Core Insights - The China Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven Index (000861) has decreased by 0.93% as of May 15, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - The Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF (515900) has also seen a decline of 0.97%, with a latest price of 1.43 yuan [3] - The ETF has a recent trading volume of 858.05 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.26% [3] Market Analysis - According to a recent report by Founder Securities, coal supply is expected to remain stable, and with macroeconomic improvements, demand for energy from real estate, infrastructure, and manufacturing is anticipated to rise, leading to a better coal supply-demand balance [4] - The electricity sector saw a 2.5% year-on-year increase in total electricity consumption in Q1, although the growth rate has slowed compared to the previous year due to a warm winter [4] - The report predicts that electricity consumption growth will likely exceed economic growth, supported by favorable conditions in hydropower and reduced fuel costs in thermal power [4] ETF Performance - As of May 14, 2025, the Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF has achieved a net value increase of 3.56% over the past two years [5] - The ETF's highest monthly return since inception was 15.05%, with an average monthly return of 4.08% during the rising months [5] - The ETF has a management fee of 0.15% and a custody fee of 0.05%, which are among the lowest in comparable funds [5] Top Holdings - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven Index include Hikvision (002415), Guodian NARI (600406), and China Telecom (601728), collectively accounting for 34.48% of the index [6] - The individual weightings of these stocks vary, with Hikvision holding a weight of 5.08% and Guodian NARI at 4.55% [8]

Group 1 - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility Index decreased by 0.07% as of May 15, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - China Shenhua led the gains with an increase of 1.48%, followed by China Life Insurance at 1.21% and Hangzhou Bank at 0.85%, while GF Securities experienced the largest decline [1] - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF (515300) saw a trading volume of 32.31 million yuan during the session, with an average daily trading volume of 114 million yuan over the past week [1] Group 2 - The latest size of the CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF reached 5.631 billion yuan, marking a one-year high [1] - Over the past five trading days, there were net inflows on four days, totaling 66.32 million yuan [1] - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 37.43% of the total, including China Shenhua, Gree Electric, and China Petroleum [1] Group 3 - Huatai Securities anticipates that a series of policies aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations will support risk appetite, with resilient inflation and export data for April [2] - The recent issuance of the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" by the CSRC is expected to reshape the A-share market ecosystem [2] - Sectors such as large-cap stocks, financials, public utilities, and oil & petrochemicals are likely to benefit from the guidance towards long-term capital inflow and asset allocation [2]

第三：中国石化化工有限公司（中石化化工）。中石化化工是中国石油和化学工业领域的巨头，同时也是全球炭黑生产企业中的佼佼者。该企业致力于技术 创新和环境保护，为中国炭黑行业的可持续发展注入了新的活力。 炭黑作为一种重要的工业原料，在橡胶、塑料、油墨、涂料等领域发挥着不可替代的作用。而在这个领域中，中国的炭黑企业表现出色，以其卓越的技术实 力和市场影响力，位列全球炭黑企业的前沿。本文将向您介绍中国炭黑企业十强，这些企业凭借自身的专业能力和创新精神，不断推动着中国炭黑行业的发 展。 第一：中国神华能源股份有限公司（中国神华）。中国神华是中国最大的煤炭生产商，也是全球最大的炭黑生产企业之一。其庞大的生产规模和先进的生产 技术使其成为中国炭黑行业的领军企业。 第二：中国宝钢集团有限公司（宝钢）。作为中国最大的钢铁生产企业之一，宝钢在炭黑生产领域也拥有卓越的实力。该企业在技术创新和品质控制方面取 得了显著的成果，被誉为中国炭黑行业的先驱者。 第七：山东东方碳素股份有限公司（东方碳素）。东方碳素是中国炭黑行业的重要参与者，其稳定的产品质量和广泛的产品应用使其在市场上拥有良好的声 誉。该企业致力于环境保护和可持续发展，将可持续 ...

