Investment Rating - The investment rating for the defense and military industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes a "dual-cycle resonance" in 2025, indicating a significant turning point for the industry and a year of substantial military investment [5][48] - It highlights a recovery in industry prosperity, value reassessment, and event-driven catalysts as key factors for growth [5][48] - The report suggests that the military industry is expected to see improved performance starting from Q2 2025, driven by an increase in orders and a favorable geopolitical environment [5][49] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.88%, while the defense and military index increased by 2.60%, underperforming the market by 0.28 percentage points, ranking 12th out of 29 sectors [3][22] - Year-to-date, the defense and military index has increased by 17.98%, slightly outperforming the market [25] Key Developments - The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee proposed the development of a "Space Power," marking a strategic focus on aerospace as a new emerging industry [4][12] - The report notes rapid advancements in satellite internet deployment and the aerospace industry, with multiple satellite launches occurring in October [15][16] Investment Focus - The report recommends focusing on "new quality combat capabilities" and low-valuation stocks within the military sector [5][48] - Key investment targets include next-generation combat systems, unmanned equipment, satellite internet, and missile & ammunition sectors [5][48] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include China Nuclear Engineering leading with a 23.40% increase, followed by Filihua and Aerospace Technology with significant gains [31][34] - The report identifies several companies as core beneficiaries of the anticipated industry growth, including AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, Huazhong Technology, and others [5][48]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for Yongxin Co., Ltd. [1] Core Insights - Yongxin Co., Ltd. demonstrated steady revenue growth with a total revenue of 2.706 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 309 million yuan, up 1.4% year-on-year [1][2] - The company is expected to benefit from structural growth driven by high-potential businesses such as films and overseas markets, contributing positively to revenue performance [2] - The management anticipates that the new management team may accelerate business development, enhancing overall profitability [3] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 960 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%, and a net profit of 126 million yuan, up 1.0% year-on-year. The gross margin for Q3 was 24.4%, showing a slight increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [1][3] - The company’s operating cash flow for Q3 was 299 million yuan, an increase of 115 million yuan year-on-year, indicating strong cash flow performance [3] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected at 460 million, 520 million, and 600 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.2X, 13.5X, and 11.7X [3]

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 电投能源(002128.SZ) 投资评级 买入 上次评级 买入 高升：煤炭钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524100002 邮箱：gaosheng@cindasc.com 李睿：煤炭钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525040002 邮箱：lirui@cindasc.com 刘波： 煤炭钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525070001 邮箱：liubo1@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 煤炭业绩稳健，电解铝引领成长 | 主要财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 26,846 | 29,859 | 28,825 | 29,227 | 29,796 | | ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" as indicated by the report's outlook on the refining sector [149]. Core Insights - The report highlights a rebound in oil prices, which has led to an increase in inventory replenishment among textile enterprises, resulting in a significant reduction in long filament inventory [1]. - Brent crude oil prices increased to $65.94 per barrel, up by $4.65 from the previous week, while WTI prices rose to $61.50 per barrel, an increase of $3.96 [1][13]. - The report notes that the domestic price difference for key refining projects is 2374.85 CNY/ton, a decrease of 30.36 CNY/ton (-1.26%) week-on-week, while the international price difference is 1213.16 CNY/ton, down by 2.88 CNY/ton (-0.24%) [2]. Refining Sector Summary - The report discusses the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices, including potential trade agreements between the US and China, and sanctions against Russia, which have contributed to a favorable environment for oil price recovery [1][13]. - The report indicates that the refining sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with some companies seeing stock price increases while others face declines [1][136]. Chemical Sector Summary - The chemical sector is facing weak overall demand, with oil price rebounds not translating into significant price support for chemical products [1]. - Specific products such as EVA and pure benzene have seen price declines due to weak downstream demand, leading to narrowed price differentials [1][51]. Polyester & Nylon Sector Summary - The report notes that polyester filament prices have slightly decreased, but the rebound in oil prices has stimulated replenishment sentiment among downstream textile enterprises, leading to a notable reduction in filament inventory [1][89]. - The average price for polyester filament is reported at 6439.29 CNY/ton for POY, with a slight decrease in profitability [1][112].

信用利差压缩向中长端传导 二永债重回震荡格局 —— 信用利差周度跟踪 20251025 [[Table_R Table_Report eportTTime ime]] 2025 年 10 月 25 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 歌声ue 证券研究报告 债券研究 [Table_ReportType] 专题报告 | ] [Table_A 李一爽 uthor固定收益首席分析师 | | --- | | 执业编号：S1500520050002 | | 联系电话：+86 18817583889 | | 邮 箱： liyishuang@cindasc.com | 朱金保 固定收益分析师 执业编号：S1500524080002 联系电话：+86 15850662789 联系电话：+86 15850662789 邮 箱： zhujinbao@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金隅 大厦B 座 邮编：100031 3信用利差压缩向中长端传导 二永债重回震荡格局 [Table ...

