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供需仍有改善空间,重视权益配置价值
Huafu Securities· 2026-01-17 12:20
Investment Rating - The coal industry is rated as "stronger than the market" [7] Core Views - The report emphasizes that the coal industry is currently experiencing a transformation, with policies aimed at energy security and a shift in supply dynamics. The coal price is expected to stabilize, with potential fluctuations in the short term [5][6] - The report highlights the limited elasticity of coal supply due to strict capacity controls and increasing mining difficulties, particularly in eastern regions. This is expected to lead to a concentration of production in western areas, raising supply costs [5] - The report suggests that despite weak macroeconomic conditions affecting coal demand, the rigid supply and rising costs will support coal prices, which are anticipated to maintain a volatile upward trend [5] Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The coal index experienced a slight decline of 3.11%, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 2.54 percentage points. Year-to-date, the coal index has increased by 2.96% [13] 2. Thermal Coal - As of January 16, the Qinhuangdao 5500K thermal coal price is 695 CNY/ton, down 4 CNY/ton week-on-week, with a year-on-year decrease of 66 CNY/ton [3][32] - Daily average production from 462 sample mines is 5.467 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 15,000 tons but a year-on-year decrease of 6.2% [3][42] - The report notes a significant drop in daily consumption at major power plants, with inventory levels slightly increasing [3][46] 3. Coking Coal - The price of main coking coal at Jingtang Port has risen to 1,770 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 150 CNY/ton [4][76] - Daily average production from 523 sample mines is 769,000 tons, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.7% [4][76] - The report indicates that the coking coal market is experiencing upward price adjustments, driven by supply constraints and increased demand from steel production [4][76] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong resource endowments and stable operating performance, such as China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [6] - Companies with production growth potential and those benefiting from a bottoming coal price cycle are also highlighted, including Yanzhou Coal Mining, Huayang Co., and Gansu Energy [6] - The report recommends considering companies with integrated coal and power operations to mitigate cyclical volatility, such as Shaanxi Energy and Xinji Energy [6]
寒潮有望提振需求,逢低布局低位个股
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-01-17 11:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [5]. Core Insights - The coal market is expected to experience a recovery in demand due to a cold wave, which may stimulate heating needs and lead to increased procurement [7]. - The report highlights that the coal price is likely to stabilize and potentially increase in the latter part of January, driven by a combination of steady supply and moderate demand recovery [7]. - The investment strategy suggests positioning in coal stocks that have shown resilience and potential for growth, particularly those with strong dividend yields and low valuations [8]. Summary by Sections Basic Conditions - The coal industry comprises 37 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 1,905.163 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 1,857.669 billion yuan [2]. Key Company Performance - Major companies such as China Shenhua, Yancoal Energy, and Shanxi Coking Coal are highlighted for their strong earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, with recommendations to buy or hold based on their growth potential [5]. Coal Price Tracking - The report notes fluctuations in coal prices, with a recent increase in coking coal prices by 150 yuan/ton, while thermal coal prices have seen a slight decline [8]. - The average daily production of thermal coal from sample mines is reported at 5.467 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.28% [8]. Inventory and Supply Chain - Coal inventory levels at major ports have increased, with a total of 27.012 million tons reported as of January 17, indicating a year-on-year increase of 5.50% [7]. - The report anticipates a tightening supply in the near term due to ongoing safety inspections and the upcoming holiday season affecting production [7]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies three main investment lines: 1. Companies with strong dividend yields and low valuations, such as China Shenhua and Zhongmei Energy [8]. 2. Companies with growth potential based on their production capacity, such as Yancoal Energy and Shanxi Coking Coal [8]. 3. Companies positioned for recovery in coking coal prices, including Lu'an Huanneng and Pingmei Shenma [8].
