Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [5][57]. Core Viewpoints - The company has recently completed a private placement, enhancing its liquidity and entering a new development phase. The breadth and depth of its content strategy are expected to exceed market expectations [1][5]. - The private placement process has accelerated, with significant progress made in a challenging market environment, indicating strong support from Zhejiang State-owned Assets [2]. - The company's content production capabilities have improved, with a pipeline of over 8 films and series, which could lead to substantial revenue growth if successful [3][48]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The completion of the private placement marks a transition for the company, providing necessary capital and signaling a new growth phase [1][5]. - The private placement price increased from 3.94 CNY to 8.19 CNY per share, reflecting market confidence [2]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 0.60 billion, 3.48 billion, and 4.71 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits expected to shift from a loss of 0.05 billion CNY in 2024 to a profit of 1.31 billion CNY by 2026 [5][57]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be - for 2024, 84 for 2025, and 36 for 2026 [5][57]. Company Overview - The company specializes in film and television investment, production, and distribution, with a strong portfolio of past successful projects [22]. - The company is currently under the control of Zhejiang Radio and Television Group, which is expected to enhance its operational capabilities [4][57]. Industry Analysis - The traditional film and television market has faced challenges, with a notable shift towards micro-short dramas, which are experiencing rapid growth [26][30]. - The micro-short drama market is projected to reach 680 billion CNY by 2025, indicating a significant opportunity for content creators [26][30].

证券研究报告 目录 C O N T E N T S 2 ◼ 周观点：短债行情启动中 ◼ 静态票息与综合策略 ◼ 市场调整与板块轮动观察 ◼ 信用债板块与择券观察 ◼ 信用债市场热度观测 ◼ 超长期信用债品种观察 票息周观点：短债行情启动中 过去一周总结：信用好于利率，短端好于长端；短端银行二永及低等级城投已修复3-6bp，短债行情正在启动中。目前短端票息品种仍处于 历史分位数60-80%的区间，建议追逐短端的确定性；而长端情绪依旧较为脆弱。除短久期下沉策略，其余策略资本利得基本为负。 市场交易逻辑：1、社融数据预期与降准预期；2、资金利率边际回落；3、权益风险偏好； 后市策略：资金利率相较之前有所回落，建议跟随短债行情增配。短端未来大概率跟随资金利率回落而收益率回落，长端目前来看更有可 能受后续风险偏好+经济数据修复+刺激政策发力等因素扰动，大概率仍呈震荡格局，适合快进快出，择机交易。根据历史经验，在债市修 复行情启动中，市场调整速度：利率债＞银行永续债＞银行二级资本债＞城投债。修复初期，可优先考虑3Y银行二永，低等级长久期城投 债的修复滞后期较长，建议修复后半段择机增配。 机构行为&异常成交：本周前半周基金 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the technology sector, suggesting a "bull market" driven by improved risk appetite due to potential easing in US-China relations [1][8]. Core Insights - The core insight of the report emphasizes that the performance of major asset classes in Q2 will largely depend on risk appetite, with a particular focus on the equity market benefiting from improved US-China dialogue [1][8]. - The report anticipates a slight economic slowdown in Q2, with GDP growth expected to decrease to approximately 4.9% from 5.1% in Q1, primarily due to weaker internal dynamics in the private sector [2][12]. - The report highlights that broad infrastructure and manufacturing investments are expected to remain resilient, contributing to economic recovery [2][21]. Summary by Sections Economic Overview - Q2 GDP growth is projected to slow to 4.9%, influenced by a recovery in both supply and demand driven by counter-cyclical policies [2][12]. - Retail sales growth is expected to reach 5.5% in Q2, supported by low base effects and policy stimulus [18][19]. Monetary Policy - The report suggests a potential reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut in Q2, while interest rate cuts remain uncertain due to external pressures [3][4]. Fiscal Policy - Fiscal policy is expected to maintain a proactive stance, with an increase in government bond issuance and a focus on special bonds for land reserves [4][46]. Industry Policy - The report indicates a push for innovation and energy consumption control, with a focus on supporting new industries such as quantum technology and AI [4][26]. US Economic Outlook - The US economy is expected to stabilize in Q2, with the report attributing recent economic slowdowns to uncertainties in fiscal policy and trade tariffs [5][7]. Major Asset Classes - The report predicts that the stock market will maintain a high-risk appetite leading up to potential meetings between US and Chinese leaders, with technology stocks expected to perform well [1][8].

