Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company achieved record high performance in 2025, with revenue reaching 1.379 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 366 million yuan, up 48.94% year-on-year [1][3] - The growth was driven by product structure optimization, cost reduction through technological advancements, and increased capacity utilization [3] - The launch of new products, particularly D-alloheptulose, is expected to boost sales in the food and beverage market [3] - Ongoing capacity expansion projects are set to enhance production capabilities and support future growth [3] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 1.379 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 19.7% for 2025 and expected to reach 2.260 billion yuan by 2027 [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from 366 million yuan in 2025 to 611 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 31.3% [4] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 42.3% in 2025, with a projected EPS of 0.87 yuan for 2025, increasing to 1.45 yuan by 2027 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report indicates that China's industrial power generation for 2025 is expected to grow by 2.2% year-on-year, with significant fluctuations in natural gas prices in the U.S. due to cold weather [1][2] - The utility sector has outperformed the broader market, with a 2.3% increase as of January 23, 2026, while the power sector rose by 1.72% and the gas sector surged by 7.21% [4][12] - The report highlights a tightening supply-demand balance in the power sector, suggesting potential for profit improvement and value reassessment for power companies [5] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of January 23, 2026, the utility sector has increased by 2.3%, outperforming the market, while the power sector rose by 1.72% and the gas sector by 7.21% [4][12] - The top-performing sectors included construction materials and oil and petrochemicals, while banking and telecommunications lagged [12] Power Industry Data Tracking - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Q5500) decreased by 11 CNY/ton week-on-week, currently at 686 CNY/ton [4][23] - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port increased by 320,000 tons week-on-week, totaling 5.82 million tons [30] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces rose by 8.18% week-on-week, reaching 4.459 million tons [32] Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking - Domestic LNG prices increased by 3.72% week-on-week, with the national index at 3992 CNY/ton [58] - The U.S. Henry Hub gas price surged by 68.8% week-on-week, reaching 4.98 USD/MMBtu [61] - The EU's natural gas supply increased by 14.8% year-on-year, with a total supply of 6.34 billion cubic meters [65] Key Industry News - In December 2025, China's industrial power generation reached 858.6 billion kWh, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year [5] - The report suggests that the power sector is likely to see improved profitability due to ongoing supply-demand tensions and market reforms [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading coal power companies such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International, as well as regional leaders in tight supply areas [5] - For natural gas, companies with low-cost long-term gas sources and receiving station assets are expected to benefit from market conditions [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the export volume of thermal cups in December 2025 continued to grow, with an export scale of 360 million USD (down 15.5% year-on-year) and a sales volume of 117 million units (up 7.4% year-on-year) [3] - The overall export amount and sales volume for the year showed a year-on-year change of -4.5% and +9.3%, respectively [3] - The report indicates that despite pressure on export prices due to U.S. tariffs, the export volume has been steadily increasing, with Amazon sales data showing a cumulative year-on-year growth of over 30.9% for the top 100 thermal cups in the U.S. market [2] - New brands are emerging strongly while mainstream brands are performing steadily, with YETI and Stanley showing modest growth in key markets [2] - The company has established a robust brand presence through value binding with specific customer segments, indicating that the rise of new brands is likely to elevate the industry's ceiling [2] Manufacturing Insights - The global supply share is expected to continue concentrating, with the company having entered the supply chain of well-known overseas brands years ago [3] - Revenue and profit growth for the company in Q1-Q3 2025 were +2.9% and -55.5%, respectively, indicating stable revenue but suppressed profit growth due to factors like increased overseas capacity and domestic brand investments [3] - The company's production capacity in Thailand is expected to enhance profitability, with a continued trend of downstream production transfer [3] Brand Development - The company aims to enhance its brand power through a comprehensive upgrade of its brand center, which includes independent teams for research, production, and sales [4] - The product strategy has shifted to a more aggressive launch schedule, with 40 new products introduced in the first half of 2025 [4] - Marketing strategies include innovative collaborations with popular IPs and a multi-channel distribution network [4] - The company has set ambitious goals, projecting that by 2028, brand revenue will approach that of manufacturing, with high growth expected in OBM (Original Brand Manufacturing) business [4] Financial Forecast - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 110 million, 261 million, and 388 million CNY, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 36.9X, 15.5X, and 10.5X [4]