煤炭周报:寒潮来袭叠加节前补库,煤价或震荡偏强运行-20260117
Minsheng Securities· 2026-01-17 09:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for several companies in the coal industry, including 晋控煤业, 山煤国际, 潞安环能, 华阳股份, 兖矿能源, 中国神华, 陕西煤业, 中煤能源, and 中广核矿业 [3][4]. Core Insights - The coal prices are expected to remain strong due to a combination of cold weather and pre-holiday stockpiling, with prices projected to fluctuate between 750-1000 RMB/ton [10][12]. - The report highlights a recovery in coal prices post-New Year, driven by reduced production and low inventory levels at ports [10][12]. - The focus is on companies with high spot market exposure and improved balance sheets, particularly those in Shanxi province, which has completed overproduction governance for 2024 [10][12]. - The report suggests that downstream replenishment has begun, leading to a stable to slightly strong outlook for coking coal prices [10][12]. - The first round of price increases for coke is anticipated due to rising raw material costs and improved steel mill profitability [10][12]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The coal sector experienced a weekly decline of 3.3%, underperforming compared to the broader market indices [18][21]. - The best-performing stocks included 云维股份 and 江钨装备, while 大有能源 faced the largest decline [24][26]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that Mongolia's coal exports increased by 7.11% year-on-year, while Australia's coal export value decreased by 13.48% [28][32]. - China's coal imports rose by 11.94% in December 2025 compared to the previous year, indicating a recovery in demand [34][34]. Company Performance - New集能源 reported a 3.01% increase in raw coal production for 2025, while 中煤能源 saw an 8.0% decrease in December's coal production [44][45]. - 大有能源 projected a significant net loss for 2025, highlighting the challenges faced by the company in the current market environment [46][51].
陕西煤业1月15日获融资买入6052.61万元,融资余额7.68亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 01:33
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Shaanxi Coal Industry has experienced a decline in stock performance and financial metrics, with a notable decrease in revenue and net profit year-on-year [2][3] - On January 15, Shaanxi Coal Industry's stock fell by 0.71%, with a trading volume of 624 million yuan, and a net financing purchase of 20.82 million yuan [1] - As of January 15, the total balance of margin trading for Shaanxi Coal Industry was 778 million yuan, indicating a low level compared to the past year [1] Group 2 - For the period from January to September 2025, Shaanxi Coal Industry reported an operating income of 118.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.71 billion yuan, down 20.26% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 81.64 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 47.33 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Shaanxi Coal Industry increased to 105,000, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 2.02% to 92,312 shares [2]
陕西日报丨陕西一批重点项目取得实质性进展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-15 14:09
Core Insights - A series of strategic and leading projects in Shaanxi's energy, transportation, and livelihood sectors have made significant progress, injecting strong momentum into the province's economy at the start of 2026 [2][6]. Energy Sector - The Yulin Energy Chemical Base's Shanmei Group's 15 million tons/year coal-to-chemical clean and efficient conversion demonstration project has reached several key milestones, including the completion of main traffic roads and the arrival of the first methanol synthesis low-pressure tower [2][6]. - The project focuses on coal quality utilization technology to produce high-value-added materials, battery electrolyte solvents, biodegradable materials, and specialty oils, further extending the industrial chain and enhancing the value chain [2][6]. - The Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum's 100,000 kW wind power project has successfully connected its first unit to the grid, expected to save approximately 60,000 tons of standard coal and reduce carbon dioxide emissions by about 170,000 tons annually [2][6]. Transportation Sector - The Hu-Zhou-Mei Expressway, aimed at achieving a "half-hour commute" from Xi'an to Zhou County, is in the later stages of construction, with bridge works nearly completed, which will alleviate traffic congestion on the Jingkun Expressway [3][7]. - The completion of the Southwest Second Ring Interchange and parallel ramps in Xi'an has significantly eased traffic pressure in the Daqing Road to Science and Technology Road area [3][7]. - The Yuehe Rapid Road in Ankang has opened, relieving pressure on National Highway 316 and stimulating industrial development along the Yuehe River [3][7]. Livelihood and Industry Integration - The Shaanxi Xianyang Jinli Sunshine International Agricultural Trade City project, with a total investment of nearly 2 billion yuan, is entering the debugging phase for its west area, while the east area is nearing completion [3][7]. - This project integrates trading, processing, research and development, and cold chain logistics, which will play a crucial role in ensuring regional agricultural product circulation and stabilizing market supply [3][7].
