华泰证券发表研报指，网易云音乐上半年财报收入38.27亿元(年减6%)；经调整净利润为19.46亿元(年增 121%)。利润超预期主要得益于良好的成本费用控制。公司专注于打造全面且差异化的内容生态，核心 在线音乐服务收入稳健增长，在营运效率持续优化下利润率有望进一步提升。该行表示，网易云音乐产 品页面调整已于第一季基本完成，预期未来社交娱乐业务收入将维持相对稳定。考虑到公司2025年上半 年毛利率及销售费用率优化优于预期，经营杠杆有望持续兑现，并考量一次性递延税项影响，该行预测 其2025、2026、2027年调整后归母净利润分别为30.91亿、26.56亿、29.83亿元(上调61%、29%、36%)。 该行对其目标价从205.47港元上调至360.42港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen significant gains recently, particularly in the brokerage sector, which has become a strong market indicator, with the Wind brokerage index rising over 10 percentage points in the last 20 trading days [1][5]. Brokerage Sector Performance - Multiple brokerages are distributing dividends for the 2024 fiscal year, including major firms like Zheshang Securities, Bank of China Securities, Huatai Securities, and others, indicating a trend of increased dividend payouts [1][5]. - The total cash dividends for listed brokerages in 2024 exceed 55 billion, marking an increase of over 10 billion compared to the previous year, setting a historical high [5][6]. Dividend Trends - The new "National Nine Articles" and cash dividend regulations have led to a trend of "multiple dividends per year" among brokerages, with an increase in both frequency and total dividend amounts [5][6]. - Leading brokerages such as Guotai Junan, Huatai Securities, and Citic Securities have reported dividend totals exceeding 3 billion, ranking them among the top in the industry [5][6]. Dividend Payout Ratios - Smaller brokerages like Hongta Securities and Southwest Securities have high dividend payout ratios, with figures reaching 92.6% and 80.76% respectively, indicating a strong commitment to returning profits to shareholders [6][7]. - The new regulations emphasize the importance of cash dividends, with measures in place to encourage companies with low or no dividends to improve their payout policies [6][7]. Strategic Shifts in the Brokerage Industry - The brokerage industry is shifting focus from expansion to enhancing quality and returns, with an emphasis on sustainable profitability and stable dividends [6][7]. - The increase in wealth management and light capital business has contributed to a more stable income base for brokerages, allowing for consistent dividend distributions [7].

Core Viewpoint - The first batch of new policy financial tools is expected to be 500 billion yuan, aimed at providing capital supplementation for investment projects in key support areas [1] Group 1: Financial Tools Overview - The new policy financial tools may expand further in the future, potentially led by policy banks [1] - Funding sources for these tools may include policy bank financial bond issuance and loans from the central bank to policy banks [1] Group 2: Supported Sectors - The first batch of tools primarily supports eight key areas: digital economy, artificial intelligence, low-altitude economy, infrastructure in the consumer sector, green and low-carbon transition, agriculture and rural development, transportation and logistics, and municipal and industrial parks [1] Group 3: Investment Details - The financial tools will supplement capital for major projects through shareholder loans or equity investments by fund companies established by three major policy banks [1] - The funding provided by these tools will not exceed 50% of the project capital, with the possibility of increasing to 80% for key sectors or industries [1] - The investment term is set for over 5 years, with an interest rate of approximately 2.5% [1]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，华泰证券指出，上周A股放量创新高，交易型资金延续活跃，股市流动性充裕仍是行情的 主要驱动。第一，金融数据看，实体信贷与M1同比分化，传统行业β整体不强，存款数据体现居民资金 入市迹象，如果股市能够形成持续的赚钱效应，活期化的存款是未来的潜在增量之一。第二，现阶段的 居民资金入市或以存量资金加杠杆为主，体现为杠杆资金活跃度持续创阶段性新高的同时新增开户数、 公募新发份额、私募备案数量改善但斜率有限，ETF近1月整体净流出且行业分化加剧。第三，外资和 险资亦是值得关注的潜在增量资金，近期活跃度均有所上升。市场趋势偏强，建议保持偏高仓位。 ...

