Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2][7]. Core Viewpoints - The humanoid robot industry is transitioning from product definition to functional realization and commercialization, focusing on the optimization and coupling of hardware and software [3][4]. - Cycloidal reducers are expected to become a new iteration direction for humanoid robots, offering higher precision and load capacity compared to planetary and harmonic reducers [4][5]. - The market for new cycloidal reducers in humanoid robots is projected to exceed 14 billion RMB by 2030, driven by advancements in structure, materials, and components [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Humanoid robots have completed the basic functionality phase and are now focusing on software generalization and hardware optimization for commercial applications [3][4]. - The iterative direction for hardware includes high load capacity, lightweight design, high thermal dissipation, low energy consumption, stability, flexibility, and cost reduction [4]. Reducer Technology - Cycloidal reducers are characterized by high reduction ratios, efficiency, precision, and load capacity, making them suitable for humanoid robot joints [4][5]. - The report highlights the advantages of cycloidal reducers over traditional planetary and harmonic reducers, particularly in high-load scenarios [4][5]. Market Potential - The global market for cycloidal reducers is expected to reach 17 billion RMB by 2029, with significant penetration in humanoid robot joints anticipated [5]. - The report estimates that the market for humanoid robot cycloidal reducers could exceed 14 billion RMB by 2030, indicating substantial growth potential [5]. Key Companies and Investment Recommendations - The report recommends companies with capabilities in precision reducers and gear processing, such as Shuanghuan Transmission, Haoneng Co., Fuda Co., Jingzhuan Technology, and Landai Technology, as they are well-positioned to benefit from technological upgrades in the humanoid robot sector [6][7].

Macro and Strategy - The high-tech manufacturing macro report indicates a slight recovery in the National Securities weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index, with Index A at 0.2 and Index B at 50.8, showing improvement from the previous period [3][9] - The macroeconomic report highlights a seasonal increase in high-frequency indicators, with the National Securities high-frequency macro diffusion index A turning positive and index B showing a rebound, indicating improved domestic economic growth momentum [8][10] Industry and Company - The electric power equipment and new energy industry report notes that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting with photovoltaic companies to discuss competition governance and the exit of backward production capacity [20] - The report on the overseas market for the Hong Kong Stock Connect technology ETF (159262) emphasizes the investment value of the technology sector amid the AI innovation wave, predicting significant returns for the next 3-4 years [21][22] - The analysis of the banking industry highlights the operational landscape of 64 asset management companies (AMCs), revealing an overall diluted ROE of 3.4% for the AMC industry, indicating general profitability concerns [31] - The communication industry report mentions the deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems, reflecting high demand for AI computing infrastructure, with the global server market expected to reach $366 billion, growing by 44.6% year-on-year [32][33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2][7]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is transitioning from product definition to functional realization and commercialization, focusing on the optimization and coupling of hardware and software [3][4]. - Cycloidal reducers are expected to become a new iteration direction for humanoid robots, offering higher precision and load capacity compared to planetary and harmonic reducers [4][5]. - The market for new cycloidal reducers in humanoid robots is projected to exceed 14 billion RMB by 2030, driven by advancements in structure, materials, and components [5]. Summary by Sections Market Trends - The humanoid robot sector has completed the basic functionality phase and is now focusing on software and hardware upgrades [3]. - The report highlights the need for improvements in load capacity, lightweight design, heat dissipation, energy efficiency, stability, flexibility, and cost reduction in hardware [4]. Reducer Technology - Cycloidal reducers are characterized by high reduction ratios, efficiency, precision, and load capacity, making them suitable for humanoid robot joints [4][5]. - The report discusses the advantages and disadvantages of various reducer types, including harmonic, planetary, RV, and cycloidal reducers, emphasizing the unique benefits of cycloidal reducers in high-load applications [22][23]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends companies with capabilities in precision reducers and gear processing, such as Shuanghuan Transmission, Haoneng Co., Fuda Co., Jingzhuan Technology, and Landai Technology, as they are well-positioned to capitalize on the growth in the humanoid robot market [6][7].