Group 1: Financial Data Overview - In February 2025, new RMB loans increased by 1.01 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 440 billion yuan, resulting in a stock growth rate of 7.3%[1] - The social financing scale increased by 2.23 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 737.4 billion yuan, and a month-end growth rate of 8.2%[4] - Government bonds contributed significantly to the financing scale, with an increase of 1.6967 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.0956 trillion yuan[5] Group 2: Loan Structure Analysis - Resident loans showed resilience, with a year-on-year increase of 201.6 billion yuan, while corporate loans decreased by 530 billion yuan year-on-year[2] - Corporate loans increased by 1.04 trillion yuan, but this was a year-on-year decrease of 530 billion yuan, with short-term loans increasing by 330 billion yuan[2] - Non-bank loans increased by 284.4 billion yuan, but this also reflected a year-on-year decrease of 120.1 billion yuan, continuing a downward trend[3] Group 3: Monetary Policy Outlook - The central bank is expected to maintain a loose monetary policy throughout 2025, with an anticipated reduction of 100 basis points in reserve requirement ratios and a 30 basis points cut in interest rates[10] - If US-China tensions escalate, monetary policy may shift towards further easing, while caution is advised regarding potential volatility in the bond market[10] - The M2 growth rate was 7% at the end of February, with a significant contribution from fiscal deposits, indicating a potential liquidity issue[7]

证券研究报告 | 债券市场专题研究 | 债券研究 债券市场专题研究 报告日期：2025 年 03 月 15 日 对本轮债市调整行情的再校对 ——债市策略思考 核心观点 风险偏好持续回升，债市做多情绪仍被压制，本轮调整行情或延续至 5-6 月，建议投 资者顺势而为，上修 10 年国债利率本轮调整上限至 2.0%-2.1%。 ❑ 对本轮债市调整的再校对 2024 年 11 月 25 日至 2025 年 3 月 14 日，债市依次经历了跨年债牛行情、利率底 部震荡过渡期，以及逆风调整行情。10 年国债收益率已于 3 月 11 日最高上行至 接近 1.9%附近。跨年行情至今，债市经历了极端的宽货币预期向更为理性看待货 币宽松的过渡，而投资者亦对当前经济企稳修复产生一定预期。往后看，我们建 议投资者摒弃做多惯性，再次校对债市当前的变与不变，以期为后市交易策略提 供参考。 ❑ 10 年国债接近 1.9%，尚未出现趋势做多契机 10 年国债活跃券收益率于 3 月 11 日盘中上行至接近 1.9%附近，随后几个交易日 虽然略有下行，但低点始终未突破 1.8%，并且区间波动较大，从微观结构的以下 几个迹象来看，市场目前情绪仍旧 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a neutral outlook for the industry, suggesting that the industry index is expected to perform within a range of -10% to +10% relative to the CSI 300 index [17]. Core Insights - The financial data for February 2025 shows a decline, aligning with previous expectations. The credit structure indicates a mixed performance, with household loans showing resilience primarily due to short-term loans, while corporate loans have decreased [1][2]. - The total social financing increased by 2.23 trillion yuan in February, with government bonds being the main support [4][5]. - The report anticipates a continued loose monetary policy throughout 2025, with expected reductions in reserve requirement ratios (approximately 100 basis points) and interest rates (around 30 basis points) [1][10]. Summary by Sections Credit Data - In February, new RMB loans amounted to 1.01 trillion yuan, which was lower than market expectations. Household loans increased, while corporate loans decreased [1][2]. - Specifically, household loans saw a year-on-year increase of 2.016 trillion yuan, driven by short-term loans due to post-holiday consumption recovery [1]. - Corporate loans increased by 1.04 trillion yuan, but this was a year-on-year decrease of 5.3 billion yuan, indicating weak internal financing willingness among enterprises [2]. Social Financing - The social financing scale increased by 2.23 trillion yuan, with government bonds contributing significantly to this growth. The net financing scale of government bonds in January and February reached approximately 2.6 trillion yuan, significantly higher than the previous year's level [4][5]. Monetary Policy Outlook - The report suggests that if US-China tensions escalate, monetary policy may shift towards further easing. The anticipated monetary policy for 2025 remains loose, with a focus on supporting domestic demand [1][10]. - The report also notes that the M2 growth rate was 7% at the end of February, with fiscal deposits being a core support item [7][8].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 | 医药生物 从年报快报看：向质量要收益 ——医药生物周跟踪 20250315 投资要点 ❑ 周思考：从年报快报看—向质量要收益 我们在 2025 年 01 月 27 日外发报告《从年报预告看医药新趋势》中详细梳理了 医药行业年报预告情况，并提出"增长质量=增长确定性"；本周，我们通过进 一步梳理已发布的年报快报及年报情况，再次强调在"供给出清"背景下，"高 质量成长"的重要性。 年报快报看：截至 2025 年 3 月 14 日，申万生物医药板块共 138 家公司发布年报 快报，从已披露的数据情况来看，归母净利润增长的公司占比 37%。其中 51 家 公司归母净利润增长、43 家公司业归母净利润下降、5 家公司扭亏、17 家公司 减亏，细分领域景气度差异以及公司之间利润表现继续分化。 从增长质量看增长确定性，重视运营效率变化：通过分析不同公司前三季度应收 账款周转率变化与全年成长性关系，我们发现，剔除收入和利润变动情况不一致 的情况后，60%的公司表现出运营效率变化与收入和利润变动的一致性，具体而 言，前三季度运营效率改善的公司，全年收入和利润增长的确定性更高；反之， 运营效率变差 ...

