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南网储能(600995):来水增加增厚24年利润,新抽蓄25年投产可期
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 06:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Views - The report highlights that increased water inflow has enhanced profits for 2024, with a projected revenue of 6.174 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.67%, and a net profit of 1.126 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.14% [7] - The company is set to launch new pumped storage projects in 2025, aiming to achieve a total installed capacity of 4.8 million kilowatts during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [7] - The report anticipates stable profit growth for the company in 2024, driven by increased water inflow and new power station operations [7] Financial Data and Forecasts - Revenue and net profit forecasts for the company from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: Revenue of 5.630 billion yuan, net profit of 1.014 billion yuan - 2024: Revenue of 6.174 billion yuan, net profit of 1.126 billion yuan - 2025E: Revenue of 6.626 billion yuan, net profit of 1.301 billion yuan - 2026E: Revenue of 7.617 billion yuan, net profit of 1.487 billion yuan - 2027E: Revenue of 8.413 billion yuan, net profit of 1.654 billion yuan [6][7] - The report projects a comprehensive diluted EPS of 0.32 yuan in 2023, increasing to 0.52 yuan by 2027 [6] Product Profitability Forecast - The profitability forecast for different products in 2024 and beyond is as follows: - Pumped storage revenue is expected to be 4.147 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 44% - Peak regulation hydropower revenue is projected at 1.634 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 61% - New energy storage revenue is anticipated to reach 278 million yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 24% [9][10] Valuation - The report assigns a valuation range of 12.21 to 14.24 yuan for the company based on a projected PE ratio of 30-35 times for 2025 [7][11]
周报:我国自主研发首套重载铁路智能调车系统投运-2025-04-01
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 06:11
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant increase in domestic supply and demand for air travel during peak seasons, with expectations for international travel demand to recover further due to improved international relations and favorable visa policies. The long-term investment logic for the aviation industry remains positive, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and market-driven pricing [4][7] - In the express delivery sector, there has been a decline in single ticket revenue for major companies, indicating a challenging environment despite some month-on-month improvements [5] - The shipping sector is expected to benefit from a tight supply-demand balance, particularly in oil transportation, which shows potential for profit margin increases [5] - The highway sector is noted for its defensive attributes and investment value, especially in the context of a weak economic recovery and declining interest rates [5] Summary by Sections Air Transportation - The report anticipates a robust recovery in air travel demand, particularly during holidays, with a focus on airlines such as Spring Airlines, Hainan Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines for investment opportunities [4][7] Express Delivery - Major express companies reported declines in single ticket revenue, with specific figures showing a drop of 9.96% for SF Express and 11.40% for Yunda [5] Shipping - The report indicates a recovery in shipping rates due to increased demand influenced by geopolitical events, with a recommendation to focus on the oil shipping sector for investment opportunities [5] Highway Transportation - The highway sector is highlighted for its strong performance relative to the broader market, with a recommendation to consider investments in this area due to its defensive characteristics [5] Recent Developments - The report mentions the successful operation of China's first heavy-duty railway intelligent shunting system, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency significantly [30][31] - The completion of the Jialing River Lize shipping hub is noted as a significant infrastructure development, enhancing transportation capabilities in the region [32] - The successful tunneling of the Shantou Bay underwater tunnel is highlighted, marking a major achievement in high-speed rail infrastructure [34][35]
2024年基金年报分析:加仓银行、电子和电力设备,减持医药和计算机
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 04:41
[Table_MainInfo] 基金研究 证券研究报告 基金年报 2025 年 4 月 1 日 [Table_Title] 相关研究 [Table_ReportInfo] 《海通证券 - 基 金 超 额 收 益 排 行 榜 (20250304)》2025.03.04 《海通证券 3 月基金投资策略:A 股市场 回 暖 , 相 对 偏 向 成 长 配 置 风 格 》 2025.03.03 《基金投资者的获得感研究(六)——资 金 加 权 收 益 率 及 其 陪 伴 增 益 系 数 》 2025.03.02 首席分析师:倪韵婷 Tel:(021)23185605 Email:niyt@haitong.com 证书:S0850511010017 联席首席分析师:庄梓恺 Tel:(021)23185671 Email:zzk11560@haitong.com 证书:S0850519040002 分析师:陈林文 Tel:(021)23185678 Email:clw14331@haitong.com 证书:S0850524010004 联系人:刘雨婷 Tel:(021)23185707 Email:lyt16228@ ...
