Group 1: Report Information - Report Title: Urea Daily Report [2] - Report Date: September 10, 2025 [2] - Research Area: Energy and Chemicals [2] Group 2: Market Review - Futures Market: Urea futures fluctuated and declined, closing at 1669 (-17/-1.01%) [3] - Spot Market: Factory prices weakened and declined, with general trading. Factory prices in different regions were as follows: Henan 1620 - 1630 yuan/ton, Shandong small - sized 1630 - 1640 yuan/ton, Hebei small - sized 1660 - 1670 yuan/ton, Shanxi medium and small - sized 1550 - 1600 yuan/ton, Anhui small - sized 1610 - 1620 yuan/ton, Inner Mongolia 1490 - 1550 yuan/ton [3] Group 3: Important Information - Urea Daily Output: On September 10, the daily output of the urea industry was 18.51 tons, an increase of 0.02 tons from the previous working day and an increase of 0.36 tons compared to the same period last year [4] - Urea Operating Rate: The operating rate on this day was 79.12%, a decrease of 2.30% compared to 81.42% in the same period last year [4] Group 4: Logic Analysis - Market Sentiment: Market sentiment was average, with urea spot factory quotes in mainstream areas declining and trading being mediocre [5] - Regional Market Analysis: In Shandong, the mainstream factory quotes led the decline, and the factory quotes were expected to be weakly stable; in Henan, the market sentiment was low, and the factory quotes were expected to follow the decline; in the surrounding areas of the delivery zone, the factory prices were expected to decline [5] - Supply and Demand: Some devices were under maintenance, and the daily output dropped below 190,000 tons. India tendered for 200,000 tons again. The domestic demand was in a "vacuum period", and the overall demand showed a downward trend. The inventory of urea production enterprises increased by 37,700 tons to around 1.1327 million tons [5] - Market Outlook: In the short term, the domestic demand was still limited. The Indian tender had a certain support for the domestic spot market sentiment, but the domestic demand was weak, and the urea market was expected to continue its weak operation [5] Group 5: Trading Strategy - Unilateral: Short - term bearish, do not chase the short [6] - Arbitrage: Wait and see [9] - Options: Wait and see [9]

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 花生日报 2025 年 9 月 10 日 | 研究员：刘大勇 | | --- | 期货从业证号： F03107370 1 / 4 花生日报 第一部分 数据 投资咨询证号： Z0018389 联系方式： :liudayong_qh@chinastck .c om.cn | 花生数据日报 | | | | | | | 2025/9/10 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货盘面 | | | | | | | | | 期货 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 增减幅 | 持仓量 | 增减幅 | | PK604 | 7878 | 18 | 0.23% | 3 | -94.00% | 431 | 0.23% | | PK510 | 7876 | -8 | -0.10% | 7,169 | -49.99% | 27,597 | -9.23% | | PK601 | 7846 | 12 | 0.15% | 7,609 | -45.22% | 36,339 | 1.74% | | 现货与基差 | | | | ...

Group 1: Report General Information - Report title: Corn Starch Daily Report [2] - Report date: September 10, 2025 [2][3] - Industry: Agricultural products (corn and corn starch) [1][2] Group 2: Report Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoints - For corn, although the US corn price has declined, there is still potential for a rebound as the US corn yield may be revised downwards. Chinese tariffs on US corn and sorghum are relatively high, but foreign corn import profit is still significant. Domestic corn spot prices are expected to decline with the upcoming large - scale listing of new - season corn, with North China corn possibly reaching 2200 yuan/ton and Heilongjiang corn below 2100 yuan/ton by the end of September [5][7] - For starch, the inventory of corn starch has decreased this week. The starch price mainly depends on corn price and downstream inventory. With weak demand in the medium - to - long term, enterprises will be in a long - term loss state. The short - term 01 starch futures contract is expected to fluctuate weakly [8] Group 4: Data Summary Futures Market - Corn futures: C2601 closed at 2170, down 18 (-0.83%); C2605 at 2240, down 14 (-0.63%); C2509 at 2285, unchanged. CS2601 closed at 2502, down 25 (-1.00%); CS2605 at 2588, down 20 (-0.77%); CS2509 at 2502, unchanged [3] - Volume and open interest: The volume of C2601 decreased by 6.09% to 199,387, and open interest decreased by 0.12% to 422,160. The volume of CS2601 increased by 33.94% to 23,644, and open interest increased by 4.45% to 58,145 [3] Spot and Basis - Corn spot: Today's quotes in different regions range from 2220 yuan in Qinggang to 2450 yuan in Guangdong ports. The basis of corn in different regions ranges from - 105 to 165 [3] - Starch spot: Today's quotes in different regions range from 2700 yuan in Longfeng to 2990 yuan in Yufeng. The basis of starch in different regions ranges from 112 to 402 [3] Spread - Corn inter - delivery spread: C01 - C05 was - 70, down 4; C05 - C09 was - 45, down 14; C09 - C01 was 115, up 18 [3] - Starch inter - delivery spread: CS01 - CS05 was - 86, down 5; CS05 - CS09 was 86, down 20; CS09 - CS01 was 0, up 25 [3] - Cross - variety spread: CS09 - C09 was 217, unchanged; CS01 - C01 was 332, down 7; CS05 - C05 was 348, down 6 [3] Group 5: Market Judgment Summary Corn - International factors: The US corn price has declined, but there is potential for a