Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the industry [6] Core Insights - Huawei's root technology is developing continuously, establishing a solid foundation for the domestic technology industry in AI computing and operating systems. The "pure-blood HarmonyOS" and its ecosystem are expanding, with PCs expected to become the next "main battlefield" [4][19] - The domestic AI computing sector is in a rapid development phase, with computing power construction becoming a new important domestic demand. Ascend is expected to become the "main force" in domestic computing power due to its technological and ecological advantages [4][19] Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of May 5-9, the CSI 300 index rose by 2%, the SME index increased by 1.49%, and the ChiNext index grew by 3.27%. The computer sector (CITIC) saw a rise of 1.94% [36] Industry News - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasized accelerating the mastery of key root technologies and enhancing the performance and level of central enterprises' foundational large models [27] - The China Computing Power Platform (Shanghai) education section and Shanghai Education Intelligent Computing Service Platform were officially launched [31] Company News - Zhaoyi Information announced a restricted stock incentive plan on May 8, proposing to grant 4 million shares, accounting for 3.30% of the total share capital [32] - Highweida reported a share reduction by a major shareholder, with 4.4 million shares sold at an average price of 14.05 yuan per share [33] Weekly Insights - The HarmonyOS is making significant strides, with the Harmony computer officially unveiled, marking a breakthrough in the personal computer sector. The ecosystem has surpassed 1 billion devices, with 7.2 million registered developers and over 110 million lines of code [11][12] - The Ascend AI cloud service has been optimized to support over 160 third-party large models, indicating its capability to provide reliable training and inference support for various applications [21][22] Investment Recommendations - Key companies to focus on in the HarmonyOS ecosystem include Softcom Power, China Software International, Dream Network Technology, Newland, and others. For Ascend, attention should be on companies like iFlytek, Softcom Power, China Great Wall, and others [4][26]

煤炭周报 资料来源：Wind，民生证券研究院预测;（注：股价为 2025 年 5 月 9 日收盘价） 推荐 维持评级 [Table_Author] 分析师 周泰 执业证书： S0100521110009 节后市场短期调整，煤价筑底逻辑未变 2025 年 05 月 10 日 ➢ 假期港口累库，需求淡季下煤价短期调整，筑底逻辑未变。关税冲突以来， 实体用电需求下降，叠加电煤淡季和五一假期影响，电厂日耗同环比下降，同时 伴随大秦线检修结束，假期期间日运量已恢复至 120 万吨水平，港口加速累库， 终端库存较高且采购意愿偏弱，在此影响下，节后煤价向下调整，5 月 9 日报收 635 元/吨。展望后市，电煤需求仍弱势运行，非电化工耗煤需求近两周环比增幅 明显，持续性有待观察，因目前港口库存高企，煤价向上动力不足；但同时供给 端来看，持续跌价压力或通过市场机制倒逼高成本煤矿减产，4 月我国煤炭进口 量同环比分别减少 743/91 万吨，当前进口煤仍倒挂较多，预计后续进口量或延 续下滑趋势，现货价和长协价持续倒挂下，港口长协合理区间下限 570 元/吨的 价格也将对现货煤价形成支撑，因此煤价下行压力亦有限。当前港口供需矛盾 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the 3D vision sector, particularly highlighting the leading company, Orbbec [5][8]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the significant potential of 3D vision technology across various industries, including industrial automation, logistics, consumer electronics, and biometric recognition [2][4]. - It discusses the advantages of 3D point cloud data in enhancing spatial reasoning capabilities and improving task success rates for robots, outperforming traditional 2D methods [3][72]. - The report identifies key applications of 3D vision technology, such as high-precision scanning, intelligent robotics, smart logistics, and biometric identification [50][58][69]. Summary by Sections 1. Commercial Applications - 3D vision technology is crucial for industrial automation, enabling precise object recognition and manipulation [58]. - The technology is widely applied in high-precision scanning for quality control in manufacturing [50]. 2. 3D Vision Algorithms - 3D point cloud data enhances robots' spatial reasoning and task success rates, demonstrating superior performance compared to RGB and RGB-D methods [3][72]. - The report highlights the importance of 3D sensors in improving robots' perception and decision-making capabilities [4][5]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the 3D vision field, particularly Orbbec, due to their innovative technologies and market position [5][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the 3D vision sector, particularly highlighting the leading company, Orbbec [5][8]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the significant potential of 3D vision technology across various industries, including industrial automation, logistics, and consumer electronics, driven by advancements in 3D visual algorithms and sensor technologies [2][4]. - 3D point cloud data enhances spatial reasoning capabilities and task success rates for robots, outperforming traditional 2D methods in various applications [3][72]. - The integration of 3D vision in robotics allows for precise object recognition and manipulation, improving operational efficiency and safety in complex environments [58][64]. Summary by Sections 1. Commercial Applications - 3D Vision Principles and Use Cases - 3D vision is a multidisciplinary field that enables machines to understand and process information in three-dimensional space [10]. - Key tasks include 3D reconstruction, pose estimation, and 3D understanding, which are essential for various applications [11][12][13]. 2. 