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有色套利早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 01:06
铅:跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/29 有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/12/29 铜:跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/29 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 97800 - - 三月 98860 12133 8.11 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 现货出口 - 锌:跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/29 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 23200 - - 三月 23215 3087 5.62 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 铝:跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/29 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22020 - - 三月 22470 2957 7.54 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 镍:跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/29 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 128750 - - 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - 45.32 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 17225 - - 三月 17535 2000 11.58 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 跨期套利跟踪 2025/12/29 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 2730 2870 2930 2910 理论价差 ...
燃料油早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 01:05
Report Industry Investment Rating - The report is bearish on the fuel oil market [3][8] Core观点 - This week, the 380 cracking spread weakened, the month spread oscillated at a low level, the basis oscillated at a low level, the high - sulfur cracking spread in Europe weakened, and the high - sulfur EW continued to strengthen. The 0.5% cracking spread in Singapore oscillated at a low level, the month spread oscillated at a historical low level, and the 5GO recovered as diesel weakened. In terms of inventory, Singapore's residual oil inventory increased, the high - sulfur floating storage decreased, the residual oil inventory in Fujairah decreased, the high - sulfur floating storage decreased significantly, the high - sulfur floating storage in Europe decreased slightly, and the high - sulfur floating storage in the US increased slightly. The low - sulfur floating storage in Singapore decreased, and the low - sulfur floating storage in Europe increased. Global residual oil entered the off - season for inventory accumulation. The external market cracking spread should pay attention to crude oil fluctuations, and there is no improvement in the spot market. The low - sulfur valuation is low but there is no driving force [3][8] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by 5.21, the price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 decreased by 4.19, the Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.21, the Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 decreased by 7.25, the Rotterdam VLSFO - GO M1 increased by 3.06, and the Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 increased by 1.02 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased by 0.57, the price of Singapore 180cst M1 increased by 0.32, the price of Singapore VLSFO M1 increased by 1.22, the price of Singapore GO M1 decreased by 0.15, the Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 increased by 0.20, and the Singapore VLSFO - GO M1 increased by 2.33 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, the FOB 380cst price and FOB VLSFO price data have no clear overall change trend, the 380 basis decreased from - 2.80 to - 1.60, and the high - sulfur and low - sulfur internal and external price difference data are incomplete [2] Domestic FU Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, FU 01 increased by 27, FU 05 increased by 3, FU 09 increased by 2, FU 01 - 05 increased by 24, FU 05 - 09 increased by 1, and FU 09 - 01 decreased by 25 [2] Domestic LU Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, LU 01 increased by 141, LU 05 decreased by 2, LU 09 increased by 1, LU 01 - 05 increased by 143, LU 05 - 09 decreased by 3, and LU 09 - 01 decreased by 140 [3]
沥青早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 01:05
s 加安期货 沥青早报 | | | | | | | | | MIS . L . L . L . L . L . | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 指标 山东基差(+80)(非京博) | 11/26 17 | | 12/22 -રેર | 12/24 -56 | 12/25 -રેર | 12/26 -રેર | 日度变化 0 | 튀 | | | 华东基差(镇江库) | 47 | | -dr | -116 | -115 | -115 | 0 | | | 基差&月差 | 华南基差(佛山库) | 7 | | -195 | -196 | -195 | -195 | 0 | | | | 01-03 | -12 | | -30 | -34 | -32 | -33 | -1 | | | | 02-03 | -18 | | -12 | -10 | -7 | -7 | 0 | | | | 03-06 | -45 | | -23 | -28 | -30 | -29 | 7 | | | | BU主力合约(02) | 3043 ...
