Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,513.11, down by 334.21 points or 1.24% [1] - The index reached a high of 26,812.73 and a low of 26,414.23 during the trading session [1] - The trading volume was 70.4034 million shares, with an average price of 26,613.48 [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 139.704, up by 0.51% compared to the previous close [2][3] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 552.190, down by 1.04% compared to the previous close [2][3] - Alibaba Group (W) closed at HKD 159.500, down by 0.93% [3] - AIA Group closed at HKD 90.700, up by 1.40% [3] - Xiaomi Group (W) closed at HKD 33.960, down by 1.85% [3] - Meituan (W) closed at HKD 92.150, down by 1.13% [3] - China Ping An closed at HKD 72.050, up by 1.05% [3] ADR Performance - Tencent's ADR (TCEHY) was priced at USD 552.190, reflecting a decrease of 1.04% compared to its Hong Kong counterpart [3] - Alibaba's ADR (BABA) was priced at USD 155.411, down by 2.56% compared to its Hong Kong counterpart [3] - HSBC's ADR (HSBC) was priced at USD 139.704, up by 0.51% compared to its Hong Kong counterpart [3]

Core Insights - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to see a surge in consumer demand, with e-commerce platforms leveraging technology and promotional activities to stimulate spending [1][3] Group 1: Consumer Trends - Smart technology products are becoming popular choices for New Year purchases, with significant sales increases in categories like home appliances, including a 121% rise in robot vacuum sales and a 114% increase in embedded steam oven sales [2] - A survey indicates that 45.6% of consumers prioritize gifts for parents and elders during their initial New Year shopping, focusing on health and safety [3] - The trend of "instant purchasing" is emerging, with consumers opting for immediate purchases rather than stockpiling goods [2] Group 2: Service Consumption - Traditional services such as haircuts and cleaning are experiencing high demand, with beauty services seeing a 78% increase in search volume for hair dyeing packages [4] - The home cleaning service sector is also booming, with a doubling of orders for routine cleaning services in major cities [4] Group 3: Technological Integration - E-commerce platforms are actively developing AI applications to enhance the shopping experience, such as Meituan's AI search feature and JD's AI New Year goods map [5] - AI is expected to play a significant role in personalized recommendations and inventory management, potentially transforming consumer engagement and operational efficiency [6] Group 4: Innovative Products and Promotions - New trends in gift-giving include blind box toys and culturally themed products, with 65.6% of consumers planning to purchase zodiac-themed gift boxes [7] - E-commerce platforms are implementing various promotional strategies, including discount coupons and live-streaming sales, to further boost consumer spending [7][8]

中芯国际 中国移动 中国海油 钧达股份 华虹公司 长飞光纤 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 114.84 -1.19 -1.03% 2.47% 1.65% 0.83% 0.00% 0.83% 1.65% 2.47% 113.16 114.12 115.07 116.03 116.99 117.94 118.90 09:30 10:30 11:30/13:00 14:00 15:00 15:30 0 34万 68万 101万 2月4日港股市场，北水成交净买入133.73亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净买入73.93亿港元，港股通(深)成交净买入59.8亿 港元。 北水净买入最多的个股是腾讯(00700)、阿里巴巴-W(09988)、南方恒生科技(03033)。北水净卖出最多的个股是中芯国际 (00981)、华虹半导体(01347)。 | 股票名称 | 买入额 | 卖出额 | 头实思额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 净流入 | | 腾讯控股 | 52.05亿 | 31.40 乙 | 83.45亿 | | HK 00700 | | | +20.66亿 | | 阿里巴巴-W | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a current price of 92.15 HKD and a target value of 133.47 HKD [3]. Core Insights - The report anticipates that the company's revenue for 2025 will reach 365.3 billion RMB, with an adjusted net profit loss of 22.5 billion RMB. The company is expected to maintain a strong operational barrier in the takeaway business, despite short-term profit pressures due to competition [6][13]. - The report highlights that the competition in the instant retail business is easing, with a projected order volume growth of 30% for flash purchases in Q4 2025. However, the takeaway business is expected to face continued competition, particularly in high-value orders [6][7][8]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 276.74 billion RMB - 2024: 337.59 billion RMB (growth rate: 25.82%) - 2025: 365.32 billion RMB (growth rate: 8.21%) - 2026: 414.90 billion RMB (growth rate: 13.57%) - 2027: 467.34 billion RMB (growth rate: 12.64%) [6]. - The adjusted net profit forecast indicates losses for 2025 and 2026, with expected losses of 22.5 billion RMB and 7.2 billion RMB, respectively [6][13]. Business Segment Performance - Core local business revenue is projected to be 643.92 billion RMB in Q4 2025, with a year-over-year decline of 1.79% and an operational loss of 111.16 billion RMB [7][9]. - New business revenue is expected to reach 270.46 billion RMB in Q4 2025, reflecting an 18% year-over-year growth, although operational losses are projected at 42.78 billion RMB [8][9]. Valuation Methodology - The report employs a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating the company's fair value at 133.47 HKD per share, based on contributions from various business segments including takeaway, in-store travel, flash purchases, and new businesses [13][14].

