1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Report's Core View - The futures price of HC2601 may fall into range consolidation due to the balance between bulls and bears in the market. Technically, the 1-hour MACD indicator of the HC2601 contract shows that DIFF and DEA are running below the 0 axis, but the red column is expanding. It is recommended to conduct short - term trading and pay attention to rhythm and risk control [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - HC main contract closing price is 3,358 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan; the position volume is 1,369,716 lots, up 1,955 lots; the net position of the top 20 in the HC contract is - 76,157 lots, up 1,287 lots; the HC10 - 1 contract spread is 62 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan; the HC last - trading - day warehouse receipt is 32,504 tons, down 5,355 tons; the HC2601 - RB2601 contract spread is 191 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The price of 4.75 hot - rolled coils in Hangzhou, Guangzhou, Wuhan, and Tianjin remains unchanged at 3,420 yuan/ton, 3,370 yuan/ton, 3,430 yuan/ton, and 3,330 yuan/ton respectively. The HC main contract basis is 62 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan; the Hangzhou hot - rolled coil - rebar spread is 80 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The price of 61.5% PB powder ore in Qingdao Port is 789 yuan/wet ton, down 3 yuan; the price of Hebei quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke is 1,490 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Tangshan 6 - 8mm scrap steel is 2,280 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Hebei Q235 billet is 3,030 yuan/ton, unchanged. The 45 - port iron ore inventory is 13,804.22 million tons, down 48.91 million tons; the sample coking plant coke inventory is 42.21 million tons, down 1.55 million tons; the sample steel mill coke inventory is 644.90 million tons, up 11.29 million tons; the Hebei billet inventory is 122.5 million tons, up 0.77 million tons [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills is 84.00%, up 0.15%; the blast furnace capacity utilization rate is 90.38%, up 0.18%. The sample steel mill hot - rolled coil output is 324.19 million tons, down 2.30 million tons; the sample steel mill hot - rolled coil capacity utilization rate is 82.81%, down 0.59%. The sample steel mill hot - rolled coil factory inventory is 81.70 million tons, up 0.40 million tons; the 33 - city hot - rolled coil social inventory is 298.80 million tons, up 2.11 million tons. The domestic crude steel output is 7,737 million tons, down 229 million tons; the steel net export volume is 901.00 million tons, down 38.00 million tons [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The monthly automobile production is 281.54 million vehicles, up 22.43 million vehicles; the monthly automobile sales are 285.66 million vehicles, up 26.32 million vehicles. The monthly air - conditioner output is 1,681.88 million units, down 377.77 million units; the monthly household refrigerator output is 945.32 million units, up 72.25 million units; the monthly household washing machine output is 1,013.18 million units, up 135.75 million units [2] 3.6 Industry News - On September 25, Mysteel information showed that the actual hot - rolled coil output was 324.19 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 2.3 million tons; the factory inventory was 81.7 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.4 million tons; the social inventory was 298.8 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 2.11 million tons; the total inventory was 380.5 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 2.51 million tons; the apparent demand was 321.68 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.14 million tons. On September 24, the US announced to lower the tariff on EU - imported cars to 15%, effective retroactively from August 1 [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The lithium carbonate futures main contract showed a volatile and slightly stronger trend, with an increase of 0.93% at the close. The fundamentals suggest stable supply and positive demand expectations. The option market sentiment is bullish, and the implied volatility has slightly increased. Technically, the 60 - minute MACD shows the double - line above the 0 - axis with an expanding red column. The recommended operation is to go long on dips with a light position and control risks by