Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (02899) has shown strong performance with a 4.48% increase on January 6, reaching a recent high of 38.26 HKD, with a trading volume of 38.28 billion HKD, indicating active market engagement [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock price of Zijin Mining reached 38.56 HKD as of January 7, showing a slight increase of 0.89% [1] - Resistance levels are identified at 40.4 HKD and 42.3 HKD, while support levels are at 35.4 HKD and 33.9 HKD [1] - The stock is above key moving averages (MA10: 35.6 HKD, MA30: 33.51 HKD, MA60: 32.97 HKD), indicating a strong bullish trend [1] Group 2: Technical Indicators - The RSI is at 70, indicating an overbought condition, while the Williams indicator and stochastic oscillator are also signaling sell [1] - Despite some sell signals, indicators like ADX, MACD, Bollinger Bands, and Ichimoku Cloud are showing buy signals, reflecting mixed market sentiment [1] Group 3: Product Recommendations - Two high-value products are recommended: - Citigroup Call Warrant (22889) with a leverage of 5.4 times and a strike price of 44.01 HKD, noted for its low premium and volatility [7] - Societe Generale Bull Certificate (63568) with a leverage of 5.8 times and a redemption price of 32.8 HKD, recognized for its responsiveness to stock volatility and liquidity [7] Group 4: Market Trends - Commodity stocks showed overall strength on January 6, contributing to the rise of Zijin Mining and creating a notable sectoral linkage [2] - Recent products related to Zijin Mining have demonstrated significant elasticity, with some bull certificates showing returns of 30% and 24% over two days, outperforming the stock's 3.57% increase [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Views of the Report - From a fundamental perspective, the lithium carbonate market in 2026 is expected to show a tight - balance pattern with strong supply and demand. The supply side will have a clear division in regions and resource types, with domestic growth led by salt - lake lithium extraction and overseas by ore - based lithium projects. The demand side will be driven by the booming energy - storage market and the rapid increase in the penetration rate of new - energy heavy trucks, along with the stable growth of new - energy vehicle production and sales [2]. - From a technical perspective, given the previous sharp rise and overall bullish market sentiment, the possibility of a rapid and reverse decline in lithium carbonate prices is low. The current price is close to the first important high after the rebound following the decline of lithium carbonate futures, and it may take time to break through this level [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 2025 Lithium Carbonate Trend Analysis: V - shaped Reversal - In 2025, the lithium carbonate market showed a typical V - shaped trend, divided into a unilateral decline from January to June due to weak industry fundamentals and external policy shocks, and an upward - trending period after late June driven by policies and events [5]. - From January to June, the market was in a state of structural oversupply, with downstream new - energy vehicle growth slowing and energy - storage demand under - performing. Social inventory reached 96,000 tons by the end of April, the highest since 2021. After April, the market accelerated its decline due to the US tariff policy, and prices dropped below the break - even point [6]. - After late June, the market rebounded. In July, the "anti - involution" policy boosted sentiment. From late July to September, supply - side events strengthened the expectation of supply contraction, and prices first rose and then fell. After the National Day, the booming energy - storage demand drove prices above 100,000 yuan/ton, and in early December, a new round of upward trend began [7]. Lithium Carbonate Supply Side Capacity and Production - In 2026, the global new lithium carbonate production capacity is expected to be about 30 - 330,000 tons LCE, with a clear division in regions and resource types. Domestic capacity growth will mainly come from salt - lake lithium extraction, while overseas growth will be mainly from ore - based lithium projects. The actual capacity release depends on the price of lithium carbonate [9]. - In 2025, domestic lithium