Yin He Qi Huo
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鸡蛋日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 11:15
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report - Due to the good profit performance, the market enthusiasm for culling has decreased, slowing down the overall capacity reduction. Considering the post - Spring Festival egg consumption off - season and the recent good egg prices weakening the overall capacity reduction, it is advisable to short the June contract on rallies [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Futures Market - **Futures Prices**: JD01 closed at 3778, down 12 from the previous day; JD05 closed at 3429, down 41; JD09 closed at 3819, down 40 [2]. - **Cross - Month Spreads**: The 01 - 05 spread closed at 349, up 29; the 05 - 09 spread closed at - 390, down 1; the 09 - 01 spread closed at 41, down 28 [2]. - **Ratio of Egg to Feed**: The 01 egg/corn ratio was 1.64, down 0.01; the 01 egg/bean meal ratio was 1.28, unchanged; the 05 egg/corn ratio was 1.47, down 0.03; the 05 egg/bean meal ratio was 1.23, down 0.01; the 09 egg/corn ratio was 1.62, down 0.03; the 09 egg/bean meal ratio was 1.32, down 0.01 [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - **Egg Prices**: The average price in the main production areas was 2.86 yuan/jin, down 0.42 yuan/jin from the previous day; the average price in the main sales areas was 3.02 yuan/jin, down 0.52 yuan/jin. The national mainstream price remained stable, with prices in most regions showing little change [2][4]. - **Culled Chicken Prices**: The average price in the main production areas was 4.43 yuan/jin, up 0.05 yuan/jin from the previous day. Most regional prices were stable, with only a few areas showing price changes [2][4][5]. 3.3 Profit Calculation - **Cost and Price Changes**: The average price of culled chickens was 4.43 yuan/jin, up 0.05 yuan/jin; the average price of chicks was 3.21 yuan/feather, up 0.04 yuan; the price of egg - chicken vaccines remained stable at 3 yuan. The average price of corn was 2375 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan; the average price of bean meal was 3164 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of egg - chicken compound feed was 2.61 yuan/jin, unchanged [2]. - **Profit Changes**: The profit per feather was - 4.51 yuan, down 16.73 yuan from the previous day [2]. 3.4 Fundamental Information - **Egg Price and Market Conditions**: The average price in the main production areas was 2.86 yuan/jin, down 0.42 yuan/jin, and in the main sales areas was 3.02 yuan/jin, down 0.52 yuan/jin. The national mainstream price was stable, and the egg price continued to fluctuate and consolidate with average sales [4]. - **Laying Hen Inventory**: In January, the national inventory of laying hens was 1.344 billion, a decrease of 80 million from the previous month, a year - on - year increase of 5%, and lower than expected [4]. - **Chick Hatch Volume**: In January, the monthly hatch volume of chicks in the sample enterprises monitored by Zhuo Chuang Information (accounting for about 50% of the country) was 43.22 million, a month - on - month increase of 9%, with little year - on - year change [4]. - **Culled Chicken Data**: In the week of February 12, the number of culled chickens in the main production areas was 13.17 million, a decrease of 20% from the previous week. The average culling age of culled chickens in the week of February 6 was 497 days, an increase of 2 days from the previous week [5]. - **Egg Sales Volume**: As of the week of February 12, the egg sales volume in the representative sales areas was 6390 tons, a decrease of 12% from the previous week, at a low level in the same period over the years [5]. - **Profit and Inventory**: As of February 12, the weekly average profit per jin of eggs was 0.12 yuan/jin, a decrease of 0.4 yuan/jin from the previous week; on February 12, the expected profit of egg - chicken farming was - 13.12 yuan/feather, the same as the previous week. The weekly average inventory in the production link was 1.24 days, a decrease of 0.02 days from the previous week; the weekly average inventory in the circulation link was 1.26 days, the same as the previous week [5]. 3.5 Trading Logic - Due to good previous profit performance, the market enthusiasm for culling has decreased, slowing down the overall capacity reduction. Considering the post - Spring Festival egg consumption off - season and the recent good egg prices weakening the overall capacity reduction, it is advisable to short the June contract on rallies [6]. 3.6 Trading Strategy - **Single - Side Strategy**: Consider shorting the June contract on rallies [7]. - **Arbitrage Strategy**: It is recommended to wait and see [7]. - **Option Strategy**: It is recommended to wait and see [7].
