Workflow
Xinda Securities
icon
Search documents
煤价旺季反弹,板块逢低配置
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-29 03:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining sector is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector stocks [11][12] - The coal price has stabilized and is expected to continue its upward trend due to safety inspections in production areas, ongoing inventory depletion at ports, and the initiation of peak season demand [11][12] - The valuation of the coal sector remains low, and the continuous improvement in fundamentals and price expectations has not yet been fully reflected, highlighting the sector's investment value [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Trends - As of June 28, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 614 CNY/ton, up 4 CNY/ton week-on-week [11][29] - The international thermal coal offshore price for Newcastle NEWC5500 is 65.3 USD/ton, down 1.3 USD/ton week-on-week [11][29] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port remains stable at 1250 CNY/ton [11][31] Supply and Demand Analysis - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 92.9%, down 1.6 percentage points week-on-week, while the coking coal mine utilization rate is 82.48%, down 2.0 percentage points [11][48] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces has increased by 14.5 thousand tons/day (+4.13%), while consumption in coastal provinces has decreased by 1.6 thousand tons/day (-0.84%) [11][49] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on stable and high-performing companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy, as well as those with significant upside potential like Yanzhou Coal Mining and China Power Investment [12][13] - The coal sector is characterized by high performance, high cash flow, and high dividend yields, making it an attractive investment opportunity [12][13]
周报:新疆、蒙西发布136号文承接方案,西气东输四线全线贯通-20250628
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-28 15:19
新疆、蒙西发布 136 号文承接方案,西气东输四线全线贯通 【】【】[Table_Industry] 公用事业—电力天然气周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 28 日 15666646523.tcy 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 公用事业 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮 箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 李春驰 电力公用联席首席分析师 执业编号:S1500522070001 联系电话:010-83326723 邮 箱:lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 化工行业: 执业编号:S1500524080001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮 箱:xingqinhao@cindasc.com 唐婵玉 电力公用分析师 执业编号:S1500525050001 邮 箱:tangchanyu@cindasc.co ...
超长信用债涨势暂歇,3-5年中低等级表现占优
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-28 14:49
超长信用债涨势暂歇 3-5 年中低等级表现占优 —— 信用利差周度跟踪 [[Table_R Table_Report eportTTime ime]] 2025 年 6 月 28 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 歌声ue 证券研究报告 债券研究 [Table_ReportType] 专题报告 | [Table_A 李一爽 uthor固定收益首席分析师 | ] | | --- | --- | | 执业编号:S1500520050002 | | | 联系电话:+86 18817583889 | | | 邮 | 箱: liyishuang@cindasc.com | 朱金保 固定收益分析师 执业编号:S1500524080002 联系电话:+86 15850662789 联系电话:+86 15850662789 箱: zhujinbao@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金隅 大厦B 座 邮编:100031 3超长信用债涨势暂歇 3-5 年中低等级表现占优 [T ...
GRI发布符合全球气候目标的气候与能源报告标准
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-28 08:12
[Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 06 月 28 日 GRI 发布符合全球气候目标的气候与能源报告标准 [Table_Industry] ESG 周报 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] ESG 投资评级 —— 上次评级 —— [Table_Author] [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500518070001 联系电话:010-83326712 邮 箱:zuoqianming@cindasc.com 郭雪 环保联席首席分析师 执业编号:S1500525030002 邮 箱:guoxue @cindasc.com 吴柏莹 环保行业分析师 执业编号:S1500524100001 邮 箱:wuboying@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] GRI 发布符合全球气候目标的气候与能源报告标准 [Table_ReportDat ...
金工点评报告:贴水持续收窄,衍生品市场释放强回暖信号
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-28 08:08
贴水持续收窄,衍生品市场释放强回暖信号 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 6 月 28 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_FirstAuthor] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品首席分析师 执业编号:S1500521070001 联系电话:+86 18616021459 邮 箱:yumingming@cindasc.com 证券研究报告 金工研究 [T金工ableReportType] 点评报告 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号:S1500521070001 联系电话:+86 18616021459 邮 箱:yumingming@cindasc.com 崔诗笛 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号:S1500523080001 联系电话:+86 18516560686 邮 箱:cuishidi@cindasc.com 孙石 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号:S1500523080010 联系电话:+86 18817366228 邮 箱:sunshi@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 ...
消费系列之二:一线城市收入增速差距在哪里
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-27 08:26
[Table_Title] 一线城市收入增速差距在哪里 ——消费系列之二 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 27 日 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127 号金隅 大厦B 座 邮编:100031 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [➢Table_Summary] 一线城市收支与全国存在持续性裂口。早在 2018-2019 年时,全国、一 线城市、北上两城的人均可支配收入增速差距不大,人均可支配收入增 速基本在 8.4%-9%的区间内波动。而 2020-2024 年,一线城市、北上两 城收入增速和全国间存在持续性裂口。今年 Q1,一线城市收入增速仍比 全国增速低近 1 个百分点 ➢ 一线城市的增收结构本质上不同于全国。无论是一线城市还是全国居 民,可支配收入的主要来源都是工资性收入,二者工资性收入增速差别 不算大。但如果抛开工资收入部分,一线城市收入增长引擎则是财产性 收入,而全国可支配收入增长引擎是转移净收入,财产性收入在全国占 比最小。 ➢ 全国居民收入主要压制在工 ...
