Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Jiantao Laminated Board (01888) is rated as "Buy" due to its leading position in the copper-clad laminate industry and optimistic price trends for traditional copper-clad laminates [1] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of HKD 2.349 billion, HKD 3.123 billion, and HKD 3.815 billion for the years 2025-2027, with a target price set at HKD 20 based on PE valuation [1] - The company has made significant progress in high-end material integration, with the first low-dielectric electronic yarn furnace announced to be in production, leading the domestic market [1] Group 2 - The company's core advantage in high-end products lies in the stability of material integration, with the HVLP-3 copper foil entering the verification phase for further upgrades [2] - The demand for traditional copper-clad laminates is expected to improve alongside AI demand, with major companies focusing on high-end board production [2] - The overall supply-demand dynamics in the copper-clad laminate industry are optimistic, with limited expansion in mid-range capacity and a moderate upward trend in global demand [2]

Core Insights - The recovery of market conditions and increased capital activity have led to a significant positive performance of equity funds, with over 97% achieving positive returns this year, and 81 funds doubling their performance [1][6][7] - Institutional investors are heavily investing in the CSI 300 ETF, while fund management companies are increasing their investments in their own pension funds, indicating confidence in long-term strategies [1][6][7] Institutional Investor Holdings - As of mid-2025, the top 20 equity funds held by institutional investors are predominantly ETFs, with a strong focus on broad-based ETFs like the CSI 300 ETF [3][4] - The top four funds held by institutions are all tracking the CSI 300 index, with the Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF leading with over 300 billion yuan in holdings [6][7] - Institutional investors are showing a preference for funds with high liquidity and broad market coverage, particularly in the context of the recent market recovery [7][8] Fund Management Company Holdings - Fund management companies are significantly investing in their own pension funds, with several pension FOFs appearing in the top holdings [18][19] - The top fund held by management companies is the Huatai-PB MSCI China A50 ETF, which has shown strong performance with a 22.51% increase this year [21][23] Employee Holdings - Employees of fund management companies exhibit diverse investment preferences, with a mix of value and growth strategies being favored [34] - Certain funds are exclusively available to institutional investors, resulting in 100% holdings by fund management companies for specific products [11][26] Changes in Holdings - There has been a notable increase in holdings for the CSI 300 ETFs and other technology-focused ETFs, reflecting a trend towards sectors with high growth potential [12][13] - Conversely, some funds have experienced significant redemptions, particularly those with a conservative investment strategy [31][32]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut of 25 basis points (BP) to a range of 4.00%-4.25% aligns with market expectations, indicating potential for two more rate cuts by 2025, which enhances market risk appetite and may lead to short-term pressure on gold prices [1][2][3] Group 1: Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates is expected to ease recession fears in the U.S., as recent economic data shows improvement, including better-than-expected retail sales and a decrease in initial jobless claims [2] - The Fed's updated dot plot suggests two additional rate cuts by 2025, totaling approximately 50 BP, which could further influence market dynamics [3] Group 2: Precious Metals - The recent rate cut is likely to result in short-term fluctuations in gold prices, as market participants take profits amid rising risk appetite [2][3] - Despite short-term pressures, long-term prospects for gold remain positive due to ongoing U.S. government debt risks and challenges to the dollar's status, suggesting potential for sustained performance in the gold market [2] Group 3: Industrial Metals - The industrial metals sector is expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics, with rising processing rates for copper and aluminum as the market enters a traditional peak season [3] - Increased domestic policy flexibility and a favorable macroeconomic environment, coupled with supply-side disruptions, are likely to strengthen the industrial metals market, presenting a good opportunity for investment [3]

国泰君安期货·有色及贵金属 周报合集 国泰君安期货研究所·有色及贵金属团队 王 蓉 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002529 wangrong2@gtht.com 季先飞 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0012691 jixianfei@gtht.com 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 liuyuxuan@gtht.com 王宗源 （联系人）从业资格号：F03142619 wangzongyuan@gtht.com 2025年09月21日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 1 CONTENTS 01 黄金：FOMC会议降息落地 白银：突破上涨 07 锡：矛盾并不突出，触及区间下沿或有反弹 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 2 02 03 铜：国内补库预期以及美联储未来持续降息预期等，将支撑价格 铝：未能如期上破21000关口，低位伺机等买点 氧化铝：2900关口上下分歧较大 04 铸造铝合金：需求温和复苏，价格承压 05 锌：内外矛盾凸显，关注出口窗口打开机会 06 ...

据披露，中国证监会于2023年5月18日受理了该公司首次公开发行股票并在主板上市的申请文件；2025 年2月14日，公司首次公开发行股票并在主板上市的申请被终止审查，原因是发行人基于未来发展战略 等考虑向上海证券交易所提交了撤回申请。 9月21日，中国证监会官网显示，威邦运动科技集团股份公司已启动上市辅导，由国泰海通证券担任辅 导机构。辅导备案报告显示，控股股东为浙江威邦控股有限公司，持股58.48%。 ...

