Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the steel industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" policy has driven an increase in steel prices, leading to a positive outlook for value recovery in the steel sector [3][4]. - The steel sector outperformed the broader market, with a weekly increase of 5.27%, compared to a 1.54% rise in the CSI 300 index [11]. - The report highlights that while the steel industry faces supply-demand imbalances, the implementation of "stability growth" policies is expected to support steel demand, particularly in real estate and infrastructure [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The steel sector saw a weekly increase of 5.27%, outperforming the market, with specific segments like long products rising by 8.32% and flat products by 6.95% [3][11]. - The average daily pig iron production was 2.4085 million tons, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.44 tons but a year-on-year increase of 1.41 tons [3][26]. Supply Data - As of July 4, the capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces was 90.3%, down 0.54 percentage points week-on-week, while electric furnace utilization was at 51.1%, down 3.45 percentage points [3][26]. - The total production of five major steel products reached 7.734 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 3.06 thousand tons [3][26]. Demand Data - The consumption of five major steel products increased to 8.853 million tons, a week-on-week rise of 5.41 thousand tons [3][35]. - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 107 thousand tons, up 0.81 thousand tons week-on-week, reflecting an increase of 8.23% [3][35]. Inventory Levels - Social inventory of five major steel products rose to 9.161 million tons, an increase of 9.62 thousand tons week-on-week, but down 29.01% year-on-year [3][42]. - Factory inventory decreased to 4.238 million tons, down 9.72 thousand tons week-on-week, and down 13.43% year-on-year [3][42]. Price Trends - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel increased to 3,390.0 CNY/ton, a week-on-week rise of 45.42 CNY/ton [3][49]. - The comprehensive index for special steel decreased to 6,576.5 CNY/ton, down 14.61 CNY/ton week-on-week [3][49]. Profitability - The profit per ton for rebar was 187 CNY, an increase of 42.0 CNY/ton week-on-week [3][58]. - The average iron water cost was 2,148 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 10.0 CNY/ton [3][58]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on regional leaders with advanced equipment and environmental standards, as well as companies benefiting from the new energy cycle and high-margin special steel producers [4].

证券研究报告 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 大炼化周报：成本对产品价格引导偏弱，炼化 产品价差收窄 [Table_ReportDate0] 2025 年 7 月 6 日 本期内容提要： 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 石油加工行业 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 刘红光 石化行业联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500525060002 邮箱：liuyilin@cindasc.com 刘奕麟 石化行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524040001 邮箱：liuyilin@cindasc.com ➢ 国内外重点炼化项目价差跟踪： [Table_Summary] [Table_Summary] 截至 7 月 4 日当周，国内重点大炼 化项目价差为 2637.62 元 ...

OpenAI 与甲骨文签署 300 亿美元协议， AI 基建投资加速 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 7 月 6 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业周报 Table_ReportType] | [Table_StockAndRank] 电子 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | [Table_Author] 莫文宇 电子行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522090001 邮 箱：mowenyu@cindasc.com 杨宇轩 电子行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525010001 邮箱：yangyuxuan@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] OpenAI 与甲骨文签署 300 亿美元协议，AI 基建投资加速 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 7 月 6 日 [Table_S [Table_Summary ummary] ] ➢ 本周电子细分行业指数出现分化。 ...