棉花、棉纱日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 11:14
研究所 农产品研发报告 农产品日报 2026 年 02 月 24 日 研究员:王玺圳、刘倩楠 期货从业证号: F03118729、F3013727 投资咨询证号: Z0022817、Z0014425 研究所 农产品研发报告 第二部分 市场消息及观点 联系方式: :wangxizhen_qh@chin astock.com.cn 棉花、棉纱日报 第一部分 市场信息 | 期货盘面 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 增减幅 | 空盘量 | 增减量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CF01合约 | 15140 | -70 | 472 | -452 | 5,483 | 84 | | CF05合约 | 14610 | -70 | 246,422 | -13325 | 700,704 | -270 | | CF09合约 | 14735 | -70 | 55,110 | -3624 | 169,643 | 4673 | | CY01合约 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | CY05合约 | 20360 | -45 | 6709 | ...
苹果日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 11:10
研究所 农产品研发报告 农产品日报 2024 年 02 月 24 日 研究员:刘倩楠 期货从业证号: F3013727 投资咨询证号: Z0014425 联系方式: :liuqiannan_qh@chinas tock.com.cn 苹果日报 第一部分 市场信息 | 现货价格 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指标 | 今日价格 | 下一工作日份 | 涨跌 | 指标 | 今日价格 | 上一工作日价 | 涨跌 | | 格 | | | | | | 格 | | | 富士苹果价格指数 | 107.22 | 107.52 | -0.30 | 洛川半商品纸袋70 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 0.00 | | 栖霞 一、二级纸袋 80 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 沂源纸袋70 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 | | 蓬莱 一、二级纸袋 80 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 0.00 | 6种水果平均批发价 | 8.10 | 7.98 | 0.12 | | 期货价格 | | | | | | | ...
银河期货铁矿石日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 10:41
铁矿石日报 2026 年 02 月 24 日 研究所 黑色研发报告 | | 今日 | 昨日 | 涨跌 | | 今日 | 昨日 | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | DCE01 | 713.5 | 720.0 | -6.5 | I01-I05 | -27.0 | -26.0 | -1.0 | | DCE05 | 740.5 | 746.0 | -5.5 | I05-I09 | 16.0 | 15.5 | 0.5 | | DCE09 | 724.5 | 730.5 | -6.0 | I09-I01 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 0.5 | | 现货 | 昨天 | 前天 | 涨跌 | 折标准品 | 01厂库基差 | 05厂库基差 | 09厂库基差 | | P B粉(60.8%) | 752 | 763 | -11 | 816 | 88 | 62 | 78 | | 纽曼粉 | 752 | 763 | -11 | 823 | 95 | 69 | 84 | | 麦克粉 | 745 | 755 | -10 | 823 | 95 | 69 | ...
银河期货油脂日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 10:19
研究所 农产品研发报告 油脂日报 2026 年 02 月 24 日 油脂日报 第一部分 数据分析 | 银河期货油脂日报 | | | | | | | | | | | 2026/2/24 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 油脂现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 品种 2605收盘价 各品种地区现货价 | | 涨跌 | | | | | | | 现货基差(分别为:一豆、24度、三菜) | | | | | 豆油 | 8140 | 86 | 张家港 | 广东 | 天津 | | 广东 | | | 涨跌幅 张家港 涨跌幅 天津 涨跌幅 | | | | 8540 | | | | 8620 | 8440 | | 480 | 0 | 400 | 20 | 300 | 20 | | 棕榈油 | 8824 | 126 | 广东 | 张家港 | 天津 | | 广州 | | | 涨跌幅 张家港 涨跌幅 天津 涨跌幅 | | | | 8774 | | | | 8764 ...
螺纹热卷日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 10:19
研究所 黑色金属研发报告 黑色金属日报 2026 年 02 月 24 日 螺纹热卷日报 第一部分 市场信息 投资咨询证号: Z0018817 :021-65789253 :qichunyi_qh@chinastock.c om.cn 1/ 10 研究员:戚纯怡 期货从业证号: F03113636 研究所 黑色金属研发报告 第二部分 市场研判 【相关价格】 现货:网价上海中天螺纹 3180 元(-10),北京敬业 3110 元(-10),上海鞍钢热 卷 3220 元(-20),天津河钢热卷 3130 元(-10)。 【交易策略】 今日钢材盘面整体下跌,现货价格相比节前小幅下行。节日期间钢联数据公布, 五大材整体仍然增产,铁水生产受节日影响较小;春节期间下游工地停工,钢材总库 存加快累库进度,但螺纹累库速度相比往年偏慢;而钢材出口受出口许可证下滑,海 外制造业陆续结束补库,热卷库存快速累积,目前钢坯及板材库存水平偏高,需求压 力大,品种间表现螺纹强于热卷。节前钢厂原料补库告一段落,今年冬储积极性不 足。目前钢材库存偏高,节后资本支出可能不及预期,需求恢复情况有待观望,钢厂 的悲观预期也可能使今年铁水产量高度有限, ...