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report regularly updates the latest information on private exchangeable bond (private EB) projects from public channels and conducts basic element tracking on private exchangeable bond projects, emphasizing that the issuance terms and progress may change, and the final prospectus and relevant underwriters should be referred to [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 New Project Information - There is no new project information this week, and some projects are not listed due to compliance reasons [2]. 3.2 Project Status Table - The table lists the details of multiple private EB projects, including bond names, lead underwriters, scales, underlying stocks, project statuses, and update dates. Projects include those from companies such as Shudao Investment Group Co., Ltd., China Pingmei Shenma Group Co., Ltd., and Guangdong Shunde Holdings Group Co., Ltd., with statuses of "Passed", "Feedback Received", and "Accepted" [3].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - This week, the China Securities REITs Index closed up. The performance of property - type REITs was weaker than that of franchise - type REITs, with average weekly price changes of +0.9% and +1.1% respectively. The weekly price change ranking of major indices is: CSI 300 > CSI Convertible Bond Index > CSI REITs Index > CSI Aggregate Bond Index. The average daily turnover rate of REITs throughout the week increased slightly compared to the previous week. REITs of different types in the entire market showed differentiated price changes, with ecological and environmental protection, consumption, and transportation - type REITs leading the gains [1]. - As of July 4, the average annualized cash distribution rate of public - offering REITs was 6.3%, significantly higher than the current static yields of mainstream fixed - income assets. Currently, the dividend yield of property - type REITs is 106 basis points lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of franchise - type REITs and the ten - year Treasury bond yield is 206 basis points [1]. - The infrastructure REIT project of Qingcheng Mountain - Dujiangyan Scenic Area has determined its fund manager. AVIC Fund Management Co., Ltd. won the bid, which opens a market - based financing channel for high - quality cultural and tourism assets [1][4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Trends - As of July 4, 2025, the closing price of the CSI REITs (closing) Index was 887.01 points, with a weekly price change of +0.69%, performing weaker than the CSI Convertible Bond Index (+1.21%), the CSI 300 Index (+1.54%), and the CSI Aggregate Bond Index (+0.14%). Since the beginning of the year, the price change ranking of major indices is: CSI REITs (+12.3%) > CSI Convertible Bond (+7.9%) > CSI Aggregate Bond (+1.3%) > CSI 300 (+1.2%) [2][8]. - As of July 4, 2025, the one - year return rate of the CSI REITs Index was 12.7%, with a volatility of 7.0%. The return rate was lower than that of the CSI 300 Index and the CSI Convertible Bond Index but higher than that of the CSI Aggregate Bond Index. The volatility was lower than that of the CSI 300 Index and the CSI Convertible Bond Index but higher than that of the CSI Aggregate Bond Index. The total market capitalization of REITs increased to 207.9 billion yuan on July 4, an increase of 1.8 billion yuan from the previous week. The average daily turnover rate throughout the week was 0.74%, an increase of 0.12 percentage points from the previous week [2][14]. - Ecological and environmental protection, consumption, and transportation - type REITs led the gains. The average weekly price changes of property - type REITs and franchise - type REITs were +0.9% and +1.1% respectively. Among different project - type REITs, the three project types with the largest average price increases were ecological and environmental protection (+2.3%), consumption (+1.9%), and transportation (+1.3%). The top three REITs in terms of weekly price increases were CICC China Greentown Commercial REIT (+6.50%), E Fund Huayi Market REIT (+5.25%), and China Southern Asset Management Nanjing Expressway REIT (+3.91%) [1][3][19]. - Ecological and environmental protection - type REITs had the highest trading activity this week, while consumption - type REITs had the highest proportion of trading volume. The former had an average daily turnover rate of 2.2% during the period, and its trading volume accounted for 6.1% of the total REIT trading volume. The latter had an average daily turnover rate of 1.3%, and its trading volume accounted for 21.6% of the total REIT trading volume. In