Group 1 - The National Enterprise Win ETF (159719) has seen a slight decline of 0.13% as of May 14, 2025, with a latest price of 1.51 yuan, while it has accumulated a rise of 1.96% over the past week as of May 13, 2025 [1] - The liquidity of the National Enterprise Win ETF shows a turnover of 0.74% during the day, with a transaction volume of 895,000 yuan, and an average daily transaction of 24.76 million yuan over the past week [1] - The CSI Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) has decreased by 0.08% as of May 14, 2025, with component stocks showing mixed performance [1] Group 2 - Over 300 listed companies have publicly disclosed share repurchase and increase plans since April 2025, with a total amount exceeding 100 billion yuan, including both private enterprises and state-owned enterprises [2] - As of the end of April 2025, the proposed share repurchase loan amount disclosed by listed companies has surpassed 110 billion yuan, with financial institutions signing contracts for approximately 200 billion yuan [2] - Analysts predict that value cycle stocks represented by central state-owned enterprises will yield significant excess returns in the current policy environment aimed at expanding domestic demand and stabilizing assets [2] Group 3 - The National Enterprise Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win Index, which reflects the performance of Chinese state-owned enterprises listed in mainland China and Hong Kong, focusing on globalization and sustainable development [2] - The FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win Index consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 companies listed in Hong Kong [2] Group 4 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index account for 53.26% of the index, with companies like BYD, China Ping An, and Midea Group among the leaders [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Penghua CSI All Share Free Cash Flow ETF has received approval from the CSRC and will be publicly offered from May 19 to May 30, 2025, with a fundraising cap of 2 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Fund Details - The ETF closely tracks the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index, which focuses on companies in the A-share market with high free cash flow rates [1] - The index is constructed by selecting 100 financially healthy, stable profit-generating companies based on the "free cash flow/enterprise value" ratio, providing a balanced allocation across cyclical, consumer, and growth sectors [1] Group 2: Top Holdings - As of May 12, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include Midea Group, China Shenhua, CNOOC, Wuliangye, and COSCO Shipping, with the top ten accounting for 65.55% of the total index weight [1] Group 3: Historical Performance - Since its inception in 2014, the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index has achieved an annualized return of 19.45% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.88, outperforming other indices such as the CSI All Share Total Return Index [4] - The index has a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.05, a price-to-book ratio of 1.77, and a dividend yield of 4.66%, indicating a relatively low overall valuation typical of large-cap value indices [4] Group 4: Market Context - In the current economic transition towards a stock economy, there is increased market focus on companies' ability to generate cash flow, with cash-rich companies outperforming the market [4] - The prevailing low interest rate environment benefits companies with high cash flow, making them more resilient during periods of credit contraction [4]

Investment Rating - The coal industry maintains a rating of "Synchronize with the Market - A" [1] Core Viewpoints - External demand expectations dominate fluctuations, with a focus on improving demand during the peak summer season [1] - The coal production recovery post-holiday has led to increased supply, while electricity coal demand enters a low season, compounded by tariff disputes affecting external demand expectations [8][81] - The recent monetary policy easing is expected to support the macroeconomic environment, with anticipated continued recovery in coal prices due to the upcoming peak summer demand [8][81] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Industry Dynamic Data Tracking - **Thermal Coal**: Post-holiday inventory has risen, and port coal prices remain weak. As of May 9, the spot reference price for thermal coal in the Bohai Rim was 643 CNY/ton, a weekly change of -2.13% [3][23] - **Metallurgical Coal**: Monetary policy easing has led to increased demand entering the traditional peak season. As of May 9, the price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1320 CNY/ton, a weekly change of -4.35% [4][35] - **Coking Steel Industry Chain**: Downstream operations have improved, stabilizing coking coal prices. As of May 9, the average price for first-grade metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port was 1530 CNY/ton, unchanged from the previous week [5][55] - **Coal Transportation**: Weak coal prices have led to a decline in transportation demand, with the coastal coal transportation price index at 640.35 points, a weekly change of -8.06% [6][65] - **Coal-related Futures**: Tariff disputes dominate expectations, with futures prices for coking coal and coke showing fluctuations [8][70] 2. Coal Sector Market Review - The coal sector has rebounded alongside the broader market but has not outperformed major indices. The CITIC