业绩简评 4 月 15 日公司发布年报和一季报，24 年实现营收 30.73 亿元，同 比-4.16%；实现归母净利润 5.14 亿元，同比-3.07%；扣非归母净 利润 5.03 亿元，同比-5.12%。25Q1 实现营收 8.31 亿元，同比- 7.15%；实现归母净利润 1.61 亿元，同比+3.67%；扣非净利润 1.59 亿元，同比+4.65%。 经营分析 竞争加剧+内部调整，24 年集中承压。1）24 年酱油实现营收 19.6 亿元，同比-3.8%；其中量/价分别同比+1.3%/-5.0%。食醋/其他分 别实现收入 3.7/7.0 亿元，同比-12.5%/-0.4%。2）渠道端，24 年 公司重视渠道发展质量，针对经销商动销和库存等指标考核，24 年 底经销商数量 3316 家，报告期内净增加 66 家。25Q1 经销商净减 少 34 家。3）高基数压力+舆论扰动，25Q1 持续承压。25Q1 酱油/ 食醋/其他分别实现收入 5.4/1.0/1.9 亿元，同比-4.7%/-10.6%/- 11.8%，其中酱油产品表现相对稳健。4）分区域来看，西部/东部 /北部/中部/南部收入 24 年分别同比-8 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][14]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 182.069 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.033 billion RMB, a decrease of 22.49% [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 43.068 billion RMB, down 6.70% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.082 billion RMB, down 25.87% [2]. - The company’s various business segments are performing stably, with polyurethane sales revenue at 75.844 billion RMB and a gross margin of 26.15% in 2024 [4]. Financial Performance Summary - Sales expenses increased by 20.25% year-on-year to 1.619 billion RMB in 2024, driven by the expansion of marketing and logistics efforts [3]. - Management expenses rose by 23.38% to 3.023 billion RMB, reflecting increased personnel costs [3]. - R&D expenses grew by 11.51% to 4.550 billion RMB, indicating ongoing technological upgrades [3]. - Asset impairment losses surged by 446.94% to 740 million RMB, primarily due to inventory write-downs and fixed asset impairments [3]. Segment Performance - The polyurethane segment is expected to expand its MDI capacity to 4.5 million tons per year by mid-2026, with a current capacity of 3.8 million tons [4]. - The petrochemical segment generated sales of 72.518 billion RMB in 2024, with a gross margin of 3.52% [4]. - The fine chemicals and new materials segment reported revenue of 28.273 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 12.78% [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 13.970 billion RMB, 14.636 billion RMB, and 15.804 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.45, 4.66, and 5.03 RMB per share [5]. - The current market valuation corresponds to P/E ratios of 12.64X, 12.07X, and 11.18X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected profit growth of 35% in 2025, 27% in 2026, and 26% in 2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 31x, 24x, and 19x respectively [3]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 4.848 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 39.23%, and a net profit of 980 million RMB, up 47.62% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [2]. - The company is experiencing strong growth in various product lines, particularly during the Spring Festival, with significant increases in sales for special drinks and bottled water [2][3]. - The company is expanding its market presence outside Guangdong, with a notable increase in the number of distributors, particularly in the North China market [2]. Performance Analysis - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 44.5% and 20.2%, respectively, reflecting improvements due to lower raw material costs [3]. - Sales and management expense ratios decreased, indicating effective scale efficiencies, while sales expenses increased due to new product promotions [3]. - The company is expected to maintain high growth in Q2 2025, supported by favorable inventory levels and strong sales momentum [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are 11.263 billion RMB, 15.839 billion RMB, 20.907 billion RMB, 26.164 billion RMB, and 31.829 billion RMB, with growth rates of 32.42%, 40.63%, 32.00%, 25.14%, and 21.65% respectively [7]. - Net profit projections for the same period are 2.040 billion RMB, 3.327 billion RMB, 4.474 billion RMB, 5.690 billion RMB, and 7.142 billion RMB, with growth rates of 41.60%, 63.09%, 34.50%, 27.18%, and 25.50% respectively [7]. - The report highlights a strong return on equity (ROE) forecast, with figures of 32.26% in 2023 and declining to 35.89% by 2027 [7]. Market Sentiment - The report indicates a positive market sentiment with a high number of "Buy" ratings over various time frames, suggesting strong investor confidence in the company's future performance [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 5.66 billion, 7.42 billion, and 9.70 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 41%, 31%, and 31% respectively [5] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 3.605 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 38.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 401 million RMB, up 56.79% from the previous year [2] - The ultra-pure target material business achieved significant breakthroughs, with revenue reaching 2.333 billion RMB, accounting for 64.73% of total revenue, and a year-on-year growth of 39.51% [3] - The precision components business also saw rapid growth, generating 888 million RMB in revenue, a 55.53% increase year-on-year, and has established a wide application in semiconductor core processes [3] - The company's R&D expenses for 2024 were 217 million RMB, with a compound annual growth rate of 32.06% from 2022 to 2024, indicating a strong focus on innovation [4] - The company achieved foreign sales of 1.445 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.31%, reflecting successful international market expansion [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 980 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30.66%, and a net profit of 114 million RMB, up 82.43% year-on-year [2] - The company's revenue is projected to grow to 4.784 billion RMB in 2025 and 6.261 billion RMB in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 32.72% and 30.85% [9] Business Segments - The ultra-pure target material segment's revenue growth is supported by increased market share and production capacity, particularly in advanced processes [3] - The precision components segment's gross margin decreased to 24.27% due to strategic pricing to gain market share, but is expected to contribute significantly to future growth as production bases are completed [3] Research and Development - The company has significantly enhanced its R&D capabilities, with a focus on developing high-density tungsten targets and other advanced materials [4] - The increase in R&D investment is expected to drive future innovations and market competitiveness [4]

