Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the rare earth industry, highlighting investment opportunities driven by demand growth and price increases [4]. Core Insights - China holds the largest rare earth reserves globally, with 44 million tons, accounting for 38% of the world's total [4][16]. - The demand for high-performance rare earth permanent magnets is expected to grow significantly, particularly in the automotive and consumer electronics sectors [4]. - The report emphasizes the leading position of Chinese companies in the rare earth permanent magnet industry, with a focus on companies like Northern Rare Earth, China Rare Earth, and Shenghe Resources [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Global Supply of Rare Earth Resources - China is the largest supplier of rare earths, with a well-established separation industry and significant technological advantages [27]. - The report outlines the increasing production and export quotas for rare earths in China, with a total quota of 270,000 tons for 2024, including 250,000 tons of light rare earths [27]. 2. Definition and Global Distribution of Rare Earths - Rare earths consist of 17 elements, including 15 lanthanides, yttrium, and scandium, with significant reserves found in China, Brazil, and the USA [16][20]. 3. Production and Export of Rare Earths in China - Major companies in China include Northern Rare Earth and Shenghe Resources, with production figures for 2024 indicating substantial output in various rare earth products [30][37]. - China exported 123,000 tons of rare earth products in 2024, with a total export value of 25.6 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.7% year-on-year increase [37]. 4. Overseas Supply of Rare Earths - The report discusses the increasing production of rare earths in the USA and Australia, with significant developments in the Mountain Pass mine and Lynas Corporation's operations [40][48]. 5. Rare Earth Prices - Current prices for key rare earth products are reported to be reasonable, with potential for further increases, particularly for praseodymium-neodymium oxide and dysprosium oxide [64]. 6. Rare Earth Permanent Magnet Industry - The report highlights the growing demand for rare earth permanent magnets in various applications, including electric vehicles and consumer electronics, with production expected to exceed 250,000 tons in 2024 [88]. 7. Key Companies in the Rare Earth Sector - Northern Rare Earth is identified as a leading player with significant production capacity and a focus on high-end magnetic materials [123]. - China Rare Earth is noted for its comprehensive industry chain, covering resource development to deep processing [127]. - Shenghe Resources is recognized for its overseas resource layout and strategic partnerships [138].

- The report constructs an industry crowding monitoring model to monitor the crowding degree of Shenwan first-level industry indices on a daily basis[4] - The ETF product screening signal model is built using the premium rate Z-score model, which provides potential arbitrage opportunities through rolling calculations[5] Model Construction and Evaluation 1. **Industry Crowding Monitoring Model** - **Construction Idea**: Monitor the crowding degree of Shenwan first-level industry indices daily[4] - **Construction Process**: The model calculates the crowding degree of each industry index based on the daily trading data and ranks them accordingly[4] - **Evaluation**: The model effectively identifies industries with high and low crowding degrees, providing valuable insights for investment decisions[4] 2. **Premium Rate Z-score Model** - **Construction Idea**: Identify potential arbitrage opportunities in ETF products by calculating the Z-score of their premium rates[5] - **Construction Process**: - Calculate the premium rate of each ETF product - Compute the Z-score of the premium rate using the formula: $ Z = \frac{(X - \mu)}{\sigma} $ where \( X \) is the premium rate, \( \mu \) is the mean premium rate, and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation of the premium rate[5] - **Evaluation**: The model helps in identifying ETF products with significant deviations from their average premium rates, indicating potential arbitrage opportunities[5] Model Backtesting Results 1. **Industry Crowding Monitoring Model** - **Top Crowded Industries**: Pharmaceuticals, Steel, Building Materials[4] - **Least Crowded Industries**: Automobiles, Home Appliances[4] 2. **Premium Rate Z-score Model** - **Top Potential Arbitrage Opportunities**: Identified through rolling calculations, specific ETF products are not listed in the provided content[5]