paying attention to the trading rhythm [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The main contract closing price was 74,040 yuan/ton, up 1,160 yuan; the net position of the top 20 was - 167,185 hands, down 8,304 hands. - The main contract open interest was 261,141 hands, up 487 hands; the spread between near - and far - month contracts was - 260 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan/ton. - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange warehouse receipts were 39,749 hands/ton, up 300 hands [2]. Spot Market - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 73,750 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 71,500 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan. - The basis of the Li₂CO₃ main contract was - 290 yuan/ton, down 1,260 yuan [2]. Upstream Situation - The average price of spodumene concentrate (6% CIF China) was 876 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the average price of amblygonite was 7,285 yuan/ton, up 75 yuan. - The price of lithium mica (2 - 2.5%) was 2,645 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. Industry Situation - The monthly lithium carbonate output was 45,880 tons, up 1,280 tons; the monthly import volume was 21,846.92 tons, up 8,001.60 tons. - The monthly export volume was 368.91 tons, up 2.56 tons; the monthly enterprise operating rate was 46%, down 2 percentage points. - The monthly power battery output was 139,600 MWh, up 5,800 MWh [2]. Downstream and Application - The output and sales of new energy vehicles increased, with the monthly output at 1,391,000 vehicles, up 148,000 vehicles, and the monthly sales at 1,395,000 vehicles, up 133,000 vehicles. - The cumulative sales penetration rate of new energy vehicles was 45.53%, up 0.54 percentage points; the cumulative sales were 9,620,000 vehicles, up 2,583,000 vehicles. - The monthly export volume was 224,000 vehicles, down 10,000 vehicles; the cumulative export volume was 1.532 million vehicles, up 714,000 vehicles [2]. Option Situation - The total call open interest was 217,754 contracts, up 5,066 contracts; the total put open interest was 104,293 contracts, down 1,074 contracts. - The total open - interest put - call ratio was 47.89%, down 1.6458 percentage points; the at - the - money IV implied volatility was 0.43%, up 0.0225 percentage points [2]. Industry News - Whensheng Technology introduced its progress in solid - state lithium battery cathode materials, lithium - rich manganese - based materials, etc. - Cui Dongshu of the Passenger Car Association was optimistic about the automotive industry during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period, expecting a total output of 40 million vehicles. - Enjie Co., Ltd. announced that its pilot production line of lithium sulfide was completed and in the process of capacity ramping [2].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned Group 2: Core View of the Report - The red date market is at a critical period of transition between old and new seasons, with the main - producing areas' grey dates entering the sugar - increasing stage. The physical inventory of 36 sample points in the red date market this week is 9,247 tons, a decrease of 74 tons from last week, a 0.79% week - on - week decrease and an 80.64% year - on - year increase. The arrival volume in the sales area market is small, the downstream purchasing enthusiasm is average, and the overall trading atmosphere is weak. There is a technical correction in red date prices on the market. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and pay attention to holiday stocking [2] Group 3: Summary According to the Directory Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for red dates is 10,970 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 185 yuan/ton. The position of the main contract is 158,928 lots, with a week - on - week increase of 2,813 lots. The net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 8,985 lots, with a week - on - week decrease of 2,617 lots. The number of warehouse receipts is 7,063 lots, with a week - on - week decrease of 341 lots. The total valid warehouse receipt forecast is 58 lots, with no week - on - week change [2] Spot Market - The prices of red date bulk goods in Kashgar, Alar, and Aksu are 6 yuan/kg, 5.2 yuan/kg, and 4.8 yuan/kg respectively, with no week - on - week change. The wholesale prices of first - grade grey dates in Hebei and Henan are 4.75 yuan/jin, with no week - on - week change. The