证 券 研 究 报 告 基础化工行业周报（20250526-20250601） 赛轮轮胎印尼及墨西哥工厂首胎下线；本周 推荐（维持） 盐酸、敌草隆、氯化钾价格涨幅居前 行业研究 基础化工 2025 年 06 月 02 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：杨晖 邮箱：yanghui@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522050001 证券分析师：郑轶 邮箱：zhengyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522100004 证券分析师：陈俊新 邮箱：chenjunxin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525040001 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 489 | 0.06 | | 总市值(亿元) | 42,141.11 | 4.26 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 37,352.82 | 4.75 | 相对指数表现 证券分析师：王鲜俐 邮箱：wangxianli@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522080004 证券分析师：吴宇 邮箱：wuyu1@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524010002 证券分 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 钢铁行业周报（20250526-20250530） 推荐（维持） 铁水产量持续下行，关注供给收缩节奏 行业观点：需求仍显韧性，后续关注淡季供需两端变化情况 事件一：截至 5 月 30 日，五大品种螺纹钢、线材、热轧、冷轧、中板价格分 别报收 3217 元/吨、3556 元/吨、3221 元/吨、3650 元/吨、3474 元/吨，周环比 分别变化-1.94%、-1.70%、-2.26%、-2.16%、-1.34%。本周五大品种产量 880.85 万吨，周环比上升 8.41 万吨。247 家钢铁企业日均铁水 241.91 万吨，周环比 下降 1.69 万吨，高炉产能利用率 90.69%，周环比下降 0.63 个百分点，高炉开 工率83.87%，周环比上升 0.18个百分点。短流程企业，电炉产能利用率 59.03%， 周环比下降 0.47 个百分点，电炉开工率 77.78%，周环比上升 0.6 个百分点。 库存方面，本周钢材总库存 1365.60 万吨，周环比下降 32.94 万吨。其中社会 库存环比下降 28.02 万吨至 932.54 万吨；钢厂库存环比下降 4.92 万吨至 433. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the photovoltaic industry, expecting the industry index to rise more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [6][64]. Core Insights - The report indicates an overall decline in production for the photovoltaic industry in June, with price support expected to weaken. The production of polysilicon is projected to see a slight increase, while silicon wafer production is expected to decrease by approximately 4% [12][13]. - The demand for battery cells is weakening, leading to a further increase in the proportion of larger-sized battery cells. The report anticipates a 4% decrease in battery cell production in June [12][13]. - The component production is also expected to decline, with a forecasted 9% decrease in June due to the end of downstream rush installations [3][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Production and Price Trends - Polysilicon prices have slightly decreased, with N-type recycled material averaging 37,500 RMB/ton, down 2.85% month-on-month, and N-type granular silicon at 34,500 RMB/ton, down 4.17% [12]. - Silicon wafer prices remained stable, with an overall operating rate of about 53% for silicon wafer companies. A 4% decrease in silicon wafer production is expected in June [12]. - Battery cell prices have declined, with 182N and 210N battery cells facing profitability pressures, leading to a projected 4% decrease in production [12][13]. 2. Market Performance Review - The report notes a 1.94% decline in the comprehensive index this week, with the photovoltaic equipment sector down 2.25% [14][22]. - Among individual stocks, Changcheng Electric saw a significant increase of 39.22%, while BYD experienced a decline of 13.01% [17][19]. 3. Industry Valuation - As of May 30, the industry PE (TTM) for the photovoltaic sector is reported at 16x, with a valuation percentile of 9.4%, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to other sectors [25][30][35]. - The report highlights that the overall market capitalization of the photovoltaic industry is approximately 807.85 billion RMB, with 36 listed companies [6].

