Group 1: ETF Performance - The Rare Metals ETF has a turnover rate of 6.87% with a transaction volume of 83.93 million yuan, and it ranks first among comparable funds in terms of average daily trading volume over the past week at 131 million yuan [3] - The latest scale of the Rare Metals ETF reached 1.22 billion yuan, marking a one-year high and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's shares reached 1.843 billion, a three-month high, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - Over the past six days, the Rare Metals ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with a single-day peak of 50.91 million yuan, totaling 177 million yuan in net inflows [3] - As of July 28, 2025, the ETF's net value has increased by 59.46% over the past year, ranking 267 out of 2938 in the index stock fund category, placing it in the top 9.09% [3] - The ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 24.02% since its inception, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being three months and the longest gain percentage being 14.06%, averaging a monthly return of 7.76% [3] - The ETF has outperformed its benchmark with an annualized return of 9.87% over the past three months [3] Group 2: Market Insights - Huatai Securities notes that the domestic "anti-involution" policies are intensifying, combined with recent overseas fiscal and monetary easing, leading to strong performance in the metals sector [4] - The price of polysilicon has successfully recovered, boosting market confidence, which has spilled over into lithium carbonate and alumina [4] - Lithium, cobalt, and rare earths have found price bottoms from a cost perspective, with independent factors driving price increases, such as stricter mining rights reviews for lithium and strategic enhancements and shortages for rare earths [4] - Zhongyou Securities highlights that the Democratic Republic of the Congo has banned cobalt exports since February, with extensions in June, leading to a depletion of in-transit cobalt mines, and anticipates that the peak season in September and October will drive inventory reductions [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index as of June 30, 2025, include Salt Lake Co., Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, China Rare Earth, Western Superconducting, Zhongmin Resources, and Xiamen Tungsten, collectively accounting for 54.07% of the index [4]

Group 1 - The training event on "Value Management and Mergers & Acquisitions" was held in Xiamen, attended by nearly 70 executives and representatives from listed companies and related institutions [1] - The core of value management is expectation management, which involves changing the company's fundamentals and perceptions to influence market value [1] - The capital market is transitioning from a "financing market" to an "investment market," presenting new opportunities in the mergers and acquisitions sector [1] Group 2 - Judicial restructuring has become a common path for listed companies to mitigate risks, as highlighted by case studies shared during the event [2] - The market structure of derivative investments was discussed, focusing on the NAFMII, SAC, and ISDA agreement systems, with examples of efficient applications of cross-border capital tools [2] - In the first half of 2025, ten listed companies in the Xiamen area completed mergers and acquisitions, involving a total amount of 1.755 billion yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [8] Core Views - The macroeconomic outlook is improving, leading to a comprehensive rise in metal prices, particularly strategic metals [2][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic metals and bottom energy metal allocation opportunities, highlighting the revaluation of rare earths and tungsten [4] - The report suggests that the domestic growth stabilization and anti-involution policies are enhancing expectations, which is driving up domestic commodity prices [5][6] Summary by Sections Strategic Metals - Strategic metals such as rare earths and tungsten are experiencing a revaluation, with significant price increases expected due to government focus and international supply chain developments [4] - The price of rare earth concentrate has increased to 19,100 CNY/ton, reflecting a 1.5% increase [4] - Tungsten prices are also on the rise, supported by strong supply dynamics and improving company performance [4] Energy Metals - The report indicates a high probability of short-term price increases for cobalt, with a significant drop in imports noted [4] - Cobalt intermediate imports in June fell to 18,991 tons, a decrease of 61.6% month-on-month [4] - Nickel prices are expected to stabilize, with long-term price expectations likely to rise [4] Lithium - The report notes a bottoming out of lithium prices, with recent regulatory changes indicating stricter domestic mining controls [4] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has rebounded by 15.2% to 76 CNY/kg [24] - The report suggests monitoring potential resource releases in the lithium sector [4] Precious Metals - Gold prices are fluctuating due to improved risk appetite and easing trade tensions, with a recommendation to increase allocation to precious metal stocks [4][6] - The report highlights that gold stocks have underperformed, suggesting a strategic buying opportunity [4] - Silver is noted for its potential upside, with a recommendation to consider silver stocks for recovery [4] Industrial Metals - The report indicates that industrial metals are experiencing mixed performance, with domestic prices leading international trends [5][6] - Copper prices on the SHFE increased by 1.1%, while aluminum prices rose by 1.2% [5] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic policies and their impact on metal demand [6]