华阳集团(002906):公司年报点评:营收与利润双高增长,汽车电子持续放量
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 03:46
[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/汽车与零配件/汽车零配件 证券研究报告 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 股票数据 | 03[Table_StockInfo 月 28日收盘价(元)] | 34.81 | | --- | --- | | 52 周股价波动(元) | 22.52-37.88 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万股) | 525/525 | | 总市值/流通市值(百万元) | 18272/18265 | | 相关研究 | | | [Table_ReportInfo] 《24Q3 业绩创新高,盈利能力表现稳健》 | | | 2024.11.03 | | 《2024 上半年业绩实现高增长,订单开拓成 果显著》2024.08.21 《2023 年业绩高速增长,新订单与新产品助 力公司稳健成长》2024.04.01 市场表现 [Table_QuoteInfo] -18.28% -8.28% 1.72% 11.72% 21.72% 31.72% 2024/4 2024/7 2024/10 2025/1 华阳集团 海通综指 华阳集团(002906)公司年报点评 2025 ...
国光股份(002749):扣非后净利润同比增长24.49%,累计分红率达114.86%
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 02:49
[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/化工/农药与化肥 证券研究报告 国光股份(002749)公司年报点评 2025 年 04 月 01 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 股票数据 | 绝对涨幅(%) | 15.0 | 8.8 | 7.8 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 相对涨幅(%) | 15.1 | 7.0 | 10.1 | | 资料来源:海通证券研究所 | | | | 分析师:刘威 Tel:(0755)82764281 Email:lw10053@haitong.com 证书:S0850515040001 扣非后净利润同比增长 24.49%,累计分 红率达 114.86% [Table_Summary] 投资要点: | 03[Table_StockInfo 月 31日收盘价(元)] | 15.19 | | --- | --- | | 52 周股价波动(元) | 11.05-19.30 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万股) | 469/423 | | 总市值/流通市值(百万元) | 7120/6422 | 相关研究 [Table_Rep ...
碧桂园服务(06098):公司年报点评:归母净利润大幅增加,在管面积持续扩张
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 02:49
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][15]. Core Views - The company has seen a significant increase in net profit attributed to the parent company, with a substantial expansion in managed area [4][6]. - Revenue for 2024 reached 439.93 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, while net profit surged by 262.8% to 18.75 billion RMB [6][7]. - The board has proposed a final dividend of 0.1352 RMB per share and a special dividend of 0.1609 RMB per share, totaling 0.2961 RMB [6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: - 2024 revenue was 439.93 billion RMB, with a 3.2% year-on-year growth. Net profit was 18.75 billion RMB, up 262.8% [5][6]. - The gross profit margin decreased to 19.1%, down 1.4 percentage points from 2023 [9][12]. - The net profit margin improved to 4.1%, an increase of 3.4 percentage points from the previous year [9][12]. - **Segment Performance**: - Property management services generated 259.1 billion RMB, a 4.9% increase, accounting for 58.9% of total revenue [8][12]. - Community value-added services saw revenue of 41.94 billion RMB, up 11.8% [8][12]. - Non-owner value-added services dropped to 7.04 billion RMB, a decline of 54.6% [8][12]. - The "Three Supplies and One Industry" segment grew by 25.1% to 81.56 billion RMB [8][12]. - Urban services revenue fell by 14.7% to 41.68 billion RMB [8][12]. - Commercial operation services decreased by 38.1% to 6.27 billion RMB [8][12]. - **Cost and Expenses**: - The expense ratio increased to 10.8%, up 1.1 percentage points from 2023 [8][12]. - Total assets reached 712.55 billion RMB, a 2.9% increase year-on-year [8][12]. - **Future Projections**: - The company forecasts an EPS of approximately 0.66 RMB for 2025, with a dynamic PE valuation of 12-14 times, suggesting a reasonable value range of 7.92-9.24 RMB per share [15][18].