terms of the capital flow of different REIT products this week, the top three in terms of net inflow of main funds were CICC China Greentown Commercial REIT (56.27 million yuan), AVIC Shougang Green Energy REIT (36.34 million yuan), and CICC Yizhuang Industrial Park REIT (19.9 million yuan) [3][25][26]. Primary Market Issuance - As of July 4, 2025, there was 1 REIT product in the declared stage on the exchange, 3 in the accepted stage, 6 in the feedback - received stage, 7 that had passed the review and were waiting to be listed, and 5 first - issued products that had passed the review and were already listed [28]. Valuation Tracking - From the perspective of bond characteristics, as of July 4, the average annualized cash distribution rate of public - offering REITs was 6.3%, significantly higher than the current static yields of mainstream fixed - income assets. From the perspective of equity characteristics, the relative net - value premium rate, IRR, and P/FFO are used to judge the valuation of REITs [30]. - As of July 4, 2025, the dividend yield of property - type REITs was 106 basis points lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of franchise - type REITs and the ten - year Treasury bond yield was 206 basis points [1][31]. Industry News - On June 30, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange showed that the Huaxia Anbo Warehouse Logistics Closed - end Infrastructure REIT was "accepted". The underlying assets of this project are 44 modern logistics centers in 24 core cities across the country, with an operating area of approximately 5.3 million square meters [37]. - On July 2, the book - building of the Southern Runze Technology Data Center REIT was completed, with a final subscription multiple of up to 167.06 times. It will be officially launched for public investors on July 14, with a price of 4.5 yuan per share and a total issuance scale of 1 billion shares, expected to raise approximately 4.5 billion yuan [37]. - On July 3, the evaluation results of the Qingcheng Mountain - Dujiangyan Scenic Area Infrastructure REIT project were announced. AVIC Fund Management Co., Ltd. won the bid to serve as the fund manager. The underlying assets of this project are the AAAAA - level national tourist scenic area Qingcheng Mountain - Dujiangyan, which received 11.7215 million tourists and achieved ticket revenue of 602 million yuan in 2024 [4][37].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The 6 - month PMI data continued to improve slightly in June, indicating a stabilizing trend in China's economy. Sino - US trade situation has positive news, but there are still uncertainties in external demand due to ongoing US trade negotiations. The CSI Convertible Bond Index has reached new highs. Although most institutions' holding face - values of convertible bonds have slightly declined, considering the impact of bank convertible bond conversions on the overall scale, their actual willingness to reduce positions is weak, and the allocation demand for convertible bonds remains strong. The supply - demand contradiction of convertible bonds has intensified, and there is room for an increase in the convertible bond parity valuation [3][20]. - It is recommended to choose balanced convertible bonds with high - volatility underlying stocks that can quickly consume the premium rate or high - price, low - premium and non - redeemable equity - biased convertible bonds in the short term. For those with high requirements for drawdown, reducing positions can be considered. In July, attention should be paid to sectors such as consumer (appliances, auto parts, two - wheeled vehicles), technology (PCB, copper - clad laminates, data center power supplies in the computing power industry chain), grid equipment, sea wind, energy storage, innovative drugs, and some chemical pharmaceuticals with stable volume and price [4][21]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Focus Last Week (June 30 - July 4, 2025) Stock Market - The equity market fluctuated and rose last week. Sectors with over - capacity reduction expectations such as steel, building materials, and photovoltaic performed well, and the innovative drug sector led the gains. The high - dividend bank sector also performed well. The A - share market showed different trends each day, with changes in sector performance and trading volume [1][9]. - Most Shenwan primary industries closed higher. Steel (+5.06%), building materials (+3.96%), banks (+3.77%), pharmaceutical biology (+3.64%), and comprehensive (+2.82%) led the gains, while computer (-1.28%), non - bank finance (-0.72%), beauty care (-0.55%), and transportation (-0.20%) performed poorly [10]. Bond Market - The bond market fluctuated last week. After the quarter - end, the liquidity tightened. The second - quarter monetary policy implementation report mentioned observing and evaluating the bond market from a macro - prudential perspective. The slight recovery of the June PMI and the increase in market risk appetite suppressed bond market sentiment. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.64% on Friday, down 0.29bp from the previous week [1][10]. Convertible Bond Market - Most convertible bond issues closed higher. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 1.21% for the whole week, the median price increased 1.10%, the calculated arithmetic average parity increased 1.82%, and the overall market conversion premium rate decreased 1.57% compared with the previous week. The arithmetic average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds with parities in the ranges of [90,100), [100,110), and [110,120) changed by +1.71%, +2.27%, and -0.79% respectively, at the 68%, 77%, and 39% percentile values since 2023 [2][10]. - Most industries in the convertible bond market closed lower. Pharmaceutical biology (+2.49%), national defense and military industry (+1.85%), environmental protection (+1.70%), and public utilities (+1.59%) led the gains, while transportation (-1.07%), textile and clothing (-0.84%), automobile (-0.41%), and communication (-0.33%) performed poorly [14]. - In terms of individual bonds, Seli (innovative drugs), Huicheng (hazardous waste treatment), Jing 23 (PCB), Emergency (military industry), and Xingang (thermal production and supply) convertible bonds led the gains; Sanyang (automobile logistics services), Jinji (H - acid reactive dyes), Jingduan (precision gears & announced forced redemption), Huafeng (automobile electronic control systems & announced forced redemption), and Huitong (modified plastics & announced forced redemption) convertible bonds led the losses [2][15]. - The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 323.83 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 64.766 billion yuan, an increase from the previous week [18]. 3.2 Valuation Overview As of July 4, 2025, the average conversion premium rates of equity - biased convertible bonds with parities in the ranges of 80 - 90 yuan, 90 - 100 yuan, 100 - 110 yuan, 110 - 120 yuan, 120 - 130 yuan, and above 130 yuan were 40.92%, 30.48%, 23.07%, 12.75%, 8.96%, and 5.65% respectively, at the 85%/72%, 82%/68%, 84%/77%, 63%/35%, 62%/39%, and 71%/42% percentile values since 2010/2021. The average YTM of bond - biased convertible bonds with parities below 70 yuan was -0.72%, at the 4%/0% percentile values since 2010/2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds was 33.78%, at the 64%/44% percentile values since 2010/2021. The difference between the convertible bond implied volatility and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stock was -13.81%, at the 25%/31% percentile values since 2010/2021 [22]. 3.3 Primary Market Tracking Last Week (June 30 - July 4, 2025) - Libo Convertible Bond was announced for issuance, and Dianhua and Anke Convertible Bonds were listed. - Libo Convertible Bond (111023.SH): The underlying stock is Libote (605167.SH) in the building decoration industry, with a market value of 5.155 billion yuan as of July 4. The company focuses on the design and manufacturing of industrial modules. The issued convertible bond scale is 750 million yuan, and the funds after deducting issuance fees will be used for the large - scale industrial module manufacturing project of Nantong Libote Heavy Industry Co., Ltd [30]. - Dianhua Convertible Bond (127109.SZ): The underlying stock is Xiangtan Dianhua (002125.SZ) in the power equipment industry, with a market value of 8.555 billion yuan as of July 4. The company's main businesses include the production and sales of electrolytic manganese dioxide and new - energy battery materials, etc. The issued convertible bond scale is 487 million yuan, and the funds will be used for the 30,000 - ton spinel - type lithium manganate battery material project and to supplement working capital [31]. - Anke Convertible Bond (123257.SZ): The underlying stock is Anke Innovation (300866.SZ) in the electronics industry, with a market value of 61.207 billion yuan as of July 4. The company is mainly engaged in the R & D and sales of smart mobile peripherals, etc. The issued convertible bond scale is 1.105 billion yuan, and the funds will be used for multiple projects such as R & D and industrialization of portable and household energy - storage products [32]. - As of July 4, the exchange accepted Shenyu Co., Ltd., and there were no new enterprises approved for registration, passed by the listing committee, passed by the general meeting of shareholders, or with board of directors' plans. There are currently 77 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 123.22 billion yuan, including 4 approved for registration with a total scale of 9.01 billion yuan and 3 passed by the listing committee with a total scale of 2.62 billion yuan [33]. Future Week (July 7 - July 11, 2025) As of the announcement on July 4, there are no convertible bonds announced for issuance or listing in the coming week [33].