华泰证券指出，肉牛周期正步入上行阶段，供给端去化主导本轮行情。我们测算25-27年国内牛肉总供 给同比-3.3%/-6.4%/+1.3%，供需缺口最高达26年的147万吨/年，牛价高点或于28年底显现。本轮牛价上 涨幅度或超上一轮（18年7月至22年10月牛肉价格上涨38%），主因全球牛肉周期向上的背景下进口冲 击减弱，且国内产能传导时滞（能繁母牛补栏至商品牛出栏需24-28个月）放大供需错配。标的推荐 上，肉与奶或将实现周期共振，上游龙头乳企的利润与估值弹性有望显现。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market has seen a significant increase in trading volume, driven by active trading funds and ample market liquidity [1] - Financial data indicates a divergence in entity credit and M1 year-on-year, with traditional industries showing overall weakness; deposit data reflects signs of resident funds entering the market, suggesting that if the stock market can create a sustained profit effect, the liquid deposits could be a potential incremental source in the future [1] - Currently, the entry of resident funds into the market is primarily through leveraging existing funds, as evidenced by the continuous increase in the activity of leveraged funds, while the number of new accounts, public fund issuance, and private fund registrations have improved but with limited slope; ETFs have seen overall net outflows in the past month, with increasing industry differentiation [1] Group 2 - Foreign and insurance capital are also potential incremental funds worth monitoring, as their activity levels have recently increased [1] - The market trend is strong, and it is recommended to maintain a relatively high position; strategic allocations should focus on AI chains, innovative pharmaceuticals, military industry, and large financial sectors, with an internal adjustment to high and low positions [1] - Within AI, attention should be paid to domestic computing power and AI applications, while in pharmaceuticals, the focus should be on externally driven CDMO [1]

来源：华泰睿思 市场处于海内 外预期的关键验证阶段 中报业绩主要起到对上半年盈利的确认作用，更重要的是后续盈利改善是否有持续性。在目前的市场一致预期下，2025年全年海外中资股盈利增速或好于 2024年，2026年盈利进一步修复。因此，本轮港股行情中流动性改善固然重要，但基本面预期的回升也起到了重要支撑。盈利的修复一方面来自港股独有 的新经济板块超越周期增长，另一方面也因国内政策较去年力度更高（1-6月广义财政支出同比增长8.9%，比去年同期的-2.8%明显提升），推动了上半年 经济修复。往后看，若宏观政策进一步兑现，以及成长性赛道在摆脱负面压力下出现新进展，可能推动盈利的持续性修复。 短期市场存在阶段性流动性压力，但不改中期流动性宽裕方向 上周前半周，美国温和通胀提振美联储降息预期，市场由此前就业大幅下修后的衰退担忧快速回摆，伴随多家头部企业财报超预期、国内消费贷贴息等政 策的发力，港股市场快速上行，成长风格领涨。后半周，国内经济数据边际降温，市场再度回摆至事件驱动及主题交易。8月以来，指数层面震荡中枢仍 在上移，但波动率明显放大（）。当下，市场处于交易主线相对缺乏、海外及国内重要事件等待验证的关键阶段，也 ...

