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顺丰控股(002352):拟配售H股及发行可转债58亿,改善流动性助力公司价值提升
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-26 08:27
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to improve liquidity through the issuance of new H shares and convertible bonds, with a total expected fundraising net amount of approximately HKD 58.33 billion [2][3] - The company has successfully transformed into a comprehensive logistics leader, expanding into various emerging sectors such as express delivery, cold chain, and international logistics, which are expected to enhance profitability and revenue growth [4] - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is expected to grow by 17.1%, 19.7%, and 18.2% respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4] Summary by Sections Fundraising and Liquidity Improvement - The company plans to issue 70 million new H shares at a price of HKD 42.15 per share, which is a discount of approximately 8.8% from the closing price on June 25 [2] - Additionally, the company intends to issue zero-coupon convertible bonds worth HKD 29.5 billion, with an initial conversion price of HKD 48.47 per share, representing a premium of about 5.3% [3] - The funds raised will be used to enhance international and cross-border logistics capabilities, develop advanced technologies, and optimize the company's capital structure [3] Financial Projections - The total revenue for the company is projected to reach HKD 315.54 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.9% [5] - The company's gross profit margin is expected to improve from 12.8% in 2023 to 14.8% in 2027 [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from CNY 2.39 in 2025 to CNY 3.37 in 2027 [5] Profitability and Valuation - The company is expected to maintain a strong cash flow, with cash assets amounting to approximately CNY 427.71 billion as of the end of Q1 2025 [3] - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 21.1x, 17.6x, and 14.9x respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4]
香港低息背景下,关注港股运营类红利资产
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 13:56
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on Hong Kong's dividend assets in the context of a low-interest environment, which benefits financing costs for Hong Kong stocks, particularly in the water and waste incineration sectors [3][16] - The report highlights a significant reduction in capital expenditure in the industry, indicating a shift towards positive free cash flow and stable dividend payouts [3][16] - The report suggests that the "14th Five-Year Plan" will maintain high demand for energy conservation, environmental protection, and resource recycling, which is expected to sustain high industry prosperity [34] Market Performance - As of June 20, the environmental sector declined by 2.51%, underperforming the broader market, with specific declines in various sub-sectors such as water governance and waste incineration [3][9][10] - The report notes that the green electricity trading volume in China reached 220.945 billion kWh from January to May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 49.2% [26] Company Announcements - The report provides detailed financial forecasts and dividend rates for several companies, including: - Yuehai Investment: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 65%, dividend yield of 4.66% [18] - Beikong Water: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 91%, dividend yield of 6.41% [20] - China Water: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 30%, dividend yield of 6.1% [21] - China Everbright Environment: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 41.84%, dividend yield of 5.94% [22] - Green Power Environmental: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 73.39%, dividend yield of 9% [24] - Tianjin Chuangye Environmental: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 34%, dividend yield of 5.58% [25] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on quality operational assets in the water and waste incineration sectors, which are expected to benefit from stable earnings and cash flow [34] - Key recommendations include companies such as Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, with additional attention to companies like Wangneng Environment and Junxin Co. [34]
原油周报:伊以局势不确定性加剧,油价持续攀升-20250623
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 11:43
证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Tabl Table_StockAndRank] 石油加工行业 e_ReportType] 行业评级 ——看好 [Table_ReportDate0] 2025 年 6 月 23 日 本期内容提要: [Table_Summary] ➢ 【油价回顾】截至 2025年 6月 20 日当周,油价保持上行。本周,以 伊互相袭击持续,且未见缓和迹象,伊朗称不会接受特朗普要求的 "无条件投降",美军在本周末袭击伊朗核设施,中东地缘冲突不确 定性增强带来的风险溢价叠加上周美国原油库存大幅下降支撑,国际 油价保持上行。截至本周五(6 月 20 日),布伦特、WTI 油价分别 为 75.48、73.84 美元/桶。 ➢ 【原油价格】截至 2025 年 06 月 20 日当周,布伦特原油期货结算价 为 75.48 美元/桶,较上周上升 1.25 美元/桶(+1.68%);WTI 原油 期货结算价为73.84美元/桶,较上周上升0.86美元/桶(+1.18%); 俄罗斯 Urals 原油现货价为 65.49 美元/桶,与上周持平;俄罗斯 ESPO 原油现货价为 70.42 美元/桶,较上周上升 2 ...
低利率市场环境下海外明星产品借鉴之一:JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 11:11
低利率市场环境下海外明星产品借鉴之一: JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 6 月 23 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 证券研究报告 基金研究 [TableReportType] 基金专题报告 [Table_Author] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号:S1500521070001 联系电话:+86 18616021459 邮 箱:yumingming@cindasc.com 崔诗笛 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号:S1500523080001 联系电话:+86 18516560686 邮 箱:cuishidi@cindasc.com 孙石 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号:S1500523080010 联系电话:+86 18817366228 邮 箱:sunshi@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金隅 大厦B 座 邮编: ...
