Group 1: Zhang Kun's Investment Strategy - Zhang Kun maintains a focus on core consumer stocks and is optimistic about the long-term resilience of the economy, with a total fund size of 55.047 billion yuan as of Q2 2025 [1] - The performance of Zhang Kun's funds in the first half of the year shows a return of 15.38% for the E Fund Asia Select fund, while the E Fund Blue Chip Select fund returned only 0.83% [1][3] - The top ten holdings include Tencent Holdings, Alibaba-W, and Wuliangye, with significant increases in positions for JD Health and SF Express, while Tencent Holdings saw a reduction [2][3] Group 2: Market Analysis and Outlook - Zhang Kun emphasizes that the current low valuations of holdings reflect expectations of future profit declines, making them attractive for long-term investors [4] - He believes that the economic growth will be driven by market forces, individual dynamism, and technological advancements, with a vision for GDP per capita to reach the level of moderately developed countries by 2035 [3][4] Group 3: Zhu Shaoxing's Investment Focus - Zhu Shaoxing's fund, the Fortune Tianhui Select Growth Mixed Fund, has a scale of 23.544 billion yuan and a stock position of 94.05%, with the top ten holdings accounting for 34.98% of net value [5][6] - The top ten holdings include Guizhou Moutai and Ningbo Bank, with new entries like Jerry Holdings and Guangdong Hongda, while companies like BYD and Luxshare Precision have exited the top ten [6][7] Group 4: Market Conditions and Future Expectations - Zhu Shaoxing notes that the market experienced volatility due to trade tensions but expects a resolution through negotiations, with monetary and fiscal policies actively supporting the market [7][8] - He highlights that the overall valuation of A-shares remains attractive, and the risk-reward ratio for equity assets is favorable, focusing on collecting high-potential companies for long-term value realization [8]

Summary of the White Wine Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the white wine industry, particularly the impact of recent policies and market conditions on investment strategies and company performance [1][3][5]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Impact of the Alcohol Ban**: The alcohol ban has affected sales by at least 30%, primarily impacting consumption among civil servants, state-owned enterprises, and public institutions, which delays the expected industry cycle turning point to 2025 Q3 [1][4]. 2. **Differences in Current and Previous Cycles**: The current cycle differs from 2012-2015 as it restricts drinking scenarios rather than just high-end wine purchases, leading to more severe policy impacts on the industry [5][7]. 3. **Short-term Industry Pressure**: The white wine industry faces short-term pressures with no significant recovery in the dining and drinking markets, and intensified competition in the mid-to-high-end segment [1][6][10]. 4. **Investment Strategy**: A counter-cyclical investment strategy is recommended, focusing on companies' profit and market value bottoms under pessimistic conditions. For instance, if Moutai's price drops to 1,500 yuan, it could still yield over 10 billion yuan in profit with a dividend yield exceeding 5% [1][9]. 5. **Best Investment Timing**: The best time to invest in the white wine sector is expected to be in the fall of 2025, as the impact of the alcohol ban will be significant in Q3, and Moutai's price may hit a bottom [11][13]. 6. **Institutional Holdings**: Institutional holdings in the white wine sector have dropped to levels seen in 2016, indicating a clean slate for potential market recovery once sentiment improves or favorable policies are introduced [2][13]. 7. **Recommended Stocks**: The recommended stocks include Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao, with additional attention to Shede and Koude Jiao, as well as the emerging consumption logic of Zhenjiu Lidou [1][20]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Market Dynamics**: The white wine market is influenced by various factors, including policy changes, economic conditions, and internal competition among brands, particularly in the mid-to-high-end segment [7][8]. 2. **Challenges Ahead**: The industry faces challenges such as ongoing short-term pressures, intensified competition, and the need for companies to adjust pricing strategies and product structures [8][10]. 3. **Long-term Outlook**: Despite current challenges, the white wine industry is expected to recover in the long term, with cyclical characteristics suggesting eventual market recovery [10][12]. 4. **Emerging Brands**: Emerging brands like Zhenjiu Lidou are gaining attention due to innovative marketing strategies and product offerings that appeal to new consumer segments [17][19]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and recommendations from the conference call regarding the white wine industry, highlighting the current challenges and potential investment opportunities.

富时中国A50指数连续 金十图示：2025年07月23日（周三）富时中国A50指数成分股今日收盘行情一览：石油、煤炭板块回吐涨幅，银行、保险板块多 数收涨 +0.05(+0.89%) +0.03(+0.36%) 0.00(0.00%) 光大银行 2505.23亿市值 7.54亿成交额 4.24 0.00(0.00%) 得經 中国平安 中国太保 中国人保 明 3719.24亿市值 3573.96亿市值 10561.94亿市值 11.79亿成交额 22.33亿成交额 50.21亿成交额 37.15 58.00 8.41 +0.96(+2.65%) +1.30(+2.29%) +0.03(+0.36%) 酿酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 2314.39亿市值 18535.20亿市值 4859.77亿市值 66.76亿成交额 28.88亿成交额 22.23亿成交额 1475.50 125.20 189.71 +10.52(+0.72%) -1.07(-0.56%) -0.33(-0.26%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2392.12亿市值 2491.53亿市值 3141.81亿市值 39 ...