Economic Performance - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, exceeding the 5% target, driven by effective domestic demand policies and optimized export structures[3] - The meeting acknowledged the current economic operation as stable with progress, while also recognizing ongoing risks and challenges[4] Policy Direction - The government will maintain a "steady progress" approach, emphasizing stability in employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations[4] - Fiscal policy will continue to be "more proactive," with a focus on accelerating government bond issuance and improving fund utilization efficiency[4] - Monetary policy will emphasize "appropriate easing," ensuring ample liquidity and supporting sectors like technology innovation and small enterprises[4] Consumption and Investment - The meeting highlighted the importance of boosting consumption and expanding effective investment, particularly in service consumption and high-quality infrastructure projects[5] - Policies will be directed towards enhancing service consumption and stimulating private investment, with a focus on quality and effectiveness[5] Real Estate Market - The real estate market is transitioning from rapid growth to stable development, with a focus on improving existing stock rather than expanding new supply[8] - The government aims to support urban renewal and the transformation of old neighborhoods, with a target of 1 million units for renovation projects[9][10] Debt Management - There is a commitment to actively and prudently manage local government debt risks, with strict controls on new hidden debts and a focus on clearing local financing platforms[5] - The meeting emphasized the need for effective measures to mitigate local government debt pressures while ensuring orderly progress[5] Capital Market Stability - The government aims to enhance the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market, reinforcing the positive momentum observed in recent market performance[5]

Group 1: Pharmaceutical Industry - Warner Pharmaceuticals (688799.SH) has a significant competitive advantage in the bismuth agent segment of the digestive field; the new antidepressant ZG-001 is expected to exceed a peak value of 3.5 billion yuan; ZG-001 is anticipated to iterate on esketamine and has potential for international expansion [2][3] Group 2: New Energy Industry - Putailai (603659.SH) is expected to see a gradual bottom reversal in its lithium battery anode performance; the company’s CVD-deposited silicon-carbon anode has secured small-scale production orders, with Anhui Zicheng planning to commence production in Q2 2025, which is expected to gradually expand in the consumer electronics and drone sectors; the company’s advantages in separators and profitability are expected to continue improving [3] Group 3: Banking Industry - Postal Savings Bank (601658.SH) has seen its controlling shareholder increase holdings to stabilize stock prices; the bank is establishing a company to layout in technology finance, and it offers high dividends while its stock price is overall at a low level [4]

Group 1: Market Overview - The report indicates that the stock market is expected to continue its upward trend despite recent adjustments, with the A-share financing ratio reaching 10%, indicating overheated speculative sentiment [5][20][24] - The U.S. stock market is projected to reach new highs as trade agreements with major economies are expected to boost risk appetite and profit expectations [26][28] - The report highlights that the bond market is anticipated to experience fluctuations, with a downward trend expected after recent gains [4][10][17] Group 2: Sector Performance - The report notes that sectors such as film and television, and oil and gas development are leading the market, while previously strong sectors like batteries and electronics are experiencing declines [21] - The commodity market is showing signs of recovery, with the Wenhua Commodity Index rising by 0.83%, although some commodities are experiencing price divergence [34][37] Group 3: Policy and Economic Indicators - The report emphasizes the importance of ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations and domestic policies aimed at stabilizing growth and reducing competition in key industries [9][38] - It mentions that the Central Political Bureau has set a dual expansion policy for fiscal and monetary measures to support economic recovery [38]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the trading logic is driven by improved profit expectations rather than reality, with average weekly trading volume in the stock market rising from approximately 1.5 trillion to over 1.8 trillion since the end of June, although a marginal weakening was observed last week [1][12] - The "anti-involution" and "Yajiang" phenomena have boosted trading sentiment, enhancing risk appetite from both supply and demand sides, with the market preemptively trading on future profit improvements [1][12] - Economic pressures are expected to increase in the second half of the year, with the A-share market potentially exhibiting a seesaw effect in August and September, making monetary policy a key timing consideration for the third quarter [1][12] Group 2 - The first phase of "anti-involution" is ongoing, with a return to the essence of distribution and demand expected after the initial heat subsides. The first phase focuses on cyclical trading, influenced by supply-side reforms since 2016, which have altered market perceptions of excessive competition in related industries [2][13] - The essence of "anti-involution" is to break the vicious cycle of "low price → reduced quality → internal competition" based on improved production efficiency from supply-side reforms, aiming for sustainable development through fair distribution [2][13] - Industry allocation is categorized over time, starting with cyclical expansion (currently favoring specialized chemicals), followed