截至 2025 年 4 月 14 日，存量信用债估值及利差分布特征如下： 城投债： 公募城投债中，江浙两省加权平均估值收益率均在 2.6%以下；收益率超过 4.5%的城投债出现在贵州地级市及区县级； 其余区域中，云南、内蒙古等地的利差也较高。与上周相比，公募城投债表现在不同期限间分化，1 年内品种平均下 行幅度达到 0.8BP，2 年以上券种收益率则均有一定程度上行。具体来看，收益下行幅度较大的品种的包括 1-2 年山 东区县级永续、1 年内湖北区县级永续、2-3 年云南地级市非永续、1 年内辽宁区县级非永续债等。 私募城投债中，上海、浙江、广东、福建等沿海省份的加权平均估值收益率在 3%以下；收益率高于 4.5%的品种出现 在贵州、辽宁地级市；其余的云南、甘肃、青海等地的利差也较高。与上周相比，私募城投债收益率下行居多，1 年 内品种平均下行 1.7BP。具体来看，收益率下行幅度较大的有 3-5 年云南地级市非永续、3-5 年吉林地级市非永续、 1-2 年甘肃地级市非永续及 1 年内辽宁区县级非永续城投债，分别对应下行 5.9BP、6.2BP、12.1BP 和 23.2BP。 产业债： 民企地产债估值收益率 ...

很多公司也预告了二季度的业绩业绩的话呢还是比较超预期的我们认为整个行业的复苏呢还是在持续在推进我们也是继续看好AI和需求复苏的一个产业链那首先我们看一下采集店也是公布了这个Q2的业绩营收的话是208亿美金红米增长32%华米增长4.3%这个业绩的话呢还是很不错的那其中高性能计算的这个营收呢华米增长了28% 然后营收占比的话也是创了新的占比高然后达到52%另外的话像数字消费电子DC这一块的话凡米增长也有20%然后并预测公司的Q3的收入是224到232亿美元同比只有32%的增长凡米只有9.5%的提升然后预测Q3的毛利率会达到50.5的中间值毛利率的话我们觉得也是比较超预期的 然后另外的话呢公司的话呢也把这个今年的资本开支进行了一个上调啊然后从这个原来的这个二百八到三百亿美金现在上调到这个三百二到三百二十亿美金啊公司的资本开支的话呢基本上百分之七十到八十的话呢是用于这个先进制造 先进制造另外的话呢这个公司也提到进一步的这个高瓦斯的产能的增长翻倍都还不止啊明年的话呢可能还有翻倍以上的一个成长啊因为我们了解一下这九金未来的第一线芯片啊然后我们的面积比较大 而且公司目前的先进制程这一块的话基本上产能已经打满了然后基本上公司 ...

