Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector experienced a significant rebound in 2025, driven by innovation, and is expected to reach new highs in 2026 [4][17] - The A-share market saw a 12.9% increase year-to-date, while the H-share market surged by 57% [18] - The report emphasizes the importance of tracking macroeconomic conditions and the potential for valuation recovery in the consumer healthcare sector [4][24] Market Review - The CITIC Pharmaceutical Index fell by 2.0% in the week of December 29, 2025, to January 2, 2026, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.4 percentage points [3][32] - Year-to-date, the CITIC Pharmaceutical Index has risen by 12.9%, lagging behind the CSI 300 Index by 4.8 percentage points [32] - The top-performing stocks for the week included Duorui Pharmaceutical (+15.9%) and Mailland (+10.3%) [47] Sector Performance - The report highlights significant sector differentiation, with the medical services sector (including CXO and innovative supply chains) showing the highest growth, exceeding 50% [24] - The quarterly performance showed a strong start in Q1, followed by fluctuations in Q2 and Q4 due to various market catalysts [27] Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on innovative drugs, particularly those with revenue and performance exceeding expectations, as well as companies benefiting from technological advancements [5][4] - Specific stocks recommended for January include Kangfang Biotech, WuXi AppTec, and Aidi Pharmaceutical [5][4]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the liquidity in the money market remains loose, with a net injection of 11,710 billion yuan this week, despite some fluctuations in funding prices due to year-end factors [2][17]. - The average DR001 rate dropped to 1.28% in December, marking a new low for the year, while the DR007 rate slightly increased but remains low compared to previous years [3][39]. - The report highlights that the overall funding environment is expected to remain loose, with limited room for further declines in funding rates before any potential interest rate cuts by the central bank [3][39]. Group 2 - The report forecasts that the net financing scale for government bonds in January, February, and March 2026 will be approximately 1.18 trillion yuan, 0.81 trillion yuan, and 1.12 trillion yuan respectively, totaling around 3.1 trillion yuan for the first quarter [5][62]. - It is anticipated that local government bond issuance in January will be around 1 trillion yuan, with net financing expected to be approximately 890 billion yuan [5][59]. - The report notes that several regions have announced their local bond issuance plans for the first quarter of 2026, with a total planned issuance of 19,658 billion yuan, closely aligning with the actual issuance from the previous year [4][52]. Group 3 - The report discusses the trends in interbank certificates of deposit, noting that the issuance of 1-year AAA-rated certificates has decreased slightly to 1.63% [10][73]. - The Shibor rates for various maturities have shown minor fluctuations, with the 1-year rate remaining stable at 1.65% [68][73]. - The report indicates that the overall sentiment in the bond market is weak, with a notable decrease in the willingness of major banks to increase their bond holdings [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the implementation of the 2026 national subsidy policy for large-scale equipment updates and the trade-in of consumer goods, which is expected to stabilize the domestic consumption market and stimulate demand, particularly in offline channels and rural areas [2][3][5][14]. - The 2026 subsidy policy introduces changes compared to 2025, including a more concentrated subsidy range, with the number of household appliance categories reduced from 12 to 6, retaining only core categories such as refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, air conditioners, computers, and water heaters [4][15]. - The subsidy standards have been optimized, with a 15% subsidy on the sales price for energy-efficient or water-efficient products, and a maximum subsidy of 1,500 yuan per item for household appliances [4][15]. Group 2 - The report indicates that the 2026 policy aims to enhance the efficiency of fund utilization by focusing on core categories and avoiding imbalances in funding distribution, which is expected to positively impact leading companies in the household appliance sector such as Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, Hisense, and TCL Electronics [5][14]. - The report highlights the recent performance of the home appliance sector, noting a weekly increase of 0.7%, while specific segments like white goods and small appliances experienced declines [6][17]. - The report provides insights into raw material prices, indicating a week-on-week increase in LME copper and aluminum prices by 2.05% and 1.23%, respectively, which may impact the cost structure of household appliance manufacturers [6][17].