rebound as the yield may be revised downwards. Chinese tariffs on US corn and sorghum have been adjusted, and foreign corn import profit is high [5] - Domestic factors: Northern port prices are stable, and Northeast corn spot is strong, while North China corn spot has declined due to increased supply. Wheat prices in North China are weak, and wheat continues to substitute for corn. Domestic breeding demand is weak, and feed enterprise inventories are high. With imports, domestic auctions, and the upcoming large - scale listing of new - season corn, the corn spot price is expected to decline [5][7] Starch - Supply - side factors: The number of trucks arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has increased, and Shandong corn prices are stable. Corn starch inventory has decreased this week, with the current inventory at 122.6 million tons, a decrease of 3.9 million tons from last week, a monthly decrease of 3.5%, and a year - on - year increase of 37.2% [8] - Price - influencing factors: Starch prices mainly depend on corn prices and downstream inventory. By - product prices are strong, and the spot price difference between corn and starch is low. With weak demand in the medium - to - long term, enterprises will be in a long - term loss state [8] Group 6: Trading Strategy - Unilateral: The US corn has support at 400 cents per bushel. It is recommended to wait and see for the 01 corn contract [10] - Arbitrage: It is recommended to wait and see [11] Group 7: Corn Option Strategy - For enterprises with spot positions, it is recommended to close out short positions in corn call options or try short - term high - selling and rolling operations [14] Group 8: Relevant Attachments - The report includes six figures showing the spot price of corn in different regions, the basis of corn 01 contract, the 1 - 5 spread of corn and corn starch, the basis of corn starch 01 contract, and the spread of corn starch 01 contract [16][17][18][20]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - High - sulfur supply and inventory in Asia remain high in the near - term, with supply pressure in Q3 lower than expected. High - sulfur seasonal power generation demand is gradually declining, but feedstock demand is still supported. New high - sulfur warehouse receipts generation and subsequent inventory digestion rhythm should be noted. Low - sulfur fuel oil spot premium is continuously decreasing, with supply rising and no specific downstream demand drivers. Attention should be paid to low - sulfur export trends, quota adjustment and issuance rhythm [7] Group 3: Summary According to the Table of Contents Part 1: Relevant Data - FU main contract price on September 10, 2025, was 2786, up 20 from the previous day; its main contract position was 196,000 lots, down 4,000 lots; and its warehouse receipts were 101,500 tons, unchanged from the previous day. LU main contract price was 3383, down 2 from the previous day; its main contract position was 74,000 lots, up 2,000 lots; and its warehouse receipts were 10,020 tons, unchanged from the previous day. The spread between LU and FU main contracts was 597, down 22 from the previous day [3] Part 2: Market Research and Judgment Market Overview - IIR reported that the preliminary restart plan of the RFCC unit at Nigeria's Dangote refinery has been postponed to December 10 [6] Market Research - High - sulfur: Supply pressure in Q3 is lower than expected due to factors such as attacks on Russian refineries by Ukraine, reduced high - sulfur exports from Mexico, and low - level exports from the Middle East. Seasonal power generation demand is falling, but feedstock demand is supported. Singapore's high - sulfur bunker fuel bunkering volume in July reached the highest level since IMO2020. Low - sulfur: Spot premium is continuously decreasing, supply is rising, and downstream demand lacks specific drivers. Attention should be paid to low - sulfur export trends and quota adjustment and issuance rhythm [7] Other Information - FU warehouse receipts were 101,500 tons, unchanged from the previous day; LU warehouse receipts were 10,020 tons, unchanged from the previous day. In the Singapore paper market, the high - sulfur Sep/Oct monthly spread decreased from 1.2 to 0.6 US dollars per ton, and the low - sulfur Sep/Oct monthly spread remained at 2.3 US dollars per ton [8] Part 3: Relevant Attached Figures - There are figures showing Singapore's high - sulfur and low - sulfur spot premiums, high - and low - sulfur price spreads, LSFO - GO spreads, and high - and low - sulfur fuel oil cracking spreads, with data sources from Galaxy Futures and Reuters [9]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Supply is short - term tight, demand is stable month - on - month. In a weak supply - demand environment, refinery inventories are rising steadily while social inventories are steadily decreasing. Asphalt lacks obvious drivers, and its spot price is expected to be weak. The crack spread is dominated by oil price fluctuations in the short term and bearish in the medium term. The operating range of the BU2511 contract is expected to be between 3350 and 3500 [8] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Part 1: Related Data - **Futures Prices and Positions**: On