证券研究报告 多重催化，铜价开启上涨 ——铜行业二季度策略 行业评级：看好 2025年3月14日 分析师 沈皓俊 研究助理 苏湘涵 邮箱 shenhaojun@stocke.com.cn 邮箱 suxianghan@stocke.com.cn 证书编号 S1230523080011 摘要 1、价格复盘 2 95% ➢ 25Q1铜价复盘：今年截止3月12日，沪铜Q1均价约7.6万元/吨，环增1%，同增10%。2025年初，中美宏观经济数据表现 相对较强，叠加美国关税政策预期缓和，对美国衰退担忧情绪有所减弱，1-2月铜价震荡上行。2月底以来，宏观催化+强基 本面，铜价快速突破短期高点。 2、短期催化 ➢ 宏观层面： 添加标题 （1）美国债务负担问题+经济数据表现相对疲软，或推动美联储加快降息节奏，利好有色金属价格向上。 （2）美国铜进口关税政策预期走强，支撑短期铜价上涨。 ➢ 强基本面： （1）基本面数据：铜冶炼TC再破历史新低，反映上游铜精矿原料供给紧张。铜材开工率相较2022-2024年同期处于较高水平。 （2）供给更新：我们梳理了全球约36家矿企规划(占全球铜矿产量约67%)，2025年净增量合计仅38万吨 ...

行业评级：看好 2025年3月14日 分析师 沈皓俊 研究助理 沈家悦 邮箱 shenhaojun@stocke.com.cn 邮箱 shenjiayue@stocke.com.cn 证书编号 S1230524080011 01 核心观点：做多锡正当时 证券研究报告 锡：供需双催化，做多正当时 ——刚果金供给事件分析 核心观点：做多锡正当时，短期矿紧局面难改 我们认为当前锡供给侧可类比氧化铝GAC停产，需求侧可类比锑金属。 供给侧：刚果金事件影响（占全球供给6%）已超越GAC氧化铝停产（占全球供给4%） 根据公司公告，目前Bisie锡矿已停产。2024年Alphamin全球指引为2万吨锡，占全球产量约6%。而GAC停产占氧化铝全球供给 的4%。直观对比，刚果金供给催化强于GAC事件带来影响。 需求侧：需求可类比锑，光伏&3C消费双景气 根据SMM周度表观需求，锡周度表观需求单周已近4000吨，验证下游需求高景气度。 光伏531政策拉动锡需求，光伏焊带是锡的重要下游之一。市场目前抢装光伏需求较强，短期下游需求呈刚性。3C国补进一步夯 实需求基础。 供给短期难以放量：印尼缅甸放量均较为困难 印尼难以放量：3月上旬 ...

jiang 证券研究报告 | 行业点评 | 银行 投放减弱，资金缓和 ——2 月信贷社融点评 投资要点 （1）居民端，消费复苏或不及预期，零售贷款 1-2 月累计同比少增。如果剔除春 节假期错位影响，我们重点观察 1-2 月累计数据。2025 年 1-2 月居民贷款新增 547 亿，同比少增 3347 亿。其中，居民短期贷款负增 3238 亿，同比多减 1898 亿；居 民中长贷新增 3785 亿，同比少增 1449 亿。我们猜测按揭贷款或呈现回暖态势， 但个人消费贷款和个人经营性贷款等产品的信贷需求或不及去年同期。2 月 TOP100 房企实现销售金额 1881 亿元，同比增长 1.2%。地产市场延续止跌回稳的 态势。 （2）企业端，受提前还款影响，长贷大幅同比少增。2025 年 2 月企业短期贷款 新增 3300 亿，同比少增 2000 亿；企业长贷新增 5400 亿，同比少增 7500 亿。① 年内债务置换开启。1-2 月地方政府再融资专项债累计净融资 8151 亿，同比多增 8148 亿。2025 年置换节奏显著提前，地方政府隐债置换可能带动新一轮的公司长 贷提前还款。预计 2025 年置换债发行节奏 ...