carbonate production increased strongly, with a cumulative output of 871,200 tons from January to November, a year - on - year increase of 44%. The growth was mainly driven by spodumene - based lithium extraction. In 2026, the domestic supply structure is expected to be further optimized, with salt - lake lithium extraction as the key incremental source, but the actual supply release still faces uncertainties [11][12]. Import - At the end of 2025, China's lithium carbonate imports remained stable, with an annual total of about 2.5 million tons. Imports from Argentina increased by 56%, while those from Chile decreased by 17%. In 2026, the import pattern is expected to shift from South - American dominance to diversified supply, with the total import volume expected to be between 2 - 2.5 million tons, but the growth rate may slow [14]. Inventory - Since August 2025, domestic lithium carbonate inventory has been continuously decreasing. In 2026, the market is expected to show a pattern of "both supply and demand increasing, with a tight balance", and the inventory center is expected to move down further and may show seasonal fluctuations [16]. Demand Side Energy Storage - From January to October 2025, the domestic energy - storage winning - bid capacity reached 148GWh, a year - on - year increase of 39%. In 2026, the energy - storage cell shipment is expected to reach 850GWh, and the annual demand for lithium carbonate in this field is expected to increase by more than 162,000 tons LCE. The global energy - storage demand is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 30% - 40% in 2026, with China contributing more than 40% [19]. New - energy Vehicles - From January to October 2025, China's new - energy vehicle market grew strongly, with production and sales increasing by more than 30% year - on - year, accounting for 46.7% of the total new - vehicle sales. Exports reached 2.65 million vehicles, a year - on - year increase of 54%. In 2026, new - energy vehicle production and sales are expected to continue to grow, driving up the demand for lithium carbonate [22][23]. New - energy Heavy Trucks - In 2025, the new - energy heavy - truck market in China grew strongly, with cumulative sales of 1.0423 million vehicles in the first 11 months, a year - on - year increase of 27%. In 2026, the market is expected to enter a stable development stage at a high level, and the penetration rate of new - energy heavy trucks is expected to exceed 30%, even reaching 35% - 40%, which will support the demand for lithium carbonate [24]. Cost Side - As of December 29, the forward spot price of Australian spodumene (5.5% - 6%) was $1680/ton, and the price of lithium - mica concentrate (2% - 2.5%) was 1850 yuan/ton, with monthly increases of over 45%. The weighted cost of lithium carbonate is about 82,000 yuan/ton, which further strengthens the bottom support [28][29]. Summary - The environmental rectification and shutdown of Jiangxi's mica mines in 2025 was the key turning point for the lithium carbonate market from oversupply to tight balance. In 2026, the core contradiction in domestic supply lies in the resumption rhythm and intensity of lithium - mica mines in Jiangxi. Meanwhile, the explosive growth of energy - storage demand requires close tracking of policy implementation and actual demand fulfillment [3][30]. - Historically, the probability of price increases in the second half of the year is higher than in the first half. However, the market may show two scenarios in 2026, especially in the first half: either range - bound at the current high level or form a double - top pattern and then enter an adjustment phase. The depth and timing of subsequent corrections depend on the resumption progress of leading manufacturers and the actual fulfillment of energy - storage demand [3][30].

恒生指数低开0.41%，恒生科技指数跌0.28%。盘面上，贵金属板块强势，紫金矿业涨超1%；半导体概 念活跃，华虹半导体涨近3%；科网股下挫，阿里巴巴跌超2%。 关于港股后市 银河证券表示，12月人工智能板块维持震荡走势，小幅微跌，成交量萎缩，12月受到国内外多重因素影 响，市场整体呈现出一定分歧，以短期内题材交易机会为主导，该行认为市场目前对日本央行加息、美 联储降息预期已经充分演绎，当前仍然在政策、业绩披露空窗期，资金仍然相对集中在业绩有望持续兑 现的AI硬件如光模块、PCB等领域，科技板块内部呈现分化结构，当然该行也看到部分AI应用公司三季 报业绩出现边际好转，当前节点该行仍然建议左侧布局人工智能板块中有业绩支撑细分领域及龙头公 司。 广发证券认为，本轮港股资产上涨具备基本面支撑，由于较A股更少的传统经济板块，自2024年下半年 开始，在内外需共同企稳、宏观政策发力托底的背景下，港股盈利已经出现结构性修复迹象，只是阶段 性被外卖补贴战打破。中美战略性关键科技领域中，绝大部分核心公司在港股有上市。高端制造业、科 技的成长正从"单点突破"迈向"多点爆破"。映射至资本市场，港股正从传统的顺经济周期，逐步转向A ...