by emerging industries (solar energy, automotive, lithium batteries), then social welfare (education, healthcare, childbirth), and finally consumption [2][13] Group 3 - The report highlights ongoing challenges such as deflation, weak profits, and poor demand, with the timing of monetary policy easing being crucial for sustaining the stock market in the second half of the year [3][14] - The GDP deflator index has been in negative territory for nine consecutive quarters, indicating deflationary pressure, although the second quarter GDP growth exceeded 5% due to a low base [3][14] - The overall pre-announcement rate for A-share companies is only 44%, with net profit growth declining compared to Q1, reflecting that the profit side is still stabilizing at a low point [3][14] Group 4 - Key upcoming dates include August 12 for tariffs, August 22 for the last special treasury bond issuance of the year, and the political bureau meeting in September or October, which will influence policy timing based on economic data strength [4][20] - The report suggests that after taking profits in the steel sector, attention should shift to the first phase of "anti-involution" expansion, particularly in specialized chemicals [4][20] - The anticipated resolution of trade negotiations in the third quarter is expected to gradually materialize, with tariffs having a moderate impact on inflation, and profit expectations and risk appetite likely to continue driving risk assets upward [4][22] Group 5 - The report emphasizes that the resolution of trade negotiations will temporarily boost market risk appetite, but this focus will gradually fade in future trading [6][23] - The impact of tariffs on inflation at the consumer level is expected to be relatively limited, as businesses may absorb most of the tariff costs, with wholesale and retail profit margins declining [7][29] - Despite a significant nominal retail sales increase in June, actual retail sales growth remains weak, indicating that rising prices are suppressing consumption volume growth [7][30] Group 6 - The strategy recommends continuing to go long on US stocks and maintaining a strategic bullish outlook on the US dollar, while holding a bearish steep view on US bonds [8][36] - The report suggests that the Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to act, as inflation and employment data do not present immediate risks, allowing for a wait-and-see approach [8][36] - The anticipated limited impact of tariffs on inflation and the significant political pressure on the Federal Reserve suggest that there may only be one rate cut throughout the year [8][36]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment ratings for the industry segments mentioned [2]. Core Insights - The overall strategy for the industry emphasizes the continuous development of New Energy and AI, with expectations for upstream and downstream sectors to resonate positively due to supply-side reforms [3][4]. - The new cycle for the mid and downstream sectors of the electric vehicle industry has begun, benefiting leading companies like CATL and Hunan Youneng [4]. - Solid-state batteries are highlighted as a major theme in lithium batteries, with companies like Funeng Technology and Xiamen Tungsten benefiting from accelerated adoption by automakers [4]. - The solar and storage industry is expected to gradually confirm a mid-term bottom, with supply-side reforms and the establishment of long-term mechanisms being crucial [5]. - The integration of AI with new energy and wind power industries is noted, with companies like Zhejiang Rongtai and Keda Li benefiting from the deployment of humanoid robots [6]. Summary by Sections New Energy and AI - Continuous efforts in New Energy and AI are expected to drive growth, with increased attention on AI applications in battery data and AI glasses [3][9]. - The launch of the world's first Tesla restaurant featuring humanoid robots marks a significant step in the integration of AI in everyday applications [9]. Electric Vehicle Industry - The recent government meeting emphasized the need to regulate competition in the electric vehicle industry, which may benefit leading companies [4]. - Hunan Youneng plans to invest in a lithium battery cathode material project in Malaysia, indicating a strong commitment to expanding production capacity [4]. Solid-State Battery Development - SAIC Motor is set to launch a model equipped with a semi-solid-state battery, marking a significant advancement in battery technology [4]. - Funeng Technology is expected to complete a pilot line for solid-state batteries by the end of the year, with plans to scale production significantly by 2026 [4]. Solar and Storage Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is pushing for capacity monitoring and industry self-discipline, which is expected to benefit companies like Longi and GCL-Poly [5]. - The establishment of a long-term mechanism for solar and storage demand is anticipated to gradually improve market conditions [5]. AI Integration - The deployment of humanoid robots in various sectors, including the food service industry, is gaining traction, with companies like Youbixuan leading the way [6][9]. - The upcoming release of AI smart glasses by Alibaba and Huawei is expected to catalyze market interest in AI applications [9].