Group 1: Metal Sector - China Hongqiao's net profit forecast for 2024 is CNY 223.72 billion, with a PE ratio of 8.14[12] - Hualing Steel's net profit is projected to increase from CNY 20.32 billion in 2024 to CNY 28.54 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 19.72[12] - Xiamen Tungsten's net profit is expected to rise from CNY 17.28 billion in 2024 to CNY 21.01 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 22.97[12] Group 2: Construction and Transportation - Sichuan Road and Bridge's net profit is forecasted to grow from CNY 72.10 billion in 2024 to CNY 82.86 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 10.35[12] - YTO Express's net profit is expected to decrease from CNY 40.12 billion in 2024 to CNY 35.39 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 13.03[12] - China Merchants Highway's net profit is projected to be CNY 55 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 14.56[12] Group 3: Chemical and Energy Sector - Yara International's net profit is expected to rise from CNY 9.50 billion in 2024 to CNY 17.94 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 30.56[12] - Funiu Power's net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 28.95 billion, with a PE ratio of 9.18[12] - Huajin's net profit is projected to recover to CNY 0.92 billion in 2025 after a loss of CNY 27.95 billion in 2024[12] Group 4: Strategic Metals and New Materials - Xiamen Tungsten's strategic metal segments are expected to contribute 79% to profits in 2024, with a focus on tungsten and rare earths[21] - Zhongcai Technology's special glass fiber is projected to see significant demand growth due to AI hardware requirements, with expected profits of CNY 0.2 billion in 2024[30] - The company anticipates a profit contribution from special glass fiber of CNY 7.2 billion by 2026[30]

Group 1: Price Trends - Tungsten prices have been rising continuously this year, with black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) reaching 190,000 yuan/ton, up 32.9% since the beginning of the year [1] - White tungsten concentrate (≥65%) is priced at 189,000 yuan/ton, an increase of 33.1% year-to-date [1] - Ammonium paratungstate (APT) is at 280,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 32.7% rise since the start of the year [1] Group 2: Market Performance - The A-share tungsten sector has seen a cumulative increase of over 60% as of July 25 this year [1] - Market funds are beginning to reassess investment opportunities in tungsten, which has been undervalued compared to other non-ferrous metals like copper and aluminum [1] Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The Ministry of Natural Resources has set a total tungsten mining quota of 58,000 tons for the first batch in 2025, a decrease of 4,000 tons or 6.45% from the previous year [1] - Major tungsten-producing provinces, Jiangxi and Yunnan, have reduced their mining volumes by 2,370 tons and 400 tons, respectively [1] - The natural decline in tungsten ore grades is providing strong support for tungsten prices [1] Group 4: Demand Drivers - The demand for tungsten products is increasing due to the accelerated transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing sector, particularly in photovoltaic and hard alloy fields [2] - The market size for tungsten wire used in photovoltaic cutting is projected to grow from 719 million yuan in 2022 to 6.659 billion yuan by 2025 [2] - Companies like Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Industry Co., Ltd. are ramping up production capabilities, with plans for an annual output of 30 billion meters of ultra-fine tungsten wire [2] Group 5: Industry Responses - Companies are actively responding to the challenges and opportunities presented by rising tungsten prices, with upstream mining firms leveraging resource advantages and downstream firms optimizing product structures [2] - Changyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry Co., Ltd. is enhancing its resource base through the integration of mining rights and increased exploration efforts [2] - Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. aims to increase its tungsten resource assurance rate from 20% to 70% in the future [3] Group 6: Innovation and Cost Management - Companies are improving processes to manage cost pressures and enhance product value, such as Zhongtung High-tech Materials Co., Ltd. extending APT into micro-drill production for printed circuit boards [3] - The focus on high-value-added products is seen as a strategy to mitigate risks associated with raw material price fluctuations [3] - The impact of rising tungsten prices varies across the industry, with upstream companies benefiting from higher prices while downstream firms need to invest in product upgrades and innovation capabilities [3]

Group 1 - The National Index for New Energy Vehicle Batteries (980032) saw a strong increase of 2.65% as of July 24, 2025, with component stocks such as Huayou Cobalt (603799) rising by 9.44%, Ganfeng Lithium (002460) by 8.00%, and Tianhua New Energy (300390) by 7.09% [1] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate decreased by 500 yuan, averaging 70,150 yuan per ton, which is beneficial for the downstream of the new energy vehicle industry chain, alleviating cost pressures for vehicle manufacturers and enhancing market competitiveness [1] - CITIC Futures noted that lithium carbonate market sentiment is volatile, with prices experiencing a pullback after a surge, and while supply disruptions persist, the recovery in demand remains to be observed [1] Group 2 - Dongfang Securities highlighted that semi/solid-state batteries, which significantly reduce electrolyte usage, are an effective technical solution for enhancing energy density and safety performance before the large-scale application of all-solid-state batteries [2] - The recent recall of power banks has raised public awareness regarding battery safety, leading to stricter national standards for power batteries, which now mandate "non-flammability and non-explosiveness," thereby significantly lowering the tolerance for battery safety risks [2] - Semi-solid-state batteries are expanding their commercial application scenarios and have achieved breakthroughs in orders, particularly in niche markets, due to their compatibility with the increasing demands for lightweight design and high energy density in applications such as 3C devices, drones, and robots [2]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is experiencing a strong market performance, driven by favorable policies, supply-demand dynamics, and new resource discoveries, indicating significant growth potential for related companies and the industry as a whole [1][3][4]. Policy Support - The Chinese government continues to enhance support for the rare earth sector, with the implementation of the "Rare Earth Management Regulations" in October 2024, prohibiting illegal activities related to rare earth products [3]. - The "Rare Earth Industry Development Plan (2025-2030)" aims to optimize resource allocation and promote high-end applications, reinforcing market expectations for regulated industry growth [3]. - Recent statements from the Ministry of State Security emphasize the need for improved management of strategic mineral resources, further solidifying the regulatory framework for the rare earth industry [3]. Market Dynamics - According to a report by China International Capital Corporation, the global supply-demand gap for praseodymium and neodymium oxide is projected to be 28 tons, 1,525 tons, and 1,018 tons from 2025 to 2027, indicating a sustained tight supply and potential for moderate price increases [1]. - The rare earth permanent magnet market is expected to exceed $24.95 billion by 2025, with China dominating over 90% of global production, highlighting its strategic importance in high-end manufacturing sectors [4]. New Resource Discoveries - A recent discovery of a new rare earth mineral, "Neodymium Huanghe Mine," in Inner Mongolia is expected to enhance China's position in the global rare earth supply chain, particularly for neodymium, which is crucial for high-performance permanent magnets [5][6]. Industry Performance - Preliminary half-year reports from rare earth companies indicate strong performance, attributed to rising rare earth prices, growing demand in the renewable energy sector, and benefits from increased industry concentration [7]. - Analysts suggest that domestic rare earth pricing remains relatively low, with potential for price increases supported by government policies, which could further enhance company performance in the sector [7].