Coal Index closed at 3191.92 points, with a five-day change of +0.97% [7][72] 3. Industry News Summary - A comprehensive financial policy has been implemented to stabilize the market, with the People's Bank of China emphasizing a moderately loose monetary policy to support economic recovery [76][78] - Global thermal coal prices have seen an increase, with a reported rise of 8.8% over eight trading days [78] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant increase in coal production in Shanxi Province, with a year-on-year growth of 19.1% [79] 4. Important Announcements from Listed Companies - Announcements from companies such as Anyuan Coal Industry and Meijin Energy regarding management changes and stock pledges have been noted [80] 5. Next Week's Views and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued companies with strong performance support, particularly those with low non-coal business ratios such as Xinjie Energy and Zhongmei Energy [81]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry [7] Core Viewpoints - High inventory pressure is evident, leading to a further decline in coal prices. As of May 9, coal inventory at the Bohai Rim ports reached 33.051 million tons, up 6.50% month-on-month and 42.15% year-on-year, marking the highest level for the same period [2][5] - The recent week saw a downward trend in port coal prices, with the Qinhuangdao port's thermal coal closing price averaging 638 RMB/ton, down 14 RMB/ton (-2.18%) compared to the previous week, indicating that downstream pressure is greater than upstream [3][5] - The report suggests that short-term stabilization of coal prices may require a recovery in demand, recommending a defensive approach towards the current sector, particularly favoring companies with high long-term contract ratios and stable profitability such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy [5] Summary by Sections Coal Price Trends - The Qinhuangdao port's thermal coal price (5500 kcal weekly average) was 638 RMB/ton, down 14 RMB/ton (-2.18%) for the week of May 5-9 [3] - The average price of thermal mixed coal at the Yulin pit in Shaanxi (5800 kcal) was 510 RMB/ton, down 6 RMB/ton (-1.21%) [3] Inventory Levels - As of May 9, coal inventory at Qinhuangdao port was 7.53 million tons, up 8.03% month-on-month and 56.22% year-on-year, also at a record high for the same period [5] - The report highlights that the inventory levels at independent coking plants and sample steel mills are currently at low levels [5] Production and Utilization Rates - The operating rate of 110 sample washing plants was 62.4%, down 0.5 percentage points month-on-month and 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, remaining at a five-year low [4] - The capacity utilization rate of 247 blast furnaces was 92.09%, up 0.09 percentage points month-on-month and 4.42 percentage points year-on-year, with a daily average pig iron output of 2.457 million tons, reflecting a slight increase [4] Key Company Forecasts - The report includes earnings per share (EPS) forecasts and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies, all rated as "Accumulate" [6] - China Shenhua's EPS for 2024 is projected at 2.95 RMB, with a PE ratio of 13 [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry [7] Core Viewpoints - High inventory pressure is evident, leading to a further decline in coal prices. As of May 9, coal inventory at the Bohai Rim ports reached 33.051 million tons, up 6.50% week-on-week and 42.15% year-on-year, marking the highest level for the same period [2][5] - The recent week saw a downward trend in port coal prices, with the Qinhuangdao port's thermal coal price averaging 638 RMB/ton, down 14 RMB/ton (-2.18%) compared to the previous week, indicating that downstream pressure is greater than upstream [2][3] - The report suggests that short-term stabilization of coal prices may require a recovery in demand, recommending a defensive approach towards the sector and favoring companies with high long-term contract ratios and stable profits, such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy [5] Summary by Sections Coal Price Trends - The Qinhuangdao port's thermal coal price (5500 kcal) averaged 638 RMB/ton, down 14 RMB/ton (-2.18%) for the week of May 5-9 [3] - The average price of thermal mixed coal at the Yulin pit in Shaanxi (5800 kcal) was 510 RMB/ton, down 6 RMB/ton (-1.21%) [3] Inventory Levels - As of May 9, coal inventory at Qinhuangdao port was 7.53 million tons, up 8.03% week-on-week and 56.22% year-on-year, also at a record high for the same period [5] - The Bohai Rim port coal inventory reached 33.051 million tons, reflecting a 6.50% increase week-on-week and a 42.15% increase year-on-year [5] Production and Utilization Rates - The operating rate of 110 sample coal washing plants was 62.4%, down 0.5 percentage points week-on-week and 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, remaining at a five-year low [4] - The capacity utilization rate of 247 blast furnaces was 92.09%, up 0.09 percentage points week-on-week and 4.42 percentage points year-on-year, with a daily average pig iron output of 2.457 million tons, up 0.1% week-on-week and 4.7% year-on-year [4] Key Company Financials - China Shenhua (601088.SH) is projected to have an EPS of 2.50 RMB in 2025, with a PE ratio of 16, and is rated "Accumulate" [6] - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) is expected to have an EPS of 1.31 RMB in 2025, with a PE ratio of 8, also rated "Accumulate" [6]