prices of special - grade red dates in Hebei, Henan, and Guangdong are 10.48 yuan/kg, 10.5 yuan/kg, and 11.7 yuan/kg respectively, with only the Hebei price having a week - on - week increase of 0.02 yuan/kg. The price of first - grade red dates in Guangdong is 10.6 yuan/kg, with no week - on - week change [2] Upstream Market - The annual output of red dates is 606.9 tons, with a year - on - year increase of 318.7 tons. The planting area is 199.3 hectares, with a year - on - year decrease of 4.1 hectares [2] Industry Situation - The national red date inventory is 9,247 tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 74 tons. The monthly export volume of red dates is 2,364,893 kg, with a month - on - month increase of 580,729 kg. The cumulative monthly export volume is 21,264,731 kg, with an increase of 2,364,893 kg [2] Downstream Situation - The cumulative quarterly sales volume of red dates of Hao Xiang Ni is - 2,981.06 tons. The cumulative quarterly year - on - year production growth rate is 1.47%, with a decrease of 34.59 percentage points [2] Industry News - In the Hebei Cuierzhuang market, 3 trucks of red dates arrived, and the prices remained stable. The reference arrival price for special - grade red dates is 10.60 yuan/kg, and for first - grade red dates is 9.60 yuan/kg, with downstream purchasing according to demand. In the Guangdong Ruyifang market, 2 trucks of red dates arrived, and the spot prices remained stable. Due to the typhoon alert in Guangdong, the number of purchasing customers is small, and the trading volume is average [2]

白糖产业日报 2025-09-25 糖预计微幅增产，现货价格稳中走弱。粤西产区受台风影响迎来大风大雨影响，但考虑对甘蔗影响不及上 研究员: 王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021556 年台风，短期市场情绪存在修复，关注上方压力。操作上，建议观望为主。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:白糖(日,元/吨) | 5485 | -12 主力合约持仓量:白糖(日,手) | 431349 | -7657 482 ...

鸡蛋产业日报 2025-09-25 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):鸡蛋(日,元/500千 20 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:鸡蛋(日,手) | 3076 | -7285 | -4594 | | 期货市场 | | | | | | | 克) 鸡蛋期货月间价差(1-5):(日,元/500千克) 21 期货持仓量(活跃合约):鸡蛋(日,手) | -17 | 346279 | -16242 | | | 注册仓单量:鸡蛋(日,手) 26 | 26 | | | | 现货市 ...

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - On Thursday, the RB2601 contract fluctuated. The central bank announced a 600 billion yuan MLF operation on September 25, with a net injection of 300 billion yuan this month, a seventh consecutive month of increased roll - overs. The weekly output of rebar remained low with a capacity utilization rate of 45.26%. During the consumption peak season, inventory continued to decline and apparent demand increased. Overall, the steel market was mixed. With the approaching long - holiday, there would be a tug - of - war between bulls and bears, and the market might range - bound. Technically, the 1 - hour MACD indicator of the RB2601 contract showed that DIFF and DEA were near the 0 - axis with shrinking green bars. Short - term trading was recommended, paying attention to rhythm and risk control [2] Group 3: Summary by Directory Futures Market - RB main contract closing price was 3,167 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan; RB main contract open interest was 1,870,449 lots, down 11,775 lots; RB contract top 20 net positions were - 171,227 lots, up 20,425 lots; RB1 - 5 contract spread was - 58 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan; RB SHFE warehouse receipt daily report was 277,122 tons, up 7,616 tons; HC2601 - RB2601 contract spread was 191 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan [2] Spot Market - The price of HRB400E 20MM in Hangzhou (theoretical weight) was 3,340 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Hangzhou (actual weight) was 3,426 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Guangzhou (theoretical weight) was 3,340 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Tianjin (theoretical weight) was 3,230 yuan/ton, unchanged. RB main contract basis was 173 yuan/ton, down 3 yuan; Hangzhou hot - rolled coil - rebar spot spread was 80 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Upstream Situation - The price of 61.5% PB fines at Qingdao Port was 789 yuan/wet ton, down 3 yuan; the price of Hebei quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke was 1,490 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of 6 - 8mm scrap steel in Tangshan (tax - excluded) was 2,280 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Hebei Q235 billet was 3,030 