Market Overview - In June, the CSI 300 index rose by 2.50%, while the public utility index fell by 0.54% and the environmental index increased by 0.81%, with relative returns of -3.04% and -1.42% respectively [1][14] - Among the 31 primary industry sectors, public utilities and environmental sectors ranked 25th and 19th in terms of growth [1][14] - The environmental sector saw a rise of 1.08%, while within the electricity sector, thermal power decreased by 0.94%, hydropower fell by 1.76%, and renewable energy generation increased by 1.98% [1][26] Important Events - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting emphasized strengthening and expanding the marine industry, promoting orderly construction of offshore wind power [15] - National electricity load exceeded 1.465 billion kilowatts on July 4, marking a historical high, with a rise of approximately 200 million kilowatts since the end of June and an increase of nearly 150 million kilowatts year-on-year [15] Supply and Demand Analysis - The electricity industry has experienced three cycles of supply and demand changes since 2000, with future supply expected to increase significantly due to new thermal power units coming online and growth in renewable and nuclear power installations [2][22] - The demand side shows a decline in electricity consumption growth, particularly in high-energy-consuming industries, leading to a stabilization of overall electricity demand growth [2][23] Investment Strategy - Public Utilities: Recommendations include large thermal power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading renewable energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [3][24] - Nuclear power companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are expected to maintain stable profitability, with a recommendation for China Power Investment Corporation as a restructuring target [3][24] - In the water and waste incineration sectors, companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities are highlighted for their cash flow improvements [3][24] Key Company Profit Forecasts - Huadian International (600027.SH): Expected EPS of 0.46 in 2024, PE ratio of 12.2 [8] - Longyuan Power (001289.SZ): Expected EPS of 0.75 in 2024, PE ratio of 22.3 [8] - China Nuclear Power (601985.SH): Expected EPS of 0.46 in 2024, PE ratio of 20.5 [8] - China Everbright Environment (0257.HK): Expected EPS of 0.55 in 2024, PE ratio of 7.3 [8]

- The report discusses the performance of various broad-based indices in the A-share market, highlighting that the Small and Medium Enterprise Board Index, CSI 300, and ChiNext Index had the highest returns last week, with returns of 1.83%, 1.54%, and 1.50%, respectively[1][13] - The report also notes that the Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 Index, CSI 1000, and CSI 500 indices had lower returns, with returns of -0.35%, 0.56%, and 0.81%, respectively[1][13] - In terms of trading volume, the report mentions that the trading volume of major broad-based indices decreased last week, with the indices positioned between the 45%-70% historical percentile over the past 52 weeks[1][14] - The report provides a detailed analysis of the performance of various industry sectors, noting that the steel, banking, and building materials sectors had the highest returns last week, with returns of 5.27%, 3.78%, and 3.63%, respectively[1][19] - Conversely, the comprehensive financial, computer, and comprehensive sectors had the lowest returns, with returns of -4.45%, -0.86%, and -0.72%, respectively[1][19] - The report highlights the performance of open-ended public funds, stating that active equity, flexible allocation, and balanced hybrid funds had returns of 1.16%, 0.99%, and 0.99%, respectively, last week[1][31] - It also mentions that alternative funds had the best performance year-to-date, with a median return of 11.34%, while active equity, flexible allocation, and balanced hybrid funds had median returns of 6.02%, 3.47%, and 2.06%, respectively[1][32] - The report discusses the performance of quantitative public funds, noting that the median excess return of index-enhanced funds was 0.17% last week, while the median return of quantitative hedge funds was 0.33%[1][34] - Year-to-date, the median excess return of index-enhanced funds was 2.94%, and the median return of quantitative hedge funds was 0.95%[1][34] - The report provides a detailed breakdown of the performance of various types of funds, including active equity, flexible allocation, balanced hybrid, short-term pure