Core Insights - The report highlights a decline in the total profit of industrial enterprises in China, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.1% for the first five months of 2025, indicating a slowdown in industrial profitability [6][8] - High-tech manufacturing continues to support the profitability of industrial enterprises, suggesting a potential area for investment [6][7] - The report notes that while operating income for industrial enterprises grew by 2.7%, the growth rate has narrowed, indicating cost pressures that may affect profitability [6][7] Macroeconomic Overview - The total profit of industrial enterprises reached 27,204.3 billion yuan in the first five months, with a significant drop in May, where profits fell by 9.1% year-on-year [6][7] - The operating income for industrial enterprises showed a slight increase, with a profit margin of 5.0%, which is a marginal improvement from the previous month [6][7] - The report emphasizes the need for demand-side policies to stimulate growth, particularly in the real estate sector, which remains a significant shortfall in domestic demand [7][8] Industry Performance - The report provides a snapshot of various industry performances, with the non-ferrous metals sector showing a positive growth of 2.17%, while the banking sector experienced a decline of 2.95% [5] - The overall industrial production activity remains active, with an industrial added value growth of 6.3% year-on-year, although price pressures persist due to weak demand [7][8] - The report indicates that the prices of key commodities such as crude oil and iron ore have decreased, impacting the profitability of domestic industrial enterprises [8]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on the real estate sector, particularly focusing on the potential of asset-backed securities and public REITs as investment opportunities [3][4]. Core Insights - The asset-backed securities (ABS) market in China has surpassed 3 trillion yuan, indicating its significance in the capital market. The growth in public REITs is expected to provide better exit channels for real estate companies, especially those with substantial real estate holdings [2][3][27]. - The report emphasizes the advantages of real estate as a suitable asset for securitization due to its inherent rental properties that generate stable cash flows and potential for appreciation [13][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Asset Securitization Overview - Asset securitization has evolved into a crucial financing tool in China's capital market, with a focus on transforming illiquid assets into liquid securities [13][14]. - The report categorizes standardized asset securitization products into credit ABS, corporate ABS, and asset-backed notes (ABN), highlighting the differences in regulatory oversight and asset types [25][26]. 2. Market Scale and Growth - As of May 2025, the total scale of asset securitization products in China reached 3.09 trillion yuan, accounting for 6.2% of the total bond market [27][29]. - The issuance of asset securitization products saw a significant increase in 2024, with 2,085 products issued, totaling 1.98 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [36][38]. 3. REITs Development - The report outlines the development of REITs in China, noting the transition from initial trials to a more structured and regular issuance process, with a total of 66 public REITs issued by May 2025, amounting to approximately 1744 billion yuan [19][21][22]. - The expansion of REITs into various sectors, including rental housing and commercial real estate, is highlighted as a significant opportunity for real estate companies to optimize their asset management and liquidity [3][19]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with stable and mature asset portfolios in the long-term rental apartment and commercial real estate sectors, such as China Resources Land, China Overseas Development, and Longfor Group [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, maintaining the previous rating of "Buy" [1]. Core Insights - The company, Suochen Technology, is a leading domestic CAE software enterprise, deeply engaged in the defense and military sectors while continuously expanding into the civilian market. The launch of its physical AI platform is expected to empower the industrial and manufacturing sectors, creating new growth opportunities [1][5][8]. Summary by Sections Stock Performance - The company's stock has shown a year-to-date increase of 36.3%, with a 12-month performance of 47.2% [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 5.1 billion, 6.9 billion, and 9.2 billion RMB, respectively. Net profit for the same period is expected to be 0.88 billion, 1.16 billion, and 1.58 billion RMB, with EPS of 0.99, 1.30, and 1.78 RMB, respectively. The PE ratios are projected to be 72.3, 55.2, and 40.4 times [5][7]. Company Overview - Suochen Technology focuses on the research, development, and sales of CAE software, with a strong emphasis on fluid, structural, and electromagnetic algorithms. The company has established a solid reputation in the defense sector and is expanding into civilian markets, aiming to become a "Chinese Dassault" [8][16]. Market Position - The domestic CAE market is currently dominated by foreign companies, with Ansys, Siemens, and Dassault Systems holding nearly 50% of the market share. However, domestic companies are gradually increasing their market presence, with a reported 16.2% market share for domestic CAE software in 2022, up from 7% in 2016 [50][61]. Product Development - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix, with its engineering simulation software contributing over 50% of revenue and more than 70% of gross profit from 2019 to 2024. The physical AI platform launched in March 2025 is designed to enhance simulation efficiency and accuracy, targeting commercial applications [8][26][50].