September 10, 2025, prices of BU2511 (main contract), BU2512, BU2601, SC2510, and Brent first - line all increased, with increases of 0.88%, 0.77%, 0.87%, 0.70%, and 0.96% respectively. The main contract's position increased by 1.18%, trading volume increased by 33.77%, and the number of warehouse receipts decreased by 0.46% [2] - **Basis and Monthly Spreads**: BU12 - 01 decreased by 11.54%, BU11 - 12 increased by 8.51%. The basis between Shandong, East China, and South China and the main contract decreased by 5.57%, 14.69%, and 22.93% respectively [2] - **Industrial Chain Spot Prices**: Shandong's market price increased by 0.28%, South China's decreased by 0.28%, and East China's remained unchanged. Prices of Shandong gasoline, diesel, and petroleum coke increased, the dilution asphalt discount remained unchanged, and the exchange - rate mid - price increased by 0.08% [2] - **Spread Profits**: Asphalt refinery profit decreased by 176.63%, refined - oil comprehensive profit decreased by 6.70%, BU - SC crack decreased by 0.34%, gasoline spot - Brent decreased by 3.00%, and diesel spot - Brent decreased by 4.27% [2] Part 2: Market Analysis - **Market Overview**: On September 10, the domestic asphalt market average price was 3789 yuan/ton, up 0.03% from the previous day. In North China, resources were tight and trader prices rose slightly; in Shandong, demand was stable and some refinery prices increased slightly; in East China, demand was tepid and prices were stable; in South China, demand was rising and some refinery prices increased [5][6] - **Price Forecast by Region**: In Shandong, with Dongming Petrochemical resuming production, the supply - demand pattern will be loose and prices may be stable. In the Yangtze River Delta, with increased planned production of some main refineries, prices are restricted. In South China, with some refinery maintenance plans, prices may trend upward in the short term [5][6] Part 3: Related Attachments - The report provides six figures including BU main - contract closing price, position, and market prices in different regions over the years, with data sources from Galaxy Futures and Wind or Steel Union [10]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints The market for natural rubber, 20 - number rubber, and butadiene rubber shows complex trends influenced by various factors such as supply - demand dynamics, international trade policies, and economic indicators. For example, the supply of natural rubber is affected by weather conditions, harvest areas, and import - export policies in major producing countries. Demand is closely related to the automotive and tire industries, with factors like vehicle production, sales, and tire inventory levels playing important roles. Additionally, macro - economic indicators such as global stock market values, manufacturing PMIs, and interest rates also impact the rubber market [120][142][230]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Situation - **RU Natural Rubber**: Prices fluctuate over time. For instance, on 25 - 09 - 10, the RU main 01 contract closed at 15915 points, down 25 points or 0.16% [1]. - **NR 20 - number Rubber**: Similar to RU, NR prices also change. On 25 - 09 - 10, the NR main 11 contract closed at 12695 points, down 40 points or 0.31% [1]. - **BR Butadiene Rubber**: The price of BR has its own movement pattern. On 25 - 09 - 10, the BR main 11 contract closed at 11655 points, down 20 points or 0.17% [2]. Important News - **Trade Policies**: China launched an anti - dumping investigation into imported halogenated butyl rubber from Canada, Japan, and India. Brazil extended the 10.8% natural rubber import tariff for 24 months. The EU launched an anti - dumping investigation into new passenger and light - truck pneumatic rubber tires imported from China [2][7][345]. - **Company News**: Hainan Rubber suffered losses due to Typhoon "Jianyu". The Qingdao - based Sino - Chem Equipment planned a major asset restructuring. Michelin South America will close its Brazil factory [14][173][222]. Logical Analysis - **Supply - Demand Factors**: In July, the average price of domestic car tires increased, while that of truck and bus tires decreased. The inventory levels of various rubber products in different regions and warehouses also changed, affecting the market supply - demand balance. For example, the inventory of Qingdao Bonded Area showed different trends of accumulation or depletion [2][7]. - **Macroeconomic Factors**: Global stock market values, manufacturing PMIs, and interest rates all have an impact on the rubber market. For example, a decline in the global stock market value may lead to a decrease in market confidence and thus affect the rubber price [142]. Trading Strategies - **Single - side Trading**: Strategies include holding short or long positions, or taking a wait - and - see approach for different contracts such as RU and NR. For example, on 25 - 09 - 10, it was recommended to hold short positions in the RU main 01 contract and the NR main 11 contract [1][3]. - **Arbitrage Trading**: Involves trading combinations like RU2511 - BR2511 and RU2511 - NR2511, with specific stop - loss settings [3][8]. - **Options Trading**: Generally, a wait - and - see approach is recommended [3].