顺丰控股(002352):拟配售H股及发行可转债58亿,改善流动性助力公司价值提升
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-26 08:27
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to improve liquidity through the issuance of new H shares and convertible bonds, with a total expected fundraising net amount of approximately HKD 58.33 billion [2][3] - The company has successfully transformed into a comprehensive logistics leader, expanding into various emerging sectors such as express delivery, cold chain, and international logistics, which are expected to enhance profitability and revenue growth [4] - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is expected to grow by 17.1%, 19.7%, and 18.2% respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4] Summary by Sections Fundraising and Liquidity Improvement - The company plans to issue 70 million new H shares at a price of HKD 42.15 per share, which is a discount of approximately 8.8% from the closing price on June 25 [2] - Additionally, the company intends to issue zero-coupon convertible bonds worth HKD 29.5 billion, with an initial conversion price of HKD 48.47 per share, representing a premium of about 5.3% [3] - The funds raised will be used to enhance international and cross-border logistics capabilities, develop advanced technologies, and optimize the company's capital structure [3] Financial Projections - The total revenue for the company is projected to reach HKD 315.54 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.9% [5] - The company's gross profit margin is expected to improve from 12.8% in 2023 to 14.8% in 2027 [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from CNY 2.39 in 2025 to CNY 3.37 in 2027 [5] Profitability and Valuation - The company is expected to maintain a strong cash flow, with cash assets amounting to approximately CNY 427.71 billion as of the end of Q1 2025 [3] - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 21.1x, 17.6x, and 14.9x respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4]
香港低息背景下,关注港股运营类红利资产
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 13:56
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on Hong Kong's dividend assets in the context of a low-interest environment, which benefits financing costs for Hong Kong stocks, particularly in the water and waste incineration sectors [3][16] - The report highlights a significant reduction in capital expenditure in the industry, indicating a shift towards positive free cash flow and stable dividend payouts [3][16] - The report suggests that the "14th Five-Year Plan" will maintain high demand for energy conservation, environmental protection, and resource recycling, which is expected to sustain high industry prosperity [34] Market Performance - As of June 20, the environmental sector declined by 2.51%, underperforming the broader market, with specific declines in various sub-sectors such as water governance and waste incineration [3][9][10] - The report notes that the green electricity trading volume in China reached 220.945 billion kWh from January to May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 49.2% [26] Company Announcements - The report provides detailed financial forecasts and dividend rates for several companies, including: - Yuehai Investment: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 65%, dividend yield of 4.66% [18] - Beikong Water: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 91%, dividend yield of 6.41% [20] - China Water: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 30%, dividend yield of 6.1% [21] - China Everbright Environment: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 41.84%, dividend yield of 5.94% [22] - Green Power Environmental: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 73.39%, dividend yield of 9% [24] - Tianjin Chuangye Environmental: 2024 dividend payout ratio of 34%, dividend yield of 5.58% [25] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on quality operational assets in the water and waste incineration sectors, which are expected to benefit from stable earnings and cash flow [34] - Key recommendations include companies such as Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, with additional attention to companies like Wangneng Environment and Junxin Co. [34]
原油周报:伊以局势不确定性加剧,油价持续攀升-20250623
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 11:43
证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Tabl Table_StockAndRank] 石油加工行业 e_ReportType] 行业评级 ——看好 [Table_ReportDate0] 2025 年 6 月 23 日 本期内容提要: [Table_Summary] ➢ 【油价回顾】截至 2025年 6月 20 日当周,油价保持上行。本周,以 伊互相袭击持续,且未见缓和迹象,伊朗称不会接受特朗普要求的 "无条件投降",美军在本周末袭击伊朗核设施,中东地缘冲突不确 定性增强带来的风险溢价叠加上周美国原油库存大幅下降支撑,国际 油价保持上行。截至本周五(6 月 20 日),布伦特、WTI 油价分别 为 75.48、73.84 美元/桶。 ➢ 【原油价格】截至 2025 年 06 月 20 日当周,布伦特原油期货结算价 为 75.48 美元/桶,较上周上升 1.25 美元/桶(+1.68%);WTI 原油 期货结算价为73.84美元/桶,较上周上升0.86美元/桶(+1.18%); 俄罗斯 Urals 原油现货价为 65.49 美元/桶,与上周持平;俄罗斯 ESPO 原油现货价为 70.42 美元/桶,较上周上升 2 ...
低利率市场环境下海外明星产品借鉴之一:JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-23 11:11
低利率市场环境下海外明星产品借鉴之一: JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 6 月 23 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 证券研究报告 基金研究 [TableReportType] 基金专题报告 [Table_Author] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号:S1500521070001 联系电话:+86 18616021459 邮 箱:yumingming@cindasc.com 崔诗笛 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号:S1500523080001 联系电话:+86 18516560686 邮 箱:cuishidi@cindasc.com 孙石 金融工程与金融产品 金融工程分析师 执业编号:S1500523080010 联系电话:+86 18817366228 邮 箱:sunshi@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金隅 大厦B 座 邮编: ...