农产品早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 01:03
Group 1: Report Information - Report Title: Agricultural Products Morning Report [1] - Report Date: December 29, 2025 [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Team of the Research Center [1] Group 2: Corn/Starch Price Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025: Changchun corn price remained at 2160; Jinzhou increased by 20 to 2250; Weifang remained at 2250; Shekou decreased by 10 to 2390; Heilongjiang and Weifang starch prices remained at 2750 and 2800 respectively; starch base difference decreased by 30 [2] Market Analysis - Short - term: Corn market sentiment is weak due to policy, but farmers' price - holding limits supply, and post - New Year downstream replenishment may drive up prices; starch de - stocking slows down, but price adjustment is limited, and post - New Year prices may rise slightly [3] - Long - term: Corn should focus on import and storage auction policies; starch should focus on downstream consumption rhythm and inventory de - stocking [3] Group 3: Sugar Price Data - From December 22 to 24, 2025: Liuzhou price remained at 5380 on the 22nd and 23rd, and increased to 5420 on the 24th; Nanning increased by 10 to 5340; Kunming increased to 5240; Liuzhou base difference decreased by 16 [4][5] - From December 25 to 26, 2025: Liuzhou remained at 5420; Nanning increased to 5350; Liuzhou base difference decreased to 135 [20] Market Analysis - Short - term: Reduced supply pressure on raw sugar, and the market price can refer to domestic sugar cost and spot price; short covering drives up the market [6] - Long - term: If the global sugar market surplus intensifies, the price will seek the out - of - quota import cost; pay attention to weather and policy changes [6] Group 4: Cotton/Cotton Yarn Price Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025: 3128 cotton increased by 285 to 15285; Vietnam yarn price remained at 2.53; Vietnam yarn import profit increased by 94 to 1039; 32S spinning profit decreased by 199 to - 639 [10] Market Analysis - Low initial inventory offsets most of the output increase, and future consumption is the key; with expanding textile production, good profits, and favorable tariff policies, long - term long positions are suitable [10] Group 5: Eggs Price Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025: Hebei, Liaoning, Shandong, Henan, and Hubei egg prices remained stable; the base difference increased by 72 to 357 [15] Market Analysis - The inflection point of egg inventory has appeared but the base is still high. The key to inventory decline is the culling rhythm. If culling accelerates, it will benefit the second - quarter egg price [16] Group 6: Apples Price Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025: Shandong 80 first - and second - grade apples remained at 8900; the national inventory decreased by 3; Shandong inventory decreased by 39; Shaanxi inventory decreased by 19 [18][19] Market Analysis - The trading atmosphere in the late - Fuji apple production area is light, and the sales in the sales area are slow. The market is in a high - level shock and is expected to show a near - strong and far - weak pattern [19] Group 7: Pigs Price Data - From December 22 to 25, 2025: Henan Kaifeng increased to 11.78; Hubei Xiangyang increased to 11.65; Shandong Linyi increased to 11.92; Anhui Hefei increased to 12.15; Jiangsu Nantong increased to 12.20 [19] Market Analysis - The weekend spot price increased significantly. There are expectations of both supply and demand increase before the Spring Festival. Pay attention to the slaughter rhythm, diseases, and policies [19]
LPG早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 01:03
部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输 或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等,我们均不承担任何责任。 LPG = FA 台H 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/29 -P G 内院CFR华 山东烷基 CP预测合 丙烷CIF日本 纸面进口利润 日期 华南液化气 华东液化 山东液化气 山东醚后碳四 主力基差 同价 化油 E 2025/12/22 4480 4388 4370 536 4580 7150 -213 580 202 355 2025/12/23 4377 4370 | 4475 590 550 507 4580 7180 -291 444 2025/12/24 4392 4320 4570 7180 4480 590 543 510 -277 398 4520 2025/12/25 4505 4389 4310 590 539 510 7150 -245 413 4270 -233 2025/12/26 4510 4384 289 541 4500 7150 l 日度变化 -40 -1 N -20 ...
永安期货焦炭日报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 00:54
焦炭日报 研究中心黑色团队 1000.00 1500.00 2000.00 2500.00 3000.00 3500.00 4000.00 4500.00 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 1月 日照港准一平仓 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1000.00 1500.00 2000.00 2500.00 3000.00 3500.00 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 1月 长治出厂价 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 4000.00 4500.00 青岛港准一平仓 2025/12/29 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 山西准一湿熄 | 1485.59 | 0.00 | -54.61 | -163.84 | -13.49% 高炉开工率 | 84.94 | | 0. ...