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 农产品日报 2024 年 09 月 09 日 研究员：刘倩楠 期货从业证号： F3013727 投资咨询证号： Z0014425 联系方式： :liuqiannan_qh@chinas tock.com.cn 苹果日报 第一部分 市场信息 | 现货价格 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指标 | 今日价格 | 下一工作日价 | 涨跌 | 指标 | 今日价格 | 下一工作日似 | 涨跌 | | 98 | | | | | | 成 | | | 富士苹果价格指数 | 109.50 | 109.43 | 0.07 | 洛川半商品纸袋70 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 0.00 | | 栖霞 一、二级纸袋 80 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 | 沂源纸袋70 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 | | 蓬莱 一、二级纸袋 80 | 3.95 | 3.95 | 0.00 | 6种水果平均批发价 | 6.91 | 7.00 | -0.09 | | 期货价格 | | | | ...

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 研究员：刘倩楠 期货从业证号： F3013727 农产品日报 2024 年 09 月 09 日 投资咨询证号： Z0014425 联系方式： 棉花、棉纱日报 第一部分 市场信息 | 期货盘面 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 增减幅 | 空盘量 | 增减量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CF01合约 | 13835 | -50 | 238,407 | -14382 | 507,748 | 2364 | | CF05合约 | 13790 | -50 | 18,968 | 423 | 67,365 | 1958 | | CF09合约 | 13350 | -70 | 982 | 314 | 8,404 | -114 | | CY01合约 | 19875 | -40 | 118 | -92 | 488 | -21 | | CY05合约 | 20215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | | CY09合约 | 20200 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 323 | 0 | | | | | 现货价格 | | ...

大宗商品研究所 有色研发报告 有色金属日报 2025 年 9 月 9 日星期二 研究所副所长、有色及贵 金属板块负责人：车红云 期货从业证号：F03088215 投资咨询从业证号：Z0017510 1.期货：今日沪铜 2510 合约收于 79650 元/吨，跌幅 0.1%，沪铜指数减仓 10599 手至 48.92 万手。 2.现货：进口货源仍有到货，沪铜升水延续走跌，报升水 130 元/吨，较上一交易日下跌 35 元/吨。广东库存连续 4 天下降，月差扩大持货商出货意愿增加，整体交投好于上周五，报 升水 40 元/吨，持平上一交易日。华北地区下游仍有畏高情绪，报贴水 120 元/吨，持平上 一交易日。 【重要资讯】 1. 截至 9 月 8 日周一，SMM 全国主流地区铜库存环比上周四增加 0.63 万吨至 14.69 万吨。 除广东外各地库存均有所增加，总库存较去年同期的 23.13 万吨低 8.44 万吨。展望后市， 供应端方面，预计本周进口货源将继续到港，国产货源也会陆续少量补充，整体总供应量 较上周预计小幅增加。需求端方面，尽管铜价有所回落，但仍处于高位运行，市场整体采 购情绪依旧偏弱，据我们调研可知 ...

1 / 15 银河有色 有色研发报告 动力市场超预期降温，美元和美债收益率下挫，市场对 25 年内降息的押注走高，叠加 持续发酵的美联储独立性相关的风波和技术面上的突破，黄金再度开启迭创新高的行 情，而白银由于工业属性的拖累，表现稍逊色。往未来看，在美国劳动力市场走弱的同 时，关税冲击可能进一步传导，"类滞胀"风险难以解除；另外，需要一提的是，当前 法、日等海外主要国家政坛动荡，长债收益率创阶段性新高，基本都和市场担忧其财政 纪律有关，此背景之下，全球大类资产配置或有更多动力向黄金倾斜。整体而言，上述 多因素共振之下，贵金属有望在高位延续偏强走势。 【交易策略】 1.单边：可考虑背靠 5 日均线继续持有前期多单。 银河有色 有色研发报告 有色和贵金属每日早盘观察 2025 年 9 月 9 日星期二 | 研究所副所长、有色及贵 | 有色和贵金属每日早盘观察 | | --- | --- | | 金属板块负责人：车红云 | | | 期货从业证号：F03088215 | 贵金属 | | 投资咨询号：Z0017510 | 【市场回顾】 | | | 1. 贵金属市场：昨日，受疲软的美国劳动力数据和美联储下周降息的预期提振 ...