上交所制定推动提升沪市公司ESG评级专项行动方案,创业板指剔除国证ESG评级B级以下公司
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 07:41
上交所制定推动提升沪市公司 ESG 评级专项行动方案,创业板指剔除国证 ESG 评级 B 级以下公司 [Table_Industry] ESG 周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 06 月 23 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_Author] [左前明 Table_Author] 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮 箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 郭雪 环保联席首席分析师 执业编号:S1500525030002 邮 箱:guoxue @cindasc.com 吴柏莹 环保行业分析师 执业编号:S1500524100001 邮 箱:wuboying@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] 上交所制定推动提升沪市公司 ESG 评级专项行动方 案,创业板指剔除国证 ESG 评级 B 级以下公司 [Tab ...
大炼化周报:成本端价格中枢明显上行,产品价差收窄-20250623
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 07:16
证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 石油加工行业 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 刘奕麟 石化行业分析师 执业编号:S1500524040001 联系电话:13261695353 邮箱:liuyilin@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编:100031 图 1:国内大炼化项目周度价差(元/吨,美元/桶) 图 2:国外大炼化项目周度价差(元/吨,美元/桶) [Table_Title] 大炼化周报:成本端价格中枢明显上行,产品价差收窄 [Table_ReportDate0] 2025 年 6 月 23 日 本期内容提要: ➢ 国内外重点炼化项目价差跟踪: [Table_Summary] [Table_Summary] 截至 6 月 20 日当周,国内重点大炼 化项目价差为 2 ...
迎峰度夏日耗起,煤价回升正可期
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 07:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is the early stage of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The coal supply-demand balance is expected to remain tight over the next 3-5 years, with high barriers to entry and strong cash flow characteristics for quality coal companies [12] - The coal price is anticipated to rebound due to increasing consumption during the summer peak and decreasing inventory levels [11][12] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Price Tracking - As of June 22, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 610 CNY/ton, unchanged from the previous week [30] - The price for Shanxi-produced coking coal at Jingtang port remains at 1250 CNY/ton, also unchanged [32] - International thermal coal prices show slight fluctuations, with Newcastle coal at 66.0 USD/ton, up 0.3 USD/ton week-on-week [30] 2. Coal Supply and Demand Tracking - The utilization rate of sample thermal coal mines is 94.5%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points week-on-week [48] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces increased by 46.60 thousand tons/day (+15.32%) and in coastal provinces by 20.00 thousand tons/day (+11.66%) [49] - The operating rate of steel blast furnaces is at 83.82%, up 0.41 percentage points week-on-week [11] 3. Inventory Situation - As of June 19, coal inventory in inland provinces increased by 115.30 thousand tons, while coastal provinces saw an increase of 52.20 thousand tons [49] - The available days of coal in inland provinces decreased by 3.30 days, indicating tighter supply [49] 4. Investment Recommendations - Focus on stable and high-performing companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy [12] - Consider companies with high elasticity and potential for recovery, such as Yanzhou Coal and Guohua Energy [12] - Pay attention to quality metallurgical coal companies like Huabei Mining and Pingmei Shenma [12]
炉料成本延续下跌,高炉吨钢利润走阔
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 06:31
证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Tabl 行业周报 e_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 钢铁 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 炉料成本延续下跌,高炉吨钢利润走阔 【】【】 钢铁 [Table_Industry] [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 23 日 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮 箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 高 升 能源、钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500524100002 邮 箱:gaosheng@cindasc.com 刘 波 能源、钢铁行业研究助理 邮 箱:liubo1@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编:100031 [炉料成本延续下跌,高炉吨钢利润走阔 Table_Title] [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 23 日 本期内容提要: 请阅读最后一页免责声明 ...
5月份全社会用电量同比增长4.4%,规上工业天然气产量同比增长9.1%
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 06:28
5 月份全社会用电量同比增长 4.4%,规上工业天然气产量同比增长 9.1% 【】【】[Table_Industry] 公用事业—电力天然气周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 23 日 15666646523.tcy 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 公用事业 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮 箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 李春驰 电力公用联席首席分析师 执业编号:S1500522070001 联系电话:010-83326723 邮 箱:lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号:S1500524080001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮 箱:xingqinhao@cindasc.com 化工行业: 唐婵玉 电力公用分析师 执业编号:S1500525050001 邮 箱:tangchanyu@c ...
影石创新(688775):智能影像设备龙头,技术为基品牌为翼
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 02:09
智能影像设备龙头,技术为基品牌为翼 [Table_CoverStock] —影石创新(688775)公司首次覆盖报告 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 06 月 23 日 [Table_CoverAuthor] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 S1500524120004 S1500525030005 jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com gongyizhi@cindasc.com 龚轶之 新消费行业分析师 [Table_CoverReportList] 证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司首次覆盖报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 影石创新(688775) 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] 智能影像设备龙头,技术为基品牌为翼 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 06 月 23 日 本期内容提要: | [Table_Profit 重要财务指标 ] | 2023A | 2024A | 202 ...