永安期货焦煤日报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 00:54
焦煤日报 2025/12/29 研究中心黑色团队 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 | 年变化 | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 | 年变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 柳林主焦 | 1450.00 | -50.00 | -50.00 | -55.00 | -0.68% Peak Downs | 228.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.00 | 13.60 | | 原煤口岸库提价 | 970.00 | -15.00 | -13.00 | -4.00 | 3.19% Goonyella | 229.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.00 | 13.60 | | 沙河驿蒙5# | 1340.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | -160.00 | -8.22% 盘面05 | 1102.00 | -25.00 | -2.50 | -50.00 | -4.30% | | 安泽主焦 | 1600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | 6 ...
永安期货铁合金早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 00:54
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the content Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price - For silicon ferroalloy, on December 29, 2025, the latest prices of Ningxia 72 and Inner Mongolia 72 were 5250 and 5270 respectively, with daily changes of 0 and weekly changes of 50 and 20. The export price of Tianjin 72 was 1020 (USD) with no daily or weekly changes [2]. - For silicon manganese, on the same day, the latest prices of Inner Mongolia 6517, Ningxia 6517, Guangxi 6517, and Guizhou 6517 were 5590, 5520, 5700, and 5650 respectively, with daily changes of 20, 0, 30, and 30, and weekly changes of 50, 20, 80, and 80 [2]. Supply - The monthly production of 136 silicon ferroalloy enterprises in China from 2021 - 2025 is presented, as well as the weekly production of 136 silicon ferroalloy enterprises (with a 95% capacity share) [5]. - The monthly production of silicon manganese in China from 2021 - 2025 is shown, along with the procurement volume and price of Hebei Iron and Steel Group for silicon manganese 6517 [7]. Demand - The monthly estimated and actual production of crude steel in China from 2021 - 2025 is provided, and the demand for silicon manganese in China (in ten thousand tons) from 2021 - 2025 is also given [5][8]. Inventory - The weekly inventory of 60 sample silicon ferroalloy enterprises in China, Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, and Shaanxi from 2021 - 2025 is presented, as well as the daily number of silicon ferroalloy warehouse receipts and effective forecasts [6]. - The daily warehouse receipts, effective forecasts, and total inventory of silicon manganese in China from 2021 - 2025 are shown, along with the inventory of 63 sample silicon manganese enterprises in China (in tons) [8]. Cost - Profit - The electricity prices in Qinghai, Ningxia, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia for ferroalloys from 2021 - 2025 are presented, as well as the market price of semi - coke small materials in Shaanxi and its production profit in China [6]. - The profit of silicon manganese in Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, the northern and southern regions from 2021 - 2025 is shown, along with the profit of silicon manganese converted to the main contract in Guangxi and Ningxia [8].
甲醇聚烯烃早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 00:54
甲醇聚烯烃早报 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯,我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正,研究方法专业审慎,分析结论合理,但我司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会 发生任何变化。我们提供的全部分析及建议内容仅供参考,不构成对您的任何投资建议及入市依据,您应当自主做出期货交易决策,独立承担 期货交易后果,凡据此入市者,我司不承担任何责任。我司在为您提供服务时已最大程度避免与您产生利益冲突。未经我司授权,不得随意转 载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力 造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等,我司均不承担 任何责任。 塑 料 日期 东北亚乙 烯 华北LL 华东LL 华东LD 华东HD LL美金 LL美湾 进口利润 主力期货 基差 两油库存 仓单 2025/12/2 2 745 6150 6575 8075 6850 763 786 -2 62 ...
废钢早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 00:39
废钢早报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/12/29 日期 华东 华北 中部 华南 东北 西南 2025/12/22 2172 2253 2032 2227 2216 2090 2025/12/23 2174 2254 2032 2227 2216 2092 环比 -1 -1 3 -3 -2 1 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯,我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正,研究方法专业审慎,分析结论合理,但我司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会 发生任何变化。我们提供的全部分析及建议内容仅供参考,不构成对您的任何投资建议及入市依据,您应当自主做出期货交易决策,独立承担 期货交易后果,凡据此入市者,我司不承担任何责任。我司在为您提供服务时已最大程度避免与您产生利益冲突。未经我司授权,不得随意转 载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力 造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系 ...