2025年3月海通证券研究所向外发送报告清单3
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 02:14
2025 年 3 月海通证券研究所向外发送报告清单 3 | 类型 | 作者 | 标题 | 日期 | 摘要 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公司报告 | 房青,徐柏 | 中国西电 | 3 | 月 | 21 | 日 | 【内容提要】 | 乔 | (601179)输配 | 深耕输配电设备,参与国家重点工程,持续开拓全 | | 电设备领先企 | 球市场。中国西电集团成立于 | 1959 | 年,深耕输配电及控 | 业,深度受益 | 制设备领域。公司核心产品包括 | 110kV | 及以上电压等级 | | | | | 新型电力系统 | 的高压开关(GIS、GCB、隔离开关、接地开关)、变压器 | 建设 | (电力变压器、换流变压器)、电抗器(平波电抗器、并 | | | | | | | | | 联电抗器)、电力电容器、互感器(CVT、CT、PT)、绝缘 | 子、套管、氧化锌避雷器以及直流输电换流阀等。公司 | | | | | | | | | | | 为国内首条交直流输电工程及"三峡工程" ...
2月重卡同环比增长,打响新年“开门红”
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 01:57
证券研究报告 (优于大市,维持) 2月重卡同环比增长, 打响新年"开门红" 刘一鸣(汽车行业首席分析师) 张觉尹(汽车行业分析师) SAC号码:S0850522120003 SAC号码:S0850523020001 潘若婵(联系人) 张予名(联系人) 2025年4月1日 总量:2月重卡销量8.1万台,同比增长36% 2月国产重卡销量8.1万台,同比增长36%,环比增长13%。 1-2月国产重卡 累计销量15.4万台,同比下滑2%。 我们认为,春节后的2月份是农历年后的第一个月,随各行业陆续复工,货 物运输需求从1月份的低谷向上攀升,购车需求和新车销量随之环比上升。 图:国产重卡年度销量及同比增速 图:国产重卡月度销量 -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 重卡销量合计(万台,左轴) YOY(右轴) 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 月度销量(辆) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 资料来源:中汽协、Wind, ...
节能风电(601016):看好25年风况修复带来的业绩弹性
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 01:34
[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/公用事业/电力 证券研究报告 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 股票数据 | 03[Table_StockInfo 月 31日收盘价(元)] | 2.96 | | --- | --- | | 52 周股价波动(元) | 2.58-3.62 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万股) | 6473/5967 | | 总市值/流通市值(百万元) | 19161/17662 | | 相关研究 | | [Table_ReportInfo] 《风电运营经验丰富,电力交易能力突出》 2025.03.06 市场表现 [Table_QuoteInfo] -9.77% -3.77% 2.23% 8.23% 14.23% 2024/4 2024/7 2024/10 2025/1 节能风电 海通综指 沪深 300 对比 1M 2M 3M 绝对涨幅(%) 0.3 -1.7 -9.8 相对涨幅(%) 0.4 -3.5 -7.4 资料来源:海通证券研究所 分析师:吴杰 Tel:(021)23183818 Email:wj10521@haitong.com 证书:S08 ...
每日报告精选-2025-04-01
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 00:45
Group 1 - The report highlights the successful expansion of Hongquan Wulian (688288) in customer base and new product development, indicating an imminent performance turnaround and potential benefits from the upcoming AECS new standard [3][9][12] - The company operates primarily in four segments: intelligent connected products, smart cockpit products, controller products, and software platform development, with intelligent connected products generating 2.84 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 69% of total revenue in 2023 [9][10][11] - Revenue growth is driven by new products in smart cockpit and controller segments, with a significant increase in revenue for these categories in the first half of 2024, showing year-on-year growth rates of 174.17% and 204.20% respectively [11][12] Group 2 - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the implementation of the vehicle emergency call system (AECS), which is set to be approved by July 2027, creating a new product launch cycle [12][13] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a positive trend, with expected revenues of 5.23 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 10.27 billion yuan by 2026, alongside a projected net profit turnaround by 2025 [13][29] - The report maintains an "outperform" rating for the company, suggesting a price-to-earnings ratio of 45-55 times for 2025, with a reasonable value range of 37.59-45.95 yuan [13][29]