yuan/ton, unchanged. The 45 - port iron ore inventory was 138.0422 million tons, down 489,100 tons; the sample coking plant coke inventory was 422,100 tons, down 15,500 tons [2] Industry Situation - The sample steel mill coke inventory was 6.449 million tons, up 112,900 tons; the Tangshan billet inventory was 1.225 million tons, up 7,700 tons. The 247 steel mill blast furnace operating rate was 84%, up 0.15 percentage points; the 247 steel mill blast furnace capacity utilization rate was 90.38%, up 0.18 percentage points. The sample steel mill rebar output was 2.0646 million tons, up 100 tons; the sample steel mill rebar capacity utilization rate was 45.26%, unchanged. The sample steel mill rebar inventory was 1.6441 million tons, down 6,600 tons; the 35 - city rebar social inventory was 4.7189 million tons, down 133,200 tons. The independent electric arc furnace steel mill operating rate was 67.71%, down 2.08 percentage points; the domestic crude steel output was 77.37 million tons, down 2.29 million tons. The monthly output of Chinese rebar was 1.518 million tons, down 23,000 tons; the net steel export volume was 901,000 tons, down 38,000 tons [2] Downstream Situation - The national real estate climate index was 93.05, down 0.28; the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of fixed - asset investment completion was 0.5%, down 1.1 percentage points; the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of real estate development investment completion was - 12.9%, down 0.9 percentage points; the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of infrastructure construction investment was 2%, down 1.2 percentage points. The cumulative value of housing construction area was 6.43109 billion square meters, down 43.78 million square meters; the cumulative value of new housing construction area was 398.01 million square meters, down 45.95 million square meters; the commercial housing unsold area was 402.29 million square meters, up 3.07 million square meters [2] Industry News - On September 25, Mysteel reported that the actual rebar output was 2.0646 million tons, up 100 tons week - on - week; the mill inventory was 1.6441 million tons, down 6,600 tons; the social inventory was 4.7189 million tons, down 133,200 tons; the total inventory was 6.363 million tons, down 139,800 tons; the apparent demand was 2.2044 million tons, up 104,100 tons. Also, on September 25, rainfall affected 2 tailings ponds in Guangxi with over 100 mm of rain (0 "over - head" ponds), and 65 tailings ponds in Guangxi, Guizhou and Yunnan with 50 - 100 mm of rain (1 "over - head" pond) [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On September 25, the JM2601 contract of coking coal closed at 1234.5, up 0.98%. It is recommended to treat it as a volatile and bullish trend. The J2601 contract of coke closed at 1760.0, up 2.00%. It is also recommended to treat it as a volatile and bullish trend. Investors should pay attention to risk control [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the JM main - contract was 1234.50 yuan/ton, up 10.00 yuan; the closing price of the J main - contract was 1760.00 yuan/ton, up 30.00 yuan. The JM futures contract持仓量 was 907095.00 hands, down 17976.00 hands; the J futures contract持仓量 was 53441.00 hands, up 822.00 hands [2]. - The net position of the top 20 coking coal contracts was - 115319.00 hands, up 5854.00 hands; the net position of the top 20 coke contracts was - 5802.00 hands, down 216.00 hands. The JM5 - 1 month contract spread was 93.50 yuan/ton, up 6.00 yuan; the J5 - 1 month contract spread was 140.00 yuan/ton, down 1.00 yuan [2]. - The coking coal warehouse receipts were 0.00; the coke warehouse receipts were 1690.00 [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The price of Ganqimao Du Meng 5 raw coal was 1038.00 yuan/ton, down 2.00 yuan; the price of Tangshan Grade - 1 metallurgical coke was 1665.00 yuan/ton, unchanged. The price of Russian prime coking coal forward spot was 151.50 US dollars/wet ton, unchanged; the price of Rizhao Port quasi - Grade - 1 metallurgical coke was 1470.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of imported prime coking coal from Australia at Jingtang Port was 1630.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Grade - 1 metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port was 1570.00 yuan/ton, unchanged. The price of prime coking coal produced in Shanxi at Jingtang Port was 1750.00 yuan/ton, up 70.00 yuan; the price of quasi - Grade - 1 metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port was 1470.