煤炭开采板块1月15日跌0.46%,大有能源领跌,主力资金净流出7961.42万元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2026-01-15 08:58
证券之星消息,1月15日煤炭开采板块较上一交易日下跌0.46%,大有能源领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4112.6,下跌0.33%。深证成指报收于14306.73,上涨0.41%。煤炭开采板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603071 | 物产环能 | 13.93 | 2.13% | 4.25万 | 5928.26万 | | 600397 | 江钨装备 | 9.40 | 1.73% | 38.69万 | 3.64亿 | | 002128 | 电投能源 | 30.55 | 1.13% | 25.98万 | 7.99亿 | | 000571 | 新大洲A | 5.89 | 0.68% | 21.43万 | 1.25亿 | | 600997 | 开滦股份 | 5.92 | 0.68% | 9.25万 | 5448.91万 | | 601101 | 美华能源 | 7.43 | 0.54% | 6.45万 | 4778.88万 | | 601001 | 晋控煤业 | 14. ...
——煤炭行业周报(2025.1.4-2026.1.10):冷空气持续扰动,供给预计收缩,预计煤价仍将上涨-20260113
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-01-13 11:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, indicating an "Overweight" rating, suggesting that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [30]. Core Insights - The report highlights that coal prices are expected to remain elevated due to persistent cold weather and improving demand, with power coal prices showing a week-on-week increase [1][6]. - The report notes that the supply side is tightening due to safety inspections and environmental checks in major production areas, which is expected to support coal prices [1][5]. - The report recommends stable, high-dividend companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, while also suggesting attention to growth-oriented coal companies [1]. Summary by Sections Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - A national safety production meeting was held to enhance safety measures in coal mining, emphasizing a systematic approach to safety governance [5]. - A new coal transportation route from Longkou to Guangzhou has been established, which is significant for energy security and regional economic development [5]. Price Trends - As of January 9, 2026, power coal prices at Qinhuangdao port were reported at 526, 613, and 699 CNY/ton for different grades, reflecting week-on-week increases [1]. - The report indicates that the average daily consumption of coal has improved, with a noted increase in coal output from production areas [1][2]. International Oil Prices - Brent crude oil prices increased to 63.34 USD/barrel, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 4.26%, which may influence coal prices [11]. Port Inventory Trends - The average daily coal inflow at the Bohai Rim ports increased to 1.4613 million tons, while the outflow also saw a slight increase, indicating a dynamic supply-demand balance [16]. - Port inventories decreased to 26.727 million tons, a reduction of 2.91% week-on-week, suggesting tightening supply conditions [16]. Shipping Costs - Domestic coastal shipping costs decreased to 31.90 CNY/ton, while international shipping rates showed mixed trends, with some routes experiencing price increases [22]. Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, indicating their stock prices, market capitalizations, and projected earnings ratios for the upcoming years [25].