Summary of Conference Call Company/Industry Involved - The conference call was organized by Guojin Securities, focusing on professional investment institutions and invited clients Core Points and Arguments - The content of the meeting is intended for the exchange of research views and does not constitute investment advice for any individual or entity [1] - The opinions expressed by the experts during the call represent their personal views [1] - There is a strict prohibition on the dissemination, reproduction, or modification of the meeting content without prior written permission from Guojin Securities [1] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The meeting emphasizes the confidentiality of the information shared and the importance of adhering to the guidelines set by Guojin Securities [1]

经营分析 公司业绩短期承压，看好交换芯片 25 年上量。根据公司 24 年快 报，预计公司 2024 年度实现营业收入为 10.8 亿元，同比增加 4.28%；实现归母净利润为-0.69 亿元，较上年同期亏损增加 0.49 亿元。虽然公司营收实现增长，但公司与海外头部交换芯片厂商在 产品丰富度以及产品性能上仍存在差距，公司仍处于高研发投入 的发展阶段，再叠加产品销售结构变化以及部分产品毛利率波动 的影响，导致公司仍处于亏损状态，但是亏损幅度缩窄。 持续加大研发费用投入，期待 25 年新品放量。公司为实现长期战 略发展目标，抓住当下国产化、集成电路和网络通信行业发展趋势 带来的机会，公司持续加大高端领域芯片的研发投入，积极推进中 低端产品迭代与升级，高强度的研发投入导致 2024 年度利润表现 承压，预计在产品的进一步升级和丰富完善后，能够为公司的长远 发展注入新的动能。 事件简评 4 月 14 日，公司收到股东国家集成电路产业投资基金股份有限公 司出具的《关于减持计划时间届满的告知函》，截至 2025 年 4 月 11 日收盘，产业基金通过集中竞价或大宗交易的方式累计减持了 公司股份 10,307,874 股 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows a recovery in profitability, with revenue of 84.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 14 billion yuan, up 33% year-on-year and down 5% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The company expects a stable production schedule for Q2 2025, with a projected shipment growth of 25% to 30% for the year, driven by increased market share in Europe and additional contributions from commercial vehicles and data center storage batteries [2][4] Summary by Sections Performance Analysis - Q1 2025 saw a shipment of 125 GWh, a 30% increase year-on-year, although down 13% quarter-on-quarter. The increase in energy storage's share has extended the revenue recognition cycle [2] - The average unit price of batteries in Q1 was 0.6 yuan/Wh, down 17% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to lower raw material costs [2] - The company's Q1 operating and net profit per unit were 0.084 and 0.099 yuan/Wh, respectively, both showing a nearly 10% increase [2] Future Outlook - The company anticipates minimal impact from U.S. tariffs, with exposure remaining in the low single digits. The tariff policies in other countries are stable, and European shipments are expected to grow over 20% [2] - The company maintains a target return on equity (ROE) of 24% to 25% [2] Research and Development - The company is significantly investing in R&D, with innovations such as the "Shenxing" ultra-fast charging battery and "Tianxing" heavy-duty commercial vehicle battery being developed. The company is also enhancing manufacturing efficiency through automation technologies [3] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 70 billion yuan in 2025 and 83.9 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 14x and 12x [4][7]

2025 年 04 月 15 日 业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 14 日，宁德发布 2025 年一季报，实现营收 847 亿 元，同/环+6%/-18%；实现归母 140 亿元，同/环+33%/-5%；实现 扣非 118 亿元，同/环+28%/-8%。毛利率 24.4%，同/环-2/+9pct； 净利率 17.6%，同/环+4%/+3pct。业绩符合预期。 经营分析 1、盈利环比回升、出货同增 30%。 1）量：1Q25 预计确收 125GWh，同/环+30%/-13%。确收慢于发货 量主要系储能交流侧占比提升，服务较设备确收周期延长。储能、 动力比例为 20%、80%，保持稳定。 2）价/成本：按照公司电池业务收入占比近 90%测算，Q1 单位电 池价格为 0.6 元/Wh，同/环-17%/-5%；主要系碳酸锂等原材料成 本中枢下移，亦影响公司收入增速慢于产品销售。 3）利：测算公司 Q1 单位经营性、归母净利为 0.084、0.099 元 /Wh，假设 90%电池利润占比、不做任何计提减值加回等，同环比 均提升近 10%，单位净利稳健为公司经营策略，目标 ROE 稳定在 24%～25%。 2、Q2、20 ...