沪港通（南向）十大活跃成交公司 | 公司名称 | 成交金额 | 净买入额 | | --- | --- | --- | | 腾讯控股(00700) | 72.56 亿元 | +1.66 亿元 | | 阿里巴巴-W(09988) | 29.45 亿元 | +9.55 亿元 | | 中芯国际(00981) | 16.87 亿元 | -4.31 亿元 | | 小米集团-W(01810) | 13.46 亿元 | +4.31 亿元 | | 南方恒生科技(03033) | 12.11 亿元 | +11.23 亿元 | | 美团-W(03690) | 10.53 亿元 | +4.04 亿元 | | 长飞光纤光缆(06869) | 10.05 亿元 | -476.84 万元 | | 快手-W(01024) | 7.68 亿元 | +2.21 亿元 | | 钧达股份(02865) | 6.75 亿元 | +7011.29 万元 | | 华虹半导体(01347) | 6.15 亿元 | -2.36 亿元 | 智通财经APP获悉，2026年2月4日当天，腾讯控股(00700)、阿里巴巴-W(09988)、中芯国际(00981)位居 ...

来源：智通财经 智通财经2月4日讯（编辑 冯轶）据Wind数据显示，南向资金今日成交约1140.75亿港元，较前一日继续 缩量约123亿；约占今日恒指成交总额的39.97%，占比继续低于四成。 腾讯控股今日跌3.96%，资金前5日加仓458万股，短线保持流入趋势。 阿里巴巴-W今日跌0.93%，资金前5日减持792万股，短线仍以流出为主。 小米集团-W今日跌1.85%，资金前5日加仓4020万股，短线保持流入趋势。 美团-W今日跌1.13%，资金前5日减持410万股，但近两日连续回流。 但值得关注的是，南向资金今日大举净流入约133.73亿港元，创1月22日以来近两周新高。其中，沪港 股通净流入约73.93亿港元，而深港股通净流入约59.80亿港元。 且趋势上，南向资金已连续5个交易日保持流入，成为港股短线回调中的一股做多力量，累计买入 238.27亿港元。 个股方面，交易所数据显示，今日南向资金 大幅净买入：腾讯控股(0700.HK)22.31亿港元；阿里巴巴-W(09988.HK)11.71亿港元；小米集团- W(01810.HK)7.66亿港元；美团-W(03690.HK)4.04亿港元；中国移动(00 ...

智通财经APP获悉，2月4日港股市场，北水成交净买入133.73亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净买入73.93亿港元，港股通 (深)成交净买入59.8亿港元。 港股通(深)活跃成交股 北水资金抢筹科网股，腾讯(00700)、阿里巴巴-W(09988)、美团-W(03690)、快手-W(01024)分别获净买入22.31亿、11.71 亿、4.04亿、2.2亿港元。消息面上，近日网上流传一则互联网增值服务（如游戏内购、广告）加税的传言。大摩认为市场 对于增值税法规可能带来负面影响的过度担忧。该行指出，目前没有证据表明互联网相关服务(例如虚拟游戏物品、网络 广告等，税率为6%)的增值税会发生任何变化。该行认为中国的AI路径在2026年将更加明朗，由供给端和需求端共同驱 动。 小米集团-W(01810)获净买入7.65亿港元。消息面上，中银国际发表报告指，1月小米电动车交付量超过3.9万台，表现优于 同行，主要得益于YU7储备订单及金融促销方案的推出。该行认为小米在AI大模型、机器人及芯片等领域的持续投入及潜 在回报预期，将为当前估值提供支撑。 北水净买入最多的个股是腾讯(00700)、阿里巴巴-W(09988)、南 ...