金属价格上涨趋势下，关注金属资源化相关公司 【】【】[Table_Industry] 环保周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 1 月 25 日 15666646523.tcy 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 环保 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 郭雪环保联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500525030002 邮箱：guoxue@cindasc.com 吴柏莹环保行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524100001 邮箱：wuboying@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 金属价格上涨趋势下，关注金属资源化相关公司 2026 年 1 月 25 日 本期内容提要: 化工行业： [Table_Summary] [Table_Summary] ➢ 行情回顾：截至 1 月 23 日收盘，本周环保板块上涨 4.6%，表现优于 大盘；上证综指上涨 0.8%到 4 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the export volume of thermal cups in December 2025 continued to grow, with an export scale of 360 million USD (down 15.5% year-on-year) and a sales volume of 117 million units (up 7.4% year-on-year) [3] - The overall export amount and sales volume for the year showed a year-on-year change of -4.5% and +9.3%, respectively [3] - The report indicates that despite pressure on export prices due to U.S. tariffs, the export volume has been steadily increasing, with Amazon sales data showing a cumulative year-on-year growth of over 30.9% for the top 100 thermal cups in the U.S. market [2] - New brands are emerging strongly while mainstream brands are performing steadily, with YETI and Stanley showing slight growth in key markets [2] - The company has established a robust brand presence through value binding with specific customer segments, indicating that the rise of new brands is likely to elevate the industry's ceiling [2] Manufacturing Insights - The global supply share is expected to continue concentrating, with the company having entered the supply chain of well-known overseas brands years ago [3] - Revenue and profit growth for the company in Q1-Q3 of 2025 were +2.9% and -55.5%, respectively, indicating stable revenue but profit pressure due to increased overseas capacity and domestic brand investments [3] - The company is expected to see a steady recovery in profitability in 2026 as its production capacity in Thailand becomes more advantageous [3] Brand Development - The company aims to enhance its brand power through a comprehensive upgrade of its brand center and capabilities, establishing a full-chain team for market insights, product definition, and end-to-end shelf placement [4] - The product strategy includes a rapid iteration of new products, with 40 new products launched in the first half of 2025 [4] - The marketing strategy involves innovative collaborations with popular IPs and strategic partnerships, aiming for significant brand revenue growth by 2028 [4] - Profit forecasts indicate that the company's net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 will be 110 million, 261 million, and 388 million RMB, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 36.9X, 15.5X, and 10.5X [4]

Core Insights - The report indicates that since mid-January, the market's growth rate has slowed due to policy cooling signals, outflows of counter-cyclical funds, and a deceleration in the inflow of leveraged funds. The turnover rate of the entire A-share market peaked at 3.78% on January 14, followed by a decline from that high [2][8] - Historical instances of high turnover rates during bull markets have shown two patterns: style switching, where leading sectors weaken, and style diffusion, where strong sectors continue to perform well and expand into other thriving sectors. The report suggests that if the previous leading sectors were based on themes or policy speculation, they are likely to revert to stronger industrial trends after a high turnover rate [2][8] - The report identifies sectors with strong industrial trends and performance certainty, such as AI computing power, semiconductors, and non-ferrous metals, as likely to maintain strong performance post-high turnover. Conversely, sectors driven mainly by thematic catalysts without clear fundamental improvements may face challenges [2][8] Market Changes - The report notes that since late December 2025, the spring market has accelerated due to the resolution of overseas liquidity disturbances and the influx of configuration funds, particularly in industries like AI and commercial aerospace. However, the sustainability of previously strong-performing sectors such as media, military industry, non-ferrous metals, and computers is questioned as the market enters the latter half of the spring rally [8][29] - The report highlights that the leading sectors during previous high turnover periods have included financials, consumer goods, and technology, with shifts observed in 2007, 2009, 2014, 2020, and 2025. For instance, in 2007, the leading sectors shifted from real estate and consumer to financials and resources, while in 2020, the focus moved from consumption to cyclical and new energy sectors [2][8][12] Sector Analysis - The report emphasizes that sectors such as non-ferrous metals, semiconductors, and AI computing power are expected to continue their strong performance due to their solid industrial trends and earnings realization. Additionally, sectors benefiting from price increases, such as basic chemicals and new energy materials, are also highlighted as having potential for improvement [2][8][34] - The report suggests that the financial sector, particularly non-bank financials, is likely to show increasing elasticity as the market conditions improve. The potential for significant