煤炭行业周报:冷空气持续扰动,供给预计收缩,预计煤价仍将上涨-20260113
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-01-13 09:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, indicating an "Overweight" rating due to expected price increases driven by supply constraints and high demand from cold weather [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that as of January 9, 2026, the spot prices for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port have increased, with Q4500, Q5000, and Q5500 grades priced at 526, 613, and 699 CNY/ton respectively, reflecting increases of 21, 20, and 17 CNY/ton week-on-week [1]. - Supply is expected to contract due to ongoing safety inspections and regulatory measures, while demand remains robust due to cold weather, supporting higher thermal coal prices [1]. - The report also notes that the average daily consumption of coal has improved, with a daily average of 164.79 million tons being shipped out from the Bohai Rim ports, a 0.69% increase week-on-week [1]. Summary by Sections 1. Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - A national safety production meeting was held on January 6, emphasizing the need for stringent safety measures in mining operations [7]. - A new coal transportation route from Longkou to Guangzhou was inaugurated, enhancing coal distribution efficiency [7]. 2. Price Movements - Domestic thermal coal prices have seen a week-on-week increase, with specific grades reporting price hikes [8]. - International thermal coal prices have shown stability with slight increases in certain markets, such as Indonesia [9]. 3. Inventory and Supply - Bohai Rim port coal inventory decreased to 26.727 million tons, a 2.91% drop week-on-week, indicating tighter supply conditions [20]. - The average daily coal inflow to the Bohai Rim ports increased by 4.28% week-on-week, while outflow also saw a slight increase [20]. 4. Shipping Costs - Domestic coastal shipping costs have decreased slightly, with average freight rates reported at 31.90 CNY/ton, a 1.69% decline week-on-week [26]. - International shipping rates have shown mixed trends, with some routes experiencing price increases while others have decreased [26]. 5. Company Valuations - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the coal sector, highlighting their stock prices, market capitalizations, and earnings projections [30].
远景/中核/大唐/运达/华润/中国绿发/国家电投等入选!8.8GWh独立储能项目投资主体优选结果公示
中关村储能产业技术联盟· 2026-01-12 08:14
1月12日,乌兰察布市独立新型储能电站项目投资主体优选结果公示。 据项目清单, 共16个项目,合计2 .2GW/ 8.8GWh,均为4h储能项目 ,其中10个主体选择建设100MW/ 400MWh规模项目, 6个主体选择建设200MW/ 800MWh规模项目。 从投资主体来看, 核心关联主体包括 远景能源、海泰新能、中核南京、大唐、运达能源、中国建筑股份、华润新能源、中 国绿发、中国铁道建筑、国家电投、海博思创智储投资、青岛金湖电力、陕西煤业化工 等。 | 序号 | 投资主体名称 | 核心关联主体 | 装机容量 | 装机容量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (MW) | (MW) | | 1 | 远景能源有限公司 | 远景能源 | 100 | 400 | | 2 | 唐山海泰新能科技股份有限公司 | 海泰新能 | 100 | 400 | | 3 | 乌兰察布核祥新能源有限公司 | 中核(南京)能源发展有限公司 | 100 | 400 | | 4 | 大唐(四子王旗) 新能源有限公司 | 中国大唐集团 | 100 | 400 | | 5 | 运达能源科技集团股 ...
陕西煤业股价连续6天上涨累计涨幅6%,诺安基金旗下1只基金持15万股,浮盈赚取19.2万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 07:51
诺安新动力灵活配置混合A(320018)成立日期2012年3月5日,最新规模7209.04万。今年以来收益 1.75%,同类排名6418/9012;近一年收益18.36%,同类排名5554/8157;成立以来收益302.94%。 诺安新动力灵活配置混合A(320018)基金经理为李晓杰。 截至发稿,李晓杰累计任职时间2年323天,现任基金资产总规模12.13亿元,任职期间最佳基金回报 71.09%, 任职期间最差基金回报1.21%。 1月12日,陕西煤业涨0.04%,截至发稿,报22.60元/股,成交6.97亿元,换手率0.32%,总市值2191.07 亿元。陕西煤业股价已经连续6天上涨,区间累计涨幅6%。 资料显示,陕西煤业股份有限公司位于陕西省西安市高新区锦业一路2号,成立日期2008年12月23日, 上市日期2014年1月28日,公司主营业务涉及煤炭开采、洗选、运输、销售以及生产服务等业务。主营 业务收入构成为:自产煤55.83%,其中:原选煤39.02%,贸易煤31.85%,其中:洗煤16.81%,电力 8.69%,其他3.26%,运输0.37%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示,诺安基金旗下1只基金 ...