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of medium - sulfur prime coking coal in Lingshi, Jinzhong, Shanxi was 1270.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the J main - contract basis was - 95.00 yuan/ton, down 30.00 yuan. The price of coking coal ex - factory in Wuhai, Inner Mongolia was 1080.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the JM main - contract basis was 35.50 yuan/ton, down 10.00 yuan [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The daily output of clean coal from 314 independent coal washing plants was 27.50 million tons, up 0.70 million tons; the weekly inventory of clean coal from 314 independent coal washing plants was 310.70 million tons, up 6.30 million tons. The weekly capacity utilization rate of 314 independent coal washing plants was 0.38%, up 0.01 percentage points; the monthly raw coal output was 39049.70 million tons, up 951.00 million tons [2]. - The monthly import volume of coal and lignite was 4274.00 million tons, up 713.00 million tons; the daily average output of raw coal from 523 coking coal mines was 194.00 million tons, up 4.10 million tons. The weekly inventory of imported coking coal at 16 ports was 515.32 million tons, up 48.97 million tons; the weekly inventory of coke at 18 ports was 260.80 million tons, up 2.49 million tons [2]. - The weekly total inventory of coking coal of independent coking enterprises in the full - sample was 940.41 million tons, up 56.87 million tons; the weekly inventory of coke of independent coking enterprises in the full - sample was 66.41 million tons, down 1.43 million tons. The weekly inventory of coking coal of 247 steel mills nationwide was 790.34 million tons, down 3.39 million tons; the weekly inventory of coke of 247 sample steel mills nationwide was 644.67 million tons, up 11.38 million tons [2]. - The weekly available days of coking coal of independent coking enterprises in the full - sample was 12.74 days, down 0.07 days; the weekly available days of coke of 247 sample steel mills was 11.42 days, up 0.13 days. The monthly import volume of coking coal was 1016.22 million tons, up 55.50 million tons; the monthly export volume of coke and semi - coke was 55.00 million tons, down 34.00 million tons [2]. - The monthly output of coking coal was 4089.38 million tons, up 25.00 million tons; the weekly capacity utilization rate of independent coking enterprises was 75.87%, down 0.05 percentage points. The weekly profit per ton of coke in independent coking plants was - 17.00 yuan/ton, down 52.00 yuan/ton. The monthly output of coke was 4259.70 million tons, up 74.20 million tons [2]. 3.4 Downstream Situation - The weekly blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills was 84.00%, up 0.15 percentage points; the weekly blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.38%, up 0.18 percentage points. The monthly output of crude steel was 7736.86 million tons, down 228.96 million tons [2]. 3.5 Industry News - On September 24, some coking enterprises proposed a price increase of 50 - 55 yuan/ton, and mainstream coking enterprises planned to propose the first - round price increase for coke on the 25th, intensifying the game between coking and steel enterprises [2]. - On September 24 local time, the US announced to reduce the tariff on imported cars from the EU to 15%, effective retroactively from August 1 [2]. - On September 23, 190 mining companies in Indonesia were subject to administrative penalties for failing to provide reclamation as required and comply with production quotas, and were ordered to suspend operations for up to 60 days. Most of the coal mines shut down were long - term shut - down mines, so the impact on Indonesia's current coal production and exports was limited [2]. - Multiple departments such as the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a notice on printing and distributing the "Work Plan for Steady Growth of the Building Materials Industry (2025 - 2026)", proposing to strictly control the production capacity of cement and glass. No new production capacity of cement clinker and flat glass is allowed, and new or renovated projects must formulate production capacity replacement plans [2]. 