Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 617 million RMB in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.74%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 66.79 million RMB, down 5.62% year-over-year, primarily due to a decline in revenue and gross margin from water treatment technology solutions [1][2] - The company is actively implementing its strategy of "resource utilization, AI digitization, and productization," which is expected to significantly reduce the comprehensive water production costs for water-using enterprises, indicating a positive outlook for its performance growth [1][2] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue from water treatment technology solutions, wastewater resource utilization, and operation and maintenance technical services was 337 million RMB, 107 million RMB, and 172 million RMB, respectively, with year-over-year changes of -10.94%, -0.17%, and +98.74% [2] - The gross margins for these segments were 32.28%, 30.61%, and 46.88%, reflecting year-over-year changes of -8.64, -2.90, and +10.36 percentage points [2] New Product Development - The company has successfully secured orders for its New Water Island 2.0 product, with projects in Wuxi, Zhoushan, Kaifeng, and Taiyuan, each with a capacity of 5,000 m³/day, aimed at various industrial applications [3] - The company is building a sales network for the New Water Island product, establishing cooperation intentions with multiple domestic and international clients [3] Financial Projections - The report projects the company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 0.92 RMB, 1.14 RMB, and 1.33 RMB, respectively, with a downward adjustment of 24% for 2025 and 2026 [4] - The target price for the company is set at 21.90 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 23.8 for 2025 [4][7] Market Position - The company's market capitalization is approximately 1.928 billion RMB, with a closing price of 15.66 RMB as of April 30 [7] - The report indicates a significant growth potential for the company, driven by the increasing demand for high-quality recycled water and the expansion of its industrial market applications [2][3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [5] Core Viewpoints - The construction of the electricity spot market is accelerating, with a goal to achieve nationwide coverage by the end of 2025, which will enhance price discovery and supply-demand adjustment [2][3] - The environment of loosening electricity supply and demand creates opportunities for marketization, particularly benefiting investments in wind power, power forecasting, and virtual power plants [2][3] Summary by Sections Electricity Spot Market Development - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Energy Administration have set a clear timeline for the establishment of the electricity spot market, aiming for full coverage by the end of 2025 [3][9] - Provinces such as Hubei and Zhejiang are expected to transition to formal operations by mid-2025 and the end of 2025, respectively [9] Investment Opportunities - Wind power is expected to outperform photovoltaic power in the electricity market, leading to a structural growth opportunity in wind power installations [9] - The importance of power forecasting will increase as renewable energy enters the spot market, optimizing trading strategies and enhancing revenue per kilowatt-hour [9] - The push for distributed photovoltaic "four capabilities" (observable, measurable, adjustable, controllable) will accelerate due to marketization [9] - The virtual power plant business model is expected to close the loop with the acceleration of marketization, facilitating participation in the spot market [9] Recommended Companies - Key recommended companies include: - Samsung Medical (601567 CH) with a target price of 38.02 and a "Buy" rating [8][12] - Juhua Technology (300360 CH) with a target price of 18.48 and an "Overweight" rating [8][12] - Pinggao Electric (600312 CH) with a target price of 21.28 and a "Buy" rating [8][12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 6.11 RMB [7][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 20.03 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.30%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.814 billion RMB, up 3.75% year-on-year. However, the net profit fell short of expectations due to higher-than-anticipated asset impairment losses [1][2]. - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a revenue decline of 19.65% year-on-year, primarily due to lower hydropower generation, which was down 45.77% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company expects improved profitability in thermal power generation in 2025 due to declining coal prices, despite challenges in hydropower generation [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total power generation of 44.04 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 23.21%. The breakdown includes hydropower down 0.36%, thermal power up 33.03%, wind power up 10.99%, and solar power up 53.97% [2]. - The company’s net profit for 2024 increased by 3.75%, driven by higher generation from the Peru Chagüa power station and reduced purchasing costs under long-term power purchase agreements [2]. Q1 2025 Performance - The company’s total power generation in Q1 2025 was 9.974 billion kWh, a decrease of 7.93% year-on-year, with hydropower generation significantly impacted by lower water inflow [3][4]. - The report indicates that the company’s hydropower generation is expected to face challenges in the near term, but thermal power profitability is projected to improve [3]. Adjustments and Forecasts - Due to higher-than-expected asset impairment losses, the report revised the 2025-2026 asset impairment loss estimates upward by 631.52% and 632.24% to 360 million RMB and 385 million RMB, respectively [4][13]. - The report also adjusted the 2025-2026 net profit estimates downward by 33.03% and 33.18% to 1.937 billion RMB and 2.049 billion RMB, respectively [4][14]. Valuation Metrics - The target market capitalization is set at 39.708 billion RMB, with a target price of 6.11 RMB per share, based on a comparative analysis with similar companies [4][19]. - The report provides a valuation comparison with peers, indicating that the company’s future growth in renewable energy capacity lags behind comparable firms [4][16].