今日三大指数集体低开，恒指开盘跌0.41%，报26601.83点，恒科指跌0.28%，国企指数跌0.3%。盘面 上，科网股涨跌不一，阿里巴巴跌超2%，百度、哔哩哔哩跌超1%，网易涨超0.5%；芯片股高开，华虹 半导体涨超2%；板块延续涨势，涨超1%；汽车股部分下跌，蔚来跌超2%。 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生科技指数 | 5809.01 | -0.28% | | 800700 | | | | 国企指数 | 9216.74 | -0.30% | | 800100 | | | | 恒生指数 | 26601.83 | -0.41% | | 800000 | | | 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不 对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担 全部责任。邮箱：news_center@staff.hexun.com 美股周二大幅上升，大市气氛维持良好，道指及指数再创历史新高，三大指数均录得升幅收市。美元走 势向好，美国十年期债息回升至4.17厘水平，金价 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market remains strong at the beginning of 2026, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a 10-year high and achieving a record 13 consecutive days of gains [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - In January 2026, the electronic sector has the highest weight in the brokers' "golden stocks," accounting for 13.6%, followed by non-ferrous metals at 10.0%, and power equipment and basic chemicals at 9.0% and 8.0% respectively [3] - Non-ferrous metals saw the most significant increase in allocation among sectors, with a rise of 3.13% compared to December 2025 [3] - The food and beverage and media sectors experienced the largest reductions in allocation, with decreases of 2.67% and 1.95% respectively [4] Group 3: Individual Stock Recommendations - Zijin Mining (601899) is the most recommended stock in January 2026, with a total of 12 recommendations [5] - Other notable stocks include Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) with 11 recommendations and Ping An Insurance (601318) with 7 recommendations [6] - New stocks entering the recommendation list include Tianshan Aluminum (002532) and WuXi AppTec (603259), each receiving 4 recommendations [11] Group 4: Industry-Specific Highlights - In the electronics sector, the most recommended stocks are Zhongji Xuchuang and Haiguang Information, each with 3 recommendations [12] - In the non-ferrous metals sector, Zijin Mining leads with 12 recommendations, while in the power equipment sector, Ningde Times (300750) is the most recommended with 5 [12] - The basic chemicals sector's top stock is Wanhua Chemical (600309), also with 5 recommendations [12]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Natural Resources reports significant achievements in China's mineral exploration strategy during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on key mineral types and the discovery of new large oil and gas fields [1] Group 1: Mineral Discovery Achievements - During the 14th Five-Year Plan, China discovered 10 large oil fields and 19 large gas fields, with substantial increases in uranium, copper, gold, lithium, and potassium salt resources [1] - The Dadonggou gold mine in Liaoning has a proven resource of 1,444.49 tons [1] Group 2: Future Plans and Regulations - In 2026, China will continue a new round of mineral exploration strategy actions and implement a special rectification for "circle but not explore" practices, cracking down on illegal mining of strategic mineral resources [1] - The 15th Five-Year Plan will focus on improving the coordination of exploration, production, supply, reserve, and sales of strategic mineral resources, enhancing safety risk monitoring and early warning systems [1] Group 3: Market Performance - Since the end of the New Year holiday, the non-ferrous metal sector has seen a significant rise, with the industry index increasing by 6.98% over two trading days [1] - 16 stocks, including Tianli Composite, Hunan Silver, and China Aluminum, have recorded cumulative gains of over 10% [1] - As of December 2025, the non-ferrous metal industry has seen a net financing inflow of 10.97 billion yuan, ranking fourth among all industries [1] - Major companies such as Zijin Mining, Ganfeng Lithium, Western Materials, China Uranium, Tianqi Lithium, and Xingye Silver Tin have each received net financing inflows exceeding 500 million yuan [1]