铁合金日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 10:18
研究所 黑色金属研发报告 黑色金属日报 2026 年 2 月 24 日 铁合金日报 第一部分 市场信息 研究员:周涛 期货从业证号: F03134259 投资咨询证号: Z0021009 联系方式: :zhoutao_qh1@chinastock. com.cn | 期 货 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货合约 | 收盘价 | 日变动 | 周变动 | 成交量 | 日变化 | 持仓量 | 日变化 | | SF主力合约 | 5470 | -22 | -124 | 120747 | -20162 | 200355 | 15894 | | SM主力合约 | 5738 | -32 | -74 | 171048 | 14614 | 434550 | 41065 | | 现 货 | | | | | | | | | 硅铁 | 现货价格 | 日变动 | 周变动 | 硅锰 | 现货价格 | 日变动 | 周变动 | | 72%FeSi内蒙 | 5270 | -100 | -120 | 硅锰6517内蒙 | 5620 | -3 ...
原油现货市场日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 10:14
研究所 原油研发报告 原油日报 2026 年 2 月 24 日 原油现货市场日报 | | 因韩国船东大规模押注及地缘政治紧张升级推高费率, 长期锁定超级 油轮的成本已飙升至创纪录水平。 | | --- | --- | | 贸易物流 | 一艘载有印度柴油的油轮已停靠欧洲最大港口。 此前部分贸易商曾对 | | | 可能违反针对俄罗斯原油制燃料的新制裁表示谨慎, 此次到港因此备 | | | 受关注。 | | | 雪佛龙公司与俄罗斯卢克石油公司签署巨型油田独家谈判协议后, 已 | | | 成为接管伊拉克第二大油田综合体的最有力竞争者。 | | 油田管道 | 数据显示, 今年1月美国对欧洲柴油出口量创历史新高, 这主要源于欧 | | | 洲加强针对俄罗斯原油制燃料的进口禁令, 同时俄罗斯折扣柴油在巴 | | | 西市场挤占了美国燃料份额。 | | | 英国宣布对俄实施 297 项新制裁, 剑指能源收入与军事装备供应商。 | | | 随着匈牙利与斯洛伐克叫停相关措施, 欧盟未能批准新一轮对俄制裁 | | 地缘政治 。 | 在乌克兰战争进入第五年之际, 此举暴露出欧盟内部的分歧。 | | | 周二发布的数据显示, 过去12 ...
银河期货花生日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 10:13
研究所 农产品研发报告 花生日报 2026 年 2 月 24 日 | 第一部分 | | | | 数据 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 花生数据日报 | | | | | | | 2026/2/24 | | 期货盘面 | | | | | | | | | 期货 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 增减幅 | 持仓量 | 增减幅 | | PK604 | 7930 | -18 | -0.23% | 18,629 | 67.89% | 40,696 | -25.13% | | PK610 | 8250 | -18 | -0.22% | 214 | -22.18% | 3,154 | 15.28% | | PK601 | 8222 | -36 | -0.44% | 22 | -56.00% | 42 | 23.53% | | 现货与基差 | | | | | | | | | 现货 | 河南南阳 | 山东济宁 | 山东临沂 | 日照花生粕 | 日照豆粕 | 花生油 | 日照一级豆油 | | 今日报价 | 7400 | 8000 ...
玉米淀粉日报-20260224
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 10:13
研究所 农产品研发报告 玉米淀粉日报 2026 年 2 月 24 日 玉米淀粉日报 第一部分 数据 | 玉米&玉米淀粉数据日报 | | | | | | | | 2026/2/24 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货盘面 | | | | | | | | | | 期货 | | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 增减幅 | 持仓量 | 增减幅 | | C2601 | | 2300 | 11 | 0.48% | 1,130 | 43.04% | 4,014 | 3.21% | | C2605 | | 2332 | 12 | 0.51% | 609,628 | -7.37% | 1,298,098 | 7.06% | | C2509 | | 2354 | 17 | 0.72% | 24,842 | 47.64% | 93,608 | 3.66% | | CS2601 | | 2643 | 20 | 0.76% | 20 | -53.49% | 76 | 4.11% | | CS2605 | | 2663 | 25 | ...