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate development and services sectors [6] Core Insights - In April, the sales amount of the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 14.8% month-on-month and 14.6% year-on-year, indicating a seasonal adjustment in the market [2] - The cumulative sales amount from January to April showed a year-on-year decline of 10.1%, with a worsening growth rate compared to the first quarter [2] - The report suggests that the policy window for the real estate industry is gradually opening, with a focus on the implementation of practical policies [2] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - The sales threshold for the top 10 real estate companies increased significantly, with the sales amount required to enter the top 10 reaching 333 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.9% [3] - In April, only 32 companies among the top 100 saw a month-on-month increase in sales, a decrease of 50 compared to March [3] - The month-on-month sales performance of the top 10 companies showed a year-on-year decline of 14.7% [3] Market Trends - The contribution of the top 10 companies to the total sales of the top 100 companies decreased, accounting for 50.2% and 51.7% of monthly and cumulative sales, respectively [4] - The net signing volume for new and second-hand homes showed a decline, with new homes down 13.3% year-on-year and second-hand homes up 18.7% [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong credit, good cities, and quality products, particularly in core cities with greater policy flexibility [5] - Key recommended stocks include: - A-shares: Chengdu Investment Holdings, Chengjian Development, Binjiang Group, New Town Holdings, China Merchants Shekou, and Jianfa Co [9] - Hong Kong stocks: China Resources Land, China Overseas Development, Greentown China, Jianfa International Group, and Yuexiu Property [9] - Property management companies: China Resources Mixc Life, Greentown Service, China Overseas Property, Poly Property, and China Merchants Jinling [5][9] Company-Specific Insights - Chengdu Investment Holdings reported a significant increase in revenue and profitability in Q1 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of 6.34 [11] - Chengjian Development also showed strong revenue growth and a return to profitability, with a target price of 7.32 [11] - Binjiang Group reported robust revenue growth and maintained a "Buy" rating with a target price of 12.08 [11] - New Town Holdings showed a recovery in net profit and maintained a "Buy" rating with a target price of 17.50 [11] - China Resources Land maintained a strong performance with a target price of 32.72, reflecting its competitive advantages [12]

证券研究报告 小米集团-W (1810 HK) 港股通 1Q25 预览：关注 AI、汽车等新动能 | 华泰研究 | | | 动态点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 5 月 | 02 日│中国香港 | 消费电子 | 我们预计小米 1Q25 收入同比增长 44%，毛利率环比提升 0.9pp，归属于母 公司净利润同比增长 47%。其中包含手机，IoT 和互联网业务在内的原有主 业收入同比增长 20%，汽车业务实现 182 亿收入，环比增长 9%。后续关注 公司业务三大影响因素：1）汽车。近期公司处于宣传真空期，未来随着宣 传正常化以及 YU7 发布，周度订单量或企稳；2）关税。关税直接影响有限， 关注苹果业绩会对于关税应对措施的表述；3）AI。4/30 小米开源首个推理 大模型，看好公司模型能力增厚"人车家"全品类生态协同效应。展望全年， 看好 SUV 推动收入快速增长，手机毛利率回升、汽车减亏叠加大家电业务 扩张或推动全年 Non-GAAP 利润 52%增长。维持公司目标价 71.2 港币， 包含手机 xAIoT（44 港币），汽车（27.2 港币）。维持"买入"。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 34.74 [7]. Core Views - The company achieved a record high electricity generation in 2024, with revenue of RMB 84.49 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 32.50 billion, up 19.28% year-on-year [1][2]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 17.02 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.68%, and a net profit of RMB 5.18 billion, up 30.56% year-on-year, exceeding expectations due to higher revenue and lower financial costs [1][3]. - The company is expected to leverage its six reservoir coordination and the potential of upstream projects to enhance electricity generation capacity, aiming for an annual generation of 300 billion kWh in 2025 [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company generated 2,959.04 billion kWh of electricity, a year-on-year increase of 7.11%, with significant contributions from the "Six Reservoir Coordination" project [2]. - The average on-grid electricity price for 2024 is estimated at RMB 0.252 per kWh, reflecting a slight increase from the previous year [2]. Profitability and Costs - The company's financial costs decreased by RMB 3.7 billion in Q1 2025, a reduction of 12.98% year-on-year, attributed to faster debt repayment and debt restructuring [3]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to improve, with net profit for 2025 estimated at RMB 33.99 billion, reflecting a growth of 4.62% [6]. Valuation Metrics - The report adjusts the depreciation forecast for 2025-2026 upwards by 5.3% and 5.4%, respectively, while lowering the net profit estimates for the same period by 3.0% and 2.9% [4]. - The target price of RMB 34.74 is based on a 25.0x PE ratio for 2025, compared to a previous target of RMB 32.95 based on a 23x PE [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 89.04 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 9.83 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 21.53%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 0.93 billion RMB, a slight increase of 1.31% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company is facing pressure on net profit margins due to challenges in the photovoltaic industry and delays in order acceptance, but there is optimism regarding the growth potential of its non-photovoltaic business [1][4]. - The company has seen a significant decline in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 0.06 billion RMB in 2024, down 92.57% year-on-year, primarily due to increased bank acceptance bill payments and slow customer payments [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.23 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 0.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.01%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.16 billion RMB, a decrease of 37.69% year-on-year and 3.18% quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to significant credit impairment losses [1][2]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 28.11%, down 2.40 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 9.80%, down 1.01 percentage points year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 29.10%, although the net margin decreased to 6.98% [2]. Market Outlook - The report highlights the potential for the company's HJT equipment in overseas markets, noting that HJT technology has lower labor and operational costs and higher photoelectric conversion efficiency. The company is expected to benefit from expanding its presence in these markets [4]. - In the semiconductor and display sectors, the company achieved revenue of 0.67 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 88.41%, indicating strong growth potential in these areas [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company has been revised downwards for 2025 and 2026 by 21% each, now expected to be 1.19 billion RMB and 1.31 billion RMB, respectively. The estimated EPS for 2025 is 4.24 RMB [5][7]. - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 21 times for 2025, with a target price set at 89.04 RMB, reflecting a significant adjustment from the previous target price of 150.36 RMB [5].