证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 环保 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 郭雪 环保联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500525030002 邮箱：guoxue@cindasc.com 吴柏莹 环保行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524100001 邮箱：wuboying@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 企业持续发力再生循环领域，"十五五"循环经济有望释放潜力 【】【】[Table_Industry] 环保周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 25 日 15666646523.tcy CINDASECURITIESCO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 企业持续发力再生循环领域，"十五五"循环经济有 望释放潜力 2025 年 10 月 25 日 本期内容提要: 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 2 [Table_Author] 化工行业： [Table_Summar ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for WanNeng Electric Power [3] Core Views - The quarterly electricity performance has contributed to revenue growth, and the "winter peak" is expected to support electricity prices next year [2] - The company has successfully managed costs, leading to stable overall performance despite a slight decline in revenue [2] - Future growth is anticipated from ongoing projects and the tight power supply-demand situation in Anhui province [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 21.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.41%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.906 billion yuan, an increase of 20.43% [1] - In Q3 alone, revenue reached 8.587 billion yuan, up 0.56% year-on-year and 26.93% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 824 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 60.95% [1][2] Growth Potential - The company is expected to see continued growth from its ongoing projects, including the Xinjiang Yingma Power Plant and Qianyingzi Phase II Power Plant, which are set to contribute to profits [2] - The company’s shareholder, Anhui Energy Group, is actively exploring new projects, which may further enhance future growth [2] Earnings Forecast - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 2.229 billion, 2.296 billion, and 2.378 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 7.99, 7.76, and 7.49 times based on the closing price on October 24, 2025 [2][4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility industry is "Bullish" [2] 2. Core View of the Report - After multiple rounds of electricity supply - demand contradictions in China, the power sector is expected to see profit improvement and value re - evaluation. With the advancement of power market reform, the electricity price trend is expected to rise slightly and steadily. The cost of coal - fired power enterprises is relatively controllable, and the performance of power operators is expected to improve significantly. For the natural gas sector, with the decline of upstream gas prices and the recovery of domestic natural gas consumption, the city - gas business is expected to achieve stable gross margins and high growth in gas sales volume [92][93] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 This Week's Market Performance - As of the close on October 24, the utility sector rose 1.1% this week, underperforming the broader market. The power sector rose 1.01%, and the gas sector rose 1.82%. Among the sub - industries, the thermal power generation sector rose 2.00%, the hydropower generation sector rose 0.23%, etc. [12][13] - In the power sector, the top three gainers were Shanghai Electric Power (10.06%), Shenzhen Energy (8.05%), and Guiguan Electric Power (3.21%); the bottom three were Southern Grid Energy Storage (-2.52%), Longyuan Power (-2.36%), and Inner Mongolia Huadian (-1.18%). In the gas sector, the top three gainers were Dashang Public Utilities (15.38%), Baichuan Energy (10.36%), and Jiufeng Energy (2.25%); the bottom three were Guoxin Energy (-7.50%), Chengdu Gas (-4.56%), and Tianhao Energy (-4.27%) [15] 3.2 Power Industry Data Tracking 3.2.1 Thermal Coal Prices - The annual long - term agreement price of Qinhuangdao Port thermal coal (Q5500) in October was 676 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan/ton month - on - month. The market price of Shanxi - produced thermal coal (Q5500) at Qinhuangdao Port was 768 yuan/ton as of October 24, up 28 yuan/ton week - on - week. Overseas, the Newcastle NEWC5500 large - calorie thermal coal FOB spot price was 74.05 US dollars/ton as of October 23, up 1.30 US dollars/ton week - on - week [21][24] 3.2.2 Thermal Coal Inventory and Power Plant Daily Consumption - As of October 24, the coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port was 5.5 million tons, up 50,000 tons week - on - week. As of October 23, the coal inventory of 17 inland provinces was 94.582 million tons, up 0.54% week - on - week, and the daily consumption was 352,700 tons, up 13.52% week - on - week. The coal inventory of 8 coastal provinces was 33.597 million tons, up 0.85% week - on - week, and the daily consumption was 180,800 tons, down 13.12% week - on - week [28][30] 3.2.3 Hydropower Inflow - As of October 24, the Three Gorges outflow was 11,900 cubic meters per second, up 70.24% year - on - year and down 18.49% week - on - week [42] 3.2.4 Key Power Market Transaction Electricity Prices - In the Guangdong power market, as of October 18, the weekly average price of the day - ahead spot market was 445.91 yuan/MWh, down 4.33% week - on - week and up 31.8% year - on - year; the weekly average price of the real - time spot market was 484.12 yuan/MWh, up 40.28% week - on - week and up 40.0% year - on - year. Similar data were provided for the Shanxi and Shandong power markets [50][57][58] 3.3 Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking 3.3.1 Domestic and International Natural Gas Prices - As of October 24, the national index of the ex - factory price of LNG at the Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Trading Center was 4,274 yuan/ton, down 