inflows from long-term funds, such as insurance and mutual funds, is also noted as a positive factor for the financial sector [34][36] - The report indicates that the consumer sector may see investment opportunities primarily in new consumption models and high-dividend attributes, particularly in service consumption areas that could benefit from policy catalysts and base effect reversals [34][36]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the oil refining industry Core Insights - The domestic key refining project price difference as of January 23, 2026, is 2516.27 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 43.98 CNY/ton (+1.78%) [2] - The international key refining project price difference is 1147.20 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 47.75 CNY/ton (+4.34%) [2] - Brent crude oil's weekly average price is 64.56 USD/barrel, with a week-on-week change of +0.10% [2] - The report highlights that the oil price fluctuated due to various geopolitical factors and economic forecasts, with Brent and WTI prices at 65.88 and 61.07 USD/barrel respectively on January 23, 2026 [15] - The report notes a decrease in operating rates for filament production as the market approaches the Spring Festival, indicating a slowdown in demand [2] Summary by Sections Refining Sector - The report indicates that the refining sector experienced price fluctuations due to geopolitical events and economic forecasts, with Brent crude prices increasing by 1.75 USD/barrel and WTI by 1.63 USD/barrel from January 16 to January 23, 2026 [15] - Domestic refined oil prices showed a slight decline, with diesel, gasoline, and aviation kerosene averaging 6277.29 CNY/ton, 7508.57 CNY/ton, and 5214.52 CNY/ton respectively [15] - The report lists stock price changes for six major private refining companies, with notable increases for Rongsheng Petrochemical (+17.87%) and Hengli Petrochemical (+11.47%) over the past week [2] Chemical Sector - The report notes that the cost support for chemical products remains stable, with price differences for polyolefins showing fluctuations [2] - EVA prices increased to 10364.29 CNY/ton, with a price difference of 7064.47 CNY/ton [53] - Pure benzene prices rose to 5685.71 CNY/ton, driven by strong demand from styrene [53]

Investment Rating - The steel industry is rated as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The steel sector has shown a strong performance with a weekly increase of 6.99%, outperforming the broader market [2][10] - The report highlights a potential investment opportunity in the steel sector due to supply disruptions and improving profitability [3] Supply Situation - As of January 23, the capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces among sample steel companies is 85.5%, a week-on-week increase of 0.03 percentage points [2][25] - The average daily pig iron production is 2.281 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 0.09 thousand tons [2][25] - The total production of five major steel products is 7.172 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.95 thousand tons [2][25] Demand Situation - The consumption of five major steel products is 8.095 million tons, showing a week-on-week decrease of 166 thousand tons [2][35] - The transaction volume of construction steel among mainstream traders is 78 thousand tons, down 1.41 thousand tons week-on-week [2][35] Inventory Situation - Social inventory of five major steel products is 8.685 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 2.13 thousand tons [2][42] - Factory inventory of five major steel products is 3.886 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 7.94 thousand tons [2][41] Price & Profit - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel is 3,434.4 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 23.04 yuan/ton [2][47] - The profit for rebar produced in blast furnaces is 61 yuan/ton, down 11.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [2][55] - The profit for electric arc furnace produced construction steel is -63 yuan/ton, a significant decrease of 24.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [2][55] Raw Material Situation - The spot price index for Australian iron ore (62% Fe) is 805 yuan/ton, down 14.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [2][73] - The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port is 1,780 yuan/ton, up 30.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [2][73] Investment Recommendations - Focus on regional leading companies with advanced equipment and environmental standards such as Hualing Steel, Shougang, and Shandong Steel [3] - Consider companies with excellent growth potential and restructuring plans like Baosteel and Nanjing Steel [3] - Pay attention to special steel companies benefiting from the new energy cycle such as CITIC Special Steel and Jiuli Special Materials [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Rilian Technology (688531) [2]. Core Insights - Rilian Technology is a leading enterprise in the industrial X-ray intelligent detection field in China, focusing on the R&D, production, and sales of micro-focus and high-power industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, with a dual strategy of domestic substitution and international expansion. The company has achieved rapid revenue growth, with a CAGR of 37.76% for operating income and 76.70% for net profit attributable to the parent company from 2019 to 2024 [5][28]. Company Overview - Rilian Technology has established itself as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprise, listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board