10024亿元，A股再增万亿市值龙头。 1月6日早盘，紫金矿业涨幅达到6.5%，总市值首破1万亿元。A股市值排名升至13位的同时，也超越了力拓（1月5日美股收盘市值约合人民币 9499.2亿元左右），成为全球市值第二大的矿业公司。 在此之前，紫金矿业2025年股价已经取得了133%的上涨，这是公司自2008年上市以来涨幅最大的一年。 而以上二级市场的突出表现，又受到来自行业、企业等多方面的利好驱动。 首先，紫金矿业的铜、金两大主营矿种连续三年上涨，尤其是伦敦金以64.56%的涨幅成为2025年表现最好的大宗商品之一，带动全球黄金行 业上市公司股价大涨。 Wind数据显示，截至2025年末，市值超过1000亿元的有色行业上市公司涨幅中位数在88%左右，同期全球前十大的黄金企业涨幅中位数则达 到172.82%，领跑有色行业大盘。 其次，是紫金矿业一直强调的"成长性"。2023年以来，公司矿产金迅速放量，由67.7吨增加至2025年的90吨，产量增速明显高于铜产品，并在 2025年成为公司利润第一大来源。 量、价双重驱动下，体量可观的紫金矿业近两年盈利增速依旧保持在50%以上，2025年预计盈利更是突破500亿元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has reached a new record, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4083.67 points, marking a 1.50% increase and breaking a ten-year high since July 2015, supported by a strong performance across various sectors and increased trading volume [1][2]. Market Performance - The A-share market exhibited a comprehensive upward trend, with significant contributions from the financial, materials, and technology sectors, driven by ongoing policy benefits and accelerated industrial trends [2]. - The financial sector, particularly securities and insurance, played a crucial role in supporting the Shanghai Composite Index above 4000 points, with companies like New China Life Insurance and China Pacific Insurance reaching new highs [2]. - The cyclical sector saw notable gains due to improved supply-demand dynamics, with the metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining, experiencing significant price increases [2]. Emerging Trends - The technology and emerging industries continued to show structural growth, particularly in the brain-computer interface sector, which has become a hot topic, with companies like Beiyikang and Weisi Medical seeing substantial stock price increases [3]. - The brain-computer interface market in China is projected to exceed 120 billion yuan by 2040, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 26%, indicating its potential as a key growth area in the global market [3]. Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The recent market rally is characterized by a significant increase in both trading volume and price, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising nearly 7% since December 17, 2025, and total market turnover increasing from 1.8 trillion yuan to 2.8 trillion yuan [4]. - Various funding sources, including foreign capital and margin trading, have contributed to this volume increase, with margin trading balances reaching a historical high of 25,606.48 billion yuan [4]. Institutional Outlook - Institutions are generally optimistic about the A-share market's future performance, attributing the current rally to a confluence of favorable policies, capital influx, and strong fundamentals [6]. - Analysts suggest that the ongoing "spring rally" has room for further development, with a focus on sectors benefiting from AI investments and global manufacturing recovery, such as industrial resources and equipment exports [7].

Group 1 - Gold and silver prices have surged at the beginning of 2026, with COMEX silver futures rising over 10% and gold futures increasing over 3% within just four trading days [1][2] - Predictions suggest that gold prices could reach $5000 per ounce and silver could hit $100 per ounce due to factors such as geopolitical tensions, central bank purchases, and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][6][7] - The precious metals sector has become a leading performer in the A-share market at the start of 2026, with significant inflows into gold and silver ETFs, including a single-day inflow of over 10 billion yuan into gold ETFs [3][4] Group 2 - The current gold bull market has lasted for three years, driven by geopolitical factors, central bank gold purchases, and weakening dollar credibility [4] - International institutions maintain an optimistic outlook for gold prices, with forecasts suggesting a potential decline to $4200 per ounce in Q1 2026, followed by a recovery to $4900 by the end of the year [5] - Silver's price performance is expected to be strong in 2026, supported by industrial demand in sectors such as photovoltaics and new energy, alongside financial attributes [6][7]

紫金矿业1月6日大宗交易平台共发生2笔成交，合计成交量31.81万股，成交金额1196.06万元。成交价格 均为37.60元。 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生17笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为14.42亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，紫金矿业今日收盘价为37.60元，上涨6.21%，日换手率为1.73%，成交额为 131.92亿元，全天主力资金净流入10.29亿元，近5日该股累计上涨12.14%，近5日资金合计净流入14.20 亿元。 两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为84.18亿元，近5日增加7.87亿元，增幅为10.31%。（数据宝） 1月6日紫金矿业大宗交易一览 | 成交量 （万 | 成交金额 | 成交价 | 相对当日收盘 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （万元） | 格 | 折溢价（%） | | | | 股） | | （元） | | | | | 18.81 | 707.26 | 37.60 | 0.00 | 中国国际金融股份有限公司北 | 平安证券股份有限公司 | | | | | | 京建国门外大街证券营业部 | ...