食品饮料/食品加工 chenxueli@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030001 wanggaozhan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525070003 华统股份（002840.SZ） 财务状况改善，持续推动成本下降 2025 年 10 月 28 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/10/27 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 10.92 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 14.80/10.10 | | 总市值(亿元) | 87.91 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 68.79 | | 总股本(亿股) | 8.05 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 6.30 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 125.37 | 股价走势图 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-10 2025-02 2025-06 华统股份 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《财务状况改善，养殖屠宰协同发展 —公司信息更新报告》-2025.8.27 《成本稳步下降，屠宰盈利改善—公 司信息更新报告》-2025.4.30 《出栏增长成本稳降，定增落地持续 成 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing a recovery in performance, with a focus on the orderly advancement of non-epidemic vaccine clinical trials. The revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 reached 1.042 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.38%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 161 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.85%. In Q3 alone, revenue was 423 million yuan, up 17.76% year-on-year, and net profit increased significantly by 116.40% year-on-year [2][3] - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 188 million yuan, 352 million yuan, and 508 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.17 yuan, 0.32 yuan, and 0.46 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 65.4, 35.0, and 24.3 times for the respective years [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.042 billion yuan, a 7.38% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 161 million yuan, down 4.85% year-on-year. Q3 revenue was 423 million yuan, up 17.76% year-on-year, with net profit soaring by 116.40% year-on-year [2] - The company forecasts net profits of 188 million yuan in 2025, 352 million yuan in 2026, and 508 million yuan in 2027, with EPS projected at 0.17 yuan, 0.32 yuan, and 0.46 yuan respectively [2][3] Market Position and Growth - The company is expanding its market share in the competitive pig vaccine sector, with Q1-Q3 2025 sales of pig foot-and-mouth disease vaccines increasing by 50% year-on-year. The revenue from non-foot-and-mouth vaccines also saw significant growth, with diarrhea vaccine revenue up 120% year-on-year [3] - Direct sales channels for poultry vaccines showed strong performance, with a 40% year-on-year increase in direct sales revenue. The company is also expanding its international business, with revenue growth exceeding 16 million yuan in Q1-Q3 2025 [3] Research and Development - The company emphasizes stable operations and innovation in R&D, with R&D expenses of 96 million yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, a 9.08% increase year-on-year. The non-epidemic vaccine development is progressing, with the first clinical trial expected to begin by the end of December 2025 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The company achieved a significant year-on-year revenue growth of 83.40% in the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 141.17 billion yuan and a net profit of 32.45 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 324.38% [4] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 50.86 billion yuan, up 78.95% year-on-year and 7.80% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 11.02 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 260.52% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.88% [4] - The company's gross margin improved to 35.19%, up 12.02 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 21.66%, an increase of 10.91 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The report indicates an upward revision of profit expectations for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with projected net profits of 47.90 billion yuan, 80.40 billion yuan, and 103.17 billion yuan respectively [4] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is expected to generate revenue of 206.11 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 92.1% [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 47.90 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 314.9% [7] - The gross margin is expected to reach 36.0% in 2025, while the net margin is projected at 23.2% [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 5.50 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 61.8 [7] Capacity Expansion - As of Q3 2025, the company's construction projects totaled 35.48 billion yuan, a significant increase of 1281% from the beginning of the year [5] - The company is actively expanding production capacity in its facilities located in Huizhou, Thailand, and Vietnam [5] - The upgrade of the first phase of the Thailand factory was completed in March 2025, and production has commenced, with further upgrades nearing completion [5] Technological Advancements - The company possesses advanced technology capabilities in the AI sector, including high-layer PCBs and HDI technology, positioning itself as a leader in the AI computing card and data center markets [6] - The ongoing development of next-generation HDI technology is expected to enhance the company's market share as AI chip requirements evolve [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][6] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 45.97 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.45%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.25 billion yuan, up 43.64% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 16.38 billion yuan, a 3.06% increase year-on-year and a 1.93% increase quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q3 was 1.53 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 90.49% despite a quarter-on-quarter decline of 10.58% [6][7] - The company is a leading player in the domestic vehicle power supply market and is benefiting from the growth of the European new energy vehicle market. The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 7.26 billion, 10.25 billion, and 14.86 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23.5, 16.7, and 11.5 times [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the gross margin was 23.0%, which is stable quarter-on-quarter and up 4.9 percentage points year-on-year. The company’s cash balance was 18.55 billion yuan, with contract liabilities at a historical high of 2.98 billion yuan. The company’s long-term payables exceed receivables, indicating its strong position in the supply chain [6][8] - The financial summary indicates that revenue is expected to grow from 55.23 billion yuan in 2023 to 94.34 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.9%. The net profit is projected to increase from 502 million yuan in 2023 to 1.486 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [10][13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 12.88 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.9%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.42 billion yuan, up 130.6% year-on-year. In Q3 2025 alone, the revenue