电新周报：民航局成立通用航空和低空经济工作领导小组 [Table_Industry] 电力设备与新能源 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 7 月 06 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业周报 Table_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 电力设备与新能源 本期核心观点 [Tale_S 行业展望及配置建议： um ➢ 新能源汽车： 动力电池格局有望优化，板块盈利有望回暖：1）锂电池板块经历长期大幅 回调。2）锂电池供给阶段性过剩问题有望迎来拐点。3）碳酸锂价格下降， 有望带动电池成本及终端售价下降，有望刺激下游需求。同时 5C 快充加速 推进，新能源车里程焦虑持续改善，复合集流体等新技术处于量产前夕，新 能源车渗透率有望继续提升。重视快速增长的充电桩行业及相关企业通合科 技、盛弘股份、沃尔核材等。重视磷酸锰铁锂、复合集流体等的 0-1 过程。 建议关注宁德时代、亿纬锂能、湖南裕能、当升科技、长远锂科、天赐材料、 科达利、比亚迪、星源材质、中伟股份、恩捷股份、德方纳米、信德新材、 天奈科技、杉杉股份、中科电气、壹石通、孚能科技等。 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided in the given content. Report's Core View - Credit bonds return to strength, with yields of 3Y and above varieties generally declining by around 5BP. Interest rates of interest rate bonds fluctuate and decline, and credit spreads mostly decline except for some high-grade short-duration varieties [2][5]. - Credit spreads of urban investment bonds decline across the board, with spreads of each variety decreasing by about 4BP [2][9]. - Most credit spreads of industrial bonds decline, while those of mixed-ownership real estate bonds slightly increase [2][18]. - Yields of secondary and perpetual bonds decline across the board, and their overall performance is stronger than that of ordinary credit bonds [2][23]. - Excess spreads of industrial perpetual bonds are generally stable, while those of 3Y urban investment perpetual bonds decline [2][25]. Summary by Directory 1. Credit bonds return to strength, with yields of 3Y and above varieties generally declining by around 5BP - Interest rate bond yields fluctuate and decline. The yields of 1Y, 3Y, 5Y, and 7Y Guokai bonds decline by 3BP, 2BP, 1BP, and 4BP respectively, and the 10Y yield remains flat [2][5]. - Credit bond yields return to a downward trend. Yields of 3Y and above varieties generally decline by around 5BP, and credit spreads mostly decline except for some high-grade short-duration varieties [2][5]. - Rating spreads and term spreads mostly remain flat or decline [5]. 2. Credit spreads of urban investment bonds decline across the board - Credit spreads of external rating AAA, AA+, and AA platforms all decline by about 4BP. Spreads of most AAA-level platforms decline by 3 - 4BP, AA+ by 3 - 5BP, and AA by 3 - 6BP [2][9]. - By administrative level, credit spreads of provincial, municipal, and district-level platforms all decline by 4BP [2][16]. 3. Most credit spreads of industrial bonds decline, while those of mixed-ownership real estate bonds slightly increase - Credit spreads of central and local state-owned real estate bonds decline by 4BP, those of mixed-ownership real estate bonds increase by 2BP, and those of private real estate bonds increase by 13BP [2][18]. - Credit spreads of coal bonds at all levels decline by 3BP, those of AAA and AA+ steel bonds decline by 3BP and 4BP respectively, and those of chemical bonds at all levels decline by 4 - 5BP [2][18]. 4. Yields of secondary and perpetual bonds decline across the board, and their overall performance is stronger than that of ordinary credit bonds - Yields of secondary and perpetual bonds follow the decline of certificate of deposit rates. Spreads of medium and short-term high-grade varieties compress significantly [2][23]. - Specifically, the yield of 1Y AAA- secondary capital bonds declines by 9BP, and the spread compresses by 6BP. Yields of other grades decline by 8BP, and spreads compress by 4 - 5BP [23]. 5. Excess spreads of industrial perpetual bonds are generally stable, while those of 3Y urban investment perpetual bonds decline - The excess spread of industrial AAA3Y perpetual bonds increases by 0.01BP to 3.82BP, and that of AAA5Y remains flat at 8.51BP [2][25]. - The excess spread of urban investment AAA3Y perpetual bonds declines by 2.38BP to 3.76BP, and that of AAA5Y increases by 0.10BP to 9.91BP [25]. 6. Credit Spread Database Compilation Instructions - Market-wide credit spreads, commercial bank secondary and perpetual spreads, and credit spreads of urban investment/industrial perpetual bonds are calculated based on ChinaBond medium and short-term notes and ChinaBond perpetual bonds data [27]. - Credit spreads of industrial and urban investment individual bonds are calculated by subtracting the yield of the same-term government bond from the medium-term valuation of the individual bond, and then the arithmetic average method is used to calculate the credit spreads of the industry or regional urban investment [31]. - Samples of medium-term notes and public corporate bonds are selected for industrial and urban investment bonds, and guaranteed bonds and perpetual bonds are excluded [31].