in 2023. The company has a comprehensive product range that includes X-ray sources, AI imaging software, and industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment, which are widely used in high-end manufacturing quality control [14][22]. Industry Analysis - The global industrial X-ray detection equipment market is projected to grow from 35.12 billion yuan in 2020 to 57.39 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 13.1%. The Chinese market is expected to grow from 10.69 billion yuan to 18.79 billion yuan during the same period, with a CAGR of 15.1% [6][39]. The growth is driven by advancements in semiconductor processes and the increasing demand for new energy batteries, alongside the acceleration of domestic substitution [39]. Investment Logic - Rilian Technology has successfully achieved comprehensive R&D coverage of core high-tech components, making it the only domestic company capable of mass application of X-ray intelligent detection equipment across nearly all industrial sectors. The company is rapidly expanding through horizontal and vertical mergers and acquisitions, which are expected to enhance its platform capabilities and performance [7][14]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve total operating revenues of 1.058 billion yuan, 1.591 billion yuan, and 2.132 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 43.1%, 50.3%, and 34.0%. Net profits attributable to the parent company are expected to be 190 million yuan, 315 million yuan, and 448 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 32.8%, 65.3%, and 42.6% [7][8]. Market Position - Rilian Technology has established a strong market presence, particularly in the integrated circuit and electronic manufacturing sectors, where it holds the highest market share in China. The company has built a solid customer base, including major clients such as SMIC, Foxconn, and CATL [22][23]. Research and Development - The company has consistently increased its R&D investment, with R&D expenses reaching 86.26 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.94%, representing 11.70% of total revenue. This ongoing investment supports innovation in core technology areas such as X-ray sources [28][30]. Global Expansion - Rilian Technology has expanded its international footprint, with sales covering over 70 countries and regions. The establishment of subsidiaries and factories in Singapore, Hungary, Malaysia, and the United States is expected to accelerate the growth of its overseas business [7][14]. Competitive Landscape - The market for X-ray sources is characterized by a layered structure based on focal size, with micro-focus products facing high technical barriers. The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-precision imaging in sectors such as semiconductors and new energy batteries [6][56]. Conclusion - Rilian Technology's strong market position, robust growth prospects, and strategic focus on R&D and international expansion make it a compelling investment opportunity in the industrial X-ray detection sector [7][39].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, Rilian Technology (688531) [2]. Core Insights - Rilian Technology is a leading enterprise in the field of industrial X-ray intelligent detection in China, focusing on the research, production, and sales of micro-focus and high-power industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, with a dual strategy of domestic substitution and international expansion. The company has achieved rapid revenue growth, with a CAGR of 37.76% for revenue and 76.70% for net profit from 2019 to 2024 [5][28]. Company Overview - Rilian Technology is recognized as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprise, listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board in 2023. The company has established a comprehensive product line covering integrated circuits, electronic manufacturing, and new energy battery detection, widely applied in high-end manufacturing quality control [14][22]. Industry Analysis - The global industrial X-ray detection equipment market is projected to grow from 35.12 billion yuan in 2020 to 57.39 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 13.1%. The Chinese market is expected to grow from 10.69 billion yuan to 18.79 billion yuan during the same period, with a CAGR of 15.1% [6][39]. - The X-ray source market, a core component of detection equipment, is expected to reach 8 billion yuan in China by 2030, with a CAGR of 10.1% [6][56]. Investment Logic - Rilian Technology has established a comprehensive R&D coverage of core high-tech components, making it the only domestic company capable of mass application of X-ray intelligent detection equipment across nearly all industrial sectors. The company is actively pursuing both horizontal and vertical mergers and acquisitions, having completed investments in several companies, which is expected to accelerate the development of a platform enterprise and enhance performance [7][28]. - The company is also increasing its overseas market promotion and construction efforts, with product sales covering over 70 countries and regions, and has established subsidiaries and factories in Singapore, Hungary, Malaysia, and the United States [7][28]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve total revenues of 1.058 billion yuan, 1.591 billion yuan, and 2.132 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 43.1%, 50.3%, and 34.0%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 190 million yuan, 315 million yuan, and 448 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 32.8%, 65.3%, and 42.6% [7][8].