3D Vision Algorithms - 3D point cloud data provides multiple advantages in robotic models, enhancing spatial reasoning and task success rates [3][72]. - The report discusses the application of 3D sensors and algorithms, highlighting the importance of high-precision data acquisition in robotics [4][5]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the 3D vision field, particularly Orbbec, due to their innovative technologies and market positioning [5][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 16.301 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.44%, and a net profit of 1.356 billion yuan, up 166.50% year-on-year [1]. - The ASP (Average Selling Price) faced short-term pressure, with a Q1 2025 ASP of $933.25 per 8-inch wafer, down 8.95% quarter-on-quarter, but is expected to recover in the second half of the year [2]. - The company’s monthly production capacity for 8-inch wafers reached 973,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 19.47%, with a capacity utilization rate of 89.6%, up 8.8 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The revenue from consumer electronics increased to 40.6% of total revenue, while the automotive sector's revenue share rose to 9.6% [3]. - The company’s advanced process profitability is gradually being released, with minority shareholder profit significantly improving compared to the previous year [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 16.301 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 23.10%, up 8.91 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 14.24%, up 10.67 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s capital expenditure for Q1 2025 was 10.157 billion yuan, indicating continued strong investment [2]. Market Dynamics - The company’s revenue structure is shifting towards high-end products, with 12-inch products accounting for 78.1% of total revenue, up 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The revenue share from the Chinese market increased to 84.3%, benefiting from local supply chain trends, while the shares from the US and Eurasia decreased [3]. Future Outlook - The report projects a slight adjustment in net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 66.407 billion yuan, 75.903 billion yuan, and 86.226 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 134, 103, and 91 [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company is a rare integrated supply chain solution provider in the industry, with a solid foundation in comprehensive logistics services and the semiconductor logistics equipment and automation business expected to become a second growth driver [4][3]. - The company has a strong customer base, primarily serving leading manufacturers in the consumer electronics and new energy vehicle sectors, which contributes to revenue stability and growth potential [1][51]. - The company has demonstrated operational resilience, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.3% in revenue from 2020 to 2024, despite facing challenges in 2024 [2][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Integrated Supply Chain Solution Provider - The company provides comprehensive logistics solutions, including transportation, warehousing, customs, and value-added services, focusing on manufacturing logistics [11]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with the actual controller holding 42.9% of the shares [16]. - The company has shown an upward recovery in profitability, with gross and net profit margins improving in 2024 [2][26]. 2. Rare Cross-Field Logistics Solution Capability - The company has a strong ability to replicate its business model across different industries, primarily focusing on consumer electronics and new energy vehicles [51]. - The demand from downstream industries remains robust, with strong customer relationships enhancing revenue flexibility [57][58]. 3. Semiconductor AMHS Business Layout - The company has prioritized research and development in automation and artificial intelligence, enhancing its capabilities in the semiconductor AMHS market [72]. - The AMHS market presents significant growth potential, with a low domestic penetration rate of 5% as of 2023 [79][80]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.83 billion, 2.01 billion, and 2.22 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 331 million, 377 million, and 424 million yuan respectively [5][4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 15, 13, and 12 for the years 2025 to 2027 [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company is a rare integrated supply chain solution provider in the industry, with a solid foundation in comprehensive logistics services and the semiconductor logistics equipment and automation business expected to become a second growth driver [4][3]. - The company has a strong customer base, primarily serving leading manufacturers in key industries such as consumer electronics and new energy vehicles, which enhances revenue resilience [1][2]. - The company is expanding its business into the semiconductor AMHS sector, which presents significant growth potential due to the increasing demand for automation in production processes [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Integrated Logistics Solution Provider - The company provides comprehensive production logistics solutions, integrating transportation, warehousing, customs, and other value-added services [11]. - The company has established a stable shareholding structure, with the actual controller holding 42.9% of the shares [16]. - The company's profitability has shown upward recovery, reflecting strong operational resilience, with a projected revenue CAGR of 11.3% from 2020 to 2024 [21][23]. 2. Rare Cross-Industry Logistics Solution Capability - The company focuses on key industries such as consumer electronics and new energy vehicles, providing tailored logistics solutions to numerous industry leaders [51]. - The company has a strong customer stickiness, with significant revenue contributions from major clients like Lenovo, which reported a 21.06% year-on-year revenue growth in FY2025Q1-3 [57][58]. 