证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] ESG 投资评级 —— 上次评级 —— 欧盟委员会提出《欧洲气候法》修订案，设定 2040 年减排目标 [Table_Industry] ESG 周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 07 月 05 日 [Table_Author] [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 郭雪 环保联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500525030002 邮 箱：guoxue @cindasc.com 吴柏莹 环保行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524100001 邮 箱：wuboying@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 欧盟委员会提出《欧洲气候法》修订案，设定 2040 年减排目标 [T ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the expansion of waste incineration capacity overseas, which is expected to enhance the profitability of companies in the sector. As the domestic waste incineration power generation industry approaches saturation, Southeast Asia is becoming a preferred destination for Chinese waste incineration enterprises due to rapid economic development, dense population, and increasing waste management needs. Chinese companies possess significant competitive advantages in overseas markets due to their mature technology, strong cost control, and complete industrial chain [3][16][20]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of July 4, the environmental protection sector rose by 0.81%, underperforming the broader market, which increased by 1.40%. The top-performing sub-sectors included water governance (up 2.12%) and environmental equipment (up 3.14%), while the air treatment sector fell by 1.16% [3][9][10]. Industry Dynamics - Recent developments include the introduction of a one-way bidding trading method in the national carbon emissions trading market and the approval of new ecological standards aimed at enhancing water pollution management and promoting green development [22][23]. Company Announcements - Notable company activities include the signing of contracts for various overseas waste incineration projects by companies such as China Tianying and Wangneng Environment, indicating a strategic focus on international expansion [19][21][26]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "14th Five-Year Plan" will maintain high demand for energy conservation, environmental protection, and resource recycling. It recommends focusing on companies like Huanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, while also suggesting attention to Wangneng Environment and Junxin Co. [29][30].

- Model Name: Continuous Hedging Strategy; Model Construction Idea: The strategy is based on the analysis of basis convergence factors and optimization strategies; Model Construction Process: The strategy involves holding the corresponding total return index on the spot side and shorting the corresponding stock index futures contracts on the futures side, with specific parameters and settings for backtesting, including the backtesting period, spot side, futures side, and rebalancing rules[44][45] - Model Name: Minimum Discount Strategy; Model Construction Idea: The strategy selects the futures contract with the smallest annualized basis discount for opening positions; Model Construction Process: The strategy involves holding the corresponding total return index on the spot side and shorting the corresponding stock index futures contracts on the futures side, with specific parameters and settings for backtesting, including the backtesting period, spot side, futures side, and rebalancing rules[44][46] - Factor Name: Cinda-VIX; Factor Construction Idea: The factor reflects the market's expectation of future volatility of the underlying asset; Factor Construction Process: The factor is based on the methodology from the research report series "Exploring Market Sentiment Implied in the Options Market" and reflects the volatility expectations of investors in the options market for different periods[62] - Factor Name: Cinda-SKEW; Factor Construction Idea: The factor captures the skewness of implied volatility (IV) of options with different strike prices; Factor Construction Process: The factor measures the degree of skewness in volatility, providing insights into market expectations of future returns distribution of the underlying asset[70][71] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: -2.73% (monthly), -1.93% (quarterly), -0.95% (minimum discount); Volatility: 3.88% (monthly), 4.77% (quarterly), 4.68% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -8.15% (monthly), -8.34% (quarterly), -7.97% (minimum discount); Net Value: 0.9221 (monthly), 0.9446 (quarterly), 0.9725 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 17.40 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: -3.24% (monthly), -0.94% (quarterly), -0.63% (minimum discount)[48] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: 0.54% (monthly), 0.80% (quarterly), 1.37% (minimum discount); Volatility: 3.02% (monthly), 3.36% (quarterly), 3.15% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -3.95% (monthly), -4.03% (quarterly), -4.06% (minimum discount); Net Value: 1.0159 (monthly), 1.0237 (quarterly), 1.0406 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 15.36 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: -0.75% (monthly), 0.39% (quarterly), 