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "stronger than the market" rating [6] Core Views - Precious metals prices have retreated due to increased margin requirements and a stronger US dollar, which has suppressed speculative demand [2][14] - Industrial metals, particularly copper, are expected to see price increases supported by government subsidies for old-for-new exchanges, despite current high prices [3][15] - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain volatile at high levels due to slowed inventory depletion and moderate demand recovery [4][21] - Rare earth prices are generally strong, while tungsten prices have decreased by 1.1% [4][23] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices are limited by a stronger dollar and rising US Treasury yields, with margin requirements for futures contracts being raised to cool speculative activity [2][14] - Key stocks to watch include Zijin Mining, Zhongjin Lingnan, and others in both A-shares and H-shares [2][14] Industrial Metals - The continuation of old-for-new subsidies is expected to stimulate demand for copper and aluminum, with copper prices anticipated to rise despite current high levels [3][15] - Key stocks include Jiangxi Copper, Luoyang Molybdenum, and others [3][15] New Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain high due to supply uncertainties and moderate demand recovery, with strategic investment opportunities in lithium stocks [4][21] - Key stocks include Ganfeng Lithium, Tianhua, and others [4][22] Other Minor Metals - Rare earth prices are generally strong, with specific increases in praseodymium and neodymium prices, while tungsten has seen a slight decline [4][23] - Key stocks to monitor include Hunan Gold, China Rare Earth, and others [4][26] Weekly Market Review - The non-ferrous index increased by 0.4%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, with lithium battery materials showing the largest gains [27][28] - Top gainers include Jiangxi Copper and Yinbang [37]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next six months [10][15]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a favorable policy environment and a potential acceleration in capitalization processes, which is expected to drive technological iterations and capacity expansion in the industry [5][6]. - The satellite launch market is anticipated to enter a phase of increased volume, with significant planned launches for both domestic and international satellite constellations [6]. - The space photovoltaic industry is projected to accelerate its development, particularly with advancements in solar wing technology, which is crucial for converting solar energy into electrical energy in spacecraft [6]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of December 31, 2025, the IPO application of Blue Arrow Aerospace has been officially accepted, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange has introduced supportive listing standards for quality commercial rocket enterprises [3][5]. - The National Space Administration's action plan for promoting high-quality and safe development in commercial aerospace from 2025 to 2027 has led to a series of favorable developments in the sector [5]. Satellite Launches - In 2025, China completed 19 satellite constellation networking missions, while the U.S. completed 129 missions, indicating a robust growth trajectory for satellite launches [6]. Solar Wing Technology - Solar wings, which convert solar energy into electrical energy, are categorized into rigid, semi-rigid, and flexible types, with flexible solar wings expected to be the future choice [6]. - Current battery technology routes include gallium arsenide, silicon-based materials, and perovskite, with perovskite showing significant potential due to its efficiency, lightweight, and low cost [6]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include JunDa Co., Oriental Sunrise, Shanghai Port, and GCL-Poly for photovoltaic cell manufacturing; Maiwei Co., Jiejia Weichuang, and Jing Shan Light Machine for perovskite/crystalline silicon equipment manufacturing; and Shuangliang Energy for efficient heat exchanger supply [7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [10] Core Insights - The report highlights the capitalization of domestic large model unicorns, with MiniMax and Zhipu recently passing the Hong Kong Stock Exchange hearing, indicating a trend towards commercialization in the large model sector [4][3] - MiniMax is noted for its leading multimodal capabilities and global expansion, with significant revenue growth and a focus on consumer and enterprise services [6][7] - Zhipu is positioned as an independent general-purpose large model provider, emphasizing localized deployment and cloud services, with substantial revenue growth driven by tailored AI solutions [8] Summary by Sections MiniMax - MiniMax has a total parameter count of 230 billion for its large language model M2, optimizing inference costs by activating only 10 billion parameters per inference [6] - The company has achieved a user base of 42.35 million for its AI image and video generation platform, "Hailuo," as of Q3 2025 [6] - MiniMax's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached $53.44 million, a year-on-year increase of 175%, with a gross margin of 23.3% [7] Zhipu - Zhipu launched China's first pre-trained large model GLM framework in 2021 and has developed a MaaS product platform serving over 8,000 institutional clients and 80 million terminal devices [8] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was $19 million, a year-on-year increase of 325%, with a gross margin of 50% [8] - Localized deployment accounted for 84.8% of Zhipu's revenue, focusing on customized AI models for specialized applications [8]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [17]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant advancements in AI gaming, particularly with the introduction of playable AI NPCs by Ubisoft, which allows players to interact with AI teammates in a dynamic gaming environment [3]. - The emergence of commercial products based on AI world models, such as Marble by World Labs and Tencent's mixed reality model, showcases the potential for creating immersive 3D worlds using generative AI [4]. - The development of AI game creation tools, like YouTube's Playables Builder, is democratizing game development by enabling users to create games without programming knowledge [4][5]. Summary by Sections AI NPC Development - Ubisoft launched a playable demo of AI NPCs named "Teammates," where players can command AI teammates using natural language, powered by Google's Gemini and Ubisoft's middleware [3]. AI World Models - Companies like Google DeepMind and Tencent are advancing in AI world models, with Tencent's mixed reality model allowing users to create interactive worlds from text or images [4]. AI Game Creation Tools - YouTube is testing an AI game creation tool, Playables Builder, which allows users to create games using simple text and media inputs, currently in testing phases in select markets [4]. - The AI game creation platform SOON by Kaiying Network integrates generative AI to streamline complex game development processes, significantly lowering technical barriers and costs [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies related to gaming, including Tencent, NetEase, Bilibili, Giant Network, and others, as potential investment opportunities [6].