13.41% year - on - year and up 6.50% month - on - month. International gas prices rose week - on - week. For example, the European TTF spot price was 11.34 US dollars/million British thermal units as of October 23, up 1.3% week - on - week [56][60] 3.3.2 EU Natural Gas Supply, Demand, and Inventory - In the 41st week of 2025, the EU's natural gas supply was 6.07 billion cubic meters, up 8.8% year - on - year and up 3.5% week - on - week. The consumption was estimated to be 5.71 billion cubic meters, up 9.7% week - on - week and up 13.0% year - on - year. The inventory was 91.872 billion cubic meters, down 13.02% year - on - year and up 0.39% week - on - week [64][73][75] 3.3.3 Domestic Natural Gas Supply and Demand - In August 2025, the apparent domestic natural gas consumption was 36.41 billion cubic meters, up 2.5% year - on - year. In September 2025, the domestic natural gas production was 21.17 billion cubic meters, up 9.7% year - on - year, while the LNG import volume was 5.75 million tons, down 15.9% year - on - year [78][79] 3.4 This Week's Industry News - In September, the national total social electricity consumption was 888.6 billion kilowatt - hours, up 4.5% year - on - year. The Guangdong Power Exchange Center released the "Key Mechanisms and Parameters for the Guangdong Power Market Transactions in 2026", clarifying the trading mechanisms and price limits for 2026. In September, the natural gas production of above - scale industrial enterprises was 21.2 billion cubic meters, up 9.4% year - on - year [87][88] 3.5 This Week's Important Announcements - Xinjiang Xintai Natural Gas Co., Ltd. received a government subsidy of 109.27 million yuan. Other companies such as Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and others also announced their power generation, electricity sales, and financial data for different periods [89] 3.6 Investment Recommendations and Valuation Tables - For the power sector, it is recommended to focus on national coal - fired power leaders, regional leaders in power - supply - tight areas, hydropower operators, coal - fired power equipment manufacturers, and flexibility - transformation technology companies. For the natural gas sector, it is recommended to focus on companies such as XinAo Group Co., Ltd. and Guanghui Energy Co., Ltd. A valuation table of major companies in the utility industry was also provided [92][93][94]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xinji Energy, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance [1][7]. Core Insights - The coal and electricity sectors are showing improvement, which is expected to significantly enhance the company's performance. The concentrated commissioning of power plants in 2026 is anticipated to contribute to profits [1][2][3]. - The company reported a revenue of 9.01 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.95%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.477 billion yuan, down 19.06% year-on-year [1][2]. - The report highlights the expected benefits from the commissioning of new power plants and the potential for increased profitability due to favorable weather conditions in Q4 [3][5]. Summary by Sections Coal Sector - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company produced 16.8037 million tons of raw coal, an increase of 7.87% year-on-year, and sold 14.4685 million tons of commercial coal, up 4.95% year-on-year. The average selling price of coal was 523.21 yuan per ton, down 6.91% year-on-year [2]. - The report anticipates continued improvement in coal prices due to the approaching cold winter, which is expected to positively impact the company's performance [2]. Electricity Sector - The company achieved an electricity generation of 10.38 billion kWh in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27.90%. The average on-grid electricity price was 371.5 yuan per MWh, down 8.45% year-on-year [3]. - The commissioning of new power plants is expected to further boost electricity generation and support price increases in 2026 [3][5]. Financial Projections - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 2.069 billion, 2.585 billion, and 2.625 billion yuan, respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 8.89, 7.11, and 7.01 times [7][6]. - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in free cash flow following the peak of capital expenditures, enhancing its potential for high dividends [5][7].

- The report introduces the **Cinda-VIX volatility index**, which reflects investors' expectations of future volatility in the options market. The index is structured to capture volatility across different time horizons, providing insights into market sentiment and risk expectations[62][61][64] - The methodology for constructing the Cinda-VIX index is based on overseas practices and adjusted to fit the characteristics of China's options market. The calculation is detailed in the research series "Exploring Market Sentiment Embedded in the Options Market"[62][61] - As of October 24, 2025, the 30-day Cinda-VIX values for major indices are: 19.23 for SSE 50, 19.32 for CSI 300, 27.76 for CSI 500, and 24.15 for CSI 1000[62][63][64] - The report also introduces the **Cinda-SKEW index**, which measures the skewness of implied volatility across different strike prices of options. This index helps investors understand market expectations regarding the distribution of future returns and potential tail risks[66][67][61] - The SKEW index is particularly useful for identifying market concerns about extreme negative events, often referred to as "black swan" risks. A SKEW value above 100 indicates heightened investor concern about significant downside risks[67][66] - As of October 24, 2025, the SKEW values for major indices are: 101.75 for SSE 50, 103.69 for CSI 300, 102.25 for CSI 500, and 102.63 for CSI 1000[67][68][66]