Core Insights - The market sentiment has improved significantly in July, leading to an increase in user activity for securities applications, with active users reaching 167 million, a month-on-month increase of 3.36% and a year-on-year increase of 20.89% [1][2] - The number of new A-share accounts opened in July reached 1.96 million, a year-on-year surge of 71% and a month-on-month increase of 19%, indicating a strong correlation between market conditions and the activity levels of brokerage apps [2] - The top 10 brokerage apps all surpassed 5 million active users, with Huatai Securities' "Zhangle Caifutong" leading at 11.36 million [3][4] User Activity and Rankings - In July, 12 brokerage apps had over 4 million active users, reflecting a robust competitive landscape [3][4] - The top five brokerage apps by active users are Huatai Securities, Guotai Junan, Ping An Securities, China Merchants Securities, and CITIC Securities [3][4] - The month-on-month growth rates for the top 50 brokerage apps were all positive, with Southwest Securities' "Southwest Jindianzi" app showing the highest growth at 8.49% [5][6] Third-Party App Performance - Third-party stock trading apps also saw increased activity, with Tonghuashun leading at 35.01 million active users, followed by Dongfang Caifu and Dazhihui [7][8] - The gap between third-party apps and brokerage apps in terms of active users is narrowing, with Dazhihui's active users only 56.29 thousand behind Huatai Securities' app [9] App Innovations and Updates - In July, at least 57 brokerage firms updated their app functionalities, focusing on trading, market data, and portfolio management [10] - Notable innovations include Guotai Junan's launch of the first fully AI-driven app, "Guotai Junan Lingxi," and Jianghai Securities' "Zuhua" app aimed at younger investors [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook for the insurance sector, particularly highlighting undervalued insurance stocks as potential investment opportunities [4][38]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recent strategic acquisitions by Ping An in China Pacific Insurance and China Life, indicating a potential revaluation of undervalued insurance stocks due to increased institutional investment [1][2]. - It notes that the downward trend in long-term interest rates and the pressure on bond yields necessitate insurance companies to diversify into "quasi-fixed income" assets, enhancing stable income sources [2]. - The report highlights the robust performance of brokerage firms, with significant growth in brokerage and credit business revenues, indicating a recovery in the capital markets [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The report indicates a general increase in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.70% and the Shenzhen Component Index by 4.55% during the week [9]. - The non-bank financial sector saw a significant uptick, with the non-bank financial index increasing by 6.48% [9]. Securities Sector - Brokerage business saw a total trading volume of 12.09 trillion yuan, with a daily average of 2.02 trillion yuan, reflecting a 21.39% increase week-on-week [17]. - The report notes a substantial increase in IPO underwriting, with a cumulative scale of 592.44 billion yuan for the year [17]. Insurance Sector - The report highlights the low price-to-book (PB) ratios of China Pacific Insurance and China Life at 1.25x and 1.21x, respectively, suggesting potential for value reappraisal [1]. - It emphasizes the importance of insurance companies in the long-term investment landscape, particularly as they adapt to changing interest rates and market conditions [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key insurance companies such as Sunshine Insurance, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life, Ping An, China Life, and China Property & Casualty [4][39]. - In the securities sector, it recommends attention to leading brokerage firms like CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, Guotai Junan, and GF Securities [4][39].

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities reported that Nexperia's revenue for the first half of the year was $2.24 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.7%, while net profit was approximately $63 million, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 269% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of the year reached $2.24 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [1] - Net profit was around $63 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 269% [1] - EBITDA was approximately $230 million, with a year-on-year growth of 16.8% [1] - EBITDA margin improved by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year to 10.3% [1] Factors Driving Performance - The increase in profit margins may be attributed to a higher proportion of business from the Asia-Pacific region, which optimized the profit structure [1] - Improved operational efficiency in the EMEASA region contributed to the overall performance [1] - The scale effect from increased output of new projects also played a role in enhancing profitability [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its profitability recovery as the capacity utilization rate of its Chinese factory increases [1] - The completion of capacity transfer to Mexico and steady progress in cost reduction plans are anticipated to further support profitability [1] - Profit forecasts for net income from 2025 to 2027 are projected at $120 million, $180 million, and $220 million, respectively, corresponding to earnings per share of $0.05, $0.07, and $0.09 [1] Target Price Adjustment - The target price has been raised from HKD 6.6 to HKD 7.77, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]