bond, medium- to long-term pure bond, mixed bond primary, mixed bond secondary, money market, and alternative funds[1][33] - The report includes a list of the top-performing funds in various categories, such as the top three weekly performers in the active equity category, which were Zhonghang Youxuan Linghang A (15.84%), Yongying Yiyao Jiankang A (15.52%), and Hongtu Chuangxin Yiliao Baojian (13.39%)[1][59] - The report also lists the top ten weekly performers in the index-enhanced fund category, with the top performer being Anxin Zhongzheng 500 Index Enhanced A (1.87%)[1][60] - Additionally, the report lists the top ten weekly performers in the quantitative hedge fund category, with the top performer being Zhongyou Juedui Shouyi Celue (1.16%)[1][61] - The report provides a summary of the newly established funds last week, noting that a total of 23 new funds were established, with a combined issuance scale of 53.28 billion yuan[1][46] - The report also mentions that 36 new funds entered the issuance stage last week, with the majority being passive index funds and equity hybrid funds[1][51]

Group 1: Report's Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content Group 2: Core Viewpoints - After crossing the quarter - end, the funding situation returned to ease, overnight interest rates continued to decline to 1.3%, the central bank did not initiate treasury bond transactions in June, and the PMI continued to rise slightly. The bond market resumed its upward trend, with ultra - long bonds rising slightly. The trading activity of ultra - long bonds decreased slightly last week but remained quite active. The term spread of ultra - long bonds widened, and the variety spread narrowed. Considering the economic data, although the economy showed resilience in May, there are still downward pressures. After the half - year mark, the funding rate declined again, and the probability of the bond market rising is greater. However, the term spread of 30 - year treasury bonds and the variety spread of 20 - year CDB bonds are still low, with limited spread protection [1][2][3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Weekly Review Ultra - long Bond Review - After the quarter - end, the funding became looser, overnight rates dropped to 1.3%, the central bank did not trade treasury bonds in June, PMI rose slightly, the bond market went up, and ultra - long bonds had a small increase. Trading activity of ultra - long bonds decreased slightly but was still active. The term spread widened, and the variety spread narrowed [1][9] Ultra - long Bond Investment Outlook - **30 - year Treasury Bonds**: As of July 4, the spread between 30 - year and 10 - year treasury bonds was 21BP, at a historically low level. In May, the estimated GDP growth was about 5.0% year - on - year, down 0.1% from April but still above the annual target. With CPI at - 0.1% and PPI at - 3.1% in May, deflation risks remain. Exports declined rapidly in May, and domestic housing prices turned negative month - on - month. After the half - year mark, the funding rate fell again, and the bond market is more likely to rise. However, the term spread of 30 - year treasury bonds is low, with limited protection [2][10] - **20 - year CDB Bonds**: As of July 4, the spread between 20 - year CDB bonds and 20 - year treasury bonds was 3BP, at a historically extremely low level. Similar to the 30 - year treasury bonds, considering the economic situation in May and the decline in the funding rate after the half - year mark, the bond market is likely to rise. But the variety spread of 20 - year CDB bonds is low, with limited protection [3][11] Ultra - long Bond Basic Overview - The balance of outstanding ultra - long bonds exceeded 22.2 trillion. As of June 30, the total amount of ultra - long bonds with a remaining maturity of over 14 years was 222,528 billion, accounting for 14.5% of all bonds. Local government bonds and treasury bonds are the main varieties. By variety, treasury bonds accounted for 26.3%, local government bonds 67.5%, etc. By remaining maturity, the 25 - 35 - year variety accounted for the highest proportion at 40.4% [12] Primary Market Weekly Issuance - Last week (June 30 - July 4, 2025), ultra - long bond issuance decreased significantly, with a total of 359 billion yuan issued. By variety, local government bonds accounted for 344 billion, and mid - term notes 15 billion. By term, 15 - year bonds accounted for 139 billion, 20 - year for 70 billion, and 30 - year for 151 billion [17] This Week's Scheduled Issuance - This