Group 1: Liquidity and Fund Performance - The liquidity of the rare earth ETF managed by Jiashi has a turnover rate of 6.85% with a transaction volume of 216 million yuan [3] - As of July 21, the Jiashi rare earth ETF has reached a scale of 3.145 billion yuan, marking a one-year high and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - In the past week, the Jiashi rare earth ETF has seen a significant increase in shares by 12 million, leading in new share growth among comparable funds [3] - The latest net inflow of funds into the Jiashi rare earth ETF is 78.4154 million yuan, with a total of 305 million yuan net inflow over four out of the last five trading days [3] - The Jiashi rare earth ETF has achieved a net value increase of 63.74% over the past year, ranking 131 out of 2929 in the index stock fund category, placing it in the top 4.47% [3] - Since its inception, the Jiashi rare earth ETF has recorded a highest monthly return of 41.25% and an average monthly return of 9.69% [3] Group 2: Market Trends and Price Movements - Since July, domestic rare earth product prices have shown signs of recovery, with the average market price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide reaching 477,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 5.3% and a month-on-month increase of 8.2% [4] - The upcoming consumption peak season in September and October is expected to drive raw material procurement, leading to a positive outlook for rare earth prices [4] - Historical trends indicate that high overseas prices often lead to domestic price increases, potentially enhancing corporate profits and creating a dual opportunity for valuation and profit expansion in the sector [4] Group 3: Key Stocks in the Rare Earth Sector - The top ten weighted stocks in the rare earth industry index as of June 30, 2025, include Northern Rare Earth, China Rare Earth, and China Aluminum, collectively accounting for 55.58% of the index [4] - The performance of key stocks shows varied changes, with Northern Rare Earth down by 2.40% and Xiamen Aluminum up by 3.50% [6]

Core Viewpoint - Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. announced the preliminary financial results of its subsidiary, Xiamen Tungsten New Energy Materials Co., Ltd. for the first half of 2025, highlighting significant changes due to the acquisition of a 47% stake in Ganzhou Haopeng Technology Co., Ltd. [1][2] Financial Data Summary - Xiamen Tungsten New Energy reported its financial data in ten-thousand yuan (万元) for the first half of 2025, which includes adjustments due to the acquisition mentioned above [1]. - The financial data presented is preliminary and has not been audited by an accounting firm, with the final results to be confirmed in the regular report for the first half of 2025 [2].

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [5] Core Views - The rare earth sector is experiencing price increases driven by overseas catalysts, with neodymium oxide rising 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, and terbium oxide increasing 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] - Molybdenum prices are fluctuating at high levels due to increased steel demand, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton [5][24] - Tungsten prices are at new highs due to supply contraction expectations, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton [5][29] - Tin prices are under pressure with SHFE tin down 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, influenced by raw material shortages from Myanmar [5][37] - Antimony prices are adjusting downwards, with antimony ingot prices falling 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton due to reduced smelting output [5][48] - The controllable nuclear fusion materials sector is in a high-growth phase, with significant opportunities for upstream materials [6] Summary by Category Rare Earths - Recent price increases: neodymium oxide up 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, terbium oxide up 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate price increased 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton, while molybdenum iron (Mo60) rose 3.49% to 252,000 CNY/ton [5][24] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate price increased 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate rose 4.35% to 264,000 CNY/ton [5][29] Tin - SHFE tin price decreased 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, and LME tin fell 1.82% to 33,160 USD/ton [5][37] Antimony - Antimony ingot price decreased 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate price fell 1.49% to 16,500 CNY/ton [5][48] Nuclear Fusion Materials - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating commercialization, with significant benefits expected for upstream materials [6]