Core Insights - The "Meituan Black Diamond Member Experience Officer" program has successfully launched in Chongqing, highlighting the city's appeal as a travel destination during the Spring Festival [2][3] - Chongqing's tourism bookings have seen significant growth, with a 32% year-on-year increase in Spring Festival cultural and tourism reservations, and a 73% increase in hotel bookings [2] - The program aims to enhance the hotel experience by integrating various cultural activities and local experiences, expanding the concept of "accommodation+" [6] Group 1: Tourism Growth - Chongqing's hotel bookings for the Spring Festival have surged, with high-end hotel night rates exceeding 800 yuan and a staggering 542% increase in bookings from "out-of-town tourists" [2] - The top ten sources of out-of-town visitors to Chongqing include major cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou [2] - The demand for hotel bookings has increased significantly, with a 157% rise in early reservations for Marriott hotels in Chongqing [5] Group 2: Experience Integration - The "accommodation+" concept is being promoted, allowing guests to engage in various activities such as cocktail parties, opera performances, and local culinary experiences [3][6] - The program includes unique offerings like the "one meal seals the gods" dinner and packages that combine hotel stays with local cultural experiences [5] - The integration of local attractions, such as the drone light shows and scenic views from high-altitude hotels, enhances the overall visitor experience [5][6] Group 3: Demographic Trends - There is a notable increase in hotel bookings among younger travelers, with a 55% growth in reservations from the post-2000 generation [5] - The senior demographic (60 years and older) has also shown a significant increase in bookings, with a 79% rise in hotel reservations [5] - The trend indicates a shift towards more diverse travel experiences among different age groups, with a growing interest in cultural and local activities [6]

Core Insights - The Chinese internet food delivery industry has officially ended the "money-burning for market share" era, with a significant intervention from the State Administration for Market Regulation, halting a year-long subsidy war involving major players like Meituan, Taobao Flash, and JD Delivery [1][2][12] Group 1: Industry Changes - The subsidy war, which saw a total investment of 744 billion yuan, has been characterized as a "suicidal attack" on the industry, leading to severe financial losses for major platforms [8][12] - In 2025, the intense competition resulted in a staggering 89% year-on-year drop in adjusted net profit for Meituan and a 78% decline in adjusted EBITA for Alibaba's instant retail business [8][10] - Over 12% of small and medium-sized restaurants succumbed to the pressure of forced low-price promotions, highlighting the detrimental effects of the subsidy war [10][12] Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The regulatory body has identified "subsidy wars, price competition, and traffic control" as critical issues that require immediate rectification [12][20] - The intervention marks a significant correction of the internet business logic, emphasizing the need for sustainable practices rather than short-term gains through subsidies [14][32] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Following the regulatory intervention, JD Delivery has shifted to a model charging a 5% service fee, indicating a return to a more sustainable business model focused on providing technical services [22] - The end of the subsidy war is expected to lead to a focus on quality and safety in the food delivery market, moving away from price as the primary competitive factor [33][35] Group 4: Consumer Impact - Consumers have begun to notice price increases, with average delivery prices rising by approximately 0.8 yuan, reflecting the end of artificially low prices [28][30] - The previous low-price model is described as a bubble that compromised food safety, with the new pricing structure aimed at ensuring better quality and service [30][38]

另一方面，元宝红包链接被微信限制，AI应用、软件类股全线下跌，其中金蝶国际、美图公司跌超11% 以上，高盛指内存涨价下调手机出货量，手机产业链股齐跌，半导体股、影视股、风电股多数低迷。 (格隆汇) 港股三大指数走势分化，受科技股下跌影响，恒生科技指数下跌1.84%，盘中曾跌至2.7%录得5连跌行 情，最低报5320.72点创去年7月中旬以来新低，恒生指数午后翻红，最终小幅上涨0.05%，国企指数小 幅收跌0.05%。 具体盘面上，大型科技股集体下跌，其中，元宝红包链接被微信限制，腾讯跌约4%，百度跌近3%，京 东、小米、美团、阿里巴巴、美团皆有跌幅；印尼矿商暂停现货煤炭出口，机构看好海外布局煤炭公 司，煤炭股集体爆发，兖煤澳大利亚、兖矿能源大涨超10%；春节假期临近，国内航线机票预订量日均 增长15%，航空股继续涨势；流动性松绑+需求回暖，世茂集团大涨近15%领跑内房股。 ...