week's announced ultra - long bond issuance plan totals 768 billion. By variety, ultra - long local government bonds account for 748 billion, and mid - term notes 20 billion [22] Secondary Market Trading Volume - Last week, ultra - long bond trading was quite active, with a turnover of 11,010 billion, accounting for 13.1% of all bonds. Trading activity decreased slightly compared to the previous week. Ultra - long treasury bond turnover decreased by 2,214 billion, and its proportion decreased by 1.5%; ultra - long local bond turnover decreased by 688 billion, and its proportion decreased by 14.1%; ultra - long policy - bank bond turnover increased by 4 billion, and its proportion increased by 0.1%; ultra - long government - agency bond turnover increased by 78 billion, and its proportion increased by 37.2% [24] Yield - After the quarter - end, the funding situation eased, overnight rates dropped to 1.3%, the central bank did not trade treasury bonds in June, PMI rose slightly, the bond market went up, and ultra - long bonds had a small increase. Yields of 15 - year, 20 - year, 30 - year, and 50 - year treasury bonds changed by 0BP, 0BP, 0BP, and - 3BP respectively to 1.79%, 1.89%, 1.85%, and 1.94%. Yields of representative individual bonds also changed, such as the 30 - year treasury bond active bond 24 special treasury bond 06 yield changing by - 2BP to 1.89% [38][39] Spread Analysis - **Term Spread**: Last week, the term spread of ultra - long bonds widened but remained at a low absolute level. The spread between 30 - year and 10 - year treasury bonds was 21BP, up 1BP from the previous week, at the 5% percentile since 2010 [45] - **Variety Spread**: Last week, the variety spread of ultra - long bonds narrowed and was at a low absolute level. The spread between 20 - year CDB bonds and treasury bonds was 3BP, and between 20 - year railway bonds and treasury bonds was 7BP, down 1BP and 2BP respectively from the previous week, at the 6% percentile since 2010 [46] 30 - year Treasury Bond Futures - Last week, the 30 - year treasury bond futures main contract TL2509 closed at 121.20 yuan, an increase of 0.26%. The total trading volume was 408,900 lots (- 8,046 lots), and the open interest was 151,000 lots (10,690 lots). The trading volume decreased slightly, and the open interest increased slightly compared to the previous week [51]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry [5] Core Insights - The global computing infrastructure remains highly prosperous, with a continued positive outlook on computing directions. The global server market is expected to reach $366 billion in 2025, growing by 44.6% year-on-year. The market for GPU-equipped servers is projected to grow by 46.7%, nearly accounting for half of the overall market [12][19][22] - The deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems has begun, indicating sustained growth in the global AI landscape. CoreWeave and Dell Technologies announced the launch of the first batch of GB300 NVL72 AI systems, which are equipped with advanced GPUs and CPUs to meet increasing AI computing demands [23][24] - China Mobile's procurement of AI servers worth 3.2 billion yuan marks a significant acceleration in AI inference computing infrastructure development, highlighting the urgency for operators to enhance AI application capabilities [35][40] Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - The global computing infrastructure is expected to maintain high prosperity, with a focus on computing directions. The global server market is projected to reach $366 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 44.6% [12][19] - The Chinese GenAI IaaS market is anticipated to grow by 165% year-on-year in the second half of 2024, reaching 8.74 billion yuan, marking a significant share in the overall AI IaaS market [16][22] Market Performance Review - The communication index fell by 0.10% this week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 1.54%, resulting in a relative return of -1.64%, ranking 26th among primary industries [3][48] Investment Recommendations - Focus on AI computing infrastructure across various segments, particularly in optical devices and copper connection industries, which are expected to benefit from the global AI development [4][55] - Long-term investment in the three major telecom operators is recommended due to their stable operations and increasing dividend ratios, with a cumulative revenue of 748.8 billion yuan in the first five months of the year, reflecting a 1.4% year-on-year growth [4][55]