| 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 5 月 | 02 日│中国内地/中国香港 | 稀有金属 | 天齐锂业发布一季报，2025 年 Q1 实现营收 25.84 亿元（yoy-0.02%、 qoq-13.82%），归母净利 1.04 亿元（yoy+102.68%、qoq+104.73%），扣 非净利 4442.55 万元（yoy+101.13%）。存货错配影响减弱,公司一季度业绩 修复明显,考虑公司 24 年存在的不利因素已逐步消除,且公司旗下资源禀赋 优异,未来矿端成本优势依旧突出,我们维持增持评级. 成本错配情况明显缓解，公司一季度盈利能力环比明显修复 证券研究报告 天齐锂业 (9696 HK/002466 CH) 公司一季度业绩实现明显修复 25Q1 公司综合毛利率、净利率分别为 44.31%/30.28%，同比分别-4.08pct、 +62.41pct，环比分别+8.16pct/+89.08pct。毛利率和净利率环比提升主因公 司控股子公司锂矿定价周期缩短，成本错配影响大幅减弱，且锂化合物及衍 生品产销量同比增长，联营公司投资收 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 6.734 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 2.84%, but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 42.47%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 562 million RMB, down 7.08% year-over-year and down 50.56% quarter-over-quarter [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit from stable demand for rail transit equipment and increasing needs for upgrades and renovations, with overseas business and low-altitude economy potentially opening new growth avenues [1][4]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin was 27.23%, a decrease of 0.18 percentage points year-over-year, while the net margin was 9.74%, down 1.21 percentage points year-over-year. The operating expense ratio was 15.10%, a decrease of 0.39 percentage points year-over-year [2][3]. - The company's railway business revenue was 3.41 billion RMB, down 4.05% year-over-year, while urban rail business revenue grew by 21.66% to 1.96 billion RMB. Overseas business revenue increased by 66.91% to 299 million RMB [3]. Contract and Order Growth - The total new external contracts signed in Q1 2025 amounted to 7.213 billion RMB, a decrease of 36.51% year-over-year, primarily due to the company gradually abandoning low-margin engineering projects [3]. - New contracts in the railway sector totaled 4.234 billion RMB, up 6.25% year-over-year, while urban rail contracts reached 2.242 billion RMB, up 47.17% year-over-year [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 3.957 billion RMB, 4.307 billion RMB, and 4.677 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.37 RMB, 0.41 RMB, and 0.44 RMB [4][6]. - The report assigns a target price of 6.66 RMB for A-shares and 3.85 HKD for H-shares, based on a PE ratio of 18x for A-shares and 9.5x for H-shares [4][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 3.11 [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue for Q1 2025, achieving RMB 40.3 billion, down 46.1% year-on-year, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.79 billion, a decrease of 162% year-on-year. However, the impact on the full year is expected to be relatively small due to the historically low contribution of Q1 to annual revenue [1][5]. - The company has a strong market presence in Shanghai, with 72% of new contracts in 2024 coming from the Shanghai market and 83% from the Yangtze River Delta region, indicating a stable operational performance [1]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 improved to 7.54%, an increase of 1.37 percentage points year-on-year, although the net profit margin was negative at -0.44%, down 0.83 percentage points year-on-year due to increased expense ratios [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was RMB 40.3 billion, down 46.1% year-on-year, with a net loss of RMB 1.79 billion [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 7.54%, while the net profit margin was -0.44% [2]. - The company’s operating cash flow showed improvement, with a net cash outflow of RMB 23.3 billion, which was RMB 2 billion less than the previous year [3]. Contracting and Market Activity - New contracts signed in Q1 2025 totaled RMB 64.5 billion, a decrease of 44% year-on-year, with significant declines in construction and building materials sectors [4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its market presence in the Yangtze River Delta, with a 9% year-on-year increase in new contracts outside Shanghai [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company remains at RMB 2.3 billion for 2025, with a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 12 times, maintaining the target price of RMB 3.11 [5].