摘要： 2025年Q3的A股，科技成长主线彻底"霸屏"——AI算力、半导体、机器人、消费电子轮番冲高，我们持续带领会员精准踩中机构资金节奏，重仓出海链、 国产半导体、机器人等核心标的，超额收益拉满。 展望Q4，科技成长仍将是绝对主角，半导体、AI算力、机器人、消电端侧四大方向值得超配，还能兼顾双创弹性与龙头红利。今天就把Q3的赚钱逻辑拆 透，再给大家划Q4的黄金布局点。 01回顾Q3的3个轻松"超额"策略，吃透科技牛 策略1：认准"机构主导的科技牛"，抓准资金流向 继去年11月到今年2、3月持续强调科技牛大机遇后，7月16日我们又在公众号文章《》提出需要重视基本面投研并及时转变为机构手法，同时重点抓住包 括AI算力、机器人等为主的科技成长主线方向核心标的趋势机会。 逻辑很简单：国家队（社保、大基金）+两融资金带头冲，险资、公私募跟着加仓。Q3两融余额从1.8万亿飙到2.4万亿，科技股融资占比超60%，相当 于"聪明钱"集体用脚投票科技主线。而且中国经济向科技转型，资本市场"含科量"越来越高，国家队配置自然向科技倾斜。 行情验证超给力：寒武纪涨120%、海光信息涨78%，工业富联更猛，直接涨218%创历史新高； ...

继去年 11月到今年2、3月持续强调科技牛大机遇后，7月16日我们又在公众号文章《 机构满血杀出新一轮科技牛！ 》提出需要重视基本面投 研并及时转变为机构手法，同时重点抓住包括 AI算力、机器人等为主的科技成长主线方向核心标的趋势机会。 摘要 ： 2025 年 Q3 的 A 股，科技成长主线彻底"霸屏"—— AI 算力、半导体、机器人、消费电子轮番冲高， 我们持续带领会员 精准踩中机构资金 节奏，重仓出海链、国产半导体、机器人等核心标的，超额收益拉满。 展望 Q4 ，科技成长仍将是绝对主角，半导体、 AI 算力、机器人、消电端侧四大方向值得超配，还能兼顾双创弹性与龙头红利。今天就把 Q3 的赚钱逻辑拆透，再给大家划 Q4 的黄金布局点。 01 回顾 Q3的3个轻松"超额"策略，吃透科技牛 策略 1：认准"机构主导的科技牛"，抓准资金流向 逻辑很简单：国家队（社保、大基金） + 两融资金带头冲，险资、公私募跟着加仓。 Q3 两融余 额从 1.8 万亿飙到 2.4 万亿，科技股融资占 比超 60% ，相当于"聪明钱"集体用脚投票科技主线。而且中国经济向科技转型，资本市场"含科量"越来越高，国家队配置自然向科技倾斜 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market saw significant growth in Q3, driven by sectors such as humanoid robots, storage chips, and solid-state batteries, with the ChiNext Index rising by 50% and the Sci-Tech 50 Index increasing by 49% [1][3] - A total of 11 stocks in the A-share market experienced price increases exceeding 200% in Q3, excluding newly listed stocks this year [1][4] - The top-performing stocks included Shangwei New Materials, which surged by 1,597.94%, and Tianpu Co., which rose by 468.92%, among others [4] Group 2 - The performance of major indices in Q3 included the ChiNext Index at 49.02%, Shenzhen Component Index at 29.25%, and the Shanghai Composite Index at 12.73% [3] - The data indicates a strong performance across various sectors, with notable gains in technology and automotive industries [4] - The overall market sentiment appears positive, reflecting investor confidence in the technology sector and related industries [1][3]

数据宝统计，截至14:47，工业富联成交额104.40亿元，超上一日全天。最新股价下跌0.86%，换手率 0.78%。上一交易日该股全天成交额为102.95亿元。（数据宝） （文章来源：证券时报网） ...

Group 1 - The report from Dongfang Securities highlights that process technology upgrades drive chip performance improvements, while advanced packaging serves as another key driver for enhancing chip capabilities [1] - In the context of slowing process technology upgrades, increasing the die area can enhance transistor count and computational power, with Nvidia's H100 die area nearing the reticle limit of approximately 800-900 mm² [1] - Nvidia's B200 adopts advanced packaging with dual die integration, achieving 208 billion transistors in a single package, which is more than double the 80 billion transistors in the H100 [1] - According to Nvidia's roadmap, the Rubin Ultra will integrate four dies in a single package, targeting a computational power of 100PF FP4 per card [1] Group 2 - System assembly is emerging as a new driver for AI server performance enhancement, as wafer manufacturing and advanced packaging may not keep pace with the growing demand for AI computing power [2] - The number of GPUs in AI servers is expected to increase from 8 per server to 72 per cabinet, with projections for the VR Ultra NVL576 cabinet in 2027 to support 144 GPUs, each with four die, totaling 576 die [2] - The increase in GPU count raises cooling requirements and complicates system assembly, exemplified by the production ramp-up challenges faced by GB200 NVL72 due to assembly difficulties [2] - Leading companies in the industry are likely to benefit from the rising technical barriers and improved competitive environment in system assembly [2] Group 3 - In terms of investment targets, companies related to AI server system assembly are maintained, including Industrial Fulian, which has significantly optimized GB200 series product testing and reduced cabinet debugging time [3] - Industrial Fulian has expanded capacity globally and introduced fully automated assembly lines, expecting strong growth in GB200 shipments, primarily driven by large North American cloud service providers [3] - Haiguang Information's merger with Zhongke Shuguang is anticipated to create vertical integration capabilities encompassing CPU, DCU, and system assembly [4] - Lenovo is expected to launch various servers based on Blackwell Ultra starting in the second half of 2025, as indicated by Nvidia [4] - Huaqin Technology, a core ODM supplier for domestic internet firms' AI servers, benefits from the capital expenditure expansion of downstream cloud companies [4]