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The chemical industry has been significantly impacted by tariff-related policies and fluctuations in crude oil prices. Key areas of focus for June include safety regulations, supply changes in the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance fluctuations due to export dynamics, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials [4][11] - The report suggests a mid-to-long-term investment strategy focusing on high oil prices, robust performance in the oil and gas extraction sector, and the growth potential in new materials, particularly in electronic and renewable energy materials [4][11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of June 29, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemicals sector is 22.34, at the 63.93 percentile historically, while the price-to-book ratio is 1.83, at the 14.09 percentile historically. For the oil and petrochemical sector, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio is 10.98, at the 15.69 percentile historically, and the price-to-book ratio is 1.19, at the 2.39 percentile historically [4][11] Price Changes - In the week of June 23-29, 38 chemical products saw price increases, 38 saw decreases, and 24 remained stable. The average price of WTI crude oil fell by 12.56% to $65.52 per barrel, while Brent crude fell by 12.00% to $67.77 per barrel. The average price of MDI decreased by 1.59% to 15,500 CNY/ton, while H acid increased by 5.39% to 44,000 CNY/ton [10][28][30] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong dividend policies and those in high-growth sectors such as oil and gas, electronic materials, and new energy materials. Specific companies highlighted for investment include China Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and several others in the electronic materials sector [4][11]

计算机 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 6 月 30 日 强于大市 多因素催化下，网络安全景 气度有望提升 计算机行业"一周解码" 本周（6.23-6.28）网络安全指数（884133.WI）和数据安全指数（8841651WI） 上涨较多。我们认为主要催化因素包括：跨境支付通正式上线；央行将制定 新阶段金融科技发展规划，并开展数据要素试点；国泰君安获虚拟资产交易 牌，虚拟资产交易有望扩容，催生加密安全技术需求。 支撑评级的要点 (1)科大讯飞：在 2025 全球元宇宙大会上，科大讯飞副总裁于亮介绍了公 司在人工智能领域的最新成果，并表示正探索利用 AI 技术提升元宇宙交 互体验，如通过语音合成等技术让虚拟人更智能。 (2)新北洋：公告拟使用自有资金 5000 万元设立全资子公司新疆北洋海丝 数字科技有限公司，以满足业务发展和提升运营效率。 投资建议 建议关注网络安全、跨境支付等相关企业，包括安恒信息、恒宝股份、 吉大正元、南天信息等。 评级面临的主要风险 技术创新不及预期；政策推行不到位；下游需求景气度不稳定的风险。 相关研究报告 《计算机行业"一周解码"》20250623 《计算机行业"一周解 ...

Macro Economy - The report emphasizes the importance of financial support in stabilizing growth in the second half of the year, with a focus on consumption, real estate, and monetary policy adjustments [5][19][20] - The industrial profits of major enterprises decreased by 9.1% year-on-year in May, indicating challenges in effective demand and industrial product prices [4][18] Asset Allocation - The recommended order of asset allocation is stocks > commodities > bonds > currency, reflecting a bullish outlook on stocks due to anticipated policy implementations [5][12] - The report suggests an overweight position in stocks, a underweight position in bonds, and a neutral stance on commodities and currencies [3][12] Stock Market Performance - A-shares showed a positive trend, with the CSI 300 index rising by 1.95% and the CSI 300 futures increasing by 2.83% [11][12] - The report highlights the performance of various sectors, with technology and defense industries leading the gains [35][36] Bond Market Insights - The yield on ten-year government bonds rose by 1 basis point to 1.65%, indicating a slight upward trend in bond yields [11][41] - The report notes a divergence in the bond market, with credit spreads and term spreads showing slight increases [41][43] Commodity Market Analysis - Commodity prices experienced fluctuations, with coking coal futures rising by 4.64% and iron ore contracts increasing by 1.64% [11][12] - The report emphasizes the need to monitor fiscal policies related to commodity markets [5][12] Currency and Forex Trends - The report indicates that the yield on money market funds is expected to fluctuate around 2%, reflecting a cautious outlook on currency investments [3][12] - The Chinese yuan's exchange rate is supported by the economic fundamentals, allowing for wide fluctuations [3][12]

