [3]. - The capital market functions are gradually improving, with the number of qualified investors surpassing 9 million. The entry of institutional investors like public funds and insurance companies has optimized the investor structure, leading to a transformation from a "trading market" to a "allocation market" [4]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The Beijing Stock Exchange has seen a significant increase in market activity, with an average daily trading volume approaching 30 billion yuan in 2025, marking a substantial year-on-year growth [3]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests a mid-to-long-term investment strategy focusing on "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" sectors and high-end manufacturing, emphasizing the importance of industry prosperity and clear profit realization paths [4].