Group 1 - The report from Dongfang Securities highlights that process technology upgrades drive chip performance improvements, while advanced packaging serves as another key driver for performance enhancement [1] - In the context of slowing process technology upgrades, increasing the die area can enhance transistor count and computing power, with Nvidia's H100 die area nearing the reticle limit of approximately 800-900 mm² [1] - Nvidia's B200 adopts advanced packaging with dual die integration, achieving 208 billion transistors in a single package, which is more than double the 80 billion transistors in the H100 [1] Group 2 - System assembly is emerging as a new driver for AI server performance enhancement, as wafer manufacturing and advanced packaging may not keep pace with the growing demand for AI computing power [2] - The number of GPUs in AI servers is expected to increase significantly, from 8 GPUs per server to 72 GPUs per cabinet, and potentially to 144 GPUs in the VR Ultra NVL576 cabinet by 2027 [2] - The increase in GPU count raises challenges in heat dissipation and system assembly complexity, with industry leaders likely to benefit from the elevated barriers to entry and improved competitive environment [2] Group 3 - In terms of investment targets, companies related to AI server system assembly are maintained, including Industrial Fulian, which has optimized GB200 series product testing and reduced system-level cabinet debugging time [3] - Industrial Fulian is expanding capacity globally and has introduced fully automated assembly lines, expecting strong growth in GB200 shipments, primarily driven by large North American cloud service providers [3] - Haiguang Information's merger with Zhongke Shuguang is anticipated to create vertical integration capabilities encompassing CPU, DCU, and system assembly [4] Group 4 - Lenovo is expected to launch various servers based on Blackwell Ultra starting in the second half of 2025, as indicated by Nvidia [4] - Huaqin Technology, a core ODM supplier for domestic internet companies' AI servers, is set to benefit from the capital expenditure expansion of downstream cloud companies [4]

个股方面，9月29日有1682只个股获融资净买入，净买入金额在5000万元以上的有115股。其中，20股获 融资净买入额超2亿元。中信证券获融资净买入额居首，净买入13.04亿元；融资净买入金额居前的还有 东方财富、紫金矿业、赛力斯、招商证券、长川科技、同花顺、工业富联、国泰海通等股。 Wind统计显示，9月29日，申万31个一级行业中有13个行业获融资净买入，其中，非银金融行业获融资 净买入额居首，当日净买入43.29亿元；获融资净买入的行业还有电力设备、有色金属、银行、汽车、 计算机等。 ...

水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 以下文章来源于秦朔朋友圈 ，作者黄凡 秦朔朋友圈 . 秦朔朋友圈是由中国著名媒体人、财经观察家秦朔牵头创立的一个新媒体与专业服务品牌，包括微信公 众号、微博、视频节目、音频节目等。内容聚焦于经济、金融和商业领域，关注重点为全球和中国财经 商业热点、企业家精神、创新与发明创造、商业文明探索等。 一年前，随着宏观政策的全面转向，我们的股市开始转势向上，逐步 成了 全球市场中的最亮 点。从 2024 年" 924 "行情以来，代表中国资产的主要指数，从创业板到科创板，从传统沪 深市场到新兴北交所，均处于全球遥遥领先地位。（如下图，东方财富网数据） 当前 A 股市场中，人工智能 AI 产业相关赛道是近期的最热点，其中"易中天"和"纪连海"这 两个由投资者创意组合的概念， 成了 科技股行情中备受瞩目的焦点。它们分别代表了 AI 算 力产业链上的不同环节，其强劲上涨反映了市场对人工智能产业的高度热情。 " 易 中 天 " 组 合 的 新 易 盛 、 中 际 旭 创 、 天 孚 通 信 涵 盖 光 模 块 与 通 信 设 备 （ AI 算 力 的 " 出 海 链"），直接受益于全球 ...

工业富联成交额达100亿元，现涨2.64%。 ...

Core Insights - The A-share market showed mixed performance on September 29, with the 5G Communication ETF (515050) experiencing a significant intraday rise, peaking over 2% before settling at a 1.77% increase by 10:08, with a trading volume of 160 million yuan [1] - The 5G Communication ETF has attracted substantial capital inflow, with over 360 million yuan net inflow in the past five days, bringing its total size to 9.577 billion yuan [1] - The ETF focuses on AI computing hardware and leading electronics companies, tracking the CSI 5G Communication Theme Index, with significant weightings in optical module CPO stocks (38%) and PCB circuit board stocks (14%) [1] - The top ten holdings of the ETF account for 62.27% of its total weight, including companies like Xinyiseng, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Lixun Precision [1] - The rapid development of AI is expected to drive unprecedented demand for computing power and data traffic, with Galaxy Securities projecting that the 5G sector will lead globally and that the integration of new and old driving forces will enhance productivity [1] - The steady advancement of 5G network construction is leading to an expanding base of gigabit users, improving operators' profitability and cash flow, which may result in performance exceeding expectations in the 5G + AI sector [1]