reached 4.20 billion yuan, a 29.3% increase, while the net profit soared to 440 million yuan, reflecting a staggering growth of 7160.9% [7] - The company's product matrix is expanding, with a significant increase in the sales of high-end products, particularly the "活水洗地" (water washing) products, which accounted for 64% of sales in the last three months of Q3 2025. The company is also successfully penetrating overseas markets, with notable sales growth on platforms like Amazon in the US and Germany [8] - The gross margin improved to 49.7% in Q1-Q3 2025, driven by the higher sales proportion of premium products and cost reductions in the supply chain. The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 10.4%, an increase of 10.3 percentage points year-on-year [9] Financial Summary - For the fiscal years 2023 to 2027, the company is projected to achieve the following: - Revenue growth from 15.5 billion yuan in 2023 to 23.87 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.9% [10] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 612 million yuan in 2023 to 2.32 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant increase [10] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from 1.06 yuan in 2023 to 4.01 yuan in 2027 [10] Market Position - The company's domestic sales for the 科沃斯 brand reached 760 million yuan in Q3 2025, a 122.6% increase, with a market share of 29.7%. The 添可 brand also showed growth, with sales of 630 million yuan, although its market share decreased by 5 percentage points [8] - The company is well-positioned to continue expanding its market share both domestically and internationally, particularly through its high-end product offerings [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue and profit growth, exceeding market expectations, with a long-term positive outlook on its AI and overseas expansion strategies [6][9] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has been raised to 1.915 billion, 2.288 billion, and 2.770 billion yuan respectively, reflecting an optimistic growth trajectory [6] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 73.5, 61.5, and 50.8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.178 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.21%, and a net profit of 1.178 billion yuan, up 13.32% [7] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company reported a revenue of 1.521 billion yuan, representing a 25.33% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 431 million yuan, which is a 35.42% increase [7] - The gross margin for Q3 was 86.46%, an increase of 0.99 percentage points year-on-year, with effective cost control reflected in reduced sales and R&D expense ratios [8] Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing its AI strategy with the launch of WPS AI 3.0 and new features aimed at enhancing user experience, which is expected to drive rapid growth in AI monthly active users [9] - The overseas market is being targeted as a new growth engine, with ongoing improvements in product functionality and operational strategies, leading to a reduction in customer acquisition costs and an increase in overseas user numbers [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has benefited from the domestic substitution trend in high-precision connectors, with significant revenue and profit growth in the first three quarters of 2025. Revenue reached 513 million yuan, up 33.49% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to the parent company was 82 million yuan, up 19.95% year-on-year [1] - The company is expanding into emerging markets such as humanoid robots while maintaining strong growth in industrial control connectors and benefiting from the automotive and new energy sectors [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 513 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.49%, and a net profit of 82 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.95%. The gross profit margin was 39.84%, slightly down by 0.81 percentage points [1] - In Q3 2025, revenue was 176 million yuan, up 22.25% year-on-year but down 8.73% quarter-on-quarter. Net profit for the quarter was 27 million yuan, up 27.68% year-on-year but down 9.56% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 128 million yuan, 155 million yuan, and 185 million yuan respectively, with a slight downward adjustment from previous estimates [1] Business Strategy and Market Position - The company focuses on high-end precision connectors and is leveraging opportunities in the new energy and electric vehicle markets, aiming for a diversified business layout [2] - The company has established a strong technical barrier in high-precision connectors, with over 50,000 mass production part numbers and 100,000 reserved part numbers, allowing for quick responses to customer needs in emerging fields [3] - The company is actively expanding into new sectors such as humanoid robots and data centers, with a comprehensive business layout covering various types of robots [3] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 39.6, 32.7, and 27.3 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4] - The company's revenue is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 653 million yuan in 2025, 768 million yuan in 2026, and 955 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report expresses a strong outlook on the company's long-term development, maintaining the "Buy" rating due to significant cost reduction and efficiency improvements. The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised to 542 million, 674 million, and 828 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.28, 1.60, and 1.96 yuan per share. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 87.9, 70.7, and 57.5 for 2025-2027 [5] - The company has shown a substantial narrowing of losses in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit of -80.56 million yuan, a year-on-year reduction of 86.10%. The operating cash flow has significantly improved, reaching 12.99 million yuan [6] - In Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 2.116 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.86%, and a net profit of 147 million yuan, reflecting a remarkable growth of 1097.40% [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 5.125 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.62%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -80.56 million yuan, with a significant reduction in losses [6] - The Q3 revenue growth is attributed to the ongoing development of domestic innovation and the cloud computing and IT infrastructure sectors, which are experiencing rapid growth [7] - The company's gross margin for Q3 was 59.29%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.28 percentage points. The sales expense ratio, management expense ratio, and R&D expense ratio have all decreased, indicating improved management and operational efficiency [7] Strategic Developments - The company has fully upgraded its cloud services to AI, providing new generation hyper-converged solutions that enhance inference performance and reduce overall costs for large model applications [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance remained stable on a quarter-on-quarter basis, and there is optimism regarding its long-term growth potential [4][5] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 144.