宏观经济 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 6 月 29 日 周度金融市场跟踪 本周以伊停火，风险资产全面上涨；债券市场 小幅震荡（ 6 月 23 日 -6 月 27 日） ◼ 股票方面，本周 A 股放量上涨。全周累计看，沪深 300 上涨 2.0%，中证 1000 上涨 4.6%，中证 2000 上涨 5.6%，小盘股涨幅大于大盘股。恒生指数上涨 3.2%，恒生科 技指数上涨 4.1%。行业方面，本周 31 个一级行业仅石油化工、食品饮料和交通运输 3 个行业下跌，计算机、军工和非银领涨，且涨幅均在 6%以上。周内看，上周末美 国打击了伊朗核设施，以伊局势一度升温，周一早晨（6 月 23 日）以色列总理表示 伊朗核设施已受到重创，以色列对伊朗的行动目标接近完成，市场避险情绪有所下降， 当天 A 股超 4400 家公司上涨。周二凌晨（6 月 24 日），特朗普在其社交媒体上发文 表示，以色列和伊朗已同意全面停火。当天 A 股放量上涨，全天超 4700 家公司上涨， 全 A 成交额超 1.4 万亿元，较前一天上升超 3000 亿元。周二盘后，中国人民银行等 六部门联合印发《关于金融支持提振和扩大消费 ...

电力设备 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 6 月 29 日 强于大市 电力设备与新能源行业 6月 第 4 周周报 5 月风光装机高增，小米 YU7 订单亮眼 新能源汽车方面，本周小米 YU7 正式上市，1 小时大定突破 28.9 万台，下 半年随着新能源新车型不断推出，新能源汽车产品力不断增强，2025 年国内 新能源汽车销量有望保持高增，带动电池和材料需求增长。动力电池方面， 固态电池催化不断，本周美国 QS 宣布其固态电池生产获里程碑式进展，固 态电池产业化趋势明确，后续关注固态电池相关材料和设备企业验证进展。 光伏方面，中央经济工作会议明确提出综合整治"内卷式"竞争，国家市场监 管总局针对光伏组件进行抽检，光伏供给侧改革力度有望加强；需求侧，我 国 5 月光伏装机高达 92.92GW，装机同比增长 388%，可能一定程度上压制 25H2 光伏装机需求，密切关注供给变化情况，光伏板块重点关注硅料环节 和 BC 以及贱金属降本方向。氢能方面，政策持续推动氢能产业化发展，能 源局开展能源领域氢能试点，地方政策催化不断，建议关注具备成本优势、 技术优势的电解槽生产企业、受益于氢能基础设施建设的燃料 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a focus on specific stocks for June, including 顺丰控股 (SF Holding), 安集科技 (Anji Technology), and 佰仁医疗 (Bairen Medical) among others, indicating potential investment opportunities in these companies [1] - The overall market indices showed slight declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3448.45, down 0.22% [1] Strategy Research - The report discusses a traditional multi-factor scoring industry rotation strategy that prioritizes low valuation, low crowding, and upward economic momentum, achieving an annualized return of 19.64% during the backtest period from April 1, 2014, to June 6, 2025, compared to a benchmark return of 7.55% [2][8] - The strategy involves selecting two single factors from four dimensions: valuation, quality, liquidity, and momentum, and forming a composite factor through equal weighting [8][9] Mechanical Equipment Sector - 芯碁微装 (Chipbond Technology) announced a new contract worth 146 million yuan, representing approximately 15% of its projected 2024 revenue, indicating strong demand driven by the AI infrastructure boom [10][11] - The company reported a revenue of 242 million yuan in Q1 2025, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 3% and a year-over-year increase of 22%, alongside a gross margin of 41.3% [11][12] - The AI infrastructure trend is expected to significantly boost the demand for high-end PCB products, with major tech companies like Meta and Microsoft increasing their capital expenditures for AI-related infrastructure [12]

Market Overview - The Wind All A Index achieved three consecutive gains from June 23 to June 25, 2025, increasing market attention on whether the index can break through the previous consolidation platform[6] - As of June 25, the slow line reported 38.4% and the fast line reported 53.9%, indicating the current moving average system is in a "consolidation market" environment[6] BOCIASI Indicator Insights - The BOCIASI sentiment indicator is currently at 62.0%, suggesting that there is still room for upward movement in the index, but caution is warranted due to the high absolute levels[4][7] - The slow line's reduction threshold in a "consolidation market" is set at 44.0%, while the fast line's reduction threshold is at 70.0%[4][6] Investment Strategy Recommendations - Investors are advised to maintain current positions without reducing holdings, while adjusting the portfolio structure to prioritize "controlling drawdowns" over "beating the index"[7] - Even if the brokerage sector continues to rise and leads the index to break the box, there remains a possibility of a subsequent pullback, similar to the experience from October 8 to October 17, 2024[7] Risk Considerations - There is a risk of irrational market fluctuations triggered by unexpected events, which could impact investment strategies[10][7]