Investment Rating - The overall industry investment rating is "Positive" [48] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the impact of anti-involution policies on capacity regulation, which is beneficial for the livestock industry [6][22] - The agricultural sector has shown strong performance, with the agricultural index rising by 3.61% compared to the broader market indices [27] - The report highlights the long-term investment value of companies in the livestock sector, as their valuations are at historical lows [23] Summary by Relevant Sections Livestock Industry - **Swine**: The national average price for live pigs is 14.12 CNY/kg, down 0.15 CNY from last week. The average price for 15 kg piglets is 33.86 CNY/kg, down 0.17 CNY [6][22] - **Poultry**: The average price for white feather broilers is 3.35 CNY/lb, up 0.15 CNY from last week. The average price for white chickens is 13.7 CNY/kg, up 0.3 CNY [9][22] - **Yellow Chickens**: The average price for yellow chickens is 9.79 CNY/kg, down 0.88 CNY from last month. The industry is experiencing a rise in production capacity [10][25] - **Animal Health**: The animal health industry is recovering from a low point, with significant performance improvements noted in major companies [11][25] Planting Industry - **Seed Industry**: Policies are continuously improving, and the commercialization of genetically modified technology is accelerating, which is expected to boost sales and prices for quality seed companies [12][26] - **Planting**: Grain prices are experiencing short-term adjustments, with corn averaging 2441 CNY/ton, down 10 CNY from last week, while wheat is at 2442 CNY/ton, up 1 CNY [13][26] Recommended Companies - **Buy Ratings**: - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. [4] - Muyuan Foods [4] - Suqian Agricultural Development [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the public offering REITs market fluctuated and declined, but the trading volume increased. The indexes of property - type and franchise - type public offering REITs both decreased, with only the park infrastructure - type REITs showing a slight increase and the municipal facilities - type having the highest decline. - As of July 25, 2025, a total of 73 public offering REITs have been issued, with a total issuance scale of 191 billion yuan. 14 new public offering REITs have been issued in 2025, and 4 were newly issued in July 2025, with a total scale of 12.5 billion yuan. Additionally, 26 public offering REITs funds are waiting to be listed. - The market is expected to continue to expand, and its activity is expected to further increase. In the context of an asset shortage, public offering REITs have the advantages of high dividends and medium - low risks, with a relatively high cost - performance ratio for allocation [2][4][35]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Secondary Market: This Week, the Public Offering REITs Market Fluctuated and Declined - Index Performance: As of July 25, 2025, the China Securities REITs Index decreased by 1.79% to 860.11 compared with last week, and the China Securities REITs Total Return Index decreased by 1.56% to 1087.36. The indexes of property - type and franchise - type public offering REITs decreased by 1.48% and 2.23% respectively. Among property - type public offering REITs, only park infrastructure - type REITs increased by 3.72%, while others declined, with the municipal facilities - type, water conservancy facilities - type, and other types having different degrees of decline [9][14]. - Trading Volume and Turnover: The total trading volume of the REITs market this week was 741 million shares, a 31.85% increase from last week, and the trading amount was 3.348 billion yuan, a 35.11% increase. The turnover rate of the REITs market this week was 3.62%, compared with 2.77% last week. The trading amounts and turnover rates of most types of public offering REITs increased [10]. - Individual Product Performance: Among the 69 public offering REITs (excluding the 1 newly listed this week), 9 rose and 59 fell. The top gainers included Boshi Jinkai Science and Industry Park REIT, China Merchants Science and Technology Incubator REIT, etc., while the top losers included CITIC Construction Investment Mingyang Smart New Energy REIT, ICBC Inner Mongolia Energy Clean Energy REIT, etc [22]. 