3.6 Viewpoint Summary - For coking coal on September 25, the 2601 contract closed at 1234.5, up 0.98%. On the spot side, the price of Tangshan Meng 5 clean coal was reported at 1366, equivalent to 1146 on the disk. Macroscopically, according to the bilateral agreement between China and Mongolia, the three major import ports of Ganqimao Du, Ceke, and Mandula will be closed from October 1 to 7, 2025, and will resume normal customs clearance on October 8. Fundamentally, the capacity utilization rate of mines has rebounded for two consecutive weeks, some coal varieties have rebounded, the capacity utilization rate of independent coal washing plants has continued to rise, the cumulative import growth rate has declined for 3 consecutive months, and the inventory is neutral. Technically, the daily K is above the 20 - day and 60 - day moving averages. It is recommended to treat it as a volatile and bullish trend [2]. - For coke on September 25, the 2601 contract closed at 1760.0, up 2.00%. On the spot side, after the second - round price cut of coke was implemented, some coking enterprises proposed a price increase of 50 - 55 yuan/ton. Macroscopically, Guangdong issued an emergency notice on doing a good job in the defense of Typhoon "Huajiacha" and entered the typhoon defense state immediately. Fundamentally, on the demand side, the current iron - water output was 241.02 million tons, up 0.47 million tons, with the iron - water fluctuating at a high level, and the coke inventory was higher than the same period. In terms of profit, the average loss per ton of coke of 30 independent coking plants nationwide was 17 yuan/ton. Technically, the daily K is above the 20 - day and 60 - day moving averages. It is recommended to treat it as a volatile and bullish trend [2].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests a short - term bearish approach for cotton prices [2] Core Viewpoints - The new cotton season shows a significant increase in production, with the expected total cotton output in 2025 reaching 721.6 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 8.3% and an upward adjustment of 32.1 million tons from the previous period, hitting a new high since 2013. With only a small amount of new cotton on the market and the lack of a peak season in the downstream, the short - term support for cotton prices has weakened [2] Summary by Directory Futures Market - Zhengzhou cotton's main contract closing price is 13,530 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan; cotton yarn's main contract closing price is 19,780 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan. The net position of the top 20 in cotton futures is - 23,381 lots, an increase of 1,105 lots; for cotton yarn futures, it is 87 lots, an increase of 134 lots. The main contract positions for cotton are 525,141 lots, down 3,151 lots; for cotton yarn, it is 9,561 lots, down 2,220 lots. The cotton warehouse receipt quantity is 3,583 sheets, down 133 sheets; the cotton yarn warehouse receipt quantity is 0 sheets, unchanged [2] Spot Market - The China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex:3128B) is 15,083 yuan/ton, up 21 yuan; the China Imported Cotton Price Index (FCIndexM:1% tariff) is 13,336 yuan/ton, up 69 yuan; the China Imported Cotton Price Index (FCIndexM:sliding duty) is 14,181 yuan/ton, up 34 yuan. The China Yarn Price Index for pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 20,615 yuan/ton, unchanged; the arrival price of imported pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 21,464 yuan/ton, up 22 yuan; for imported pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn, it is 22,652 yuan/ton, up 24 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The national cotton sowing area is 2,838.3 thousand hectares, an increase of 48.3 thousand hectares; the national cotton output is 616 million tons, an increase of 54 million tons. The cotton - yarn price difference is 5,532 yuan/ton, down 21 yuan; the national industrial inventory of cotton is 87 million tons, an increase of 1.3 million tons [2] Industry Situation - The monthly import volume of cotton is 7 million tons, an increase of 2 million tons; the monthly import volume of cotton yarn is 130,000 tons, an increase of 20,000 tons. The daily import cotton profit is 881 yuan/ton, down 105 yuan; the national commercial inventory of cotton is 148.17 million tons, down 70.81 million tons [2] Downstream Situation - The yarn inventory days are 26.58 days, down 0.65 days; the grey fabric inventory days are 33.87 days, down 1.31 days. The monthly cloth output is 2.701 billion meters, an increase of 0.01 billion meters; the monthly yarn output is 202.79 million tons, an increase of 3.64 