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.29%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.16 billion yuan, down 17.45% year-on-year [4] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 53.32 billion yuan, an increase of 5.52% year-on-year and 11.48% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 3.03 billion yuan, up 3.96% year-on-year but down 0.20% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the chemical sector and the improvement in product profitability, leading to future earnings growth [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 12.59 billion yuan, 16.15 billion yuan, and 18.12 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to EPS of 4.02 yuan, 5.16 yuan, and 5.79 yuan [4][8] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 15.5, 12.1, and 10.8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][8] Business Segment Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported sales volumes of 1.55 million tons for polyurethane, 1.75 million tons for petrochemicals, and 0.65 million tons for fine chemicals, with year-on-year increases of 9.93%, 32.58%, and 30.00% respectively [5] - The overall price trend for polyurethane products showed fluctuations, while the price levels for petrochemical products decreased year-on-year [5] Strategic Developments - The company successfully launched multiple new facilities in the first three quarters of 2025, continuing to expand its market presence and applications globally [6] - Significant advancements in R&D have been made, including successful commercialization of various products and technologies, which are expected to enhance the company's long-term growth capabilities [6]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Industrial enterprise profits are recovering at an accelerated pace, with the cumulative year - on - year growth of profits of industrial enterprises above designated size significantly increasing. The profit growth rate in September continued to be high, indicating an accelerated recovery of corporate profitability [4]. - Structurally, the year - on - year total profits of the three major sectors have all increased compared to the previous period, and the equipment manufacturing industry has provided strong support. Profits of enterprises of different types and scales have improved [5][6]. - In the bond market, it showed an independent trend on the day of the report. The central bank will resume open - market treasury bond trading. In the context of economic expectation correction, bond yields are expected to rise trend - wise [7][8]. 3. Section Summaries Industrial Enterprise Profit Situation - **Overall Profit Growth**: From January to September, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 3.2% year - on - year, 2.3 percentage points higher than that from January to August, reaching the highest cumulative growth rate since August 2024. In September, the profits increased by 21.6% year - on - year, 1.2 percentage points higher than in August [4]. - **Factor Analysis**: From January to September, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.2% year - on - year, remaining the same as from January to August; the PPI of all industrial products decreased by 2.8% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points; the operating income profit margin decreased by 0.19 percentage points year - on - year, with the decline recovering by 1.68 percentage points. Stable volume, slightly rising prices, and recovering profit margins led to a significant increase in the cumulative profits of industrial enterprises above designated size [5]. Structural Analysis - **By Sector**: From January to September, the total profits of the mining industry decreased by 29.3% year - on - year (previously - 30.6%), the manufacturing industry increased by 9.9% (previously + 7.4%), and the public utilities increased by 10.3% (previously + 9.4%). The profit decline of the mining industry narrowed by 1.3 percentage points, the manufacturing industry increased by 2.5 percentage points, and the public utilities increased by 0.9 percentage points. The profits of the equipment manufacturing industry above designated size increased by 9.4%, 6.2 percentage points higher than the average level of all industrial enterprises above designated size, driving the profit growth of all industrial enterprises above designated size by 3.4 percentage points [5]. - **By Enterprise Nature**: From January to September, the profits of state - owned enterprises decreased by 0.3% year - on - year (previously - 1.7%), joint - stock enterprises increased by 2.8% (previously + 1.1%), foreign - invested and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan - invested enterprises increased by 4.9% (previously + 0.9%), and private enterprises increased by 5.1% (previously + 3.3%). The profit growth of private enterprises was 1.9 percentage points higher than the average level of all industrial enterprises above designated size, and 1.8 percentage points faster than from January to August. The profits of large, medium, and small enterprises all improved [6]. - **By Industrial Chain Position**: From January to September, the cumulative profit of upstream raw material mining accounted for 11.9% of the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size (previously 12.1%), the middle - stream material manufacturing accounted for 15.8% (previously 15.6%), the downstream equipment manufacturing accounted for 38.1% (previously 37.5%), the downstream consumer goods manufacturing accounted for 21.1% (previously 21.3%), other manufacturing accounted for 0.6% (unchanged), and public utilities accounted for 12.5% (previously 12.9%) [6]. Inventory and Asset - Liability Ratio - At the end of September, the nominal and real inventory year - on - year were 2.6% (previously + 2.1%) and 4.9% (previously + 5.0%) respectively, with changes of + 0.5 percentage points and - 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous period. The real inventory decreased year - on - year. The overall asset - liability ratio of industrial enterprises at the end of September was 58.0%, the same as the previous period [7]. Bond Market Situation - **Market Performance**: In the morning session, bond yields rose, possibly pricing in the positive outcome of China - US negotiations. Although the equity market performed well during the day, it did not suppress the bond market. The bond market showed an independent trend, and the yields of interest - rate bonds generally declined. After the central bank's statement on resuming open - market treasury bond trading, long - term yields dropped rapidly. The yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond dropped by about 3bp, and the yields of the 10 - year CDB active bond and the 30 - year treasury bond active bond dropped by about 4bp [7]. - **Market Outlook**: In the context of economic expectation correction, bond yields are expected to rise trend - wise. The report maintains its view on stock - bond allocation [8].