Group 1 - The year 2025 marks a critical moment for global investors to reassess Chinese assets, with high-quality Chinese companies gaining international attention [1] - The success of these companies highlights the resilience and innovative potential of the Chinese economy, sparking renewed interest from international capital [1][6] - Chinese assets are becoming an indispensable part of international investment portfolios due to their unique appeal amid changing global economic dynamics [1] Group 2 - Recent market movements indicate a shift from small-cap stocks to core assets, as analysts predict a significant change in market style [2][4] - Core assets have played a crucial role in stabilizing the A-share market, with major banks' stocks acting as a stabilizing force for the overall index [2][4] - The potential for a significant index bull market is low, with a more likely scenario being a slow and steady market growth driven by core assets [4] Group 3 - Chinese assets have shown strong anti-drawdown capabilities, particularly in the first half of the year, attracting risk-averse funds during a downturn in Western markets [6] - The emergence of companies like the "Hangzhou Six Little Dragons" and "New Consumption Four Sisters" reflects the optimism of global investors towards Chinese technology and consumption sectors [6][7] - Compared to U.S. core assets, Chinese core assets are significantly undervalued, with the average valuation of the CSI 300 at 13 times and the Hang Seng Index at around 11 times, compared to over 30 times for U.S. indices [7] Group 4 - The current phase for Chinese assets is characterized by low valuations and the release of policy dividends, enhancing investment safety and potential profitability [7] - Korean investors are increasingly buying Chinese stocks, particularly in technology and emerging industries, indicating a shift in global investment attitudes towards China [7] - The ongoing IPO process of Yushu Technology is drawing attention, with its capital structure becoming clearer as it progresses through multiple funding rounds [10][12][14] Group 5 - Yushu Technology's revenue primarily comes from B2B orders from research institutions and AI companies, with its consumer market yet to fully open [16] - Notable investment strategies include focusing on high-quality companies with clear competitive advantages, as demonstrated by significant increases in holdings of leading consumer and technology stocks [19] - The investment landscape is advised to follow major trends and policies, with recommendations to focus on stable sectors while exploring emerging opportunities [20]

Investment Rating - The food and beverage industry maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating [4][5][37] Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage industry has a fund holding ratio of 6.2%, which is a decrease of 1.86 percentage points from the previous quarter, ranking fifth among Shenwan's primary industries. The overall overweight ratio for the industry is 1.37%, which has decreased by 1.34 percentage points [1][12] - The liquor sector remains the most heavily weighted, but its overweight ratio has declined, while the consumer goods sector has seen an increase in fund holdings [2][17] Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Analysis - In Q2 2025, the liquor sector's fund holding ratio decreased by 2.07 percentage points to 4.5%, with an overweight ratio down by 1.52 percentage points to 1.35%. Excluding Moutai, the liquor sector's fund holding ratio fell by 1.61 percentage points to 2.61% [2][17] - The consumer goods sector saw increases in fund holdings for soft drinks, snacks, and condiments, with the soft drink sector's fund holding ratio rising by 0.15 percentage points to 0.41% [2][18] Individual Stock Performance - Major liquor stocks such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye saw a decrease in the number of funds holding their shares, with Moutai's holding ratio dropping to 1.88% and Wuliangye's to 0.89% [29][30] - In contrast, stocks like Dongpeng Beverage and Yanjing Beer received increased allocations, with Dongpeng's holding ratio rising to 0.35% [29][30]

Core Viewpoint - After four consecutive years of decline in the liquor sector, top fund manager Zhang Kun has significantly increased his holdings in high-end liquor stocks, believing that pessimistic expectations will eventually be broken [2][11]. Fund Performance - In Q2, all four funds managed by Zhang Kun underperformed their respective benchmarks, with total assets under management dropping to 55.047 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.50% from the previous quarter [4][6]. - The specific returns for the funds in Q2 were -7.15%, -7.07%, -5.64%, and 8.79%, while their benchmarks grew by 1.92%, 1.55%, 1.92%, and 10.13% respectively [4]. Fund Holdings and Adjustments - Zhang Kun's funds increased their positions in several high-end liquor stocks, including Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, Kweichow Moutai, and Shanxi Fenjiu, while Yanghe exited the top ten holdings [2][7]. - The largest fund, E Fund Blue Chip Select, had a total size of 34.943 billion yuan at the end of Q2, with a significant increase in concentration among its top ten holdings from 74.51% to 83.84% [7][9]. Market Outlook - Zhang Kun does not agree with the pessimistic outlook on domestic demand and the economy, asserting that China will continue to progress towards its goal of reaching a GDP per capita level of a moderately developed country by 2035 [11][12]. - He emphasizes that the valuation of the companies in his portfolio already reflects expectations of future profit declines, making them attractive for long-term investors due to low valuations and substantial shareholder returns [12].