million tons. The monthly export value of clothing and clothing accessories is 1,414,590.4 million US dollars, down 101,585.5 million US dollars; the monthly export value of textile yarns, fabrics and products is 1,239,320.2 million US dollars, up 78,919.3 million US dollars [2] Option Market - The implied volatility of cotton at - the - money call options is 8.95%, down 1.49%; the implied volatility of cotton at - the - money put options is 8.95%, down 1.49%. The 20 - day historical volatility of cotton is 9.29%, up 0.26%; the 60 - day historical volatility of cotton is 7.17%, down 0.01% [2] Industry News - As of September 18, the operating load of mainstream textile enterprises is 66.6%, a month - on - month increase of 0.15%, but the recovery of the operating rate has slowed down. Although it is the peak season, the downstream orders have limited growth. Most inland textile enterprises maintain a balance between procurement and sales, with an operating rate of 50% - 60% in inland areas and about 90% in Xinjiang. ICE cotton futures closed down on Wednesday, pressured by the strengthening US dollar [2] Viewpoint Summary - The 2025 national cotton is expected to have a total output of 721.6 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 8.3%, hitting a new high since 2013. With a small amount of new cotton on the market and the lack of a peak season in the downstream, the short - term support for cotton prices has weakened [2]

甲醇产业日报 2025-09-25 注外轮卸货速度及提货量变动。需求方面，华东地区烯烃企业整体负荷略有提升，神华新疆以及宁夏宝丰 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 三期装置重启，带动本周国内甲醇制烯烃开工率继续提升，关注青海盐湖烯烃装置下周是否重启。MA2601 免责声明 合约短线预计在2300-2380区间波动。 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 主力合约收盘价甲醇(日,元/吨) | 2356 | 5 甲醇1- ...

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests maintaining long positions in the short - term [2] 2) Report's Core View - New - season apples: Western late - Fuji is undergoing large - scale bag removal with sporadic red fruit trading, stable prices, and good buyer enthusiasm. In Shandong, the Red General trading is mostly finished, late - Fuji bag removal has just started. The Red General's price varies due to quality, and the price of early - picked Fuji is higher than last year. Double - festival stocking is in progress, and western rainfall may delay large - scale bag removal. Market has high expectations for the opening price of late - maturing Fuji, providing some price support [2] - Inventory apples: Affected by mid - maturing variety trading, the inventory turnover in Shandong has slowed down [2] 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the apple futures main contract is 8446 yuan/ton, the main contract's open interest is 6315 hands, and the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is 3880 hands, with a net long position increase of 508 hands [2] 现货市场 - The spot prices of apples in Gansu Jingning, Shandong Yiyuan, Shaanxi Luochuan, and Shandong Yantai Qixia are reported, with some prices showing no change [2] Upstream Situation - The national apple output is 5128.51 million tons [2] Industry Situation - The weekly apple wholesale price is 9.7 yuan/kg (down 0.06 yuan/kg), the average weekly wholesale price of Fuji apples is 9.35 yuan/kg (down 0.03 yuan/kg) - The national apple cold - storage inventory is 16.32 million tons (down 4.59 million tons), Shandong's apple storage capacity ratio is 0.04 (down 0.01), Shaanxi's is 0 - The monthly apple export volume is 70,000 tons (up 20,000 tons), the monthly apple export value is 6973.9 million US dollars (down 153306.5 million US dollars), and the monthly import value of fresh and dried fruits and nuts is 645.5 million US dollars - The profit of first - and second - grade paper - bag 80 apple storage merchants is 0.3 yuan/jin [2] Downstream Situation - The weekly average wholesale price of tangerines is 8.09 yuan/kg (down 0.65 yuan/kg), bananas is 3.83 yuan/kg (up 0.11 yuan/kg), and watermelons is 5.52 yuan/kg (down 0.04 yuan/kg) - The early - morning daily average number of trucks arriving at the Guangdong Jiangmen, Xiaqiao, and Chalong wholesale markets shows different changes [2] Option Market - The implied volatility of at - the - money call and put options for apples is 23.48% and 23.47% respectively, with an increase of 0.52% and 0.51% [2] Industry News - Western late - Fuji is in large - scale bag removal, with sporadic red fruit trading. Shandong's Red General trading is mostly over, and late - Fuji bag removal has just begun [2]