Group 1: Market Performance - The Zhongzheng Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) rose by 1.05% as of May 12, 2025, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Guangdong Hongda (002683) up 6.04%, China Shipbuilding Defense (600685) up 4.54%, and Huada Gene (300676) up 3.93% [1] - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) increased by 0.85%, with a latest price of 1.19 yuan, and has seen a cumulative rise of 2.34% over the past week as of May 9, 2025 [1] Group 2: Fund Performance - The State-Owned Enterprise Win-Win ETF (159719) rose by 0.20% as of May 12, 2025, with a latest price of 1.49 yuan, and has shown a cumulative increase of 1.02% over the past week as of May 9, 2025 [2] - The State-Owned Enterprise Win-Win ETF has achieved a net value increase of 44.07% over the past three years, ranking 77 out of 1747 index stock funds, placing it in the top 4.41% [2][3] - The fund has a year-to-date relative drawdown of 0.15%, the smallest among comparable funds [3] Group 3: Fee Structure - The management fee for the Greater Bay Area ETF is 0.15% and the custody fee is 0.05% [1] - The management fee for the State-Owned Enterprise Win-Win ETF is 0.25% and the custody fee is 0.05%, which is the lowest among comparable funds [3] Group 4: Strategic Insights - The State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the need for state-owned enterprises to enhance their capabilities in key technological areas and integrate artificial intelligence into critical business processes [3] - Analysts believe that the ongoing benefits from state-owned enterprises present long-term investment value, with potential opportunities in debt reduction and mergers and acquisitions, as well as investments in undervalued sectors with high dividends [3] Group 5: Index Composition - The State-Owned Enterprise Win-Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China State-Owned Enterprises Open Win-Win Index, which consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong [4] - The top ten constituent stocks of the Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index include BYD (002594), China Ping An (601318), and China Merchants Bank (600036), collectively accounting for 53.49% of the index [4][8]

Summary of China Shenhua's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Shenhua Energy Company Limited - **Date**: May 9, 2025 Key Points Industry Insights - The coal price center is expected to decline due to supply-demand easing and economic policy uncertainties. Short-term coal prices may resist decline, but long-term impacts from renewable energy and changes in electricity demand will lead to a downward shift in coal prices [2][3] - The coal market showed weak performance in Q1, with market prices down approximately 20% year-on-year. The average sales price decreased by 19.5% [3][4] Financial Performance - In Q1, China Shenhua reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.949 billion yuan, a decrease of 18% year-on-year. The average sales price fell by 19.5%, but the revenue decline was less than the cost decline due to cost optimization [2][4][5] - The company maintains a high proportion of long-term contracts, which helps mitigate market volatility. The long-term contract signing rate is at 75%, with a fulfillment rate of 90% [5][6] Strategic Initiatives - China Shenhua is actively promoting asset injections to resolve industry competition issues, including the announced asset injection from Hangjing Energy and negotiations with the State Energy Group for a new round of capital injection [2][8] - The company has adjusted its sales strategy, increasing the proportion of annual contracts and optimizing sales tactics, which has contributed to a higher long-term contract ratio [2][10] Cost Management - The company has set a 6% annual cost guidance and is implementing measures such as budget control and benchmarking analysis to reduce costs and improve efficiency. The operating cost decreased by 21.8%, which is greater than the revenue decline [11][12] - Safety production reserves are robust, amounting to over 23 billion yuan, providing a solid foundation for operational and cost control [11] Market Outlook - The long-term coal price benchmark is currently at 675 yuan/ton, with no conditions for adjustment. The market is closely monitored for impacts from key industries like real estate and steel, as well as electricity market reforms and renewable energy impacts [4][12][17] - The coal industry faces ongoing supply-demand changes, with the potential for continued pressure on coal prices and profitability for leading companies [13][14] Challenges and Responses - The development of renewable energy is significantly impacting the thermal power industry, necessitating China Shenhua to enhance its adjustment capabilities and ensure coal supply to adapt to industry changes [4][19][20] - The company is aware of the challenges posed by global economic uncertainties and trade tensions, and it plans to maintain stability in production and strategic development while ensuring energy security [26] Additional Considerations - The impact of the US-China tariff conflict on the thermal power industry is limited, but it may affect overall economic and electricity demand [22] - The company is focused on enhancing its competitive edge through various measures, including increasing flexibility and securing auxiliary income [20][21] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions of China Shenhua as discussed in the conference call, highlighting the company's performance, market conditions, and future outlook.