Core Insights - Fenjiu has been ranked fourth in the "2025 Global Spirits Brand Value Top 50" list, showcasing its strong market position [1][5] - The Chinese liquor industry continues to dominate globally, with a total market value of $123.38 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [1] Group 1: Spirits Brand Rankings - Moutai leads the global spirits market with a brand value of $58.38 billion, marking a 16.5% increase [5][6] - Wuliangye follows in second place with a brand value of $27.78 billion [6] - Fenjiu's brand value is reported at $5.873 billion, despite a decline of 18.9% from the previous year [6][7] Group 2: Beer Brand Rankings - Snow Beer is recognized as the most valuable beer brand in China, with a brand value of $4.66 billion, up 8.6% year-on-year [3] - Yanjing Beer saw a significant increase of 21.5% in brand value, reaching $640 million [3] Group 3: Wine Brand Rankings - Zhangyu is the only Chinese wine brand listed in the "Top 10 Global Champagne and Wine Brands," with a brand value of $820 million, reflecting a growth of 16.1% [9] Group 4: Industry Trends - The Chinese liquor market is characterized by a commitment to quality and cultural depth, which has helped brands like Fenjiu gain international recognition [7] - Fenjiu has actively expanded its international presence through participation in global wine exhibitions and cultural events [7]

2025年7月22日，2025年《财富》中国500强排行榜发布。共有5家头部白酒企业上榜，与上年数量相同，但内部位次已经发生了巨变。 金通社注意到，《财富》榜单中白酒企业排名，有以下几个突出特点： 第一，在这个榜单中，白酒老大不是茅台，而是五粮液。这是由于茅台与五粮液由于选取的排名实体不同，五粮液选取的是五粮液集团有限公司，而茅台 选取的是茅台股份有限公司。 第二，茅台虽在这个榜单不是营收老大，但牢牢占据利润率排名榜首，不仅是整个榜单利润率最高的公司，也是白酒行业最赚钱公司；而泸州老窖是利润 率排名第二的公司，仅次于茅台；五粮液的利润率排名，甚连前40名都没有进入。 第三，白酒"探花"生变。上一年是洋河，今年洋河被山西汾酒和泸州老窖反超，山西汾酒是新科"探花"。 第四，洋河名次下滑，不仅营收下滑严重，利润下滑更为严重，净利润被山西汾酒和泸州老窖超越更多。 这与上市公司贵州茅台和五粮液的排名恰好相反。上市公司2024年财报显示，贵州茅台实现营收1708.99亿元，是五粮液891.75亿元的近两倍；贵州茅台的 净利润是862.28亿元，是五粮液318.53亿元的近三倍。而且，贵州茅台2024年的营收净利增幅均为两 ...

21世纪经济报道特约记者 庞华玮 在白酒板块连续4年下跌之后，顶流基金经理张坤开始大举加仓白酒股。 2025年二季度显示，易方达基金基金经理张坤旗下三只基金同步加仓多只高端白酒股——易方达蓝筹精 选、易方达优质精选、易方达优质企业三年持有均增持了五粮液（000858）（000858.SZ）、泸州老窖 （000568）（000568.SZ）、贵州茅台（600519）（600519.SH）、山西汾酒（600809） （600809.SH）。 不过，洋河股份（002304）（002304.SZ）退出了前十大重仓股。 从长期投资者的维度，张坤认为，"悲观预期会在某个时刻被打破"，虽然难以判断具体的时点，但是投 资上判断什么发生比判断什么时候发生要重要得多。 "我们认为持仓公司的估值已经反映了未来盈利下滑甚至大幅下滑的预期，低估值叠加可观的股东回报 的保护，对长期投资者来说是很有吸引力的。"张坤表示。 业绩和规模不理想 二季度，张坤在管的4只基金均跑输了同期业绩比较基准，在管总规模跌至550.47亿元。 具体来看，二季度，易方达蓝筹精选、易方达优质精选、易方达优质企业、易方达亚洲精选的回报分别 为-7.15%、-7.0 ...

（原标题：食品饮料行业今日涨1.73%，主力资金净流入21.37亿元） 沪指7月22日上涨0.62%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有22个，涨幅居前的行业为煤炭、建筑材料，涨幅分别为6.18%、4.49%。食品饮料行业今 日上涨1.73%。跌幅居前的行业为银行、计算机，跌幅分别为0.98%、0.73%。 食品饮料行业今日上涨1.73%，全天主力资金净流入21.37亿元，该行业所属的个股共123只，今日上涨的有89只，涨停的有1只；下跌的有32只。 以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有63只，其中，净流入资金超5000万元的有9只，净流入资金居首的是贵州茅台，今日净流入 资金8.00亿元，紧随其后的是五粮液、山西汾酒，净流入资金分别为3.82亿元、1.63亿元。食品饮料行业资金净流出个股中，资金净流出超千万元 的有6只，净流出资金居前的有莲花控股、皇氏集团、良品铺子，净流出资金分别为3962.87万元、3104.32万元、2083.92万元。（数据宝） 食品饮料行业资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | -- ...