Group 1: Core Insights - The report maintains a strong market rating for the pharmaceutical industry, indicating a clear upward trend driven by recovering demand and improved performance in the CXO sector [1][2] - The CXO sector has shown significant stock price increases, with some companies experiencing nearly 100% growth since the beginning of 2025, driven by the innovative drug market and a recovery in orders [3][6] Group 2: CXO Sector Analysis - The CXO sector's overall revenue increased by 11.8% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with a notable profit increase of 58.1% [13] - External demand for CXO services has rebounded, with significant order growth from leading CDMO companies, indicating a clear recovery trend [22][31] - Internal demand for CXO services has lagged behind external demand, but there are signs of strong growth in domestic innovative drug projects and increased investment in the domestic market [3][22] Group 3: Life Sciences Upstream - The life sciences upstream sector has seen a 37.7% increase in stock prices year-to-date, outperforming the pharmaceutical and biotechnology index by 18% [3] - Revenue for the upstream sector increased by 8.8% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with net profit rising by 27.7% [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a strategic investment focus on companies such as WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics, and Tigermed, while also highlighting more flexible investment options like Zhaoyan New Drug and Nossan [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - In 2025, the number of game licenses issued reached a record high of 1,771, representing a 25.07% increase from 1,416 in 2024, marking the highest number in the past five years. Among these, 1,676 were domestic games and 95 were imported games [2]. - The import game license issuance has stabilized to a monthly rhythm since October 2024, averaging about 9 licenses per month, with an annual cap of around 100 licenses [3]. - For 2026, at least 25 new games are planned for release, with Tencent expected to launch 8 titles and NetEase and Bilibili each planning 2 titles. More than half of these products are anticipated to launch in Q1 2026, indicating a concentrated release schedule [4]. - The new regulations for WeChat mini-games, effective January 1, 2026, will provide significant incentives for small and medium-sized teams, potentially leading to an increase in game products. The new policy includes a dual incentive structure for newly launched games, with a maximum incentive of 4 million yuan for each title [5]. Company Focus - The report suggests paying attention to the following gaming-related companies: Tencent, NetEase, Bilibili, Giant Network, Gibit, Kying Network, 37 Interactive Entertainment, Shenzhou Taiyue, Baotong Technology, Century Huatong, Shunwang Technology, Sheng Tian Network, Yaoji Technology, and Zhangqu Technology [6].

宏 华福证券 观 研 究 PMI 为何重回扩张？ ——12 月 PMI 数据解读 投资要点： 宏 观 点 PMI 表现如何？12 月全国制造业 PMI 显著回升，4 月以来首度升至扩 张区间，持平于过去五年同期中位数水平，构成制造业 PMI 指数的五大分 指数中，新订单、生产、原材料库存指数上升，从业人员指数下降，作为 逆指数的供应商配送时间指数上升。趋势变动情况看，供需同步改善，内 需相对外需走强，需求端库存有所积累，下游利润有所恢复。企业类型看， 大、中型企业景气明显改善，小型企业景气回落。 评 此外，有三点值得关注：一是产需同步修复。一方面是中美吉隆坡经 贸磋商后 11-12 月新出口订单指数连续大幅回升，虽然新出口订单指数尚 在荣枯线下，但新订单指数升至扩张区间；另一方面是生产指数环比改善 幅度超近十年同期，产需同步修复带动制造业 PMI 显著改善。二是出厂价 格相对购进价格改善。11-12 月出厂价格指数连续上升，或指向下游利润分 配出现改善迹象。三是生产经营活动预期指数大幅上升。制造业生产经营 活动预期指数环比升幅在近十年同期中仅低于 2022 年，创下年内新高，在 外部扰动暂时缓和、内部政策定调 ...