证 券 研 究 报 告 政策计算机行业周报（20250526-20250530） 推荐（维持） 可复用火箭技术获突破，卫星应用前景广阔 行业研究 计算机 2025 年 06 月 02 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 《计算机行业重大事项点评：太空计算星座全球 首发，我国开启天算时代》 2025-05-19 证券分析师：祝小茜 邮箱：zhuxiaoqian@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524070011 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 336 | 0.04 | | 总市值(亿元) | 42,124.99 | 4.26 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 36,163.12 | 4.60 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | -0.9% | -4.9% | 36.8% | | 相对表现 | -2.7% | -3.0% | 29.9% | -16% 12 ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 能源周报（20250526-20250601） OPEC+7 月维持增产幅度，本周油价下跌 风险提示：能源价格波动加大、海外地缘冲突加剧、下游需求不及预期 基础化工 2025 年 06 月 02 日 推荐（维持） 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：杨晖 邮箱：yanghui@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522050001 证券分析师：吴宇 邮箱：wuyu1@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524010002 证券分析师：陈俊新 邮箱：chenjunxin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525040001 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 489 | 0.06 | | 总市值(亿元) | 42,141.11 | 4.26 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 37,352.82 | 4.75 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 2.1% | -4.0% | 2.5% | | 相对表现 | 0.3% | ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 交通运输行业周报（20250526-20250601） 聚焦无人车：九识 E6 发布，售价 1.98w，无人物 推荐（维持） 流车规模化降本阶段开启 一、聚焦无人车：九识 E6 发布，售价 1.98w，无人物流车规模化降本阶段开 启 1、售价降至 2w 以下，九识 E6 的发布催化市场热情。5 月 27 日，九识正式 发布全新 E 系列无人物流车平台及首款车型 E6，正式售价 19800 元，单车售 价降至 2w 以下，以超高性价比开启轻件散件智能配送新时代，同时创新推出 行业颠覆性的 FSD（完全智能驾驶）月度订阅服务，低至 1800 元/月，实现" 随用随付"的灵活体验，大幅降低用户使用门槛。 国内多家公司的产品落地，标志着无人物流车行业已从"技术可行"进入 "商 业化落地"阶段：1）路权逐步开放，商业化应用可实施：根据新石器在官网 中披露，公司已获得国内超过 100 个城市和地区公开道路路权。而九识今年 3 月，在官方公众号披露，九识智能已相继在全国 29 个省份和地区获得上路资 质，其中近三月九识智能在获牌城市数量、获牌总量方面的环比增速分别为 46%、17.2%。2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the automotive industry, indicating a positive outlook for sales recovery and growth in 2025 [2][4]. Core Viewpoints - The automotive industry experienced a sales recovery in May, with expectations for strong terminal sales driven by increased marketing efforts from car manufacturers. The report forecasts a retail growth rate of 5.2% and a wholesale growth rate of 8.4% for the year, supported by stable economic expectations, policy initiatives, and new vehicle launches. Notably, the demand for high-end brands priced above 200,000 yuan is expected to recover, with a projected growth rate of 31% for new energy passenger vehicles, providing a solid foundation for the performance of both complete vehicles and parts manufacturers [2][3][4]. Data Tracking - In April, the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles reached 2.22 million units, showing a year-on-year increase of 11% but a month-on-month decrease of 10%. The retail sales for the same month were 1.59 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6% and a month-on-month decline of 14%. The inventory increased by 197,000 units, which is a year-on-year increase of 1.9 times [5][10]. - In May, new energy vehicle deliveries from leading companies showed significant growth, with BYD delivering 380,000 units (up 15% year-on-year), Li Auto 40,856 units (up 16.7% year-on-year), and Xpeng 33,525 units (up 230.4% year-on-year) [22][27]. - The average discount rate in the industry rose to 7.8% in late May, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from the previous period and 2.9 percentage points from the same period last year [5][23]. Industry News - As of May 30, 2025, the retail sales of passenger vehicles from May 1 to 25 reached 1.358 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 9%. Cumulatively, retail sales for the year reached 8.23 million units, up 9% year-on-year [27]. - The China Automotive Dealers Association reported a decrease in the inventory warning index to 52.7%, indicating improved market conditions in the automotive circulation industry [27]. - The total import and export value of automotive goods in April 2025 was $23.09 billion, with exports amounting to $19.39 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.3% [27].

行业研究 证券研究报 告 新疆周报（20250526-20250601） 推荐（维持） 宏大民爆迁址新疆乌鲁木齐 基础化工 2025 年 06 月 02 日 $$\frac{1}{4}\mathbb{E}\mathbb{F}\left(\frac{1}{2}\mathbb{E}\mathbb{F}\right)$$ 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：杨晖 邮箱：yanghui@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522050001 证券分析师：陈俊新 相关研究报告 《新疆周报（20250421-20250427）：国家生态 环境部受理国能准东 20 亿方煤制气项目环评》 2025-04-28 《 化 工 行 业 新 材 料 周 报 （20250421- 20250427）：25 年年底数千台 Optimus 有望入驻 工厂；台积电第二代 GAA 工艺 14A 首次曝光》 2025-04-28 《能源周报（20250421-20250427）：准东煤制 天然气管道一标段正式开工》 邮箱：chenjunxin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525040001 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | -- ...

债券研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券周报】 存单周报（0526-0601）：跨半年压力可控，关 注配置机会 债券周报 2025 年 06 月 02 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：周冠南 电话：010-66500886 邮箱：zhouguannan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360517090002 证券分析师：宋琦 电话：010-63214665 邮箱：songqi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080002 相关研究报告 《【华创固收】信用债 ETF 质押式回购即将落地 ——信用周报 20250601》 2025-06-01 《【华创固收】政策双周报（0518-0530）：第七轮 大行存款挂牌利率下调，规范资管产品业绩基准 披露 》 2025-05-30 《【华创固收】市场盘整中，关注低价、中盘及 TMT——可转债周报 20250527》 2025-05-27 《【华创固收】科创债发行规模连续两周破千亿 ——信用周报 20250525》 2025-05-25 《【华创固收】存款利率调降对债市影响的三个维 度——债券周报 20250525》 2025-05-25 证监会审核华创证 ...

证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号：证监许可（2009）1210 号 行业研究 汽车 2025 年 06 月 02 日 推荐（维持） 5 月行业销量复苏，全年销量展望乐观 华创证券研究所 | 证券分析师：张程航 | 证券分析师：夏凉 | 证券分析师：李昊岚 | 联系人：张睿希 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 电话：021-20572543 | 电话：021-20572532 | 邮箱：lihaolan@hcyjs.com | 邮箱：zhangruixi@hcyjs.com | | 邮箱：zhangchenghang@hcyjs.com | 邮箱：xialiang@hcyjs.com | 执业编号：S0360524010003 | | | 执业编号：S0360519070003 | 执业编号：S0360522030001 | | | 5 月行业销量有所恢复，6 月车企加大年中冲刺营销力度，预计终端销售维持较好水平， 我们对全年销量依然乐观，预计全年零售增速 5.2%、批发增速 8.4%，后续随经济预期稳 定、政策发力、新车上市，销量水平有望维持在较好水平，尤其 20 万元以上高 ...