3.2 Primary Market: 26 Public Offering REITs Funds are Waiting to be Listed - Issuance Situation: As of July 25, 2025, a total of 73 public offering REITs have been issued, with a total issuance scale of 191 billion yuan. In 2024, 29 REITs were issued, with a total scale of 64.6 billion yuan. In 2025, 14 public offering REITs have been issued, and 4 were newly issued in July 2025, with a total scale of 12.5 billion yuan [27]. - Upcoming Listings: There are 26 public offering REITs funds waiting to be listed, including 15 for initial offerings and 11 for expansion and fundraising. In terms of project status, 10 have passed, 11 have been feedbacked, 4 have been questioned, and 1 has been declared [29]. 3.3 Public Offering REITs Policies and Market Dynamics - Dividend: E Fund Shenzhen Expressway REIT made its first dividend in 2025, with a distribution of 1.937 yuan per 10 shares. The available distribution amount of this public offering REITs was 58.1293 million yuan, and the proposed distribution amount was 58.11 million yuan, accounting for 99.97% of the available distribution amount as of March 31, 2025 [33]. - New Listing: On July 22, the first follow - on issuance infrastructure - type REITs in Inner Mongolia was successfully launched, with a scale of 2.992 billion yuan [34]. 3.4 Investment Suggestions - Market Trend: This week, the REITs index fluctuated and declined, and the trading amount of the public offering REITs market increased. The indexes of property - type and franchise - type public offering REITs decreased, with only park infrastructure - type REITs showing a slight increase and municipal facilities - type having the highest decline. - Market Outlook: This Friday, the first infrastructure REIT project of Shounong Food Group, the CICGAM Shounong Industrial Park REIT, was listed. 14 public offering REITs have been established this year, with a total scale of over 25 billion yuan. Additionally, 26 REITs funds are waiting to be listed, and the market is expected to continue to expand, with its activity expected to further increase. - Investment Value: In the context of an asset shortage, public offering REITs have the advantages of high dividends and medium - low risks, with a relatively high cost - performance ratio for allocation [4][35][36].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for multiple companies in the pharmaceutical sector, including Junshi Biosciences, Hualan Biological Engineering-B, and others [3]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector has shown a 1.90% increase this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.21 percentage points. Sub-sectors such as pharmaceutical outsourcing, vaccines, and medical consumables performed well, while innovative drugs lagged behind [6][42]. - The report emphasizes the potential of the 4-1BB target in cancer treatment, particularly the PD-L1/4-1BB bispecific antibodies, which may address the limitations of PD-1/PD-L1 monotherapy [5][16][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Viewpoints and Investment Recommendations - 4-1BB is recognized as a promising target for tumor therapy, enhancing T cell activation and survival, which is crucial for effective immune responses against cancer [16]. - Investment strategies focus on the innovative drug sector, driven by increased liquidity and risk appetite, with a recommendation to pay attention to companies with strong pipelines in bispecific antibodies and ADCs [6][38]. Pharmaceutical Industry Market Performance - The pharmaceutical sector's overall P/E ratio is reported at 30.67 times, with a premium of 40.37% compared to the overall A-share market excluding financials [42]. Company Dynamics - Notable company developments include: - LIZHU Group's successful Phase III trial for a monoclonal antibody for psoriasis [43]. - Baiyang Pharmaceutical's planned share reduction by its major shareholder [43]. - Mylab's new medical device approval, enhancing market competitiveness [44]. Industry Dynamics - The report highlights the increasing focus on innovative drug development and the potential for significant market opportunities in the context of upcoming patent expirations for key small molecule drugs [38].