0.70% (minimum discount)[53] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: 1.07% (monthly), 2.04% (quarterly), 1.76% (minimum discount); Volatility: 3.13% (monthly), 3.56% (quarterly), 3.15% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -4.22% (monthly), -3.75% (quarterly), -3.91% (minimum discount); Net Value: 1.0316 (monthly), 1.0609 (quarterly), 1.0526 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 16.04 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: 0.08% (monthly), 1.15% (quarterly), 1.14% (minimum discount)[57] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: -5.96% (monthly), -4.33% (quarterly), -3.76% (minimum discount); Volatility: 4.74% (monthly), 5.79% (quarterly), 5.60% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -14.00% (monthly), -12.63% (quarterly), -11.11% (minimum discount); Net Value: 0.8521 (monthly), 0.8849 (quarterly), 0.9009 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 15.96 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: -8.68% (monthly), -3.91% (quarterly), -3.47% (minimum discount)[59] - Cinda-VIX, 30-day VIX values: 17.29 (SSE 50), 15.95 (CSI 300), 23.13 (CSI 500), 21.70 (CSI 1000)[62] - Cinda-SKEW, 30-day SKEW values: 100.62 (SSE 50), 101.40 (CSI 300), 96.04 (CSI 500), 102.73 (CSI 1000)[71]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The utility sector has shown a strong performance, with a 2.3% increase as of July 4, outperforming the broader market [3][11] - The electricity sector is expected to see profit improvement and value reassessment due to previous supply-demand tensions, with a focus on coal power's pivotal role [4] - Natural gas consumption in China has increased by 2.4% year-on-year in May 2025, indicating a recovery in demand [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of July 4, the utility sector rose by 2.3%, with the electricity sector up by 2.38% and the gas sector up by 1.09% [3][11] - The top-performing sub-sectors include thermal power, which increased by 4.37%, and thermal services, which rose by 6.53% [13] Electricity Sector Data Tracking - The price of Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) increased by 2 CNY to 616 CNY/ton as of July 4 [3][21] - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao port reached 5.7 million tons, an increase of 50,000 tons week-on-week [30] - The outflow from the Three Gorges Reservoir increased by 32.61% year-on-year, reaching 18,300 cubic meters per second [46] Natural Gas Sector Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in Shanghai was 4,412 CNY/ton, a decrease of 2.09% year-on-year [55] - Domestic natural gas apparent consumption in May 2025 was 36.42 billion cubic meters, up 2.4% year-on-year [4] - The EU's natural gas supply for week 26 of 2025 was 6.23 billion cubic meters, an increase of 8.9% year-on-year [4] Investment Recommendations - For the electricity sector, it is recommended to focus on leading coal power companies such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International [4] - In the natural gas sector, companies like Xin'ao and Guanghui Energy are expected to benefit from stable margins and increased sales volume [4]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook for the tire industry, particularly highlighting the stability in demand and the introduction of new products by key players like Sailun [5][6]. Core Insights - The tire industry is experiencing a decline in raw material prices, which is expected to benefit manufacturers [5][8]. - Sailun has launched a new product line, the Liquid Gold tire fashion series, which includes innovative features [5][6]. - The U.S. tire retail sales remain robust, with a year-on-year increase of 3.53% in May 2025 [5][67]. - The import demand for tires in the U.S. shows a mixed performance, with semi-steel tire imports decreasing while full-steel tire imports are increasing significantly [5][76]. Summary by Sections Raw Materials - The tire raw material price index decreased to 152.76 in June 2025, down 2.63% month-on-month and 11.82% year-on-year [5][9]. - Natural rubber averaged 14,257 CNY/ton, down 4.67% month-on-month and 3.99% year-on-year [5][9]. - Styrene-butadiene rubber averaged 12,005 CNY/ton, down 3.64% month-on-month and 21.53% year-on-year [5][9]. Production and Export - In June 2025, the average operating rate for full-steel tires in China was 63.96%, up 5.61 percentage points year-on-year [5][26]. - The production of new inflatable rubber tires in China reached 101.99 million units in May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.20% [5][28]. Consumption - The replacement market for tires shows resilience, with stable demand in the U.S. [5][38]. - In June 2025, China's heavy truck sales were approximately 92,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 28.85% [5][55]. Shipping Costs - Shipping costs showed significant fluctuations in June 2025, impacting the overall cost structure for tire imports and exports [5][6]. Industry News - Sailun's participation in the Nürburgring endurance race resulted in a podium finish, showcasing the performance of their tires under challenging conditions [5][6].