3. Semiconductor AMHS Business Layout - The company has acquired Kunshan Mengli to expand into the semiconductor AMHS market, enhancing its capabilities in logistics automation [3][72]. - The AMHS market is expected to grow significantly, with a current domestic localization rate of only 5%, indicating substantial potential for domestic replacement [79][80]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.83 billion, 2.01 billion, and 2.20 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 330 million, 380 million, and 420 million yuan [5][4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 15, 13, and 12 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the express delivery sector, suggesting that it is currently undervalued and highlighting the growth potential driven by the e-commerce market and new demands in lower-tier markets [61]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry shows strong growth resilience, with a year-on-year increase of 21.6% in business volume for Q1 2025 and a 13.8% increase in total revenue for 2024, reaching 1.4 trillion yuan [1][21]. - Major companies in the sector, including Zhongtong and Shentong, have demonstrated solid revenue growth, with Shentong achieving a remarkable 205% increase in net profit for 2024 [2][34]. - The market share of Zhongtong remains dominant at 19.6% in 2024, leading the sector by a margin of 4.2 percentage points over its closest competitor [2][31]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The express delivery business volume in 2024 reached 1.758 billion pieces, a 21.5% increase year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw 451.4 million pieces, marking a 21.6% increase [11][1]. - The average price per ticket in the express delivery industry faced slight pressure, decreasing by 14.2% in 2024 and 7.7% in Q1 2025 [25][21]. Performance Overview - All major express delivery companies reported steady growth in both business volume and revenue, with Shentong leading in growth rates at 29.8% for 2024 [2][28]. - In terms of revenue, major players like Shunfeng, Shentong, and Yunda achieved revenues of 2.844 billion, 471.7 million, and 485.4 million yuan respectively in 2024, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.1%, 15.3%, and 7.9% [34][36]. Asset Layout - Zhongtong possesses the largest fleet of self-owned vehicles and sorting equipment, with over 10,000 self-owned trucks and 95 sorting centers as of 2024 [3][56]. - Capital expenditures for 2024 show an increase for Shentong and Yunda, while Zhongtong, Yunda, and Shunfeng have slowed their capital spending [3][58]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading e-commerce express delivery companies such as Zhongtong, Yunda, Shentong, and Jitu Express, as well as logistics leader Shunfeng, due to the expected recovery in demand in the mid-to-high-end express market [61][62].

Export Data Analysis - In April 2025, China's exports increased by 8.1% year-on-year, surpassing the expected 2.0% and previous value of 12.4%[3] - Exports to ASEAN rose significantly by 9.2 percentage points to 20.8%, contributing nearly half to total exports[3] - Exports of integrated circuits surged by 12.3% year-on-year to 20.2%, benefiting from tariff exemption policies[4] Import Data Insights - Imports in April 2025 decreased slightly by 0.2%, outperforming the expected decline of 6.0%[3] - Imports from Hong Kong increased by 41.3% year-on-year, highlighting its role as a key import hub[5] - For the first time in seven months, imports from Latin America turned positive, indicating a shift in trade patterns[5] Trade Tensions and Future Outlook - Exports to the U.S. plummeted by 21% year-on-year, reflecting the impact of high tariffs and trade tensions[4] - The global manufacturing PMI fell back into contraction territory, indicating a slowdown in global trade activity[4] - Three scenarios for future export trends were outlined, with a potential decline of 4.3% if current tariffs remain unchanged[7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the semiconductor and AI sectors, including 中芯国际 (SMIC), 海光信息 (Haiguang), and others, indicating strong growth potential in the domestic AI and computing landscape [5][6]. Core Insights - The domestic AI landscape is witnessing significant advancements with the emergence of models like 豆包 (Doubao) and DeepSeek, which are leading the charge in multi-modal and lightweight AI model development, respectively [1][2]. - The report highlights a shift towards domestic computing power solutions, with chip manufacturers rapidly adapting to the evolving AI ecosystem, particularly through advancements in semiconductor processes and AI training capabilities [2][3]. - There is a notable increase in capital expenditure among cloud computing firms, driven by the rising demand for AI computing infrastructure, which is expected to lead to a "volume and price rise" scenario in the cloud computing market [3][4]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Breakthroughs in Domestic AI Models - 豆包 has emerged as a leading multi-modal model, enhancing capabilities in speech, image, and code processing, with a significant release of its visual understanding model in December 2024 [1][11]. - DeepSeek focuses on lightweight model upgrades, achieving a remarkable cost-performance ratio with its DeepSeek-V3 model, which has 671 billion total parameters and costs only 557.6 million USD, positioning it among the world's top models [1][12]. - The rapid iteration of domestic models, including updates from 通义千问 and others, reflects a competitive landscape that is accelerating the development of AI applications [1][34]. Section 2: Advancements in Domestic Computing Power - 中芯国际 is advancing its semiconductor processes, with N+1 and N+2 technologies being developed to support the growing demand for AI chips, achieving significant performance improvements [2][56]. - The report notes that the domestic chip industry is evolving, with companies like 昇腾 (Ascend) and others making strides in AI training and inference capabilities, thereby reducing reliance on international competitors [2][59]. - The cloud computing sector is experiencing a capital expenditure boom, with companies like 华勤 and 浪潮 rapidly deploying servers that are compatible with domestic computing power solutions [3][4]. Section 3: Infrastructure and Supply Chain Developments - The report emphasizes the need for enhanced computing infrastructure to meet the surging demand for AI applications, with significant investments being made in server and power supply innovations [3][4]. - Innovations in power supply and cooling systems, particularly the shift from traditional air cooling to liquid cooling, are becoming essential to support the increasing power density in data centers [4]. - The report identifies key players in the supply chain, including companies in power supply, cooling, and server manufacturing, that are poised to benefit from the growth of the AI and computing sectors [5].