煤焦周度观点 国泰君安期货研究所·张广硕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020198 日期：2025年9月21日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 煤焦：基本面支撑仍存，偏强震荡 ➢ 节前对于原料的补库操作已经开启，目前现货需求支撑相对偏强。 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 ◆ 1、供应： ➢ 阅兵后国内上游产量迅速恢复，蒙煤甘其毛都和策克口岸维持高位通关量，现实供给边际近一周变化较小。 ◆ 2、需求： ◆ 3、宏观： ➢ 海外降息如期宣布，盘面计价此前已较为充分，靴子落地后影响有限；国内宏观预期在中美元首通话后再次走强，对黑色估值形 成一定支撑。 ◆ 4、观点总结阐述: ➢ 从基本面来看，供需边际双强，宏观层面亦有国内强预期支撑，短期估值或延续偏强震荡。 煤焦基本面数据变化 | 基本面变化 | 煤 | 焦炭 | | --- | --- | --- | | 供应 | FW原煤872.52（+11.45） | 独立焦化厂日均66.72（-0.04） | | | FW精煤450 ...

铜产业链周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·季先飞·首席分析师/有色及贵金属 组联席行政负责人 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0012691 日期：2025年09月21日 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 1 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 铜：国内补库预期以及美联储未来持续降息预期等，将支撑价格 强弱分析：中性，价格区间：79000-82000元/吨 预计国内铜社会库存将边际回落 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 01-02 01-11 01-20 01-29 02-11 02-24 03-06 03-17 03-27 04-08 04-18 04-29 05-13 05-23 06-03 06-13 06-24 07-04 07-15 07-25 08-05 08-15 08-26 09-05 09-16 09-27 10-14 10-24 11-04 11-14 11-25 12-05 12-16 12-26 万吨 国内铜社会总库存 2020 2021 2022 2023 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" investment rating for the industry [2][3]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector has experienced a recent adjustment, with the Shenwan Brokerage II Index declining by 3.51%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.07 percentage points. However, the sector is expected to maintain double-digit year-on-year profit growth in Q3 2025, supported by ongoing capital inflows [3][6]. - The insurance sector has seen a decline of 4.76% in the Shenwan Insurance II Index, with significant movements such as Ping An Life increasing its stake in China Pacific Insurance to over 10%. This reflects a strong positive outlook from insurance capital towards the sector [3][8]. - The report highlights the upcoming National New Conference on September 22, which is anticipated to bring new policies that could positively impact market sentiment [3][15]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4501.92 with a slight decline of 0.44%. The non-bank index reported a drop of 3.66%, with the brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors showing declines of 3.51%, 4.76%, and 0.50% respectively [6][8]. Non-Bank Industry Key Data - As of September 19, 2025, the 10-year government bond yield was 1.88%, with a slight increase of 0.65 basis points. The average daily stock trading volume reached 25,181.36 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 8.23% week-on-week [11][14]. Non-Bank Industry News and Key Announcements - The report notes that the property insurance sector achieved a record high in underwriting profits in the first half of 2025, with premium growth of 4.2% [16]. - Ping An Life's recent acquisition of shares in China Pacific Insurance is seen as a strong signal of confidence in the insurance sector's investment value [19]. - China Pacific Insurance announced the completion of a convertible bond issuance, which is expected to enhance its capital position [20]. Investment Recommendations - For brokerages, the report recommends focusing on leading firms benefiting from improved competitive dynamics, such as GF Securities, Guotai Junan, and CITIC Securities. It also suggests considering firms with strong international business capabilities like China Galaxy and CICC [3][8]. - In the insurance sector, the report recommends China Life, China Pacific, New China Life, and Ping An, among others, due to their favorable valuation and growth prospects [3][8].

继战略布局大健康产业、推进数字金融生态转型后，国泰君安再迎新动作 —— 其自主研发的稳定币正式进入内测阶段。此次内测聚焦 "健康中国四期" 相关用户群体，不仅推出 2% 年化利息收益，更实现与数字人民币 1:1 兑换，为大健康产业用户带来专属金融红利，也 为数字金融与实体产业融合探索新路径。 值得关注的是，该稳定币与数字人民币实现 1:1 等值兑换，打破传统稳定币与法定货币的兑换壁垒。内测期间，用户可通过国泰君安指 定数字平台，将稳定币实时兑换为数字人民币，兑换过程零手续费、零延迟，且资金流向全程可溯，保障交易安全。这一机制既延续了 数字人民币的法定货币属性，又赋予稳定币更强的流动性与使用场景，为后续广泛应用奠定基础。 对于 "健康中国四期" 用户而言，稳定币的推出解决了大健康产业相关资金的管理痛点。例如，医疗机构从业者可将闲置资金转为稳定 币，在获取收益的同时，随时兑换为数字人民币用于医疗设备采购、科研经费周转；大健康企业员工则可通过稳定币实现薪资、补贴的 便捷收取与增值，避免传统理财方式的周期限制。某参与内测的基层医疗工作者表示："稳定币不仅收益稳定，还能随时兑成数字人民 币用于日常支出，比传统理财更灵活 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Yuanchuang Technology Co., Ltd. has been approved for IPO by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, marking it as the 51st company to pass the review this year [1] - Yuanchuang Technology specializes in the research, production, and sales of rubber track products, including agricultural and engineering machinery tracks [2] - The company plans to issue up to 19,600,000 shares, raising approximately 48.51 million yuan for projects including production base construction and working capital [2] Group 2 - The main questions raised during the listing committee meeting focused on market competition, order status, pricing mechanisms, and the impact of these factors on the company's revenue and profitability for 2025 [3][4] - The company is required to provide detailed explanations regarding the competitive landscape of the rubber track market and its implications for future earnings [4]